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2 days have passed, and the growth rate continues steady in the mid 40's -

now were at
201 cases on 21st
4515 cases on 28th

= ~48% daily growth rate

This could bc very good for US manufacturing, depending on how long it goes on over there, and whether it comes here in any significant way.

Not rejoicing, just saying.

Hircus says

2 days have passed, and the growth rate continues steady in the mid 40's -

now were at
201 cases on 21st
4515 cases on 28th

= ~48% daily growth rate

That's like 39 days until everyone on earth catches the carona V. Someone get greta on the phone

Some ethnicities are prone/immune to certain diseases. Wonder if, for example, Blacks or another group may be less susceptible to Coronavirus, while Asians are more susceptible. Also the issue of experience with similar strains, such has how cox pox infected people were resistant to small pox.

Hircus says

2 days have passed, and the growth rate continues steady in the mid 40's -

It's working!! what impeachment?

HeadSet says

Blacks or another group may be less susceptible to Coronavirus,

But the sickle cell has them by the balls

Tim Aurora says

Hopefully it is tapering with new measures. 28% for today.

Unfortunately, the sources I've come across have been a little bit different from each other. I think sometimes the difference might be due to measurements at a different time of day.



real time map
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
I think this map's data is shifted 1 day off. if you look at the bottom left, they say 4400 on the 26th, while the chart says 4400 on the 27th. And similar for other days.


But anyway, via this data it looks like going from 4464 to 6060 is about ~36% in 1 day, so hopefully it keeps trending down.

HeadSet says

Wonder if, for example, Blacks or another group may be less susceptible to Coronavirus, while Asians are more susceptible.

Good thing I identify as black

We now have new infections going on outside China. The virus now spreads from multiple points on the planet.
Containment failed so far.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/28/world/asia/china-coronavirus.html
"Health officials on Tuesday reported what appear to be the first known cases of human-to-human transmission of the virus in Europe — specifically, in Germany — and in Japan. Another case was recently reported in Vietnam.

The cases show that countries across the world are now faced with the task of limiting the spread of the disease on their own soil, not just seeking to identify and quarantine ailing patients who had traveled from China."

Still has killed less people than Hillary.

We're all going to die from a virus before the sex robots hit the market at a reasonable price? Life is so unfair.

For perspective - 2019-2020 US Influenza Stats:

15,000,000 – 21,000,000 cases in the US alone

140,000 – 250,000 hospitalizations in the US

8,200 – 20,000 deaths in the US

Yet somehow the news media has become obsessed with a virus that has only killed ~200 people worldwide.

This appears to be a drill for Chinese martial law more than anything else.

Booger says

This appears to be a drill for Chinese martial law more than anything else.

Someone buy this guy dinner!

We have more people still voluntarily killing themselves smoking cigarettes than Corona or the flu virus combined throughout the world, yet we and everyone still sells smokes. Let me know when this reaches 6 figure death tolls in a country of 1B+. 100k DEATHS would be .01% of the population or less of China. This is hype to the extreme. 97% of people afflicted will live. And if you break down the demographics and health of those infected it's likely that 99.5% of anyone infected with this hype will survive no different than the flu if you're 10-50 years of age. This is alarmingly stupid.

And even if it's the fucking apocalypse, WTF is anyone gonna do about it? The fake concern is hysterical to me.

I recall in Dr. Strangelove general Turgington says that we can survive nuclear war “It’s not as if we won’t get our hair mussed, but we’ll lose 15 or 20 million, tops!”

Seams to be 2-4% death rate at its epicenter, but what if China is lying and it's more like at 10%? If this virus is worse than they say how long would it take for the truth to come out?

I could see something like this doing a lot more damage in poorer more disorganized counties.

This is not funny.

https://news.yahoo.com/chinas-coronavirus-may-help-boost-162956718.html
"China's coronavirus may help boost U.S. jobs - Ross"

Because we know virus stop at frontiers....

Heraclitusstudent says

Because we know virus stop at frontiers....

He is right - funeral house and crematorium job numbers will skyrocket. We should all get a MS in Cinerary Sciences instead of learning to code.

Heraclitusstudent says

Because we know virus stop at frontiers....

They do if the movement of people across the border is controlled or halted. It used to be a common practice to quarantine the crews and passengers of arriving ships for weeks on end.

"China has quarantined 60 million people—more than the population of our West Coast. They’ve shut down schools indefinitely. Hong Kong has slashed travel from the mainland. We must immediately stop all travel on commercial aircraft between China & the United States." -- Sen. Tom Cotton.

DALLAS (AP) — The pilots' union at American Airlines sued on Thursday to stop the carrier from flying to China and told members not to operate flight s there because of the spreading coronavirus outbreak.

The Allied Pilots Association, which represents American’s 15,000 pilots, asked a state district court in Dallas for an injunction to halt the flights. The union cited declarations by international health experts that the virus is a public health emergency.

https://m.sfgate.com/news/texas/article/American-Airlines-pilots-sue-to-halt-flights-to-15017728.php#photo-18940429

The_Weeping_Ayatollah says

China has quarantined 60 million people

And if all of them die, the world population will still end up greater by the end of this year.

Looks like the daily growth rate keeps tapering off these past few days, although it's still about 25% or so.

That's the thing: it's not that easy to infect large number of people nowadays.
They panic, stay home, wear masks and other protections, stop traveling. Other measures like closing school cut contagion links.
And the more deaths, the tougher the measures.

Heraclitusstudent says

And the more deaths, the tougher the measures.

Right. And the death rate doesn't seem high at all, low in fact. What is it 2 point something percent ?

For that reason I wouldn't be surprised to see the number of infected continue to rise exponentially for a while. The very young, very old and people with weakened immune systems need to be protected for a while. If I was in one of those categories, or a caretaker for someone in one of those categories, I would be very careful until this passes.

https://www.liveleak.com/view?t=DUDN_1580431941

www.youtube.com/embed/0SWyXJ5L2R0

@HEYYOU try logging out, and then logging in to https://patrick.net instead of https://www.patrick.net