patrick.net

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.

This is looking like Michael Dukakis, the 21st century version.

Think of Biden's Dementia (& lackluster "possibly corrupt" career as Senator/VP) as Dukakis's soft on crime (Willie Horton killing someone during his MA prison furlough) & infamous Tank Ride (soft on defense).

Realize, even in his home state, Dukakis got a mere 53% of the vote, losing Central MA and two counties in Cape Cod. Now, contrast that with Kerry's 62+% and Hillary's near 60%.

I suspect that most of Biden's blue state wins will be in those 0.5-4% categories and no more. So it's now a question of will there be enough 0.5+ to carry him over the line.

HeadSet says

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov

Which is the same in Maryland, but Hillary won by a 27% margin in MD vs 5% in VA.

Plus governor Blackface may have pissed off enough people.

Outside a Biden rally in PA. More Trump Protesters than Biden attendees.

www.youtube.com/embed/SkIoIsSbg1g

Today: Ohio, Wisconsin
Tomorrow: Manchester, NH
Monday: Allentown, PA - Lititz, PA - Martinsburg, PA
Tuesday: Lansing, MI - West Salem, MI - Omaha, NE

*Biden has pulled out entirely of Ohio according to Trump Interview between Rallies*

Record Turnout with strong double digit Republican Lead; Students 18-24 wayyy down from 2016 in Texas. This state is all but certain a Trump victory.

Rasmussen polls have approval from Black likely voters at 46%! It almost doubled in a few days!

I’m not trusting polls at all. I do think Trump will win handily though. But people still need to get out and vote for that to happen. There’s also a lot of local issues on the ballot. IL it’s an income tax amendment that lets the state do what they want through the legislature besides raising or lowering the current flat income tax.

It would be a shocking turn of events, but IL is going be closer than many think, or so I believe. Between the Pritzker lockdowns and now the tax hike amendment, R’s will come out strong here. It’s not worth the $ or time to poll here based on past elections.

TrumpingTits says

millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/sQ4lo6FB-s0

Onvacation says

millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/sQ4lo6FB-s0

---

LOL!

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Trump is polling with 32% to 33% of Hispanic vote. This is somewhat of an improvement in 2016 where he got about 29% of the Hispanic vote.

"Although Biden is outperforming Trump among Latinos in every swing state, surprisingly, Trump is doing better than expected in five electoral-rich swing states, including Florida (41%), Nevada (38%), Texas (35%), Georgia (35%), and North Carolina (28%). In Florida, another poll found Trump is taking 38% of Latino voters in Miami-Dade county, a key metropolitan for Biden."

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/latino-support-for-trump-grows-to-john-mccains-levels-301140126.html

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Here is a recent article that shows about 20% of black support and 35% of Hispanic support for Trump.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-losing-ground-with-white-voters-but-gaining-among-black-and-hispanic-americans/

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HeadSet says

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.

Doing some research I'm seeing that having Biden on the Presidential ticket makes a 7% difference in Delaware...
If that 7% is usual and customary (and I have nothing else to go by at the moment) then Trump should win in VA.

zzyzzx says

HeadSet says

I think that VA could easily be the upset that nobody is expecting,

I would love to see that! Maybe have a new Repub Senator as well. But VA has a high concentration in the Northern VA "Greater DC" area who make bank on Big Gov, and a high number of inner city welfare types in the Richmond and Norfolk areas. Even though a county map would show nearly a whole Red State, the concentrations in the blue DC-Richmond-Norfolk crescent outnumber the counties population wise.

Doing some research I'm seeing that having Biden on the Presidential ticket makes a 7% difference in Delaware...
If that 7% is usual and customary (and I have nothing else to go by at the moment) then Trump should win in VA.

That would be awesome. And I would like to see the voters knock out Luria and Warner while they are electing Trump.

Who won?

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

The latest national telephone and online survey finds Trump edging Democrat Joe Biden 48% to 47% among Likely U.S. Voters. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided.

Latest NY Times article has Trump at 47% and Biden at 43% in Texas. Also they state the following. This is favorable to Trump since Texas Hispanics are vastly Mexican and Central American. That tells me his policies on immigration have had a positive effect in regards to gaining support from this voting base.

"Mr. Biden has a lead of only 57 percent to 34 percent among that group, somewhat beneath most estimates of Mrs. Clinton’s support among Hispanic voters four years ago. The finding broadly tracks with national surveys, which have shown Mr. Trump improving among Hispanic voters compared with his 2016 standing. Similarly, Hispanic voters in the Times/Siena poll say they backed Mrs. Clinton by a margin of 60 percent to 29 percent."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/26/upshot/poll-texas-hispanics-trump.html

ad says

This is favorable to Trump since Texas Hispanics are vastly Mexican and Central American. That tells me his policies on immigration have had a positive effect in regards to gaining support from this voting base.

TX Hispanics are very different from ones in the rest of country, so this may not extend to other states, at least in short term. TX Hispanics are to a large extent indigenous and are more assimilated than ones in other parts of US of A. They also work heavily in oil industry - so Biden's ideas about "cancelling oil" work wonders on them, while Clinton was keen on cancelling coal which they did not care much about.

NYT headline: "Hillary Clinton Says It’s Different This Time"

TrumpingTits says

Yeah? And millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

Just send in 2 additional ballots for Trump. That will cancel out the original vote and add one the correct column. Duh!

SunnyvaleCA says

TrumpingTits says

Yeah? And millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

I suspect the ones that submitted their votes early were motivated to vote for their candidate and would not change their mind for any suitable reason.

https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/

Trump Takes The Lead In Pennsylvania; +3 Per New Poll

ERECTION INTENSIFYING

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

Nationally, Trump is now leading 48% to 47%. Add five points for the sleeper Trump supporters.
It won’t be close.

Biden just put a lid on ALL Public Campaigning until Election Day. WOW.

Guess the Bidens are getting their cash transfers and Chinese visas in order. I wonder if they'll be snuck over in a shipping container.

NoCoupForYou says

Biden just put a lid on ALL Public Campaigning until Election Day. WOW.

He can't speak. His son is an embarrassment. He has no policy besides saying Trump is divisive. He's old and demented. What point is there to campaigning? Send some cash to his media friends for ads, hope the race is close and claim we're still waiting on mail in ballots because of Covid. Strategy will backfire though as I think it's going to be an absolute landslide.

I likely wouldn't have voted for any of them, but the Dems had substantially better candidates than Biden. They then pick Kamala, a CA Senator that was one of the first to drop out. WTF were they thinking? They couldn't find someone from WI, MI, OH, PA, etc? It's almost like they wanted to lose. It's weird. "Hey, let's pick a VP from a state we already have in the bag because she's black(ish) and a woman." Almost seems like they're going for the popular vote and don't care about the electoral. That didn't stick with Hillary and won't this time, though I think Trump takes both electoral and popular.

WookieMan says

the Dems had substantially better candidates than Biden. They then pick Kamala, a CA Senator that was one of the first to drop out. WTF were they thinking? They couldn't find someone from WI, MI, OH, PA, etc? It's almost like they wanted to lose. It's weird.

I was thinking that since they knew they couldn't win, may as well run candidates that can't win and save the better candidates for later when there is no incumbent running.

Riots in PA are only going to increase Trumps lead there.

zzyzzx says

save the better candidates for later when there is no incumbent running.

Who though? Trump wasn't ideal in '16. But the backup was at least livable on the R side. The Dems brought forth a generational politician once again. Even the 2nd place guy Bernie has been a politician forever. It's one thing to be a 1 or 2 term Senator and run. But Hillary and Biden have lived as politicians their whole damn lives. Bernie as well. Do they not fucking get it? We don't want 40 year politicians running the country.

WookieMan says

Do they not fucking get it?

Dems are low IQ people who seem to vote more on name recognition then anything else.

Kamala added absolutely no votes to Biden’s campaign, and hardened conservative resolve your defeat him. Even black people are ambivalent or even hostile to Kamala. They can see she’s not one of them, and has no policies that would help their lives.
This year the choice is so fucking obvious, Hellen Keller could see it.

2020 Palm Beach Co. R+.1%
2016: Cankles +19%

zzyzzx says

Dems are low IQ people who seem to vote more on name recognition then anything else.

This after George H. Bush's son was elected to the presidency?

Political partisans are dummies I think, both republican and democrat.

Onvacation says

TrumpingTits says

millions of ppl have already voted by mail. Too late to change their vote.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/sQ4lo6FB-s0

classic! well done Joe!

www.youtube.com/embed/Qu6PH9E5jiA

MASSIVE BIDEN RALLY

NoCoupForYou says

MASSIVE BIDEN RALLY

Good thing they got the guy in a wheel chair there. Apparently teleprompters or tv's can give you Covid as well. They need an 80" tv 30' away. Between all the stages, flags, chairs, "social circles" and cameras, what an absolute waste of human time. This likely took hours to set up by a dozen of people. For what? There's more staff and crew than people in attendance.

Some serious presidential trolling:
www.youtube.com/embed/y5KNJrt_DTo

The RCP Battleground Poll average has dropped like a point and a half in the last week or so. Didn't screenshot earlier when it was like 5.4% Biden lead