patrick.net

TrumpingTits says

zzyzzx says

It is only 9:48 AM ET, and the FL-Dems' pre-Election Day advantage has already been totally wiped out. FL-GOPers now lead in all voting by 8922.

But the mail in votes have to all be counted!

As per:

https://patrick.net/post/1336261/2020-11-03-trumpingtits-election-prediction

Pissed at my neighbors. They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person. No way their vote ends up getting counted unfortunately. Smart people too. Don't get it.

WookieMan says

They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person

Won't it be postmarked by at least 3 November so that it will be accepted when it is received ?

ad says

WookieMan says

They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person

Won't it be postmarked by at least 3 November so that it will be accepted when it is received ?

Should be.

Women never leave the foxhole.

zzyzzx says

It is only 9:48 AM ET, and the FL-Dems' pre-Election Day advantage has already been totally wiped out. FL-GOPers now lead in all voting by 8922.

Republican lead over 120,000 in Florida. Whoo hoo!

Eric Holder says

ad says

WookieMan says

They're voting for Trump, but dumped their mail in ballots yesterday.... Have zero clue why they didn't vote in person

Won't it be postmarked by at least 3 November so that it will be accepted when it is received ?

Should be.

All the local media outlets were saying mail in ballots needed to be in by last Thursday here in IL. I could be wrong, but it's what I heard. Might be a state by state thing?

NoCoupForYou says

Republican lead over 120,000 in Florida. Whoo hoo!

Now over 160. Coming close to a full point lead.

300k in NC, Close to a 3 point lead. Not such a swing state!

https://twitter.com/jakejakeny/status/1320802361447796736

Dow jumped over 550 points today. CNN claims that it is the financial markets "doubling down: on a Biden victory.

.

From my calculations with the 2016 election in Bay County, FL (home of Panama City), at least about 75% of independent voters went for Trump. Trump got 71% of the vote in Bay County in 2016. He also won 62,000 votes in the county.

It's a bad sign if he does not get at least 65,000 votes and 70% of the vote in Bay County, FL. That may mean he does not fare as well in demographically similar (75% white, non-hispanic) counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, etc.


******Also, pay attention to Nash County, NC (41% African American 54.5% White); it went 49.3% for Trump , 49.1% for Clinton, and 1.6% for libertarian Gary Johnson.*******

.

Florida: Trump about to hit 200k+ lead
Republican turnout 10% higher than 2016. Dems only 7%

HeadSet says

Dow jumped over 550 points today. CNN claims that it is the financial markets "doubling down: on a Biden victory.

No as ZH correctly mentions it usually predicts the incumbent wins.

Democrats lead in Florida vanished like Hillary's emails.

https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2020/11/03/watch-chelsea-handler-goes-topless-to-warn-michigan-of-voter-intimidation/

Booger says

https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2020/11/03/watch-chelsea-handler-goes-topless-to-warn-michigan-of-voter-intimidation/

Her rack isn't bad, about the only upside to a barren Karen.

Record turnout in Washington state. This could get interested since I doubt that heavy turnout in a state a blue as WA is good for Dementia Joe.

Democrats already admitting that they aren't going to win in FL and PA.

I ran this yesterday, as I remember, without PA and FL, Biden would have to carry all the Lakes: MI, WI, MN, flip Arizona or NC, and win NH.

Trump wins with one of the Lakes, FL, AZ, and only has to flip NH which only went Hillary by a few tenths of a percent.

There's no way jo bi-den can win without PA.

KY, IN, and VT called.

Booger says

Democrats already admitting that they aren't going to win in FL and PA.

Fox shows FL 51.5% for Biden with 52% reported.

Goddamnit Florida. Vote right!

Biden 0.1% lead in FL with 58% reported sez nyt. Gonna be close but that Fox number was bs

NYTimes is reporting that Trump has a 92% chance to win Florida.

Now Trump up.0.7% in FL with 59% reported.

No point in looking at half-baked results, I guess.

Just get baked

They called VA for Biden even though Trump is winning. I thought we had to count every vote?

ignoreme says

They called VA for Biden even though Trump is winning. I thought we had to count every vote?

They do "projections". But he wasn't slated to win this anyways. Still could be too early to call

ignoreme says

They called VA for Biden even though Trump is winning. I thought we had to count every vote?

Who are "they"? If you mean Fox, the call is just projection. They might be right the might be wrong.

Remember Hillary and Trump went back and forth in Florida for a while last time, it wasn't until about 88%-90% when Trump finally got a clear lead there.

Much more turnout this time, and there's a massive front-load of Dem Votes from VBM that were counted yesterday and dumped in today, so it'll take a while to finalize the county in-person today and report it in.

Also, Bannon said he was in Ohio for trump in 2016, and they thought they had lost from the Exit Polls, but the Rural support was so massive, they ended up carrying the state, something their models didn't expect.

Also Fuck Fox and Georgia, there's almost no reporting in, most counties haven't reported jack shit.

NoCoupForYou says

Also Fuck Fox and Georgia, there's almost no reporting in, most counties haven't reported jack shit.

Fox has just flipped GA from blue to pink. But I agree, it's all mental masturbation this early in the game.

Trump has comfortable lead in GA. This will be decided in MI WI PA NC AZ and NV.