Election is over.
invite response
2020 Oct 23, 6:16pm 48,997 views 820 comments
by MisdemeanorRebel ➕follow (13) 💰tip ignore
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229
AD
2020 Nov 3, 2:18pm
AD
2020 Nov 3, 2:18pm
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From my calculations with the 2016 election in Bay County, FL (home of Panama City), at least about 75% of independent voters went for Trump. Trump got 71% of the vote in Bay County in 2016. He also won 62,000 votes in the county.
It's a bad sign if he does not get at least 65,000 votes and 70% of the vote in Bay County, FL. That may mean he does not fare as well in demographically similar (75% white, non-hispanic) counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, etc.
******Also, pay attention to Nash County, NC (41% African American 54.5% White); it went 49.3% for Trump , 49.1% for Clinton, and 1.6% for libertarian Gary Johnson.*******
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From my calculations with the 2016 election in Bay County, FL (home of Panama City), at least about 75% of independent voters went for Trump. Trump got 71% of the vote in Bay County in 2016. He also won 62,000 votes in the county.
It's a bad sign if he does not get at least 65,000 votes and 70% of the vote in Bay County, FL. That may mean he does not fare as well in demographically similar (75% white, non-hispanic) counties in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, etc.
******Also, pay attention to Nash County, NC (41% African American 54.5% White); it went 49.3% for Trump , 49.1% for Clinton, and 1.6% for libertarian Gary Johnson.*******
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230
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 2:40pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 2:40pm
Florida: Trump about to hit 200k+ lead
Republican turnout 10% higher than 2016. Dems only 7%
Republican turnout 10% higher than 2016. Dems only 7%
231
mell
2020 Nov 3, 2:48pm
HeadSet says
No as ZH correctly mentions it usually predicts the incumbent wins.
Dow jumped over 550 points today. CNN claims that it is the financial markets "doubling down: on a Biden victory.
No as ZH correctly mentions it usually predicts the incumbent wins.
238
Dholliday126
2020 Nov 3, 3:59pm
Dholliday126
2020 Nov 3, 3:59pm
Booger says
Her rack isn't bad, about the only upside to a barren Karen.
https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2020/11/03/watch-chelsea-handler-goes-topless-to-warn-michigan-of-voter-intimidation/
Her rack isn't bad, about the only upside to a barren Karen.
239
Booger
2020 Nov 3, 4:07pm
Booger
2020 Nov 3, 4:07pm
Record turnout in Washington state. This could get interested since I doubt that heavy turnout in a state a blue as WA is good for Dementia Joe.
240
Booger
2020 Nov 3, 4:10pm
Booger
2020 Nov 3, 4:10pm
Democrats already admitting that they aren't going to win in FL and PA.
241
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 4:19pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 4:19pm
I ran this yesterday, as I remember, without PA and FL, Biden would have to carry all the Lakes: MI, WI, MN, flip Arizona or NC, and win NH.
Trump wins with one of the Lakes, FL, AZ, and only has to flip NH which only went Hillary by a few tenths of a percent.
Trump wins with one of the Lakes, FL, AZ, and only has to flip NH which only went Hillary by a few tenths of a percent.
244
Eric Holder
2020 Nov 3, 4:22pm
Eric Holder
2020 Nov 3, 4:22pm
Booger says
Fox shows FL 51.5% for Biden with 52% reported.
Democrats already admitting that they aren't going to win in FL and PA.
Fox shows FL 51.5% for Biden with 52% reported.
246
mell
2020 Nov 3, 4:32pm
Biden 0.1% lead in FL with 58% reported sez nyt. Gonna be close but that Fox number was bs
251
ignoreme
2020 Nov 3, 4:44pm
They called VA for Biden even though Trump is winning. I thought we had to count every vote?
252
mell
2020 Nov 3, 4:45pm
ignoreme says
They do "projections". But he wasn't slated to win this anyways. Still could be too early to call
They called VA for Biden even though Trump is winning. I thought we had to count every vote?
They do "projections". But he wasn't slated to win this anyways. Still could be too early to call
253
Eric Holder
2020 Nov 3, 4:46pm
Eric Holder
2020 Nov 3, 4:46pm
ignoreme says
Who are "they"? If you mean Fox, the call is just projection. They might be right the might be wrong.
They called VA for Biden even though Trump is winning. I thought we had to count every vote?
Who are "they"? If you mean Fox, the call is just projection. They might be right the might be wrong.
254
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 4:46pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 4:46pm
Remember Hillary and Trump went back and forth in Florida for a while last time, it wasn't until about 88%-90% when Trump finally got a clear lead there.
Much more turnout this time, and there's a massive front-load of Dem Votes from VBM that were counted yesterday and dumped in today, so it'll take a while to finalize the county in-person today and report it in.
Also, Bannon said he was in Ohio for trump in 2016, and they thought they had lost from the Exit Polls, but the Rural support was so massive, they ended up carrying the state, something their models didn't expect.
Much more turnout this time, and there's a massive front-load of Dem Votes from VBM that were counted yesterday and dumped in today, so it'll take a while to finalize the county in-person today and report it in.
Also, Bannon said he was in Ohio for trump in 2016, and they thought they had lost from the Exit Polls, but the Rural support was so massive, they ended up carrying the state, something their models didn't expect.
255
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 4:48pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 4:48pm
Also Fuck Fox and Georgia, there's almost no reporting in, most counties haven't reported jack shit.
256
Eric Holder
2020 Nov 3, 4:51pm
Eric Holder
2020 Nov 3, 4:51pm
NoCoupForYou says
Fox has just flipped GA from blue to pink. But I agree, it's all mental masturbation this early in the game.
Also Fuck Fox and Georgia, there's almost no reporting in, most counties haven't reported jack shit.
Fox has just flipped GA from blue to pink. But I agree, it's all mental masturbation this early in the game.
257
mell
2020 Nov 3, 4:52pm
Trump has comfortable lead in GA. This will be decided in MI WI PA NC AZ and NV.
262
Maga_Chaos_Monkey
2020 Nov 3, 5:05pm
Maga_Chaos_Monkey
2020 Nov 3, 5:05pm
AP has Trump winning the popular vote so far:
Joe Biden
Democratic Party
85
49.3%
8,769,300
Donald Trump
Republican Party
55
49.6%
8,833,227
Joe Biden
Democratic Party
85
49.3%
8,769,300
Donald Trump
Republican Party
55
49.6%
8,833,227
263
Booger
2020 Nov 3, 5:07pm
Booger
2020 Nov 3, 5:07pm
AP calling states based on early voting, exit polls, and previous voting patterns.
264
FuckTheMainstreamMedia
2020 Nov 3, 5:11pm
FuckTheMainstreamMedia
2020 Nov 3, 5:11pm
ignoreme says
Florida is Trumps. He has a 65000 vote lead and nothing has come in from the panhandle.
Trump is leading in FL again according to Fox!
Florida is Trumps. He has a 65000 vote lead and nothing has come in from the panhandle.
265
WookieMan
2020 Nov 3, 5:11pm
WookieMan
2020 Nov 3, 5:11pm
ignoreme says
Polls just closed 10 minutes ago. Not saying IL goes to Trump, but it we be telling if the vote is under 10 points. Biden is fucked if that's the case. If it's within 2-5 it's going to be the blood bath I thought.
IL called for Biden. Sorry wookie
Polls just closed 10 minutes ago. Not saying IL goes to Trump, but it we be telling if the vote is under 10 points. Biden is fucked if that's the case. If it's within 2-5 it's going to be the blood bath I thought.
266
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 5:12pm
MisdemeanorRebel
2020 Nov 3, 5:12pm
FLORIDA is for Trump, it's over.
Any and all Biden strongholds are in, that's it.
Any and all Biden strongholds are in, that's it.
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