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Will Russia invade Ukraine?


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2022 Feb 18, 12:20pm   17,536 views  371 comments

by Bd6r   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

Poll

Yes
No
Other answer

My take: Yes

see https://nitter.pussthecat.org/newkc14?source=patrick.net

Evacuation of civilians from Doneck, Gleiwitz-style explosions in Doneck, and a lot of shelling along border.

Less probable is that they just want to increase tensions to get something out of the West (higher oil/gas prices, promises about non-expansion of NATO, etc).

If they do invade, ZH and a lot of skeptics owe Bidet & Co an apology of sorts. Everything goes to crap if invasion happens, as in economy of the world, residual civil liberties, etc, and one can blame Russians for inflation, loss of life quality, etc, instead of real culprit Bidet.

If I'd be conspiratorial, I'd say that Bidet agents in Russia will push for Russian invasion, but on other hand current CIA and military here can only shout pronouns at enemies as seen from Afghanistan debacle.

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288   Eric Holder   2022 Mar 4, 7:58am  

RC2006 says
Before you start throwing around IQ take a hard look at US leaders.
'

Even them are looking like fucking geniuses compared to Putler now.
291   Bd6r   2022 Mar 4, 11:47am  

My Exxon stock and value of mineral rights under farm are skyrocketing right now.
The only disadvantage of high gas prices is more Californians moving to Texas.

zzyzzx says
292   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2022 Mar 4, 12:34pm  

They said Trump will start WW3. Wtf is this shit today?
293   AmericanKulak   2022 Mar 4, 12:36pm  

I love how the pro-Ukrops Media shifts from "Lookit this totally RedDawn'd Russian Force" to "ZOMG the advancing Russians completely flattened another city".

If the Russians are all stalled and stuck, how are they capturing and destroying entire Ukrainian cities, each one another step from the Border?
294   FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut   2022 Mar 4, 12:38pm  

AmericanKulak says
I love how the pro-Ukrops Media shifts from "Lookit this totally RedDawn'd Russian Force" to "ZOMG the advancing Russians completely flattened another city".

If the Russians are all stalled and stuck, how are they capturing and destroying entire Ukrainian cities, each one another step from the Border?


It's probably this. JP Sears made a funny video about it. https://youtu.be/q1W5o3Xz5OI?source=patrick.net
295   AmericanKulak   2022 Mar 4, 3:34pm  

The same Obama Hold Overs in charge of 2014 Coup, are the same ones that Banned HCQ/Invermectin, Instituted Lockdowns, Raised Bail and refused to Prosecute BLM/Antifa Rioters, Stole OUR Election, Removed all the Trump Era Restrictions on Nordstream2, Removed Trump's Insulin and Chronic Disease Med Price Controls, Made us "Re-Dependent" on Foreign Oil, and made COVID disappear when the Polls turned against them...

But some how, magically, THEY ARE RIGHT ABOUT UKRAINE.

Wake up!
296   Bd6r   2022 Mar 4, 5:54pm  

Babchenko link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8U4F9KB1fLo&source=patrick.net (sorry for craptube).

Generals are fighting previous wars and making same mistakes they did last time. For Russians, they are fighting the Chechen war and what happens now reminds first months in Checnhya. Just like there, they thought that Ukr population will greet them with flowers and Ukr State will fall apart. Did not happen, and the Russian attack is (partially) stopped. What Russians will do next, is to bomb cities like they did in Chechnya and try to occupy them. Problem for them is that this does not scale. Kharkov is 10x Grozny and has more people in it than whole Chechnya. Ukraine is much larger than Chechnya and Ukrainians have AA weapons. In Syria, Russians run out of modern rockets in 2 months. Will happen faster in Ukraine. Taking cities in face of determined resistance is really difficult, and thus most Ukr cities are not yet taken. Putin does not know how to retreat so he will keep throwing whatever he has. Even if he is thrown out of Ukraine, he will come back (like this happened in Chechnya). A "Court coup" is possible since generals and rich people dont like war.

Igor Strelkov link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SqjCPelQ_w8&source=patrick.net

Interestingly, his youtube channel still exists: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqrrRkSYBTv1hhgmDyzZG_A?source=patrick.net

This is also a military man and intelligence man (Babchenko is a former one), but politics are 180 deg from those of Babchenko. He was first defense minister for Doneck Republic. I think it is worth listening to opposite sides so we can make up our minds. He also gave this interview BEFORE attack and reasonably precisely described what occurred.

Russia would have defeated Ukraine in 2014 in 2 days if they would have actually attacked as Ukr army had only a few battalions of Nazis who were willing to fight. After 2017 it could not have worked - Ukr army is trained now. Russian economy is in much worse state than in 2014, and most Russians will not support Putin (different from 2014 when they had consensus and supported him because of Crimea annexation). Now, war will result in huge crisis of Russian State system which was created during Eltsin and Putin times, and may result in either masked capitulation of Russian state or a coup. War in Ukraine is carried out incompetently. We can defeat Ukr army - but what next? How do we govern after defeating? There will be rebels in Ukraine, who will fight them? This fight will need 5 times more troops than defeating Ukrainian army. Americans like this war because it will cause rebellions in Russia. Economically Russians have not prepared correctly. They did not make a separate economic payment system, their own industry, but Putin govt is a mafioso group who cares about personal enrichment only. They care only about PR and their own money. Americans will come in if Russian military structures will start falling apart.

He talked right before attack, and said that this will not be a quick war. He also predicted attack from Belorus. Overall, Russians are not ready, and it will be a disaster because of poor planning.
297   Bd6r   2022 Mar 4, 5:57pm  

AmericanKulak says
THEY ARE RIGHT ABOUT UKRAINE.

I think all of us here can agree that TRUMP WAS RIGHT. There was no war on his watch.
298   AmericanKulak   2022 Mar 4, 6:01pm  

I don't know: "We red dawn'd the Russians just inside the border, Lookit this unprovenced short films that prove it. Nevermind our proven BS about Snake Island, the Nuclear Reactor, and the Ghost of Kiev Super Special Fighter Ace"

and

"Help, No Fly Zone! Russians take and flatten another city further down the road from the last one"

Can't be simultaneously true.

Just like 1 in 3 Africans can't have AIDS while African population is exploding.

I don't have any raw footage... I'd like to see a Movement to Contact Russian-Ukrainian engagement. Even if the Ukies are outnumbered, you can tell by the speed and damage and the ability to jet back and set up another ambush down the road OR see how fast the Russians attack the ambush to see how well trained either side is. Instead I see some burning husks that don't mean shit because both sides are using mostly the same equipment.
299   Reality   2022 Mar 4, 6:10pm  

AmericanKulak says
The same Obama Hold Overs in charge of 2014 Coup, are the same ones that Banned HCQ/Invermectin, Instituted Lockdowns, Raised Bail and refused to Prosecute BLM/Antifa Rioters, Stole OUR Election, Removed all the Trump Era Restrictions on Nordstream2, Removed Trump's Insulin and Chronic Disease Med Price Controls, Made us "Re-Dependent" on Foreign Oil, and made COVID disappear when the Polls turned against them...

But some how, magically, THEY ARE RIGHT ABOUT UKRAINE.

Wake up!


Very good point! The only consistent result (and therefore intended consequences) of policies from this gang (of bankster agents) seems to be maximizing killing of civilians in all European and North America nations. The banning of HCQ/Ivermectin and lockdowns were obviously carried out for that purpose. The lifting of restriction on Nortdstream2 was to get the Germans (giving Merkle the excuse) to shutdown their nuclear power plants, making them dependent on Russian gas for heating, then suddenly escalating the shelling of civilians and provoking Russians into one of their classic grandiose "deep operation" counter-attacks (similar to German Bervegonskrieg but on a much larger scale while paying even less attention to logistics than the Gemans did; e.g. Battles of Brody and Stalingrand counter-offensives, ironically having taken place near the two ends of today's Ukraine), thereby killing Ukrainians and Russians by war and killing Germans by freezing.
301   AmericanKulak   2022 Mar 4, 6:12pm  

I also can't trust the Western Press to do interviews with Ukrainians and get the nay sayers or the "Fuckitall" types --- just the "We'll fight to the last man!" types.

Looking at the refugee stream, alot of Ukrainians are like "Here's my chance to get out of this hell hole"

IF Ukraine stays independent, expect the Euros who let MENA economic migrants from Eritrea stay indefinitely, set a time for Ukrainians to return to Ukraine.
302   mostly reader   2022 Mar 4, 7:51pm  

Bd6r says
Babchenko link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8U4F9KB1fLo&source=patrick.net (sorry for craptube).

...
Bd6r says
Igor Strelkov link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SqjCPelQ_w8&source=patrick.net

Thanks, good info.

One thing I'd add about Strelkov. It seems that he has a chip on his shoulder, because of his current status. He said things before which imply he's unhappy and not getting the recognition that he thinks he deserves. The "only if he was still calling the shots, we'd be so much better off!" kinda things. It doesn't make his point invalid, but it may show bias.

By the way, in case someone doesn't know what it means to have been "the first defense minister for Doneck Republic". It was his regiment that crossed over from Russia and started the process which turned that entire region into the hellhole in 2014.
303   Bd6r   2022 Mar 4, 8:50pm  

that's typical NAZI! behavior. Or is it GLOBOHOMO?
Booger says
304   Bd6r   2022 Mar 4, 8:54pm  

AmericanKulak says
"We red dawn'd the Russians just inside the border, Lookit this unprovenced short films that prove it. Nevermind our proven BS about Snake Island, the Nuclear Reactor, and the Ghost of Kiev Super Special Fighter Ace"

and

"Help, No Fly Zone! Russians take and flatten another city further down the road from the last one"

Can't be simultaneously true.

Fog of War (c)
both sides will lie whenever it is to their benefit.
305   AmericanKulak   2022 Mar 4, 11:27pm  

Wow, look at this guy and this guy, these anonymous anybodies who nobody has heard of, fighting so hard!

Meanwhile, Media downplays this:
306   richwicks   2022 Mar 4, 11:35pm  

Bd6r says
RC2006 says
Before you start throwing around IQ take a hard look at US leaders.

We did have Trump for a while.


Right, the moron president who was the first president in 4 decades that couldn't figure out how to start a new stupid fucking war.

That's the stupidity I want.
307   Bd6r   2022 Mar 5, 4:18am  

richwicks says
That's the stupidity I want.

My point was that Trump was not stupid.
308   Bd6r   2022 Mar 5, 1:56pm  

Putin has supposedly asked for a truce via Israel

https://nitter.pussthecat.org/newkc14/status/1500227909147111432?source=patrick.net#m

Not sure of course, but this source is usually reliable.
310   ChauvinsKnee   2022 Mar 5, 4:37pm  

Bd6r says
Putin has supposedly asked for a truce via Israel

https://nitter.pussthecat.org/newkc14/status/1500227909147111432?source=patrick.net#m

Not sure of course, but this source is usually reliable.


Russians always ask for truce when they need to regroup and resupply. Since logistics seems to be their Achilles heel, I'd not fall for it in Ukies place.
312   Booger   2022 Mar 5, 5:03pm  

Bd6r says
Putin has supposedly asked for a truce via Israel


Yeah, he is either losing, or trying to quit while he is still ahead.
314   Bd6r   2022 Mar 5, 6:03pm  

ChauvinsKnee says
Russians always ask for truce when they need to regroup and resupply. Since logistics seems to be their Achilles heel, I'd not fall for it in Ukies place.

Agreed, same behavior as in Chechnia
315   fdhfoiehfeoi   2022 Mar 5, 6:14pm  

This is really sad how easily people are led around by the nose from one propaganda campaign to the next. Same liars telling lies you'd like to believe, and now you're all onboard. Anyone can see through propaganda not aimed at them, it's the stuff that agrees with your world view that shows whether you're capable of independent thought or not. You didn't fall for the scamdemic, but you've fallen for Afghanistan 2.0. Covidian or Ukrainite, doesn't matter, you're all the same.
316   Bd6r   2022 Mar 5, 7:40pm  

Damned foreigner comes with sword to East European village, he will die by the sword. No propaganda and deep ideological convictions needed. P. S. When was last time when Patnet Ukraine specialists were in Ukraine? How many of Patnet armchair Ukraine/Russia specialists can at leadt understand if not fluently speak Russian and Ukrainian? And if they cant, who is the victim of propaganda and not understanding of what the hell goes on there?
317   Bitcoin   2022 Mar 5, 7:53pm  

Set up a mercenary fund and accept crypto as a form of payment. Send an army of mercenaries to Ukraine and pay out rewards for any head of Russian soldiers.
318   mell   2022 Mar 5, 8:26pm  

Bd6r says
ChauvinsKnee says
Russians always ask for truce when they need to regroup and resupply. Since logistics seems to be their Achilles heel, I'd not fall for it in Ukies place.

Agreed, same behavior as in Chechnia


This is all good and welcome news if true.

Bd6r says
Damned foreigner comes with sword to East European village, he will die by the sword. No propaganda and deep ideological convictions needed. P. S. When was last time when Patnet Ukraine specialists were in Ukraine? How many of Patnet armchair Ukraine/Russia specialists can at leadt understand if not fluently speak Russian and Ukrainian? And if they cant, who is the victim of propaganda and not understanding of what the hell goes on there?


I doubt 2 narratives. 1 is that every Ukranian wants to die for the Zelinsky govt and 2 is that the amount of pro Russian people in the Ukraine is ultra low. This is from personal experience, yet anecdotal. That's also why I think talks are a good thing rather than pushing putler into a corner. It's unnecessary to escalate this at this point, sanctions are biting as well.
319   FortWayneAsNancyPelosiHaircut   2022 Mar 5, 9:14pm  

Bd6r says
that's typical NAZI! behavior. Or is it GLOBOHOMO?
Booger says


fake made up news.
320   Bd6r   2022 Mar 6, 5:29am  

mell says
doubt 2 narratives. 1 is that every Ukranian wants to die for the Zelinsky govt and 2 is that the amount of pro Russian people in the Ukraine is ultra low.

You are right to doubt these as they are not true. Even if you replace Ze govt with Ukraine which is more precise, it will nit be true. However, even in US not everyone will be ready to die for Bidet administration/US if for example Chinese invade.
322   gabbar   2022 Mar 6, 9:16am  

Henry Kissinger was exactly correct. Building healthy respectful relationships should be the goal of America, vs. encouraging friction and the threat of war. Are people really so eager to give their lives and the lives of their loved ones to make a point that America is right and other countries are wrong regarding how they govern within their borders. America is far from perfect. The audacity of the US to be constantly criticizing how other countries lead within their borders is ludicrous. We are far from perfect and if anyone has noticed lately, America is a very divided country, with huge disparities in standard of living, a poor health care system with rampant overpricing, one of the lower life expectancy rates of developed countries, high infant mortality, a government run by special interest groups, and lobbyists employed by corporations that continue to rob the American people of a healthy and upwardly mobile standard of living, with the highest cost of health care of any country. We in America are used to these things, but when judged by someone outside of America, they would rightly be viewed as major problems for the American people with a government that doesn't care about the welfare of most of its citizens. In spite of these injustices within our borders, no other country has the righteous attitude that they should dictate how America is run. Should China or Russia comment on our racial injustices, gun violence, immigration debacles, or other American internal issues? America needs to get a grip, and stop criticizing foreign countries unless they are a threat to America or American allies.
There can be great benefit in countries being economically engaged with one another. Consider a time when we (Russia, China, America, Europe, and other nations) are all benefitting from one another economically and each country is enriched through these interconnections. Would any of those countries want to hurt the other? No they would not because they would then be hurting themselves. That is the way to have peace in the world. Everyone benefits from each other, and it's in everyone's best interest to continue to prosper and grow. That's it. Unfortunately America would rather continue with their holier-than-thou, judgmental behavior, rather than establishing respectful relationships that work together and build alliances that help one another grow, thrive and coexist in strength and unity.
323   fdhfoiehfeoi   2022 Mar 6, 5:01pm  

Bd6r says
Damned foreigner comes with sword to East European village, he will die by the sword. No propaganda and deep ideological convictions needed.


So what about the CIA in 2014? What about their specially trained Nazi battalion in Donbas 2014-2022? Just wondering if your statement applies in all situations, or just the ones you're told to care about?

I supported the Maiden shit when it first happened. Remember watching it live, and there was some guy spouting Nazi shit in the live comments. Didn't make sense to me at the time, but learned the truth a few years later. I'm not afraid to admit when I've fallen for propaganda because I'm just on the side of truth. And it's a lonely fucking side to be on, because most people's political affiliations require them to compromise truth.
325   Bd6r   2022 Mar 6, 6:01pm  

NuttBoxer says
So what about the CIA in 2014? What about their specially trained Nazi battalion in Donbas 2014-2022?

What does that have to do with villager attitude towards Russians who are coming into their villages?
Also, you may want to check on Vagner paramilitaries on Russian side, who, as far as I know are just as Nazi as Azov battalion. Were they trained by CIA as well? Have you listened to Igor Strelkov, who is GRU and started war in Donbas on Russian side, and was 1st defense minister of Donbas republic? Would you consider him a nazi, and if yes, was he paid off/trained by CIA?
326   fdhfoiehfeoi   2022 Mar 6, 7:07pm  

Bd6r says
What does that have to do with villager attitude towards Russians who are coming into their villages?


The same thing it has to do with Donbas villagers attitudes for the past eight years when Nazi militias are attacking them.

If there are Nazi's fighting for Russia that would be unusual given the history of WWII, but as I haven't read about it, I won't say it's outside the realm of possibility, just unlikely.

Your comments bring up a good contrast. We may have extremists fighting on both sides. But if that was the case, they would not both be CIA. CIA is a Western globalist organization, KGB is probably the closest they have to a Eastern counterpart. If you see similarities between the two sides, that's not coincidence. At least as far back as WWII there have been two distinct approaches to what they call the New World Order. But just as in Orwell's fiction, it matters not what side you claim to be on, because in the end, it's all Big Brother.

And this is my point. If you are only against Russia, in reality you support Russia more than I do. Because you are still supporting one side of the NWO, and I'm against both sides.

I have no problem lambasting both sides, because I'm not a globalist. What about you?
327   Bd6r   2022 Mar 6, 7:12pm  

NuttBoxer says
What about you?

I dont like wars, no matter where they are started. But I think the main fault lies with party starting the war. For example, US is at fault for starting Iraq, Afghanistan, etc wars, no matter what the rationalization. Russia is at fault for starting war in Ukraine, Georgia, Chechnia, etc.

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