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I'm most certain I would have been one of those naysayers telling you that you were crazy for buying in a crumbling ceiling market, where the roof was about to fall in.
Glad you didn't listen to me, even a broken clock is wrong 23 hours a day.
I would not recommend that for a single individual tight on cash who cold get wiped out by a few mishaps or a sudden downturn / unexpected issues.
Just bad timing I guess, but it has worked out with real estate fortunately.
@Eman
I never understood why a bank would allow pulling equity out to use as a down-payment on more RE. 1. They lose equity collateral and 2. You're adding even more debt that you, personally, could not cover. You're reliant on other people covering the debt payments.
Do you still stay in touch with Iwog? I'm curious how he's doing.
20% DP… 5x lever
3.75% DP… 27x lever
Must factor in the length of lever when comparing RE to SP500
porkchopexpress says
Do you still stay in touch with Iwog? I'm curious how he's doing.
I don't know ducky personally, so I can't speak to specifics; however, this summer he sold his primary residence for half a million dollars over asking. I'd say he's doing all right. Bear in mind this is the residence that was used to seed his rental empire. The fact that he exited at this time is telling (though, who knows, it could have been dictated by personal circumstances). Last I checked, none of his rentals had been sold.
There are successes and there are failures. I have encountered quite a few 'leverage' victims, including real estate agents, over the years using RE. I have known a lot of guys going bankrupt. There were a few real estate magnates with multiple homes in my hoods who bought with liar loans before 2008, and they collapsed with the downturn.
There is kind of a 'go for broke' gambling thing with lot of men, that results in a lot of investment casualties with just a few stochastic 'winners'. They say that AI now performs over 98 percent of all investment decisions and directions, and they collect huge data dumps and process them in tiny fractions of a second. Don't want to be on the down side of that kind of juggernaut, especially since even the residual 2 percent of the markets are rigged and only insiders can ride the investment tides. I still remember all of those real estate empire books from the 80's and 90's, smug authors , many went bankrupt due to tax changes...
It's not dumb luck to buy mutual funds; they are the essence of investing.
It's smart to understand that they are a great way to grow capital.
I have passed up real estate opportunities because I dislike renters and the details of maintenance etc.
Eman says
As some Patnet old timers know, I started my real estate investing journey in 2009, a year after iwog did. We accumulated about the same number of rentals by 2012-2013, about 10-11. Iwog seemed satisfied with that while I kept scaling up.
Now, my biz partner and I own just shy of 100 units here in San Jose. A couple buildings are co-owned with investors….mainly immediate friends and family. My share of ownership is 40% with about 45% LTV.
To put things in perspective on how wealth is built, Bay Area real estate tends to double in value every 15 years. If history is any guidance, a $40M real estate portfolio should appreciate $40M in the next 15 years, not including principal pay down, cash flow and rent growth over these years. If nothing more is done other than just maintain the assets, they should worth $160M, free and clear, in 30 years.
As a former engineer, when I analyzed Bay Area re...
You’re entitled to your opinion. I really don’t mind being called names. I’m very comfortable with myself.
If making money is easy, I’m sure you’re working for yourself and making a bunch of money. You’re not working for someone else.
With respect to building wealth, all I know is that if I kicked the can tomorrow, my wife and the next generation are taken care of financially. Could you say that about yourself, or would you say it’s effing none of my business once I’m dead? They’re on their own?
I see you’re speculating that this entire Bay Area is the next Detroit. I’m sure a lot of VC’s and tech companies would disagree with your speculation. Time will tell. I’m not smart enough to know.
I'm thinking of buying another house just as a hedge against currency collapse, not necessarily for Caligulan profits I can lust over, just to preserve an asset class with real stuff rather than fiat. I'll be watching things as the market wheels into winter, and maybe a few more rate hikes.
I can already see some cooling in Santa Cruz with many cited price reductions. It looks like inventory is creeping up from zilch. I suppose there might be a flood when investors start cashing out before the fiat music really ends.
how do you determine if rental is worth buying, and more how do you get more money for next rental? equity cash out as down payment?
There is a big difference if you have deep pockets to begin with, either your own, or trustworthy family and friends etc. With lots of money this is much easier, I would not recommend that for a single individual tight on cash who could get wiped out by a few mishaps or a sudden downturn / unexpected issues. IMO you need to have millions to start such a venture, otherwise stick with stocks. Likewise if you're just a participating investor, you can start with less but you will make less, and the people you invest with should be trustworthy. But if you can pull it off it's likely very rewarding as presented here. Same for starting a hedge fund, once you have enough critical mass you make out nicely just with management fees. Getting there is the hard part.
mell says
I would not recommend that for a single individual tight on cash who cold get wiped out by a few mishaps or a sudden downturn / unexpected issues.
Yes, everybody's a genius when markets are on the rise even the small investors.
@Eman congrats on having the chutzpah to see an opportunity and take it. As you may recall I bought my house (NOT an investment, just a place to live) as a foreclosure for what I thought was a fair price. Looking back it was a steal.
But I've never gotten beyond that. As much as I've looked at investment properties off and on over the years, the initial cost to get in has always been too rich for my blood. Mantanice cost, managing tenants, etc. are also a headache. I suppose once you have ammased enough properties that you can out source that to a management company and simply write it off as the cost of doing buisness, but as a one-off to get started, nothing in my market was cash flow neutral (let alone positive) out of the starting gate - even if I did most of the grunt work myself. Anything that was was a teardown.
I'm glad you did well but here in the East coast there remains a lot of overpriced crap. It's housing bubble 2.0, but things have finally...
Paycheck is the most addictive drug out there.
Hi ECBB,
I remember you bought your house for $300k…ish. You’re a patient and reasonable guy. I’m glad it’s worked out for you and your family.
If you have or expect to acquire generational wealth, give an enormous amount of thought to who and how you want to disperse that wealth
GNL says
If you have or expect to acquire generational wealth, give an enormous amount of thought to who and how you want to disperse that wealth
Distant relatives in Poland.
Booger says
GNL says
If you have or expect to acquire generational wealth, give an enormous amount of thought to who and how you want to disperse that wealth
Distant relatives in Poland.
Aren't they all Nazis?
GNL makes a good point.
About a day after my father died my older brother reminded me not to forget to name his son and daughter as beneficiaries of my accounts (I have no children).
I didn’t like his comment.
My girlfriend is the beneficiary of a few of my accounts.
I’m going to have several, maybe make multiple people 10% beneficiaries.
I’m curious who will prepare my tax return after I die; I prepared my father’s final tax return.
Presently I am annoyed by the sloth, greed, and envy I have noticed among some females.
They won’t be rewarded.
clambo says
GNL makes a good point.
About a day after my father died my older brother reminded me not to forget to name his son and daughter as beneficiaries of my accounts (I have no children).
I didn’t like his comment.
My girlfriend is the beneficiary of a few of my accounts.
I’m going to have several, maybe make multiple people 10% beneficiaries.
I’m curious who will prepare my tax return after I die; I prepared my father’s final tax return.
Presently I am annoyed by the sloth, greed, and envy I have noticed among some females.
They won’t be rewarded.
Wealth that is not labored for is squandered. It also makes most people useless slugs and worse. I have a strong distaste for most wealthy people that I have ever met that did not earn their wealth. All I'm saying is, there is more than 1 way to ruin your children. Giving them too much money is one of them.
Wealth that is not labored for is squandered. It also makes most people useless slugs and worse. I have a strong distaste for most wealthy people that I have ever met that did not earn their wealth. All I'm saying is, there is more than 1 way to ruin your children. Giving them too much money is one of them.
this young guy i know, sad story. inherited dads wealth, a lot of it. gets 300k a year distribution. doesn’t do a damn thing, just squanders it away, no work, all play. nice guy, but has no goals in life.
@Eman,
I know you're not asking for any advice but, I'll give you some anyway.
If you have or expect to acquire generational wealth, give an enormous amount of thought to who and how you want to disperse that wealth. I have a son inlaw who's grandfather built quite a real estate portfolio. I would give you their website but I don't think that would be wise of me. The family owned REIT has about 7,000 rental units, hotels and 1,000,000 square feet of commercial space. My son inlaw has a trust fund. He is a self absorbed idiot.
GNL makes a good point.
About a day after my father died my older brother reminded me not to forget to name his son and daughter as beneficiaries of my accounts (I have no children).
I didn’t like his comment.
My girlfriend is the beneficiary of a few of my accounts.
I’m going to have several, maybe make multiple people 10% beneficiaries.
I’m curious who will prepare my tax return after I die; I prepared my father’s final tax return.
Presently I am annoyed by the sloth, greed, and envy I have noticed among some females.
They won’t be rewarded.
There are winners and losers among us. Not all trust fund babies are lazy and couch surfers. Some are smart and self-driven while others just want to coast through life. That’s what makes us a society. Money will transfer from the lazy to the productive. Time will be sure it happens.
Eman you mentioned some stuff about loan advice from federal reserve friend. Can you share any of that advice please? Like loan terms, types? Im looking at commercial land and properties lately too, just not in CA.
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Now, my biz partner and I own just shy of 100 units here in San Jose. A couple buildings are co-owned with investors….mainly immediate friends and family. My share of ownership is 40% with about 45% LTV.
To put things in perspective on how wealth is built, Bay Area real estate tends to double in value every 15 years. If history is any guidance, a $40M real estate portfolio should appreciate $40M in the next 15 years, not including principal pay down, cash flow and rent growth over these years. If nothing more is done other than just maintain the assets, they should worth $160M, free and clear, in 30 years.
As a former engineer, when I analyzed Bay Area real estate back in 2009, I realized it was an opportunity once in a lifetime so I quit my W2 and gave it a try. I cashed out my IRA over 4 years, 2009-2012, paid the penalty, used the proceeds and bought whatever real estate I could get my hands on at a discount. I used the BRRRR approach to acquire more properties during these years. Fortunately, it has worked out.
Looking back, I’m so happy I took the plunge. If anyone saw a potential opportunity in their life, I’d say go for it. We only live once. If you don’t make it, you’ll be wiser. If you made it, you’d be glad you did so would your spouse and future generation(s).
Best of luck and cheers!