patrick.net

Strange. All the homes in my hood are flying off the lot at asking and above, even the very expensive ones. Flight from urban to suburban?
zzyzzx says

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

https://wolfstreet.com/2024/05/05/the-reasons-feds-bowman-is-willing-to-hike-rates-if-incoming-data-indicate-that-progress-on-inflation-has-stalled-or-reversed/

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/80-of-americans-think-its-a-bad-time-to-buy-a-house-190058819.html

80% of Americans think it's a bad time to buy a house

it’s expensive even here in red state. most people who buy are coming with equity from their big city sale.

Ceffer says

Strange. All the homes in my hood are flying off the lot at asking and above

Here also, in San Jose.

One in my neighborhood had a "sold" sign one week after the "for sale" sign was put up.

According to Zillow these places have about a 100% ownership premium over renting.

There seems to be an air of desperation to secure a purchased residence around here for the privilege to pay double what it'd cost to rent, with a locked in super high property tax bill. Reminds me of patrick.net folks surferex back in the day, and BayArea nowadays.

zzyzzx says

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/80-of-americans-think-its-a-bad-time-to-buy-a-house-190058819.html

80% of Americans think it's a bad time to buy a house

Unless you are to purchase now and then rates go down by a lot in the next few years, that is.

B.A.C.A.H. says

Ceffer says

Strange. All the homes in my hood are flying off the lot at asking and above

Here also, in San Jose.

One in my neighborhood had a "sold" sign one week after the "for sale" sign was put up.

According to Zillow these places have about a 100% ownership premium over renting.

There seems to be an air of desperation to secure a purchased residence around here for the privilege to pay double what it'd cost to rent, with a locked in super high property tax bill. Reminds me of patrick.net folks surferex back in the day, and BayArea nowadays.

I think this will continue. More and more people will have to settle as renters for life and owners will see massive tax increases over ownership lifetime.

GNL says

owners will see massive tax increases over ownership lifetime.

1978 Prop 13 Ponzi scheme limits the tax as it ties in with purchase price and forces owners to lock in the property to make supply thin and skyrocketing RE prices for people with deep pockets. In recent weeks, I heard from a ex-coworker who he knows 2 guys bought shacks, first one worth 4mil, the other guy, his neighbor for few mils as an upgrade and moves out from his current south SJ home! Both work for Nvidia. For some of these guys based on stock run up, buying any house is just a peanut as their options worth double digits mls (I think, I know few!)

B.A.C.A.H. says

Here also, in San Jose.

One in my neighborhood had a "sold" sign one week after the "for sale" sign was put up.

According to Zillow these places have about a 100% ownership premium over renting.

There seems to be an air of desperation to secure a purchased residence around here for the privilege to pay double what it'd cost to rent, with a locked in super high property tax bill. Reminds me of patrick.net folks surferex back in the day, and BayArea nowadays.

Corporate purchases?

Or investors trying to tie up hard assets in real estate before the real currency plunge.

Big Short 2.0

$1 trillion to $2 trillion to be injected into housing by August via GSE Home Equity financing. Election Year!

Inflationary? Not until after the election, of course.

Also, only about 15% of home loans are originated by private lenders today. If Freddie & Fannie were shut down today, the entire mortgage industry would disappear.

https://youtu.be/14l35U0oar0?si=PmkPRY5E8AwH3k--

How will these trillions be injected into housing?

GNL says

How will these trillions be injected into housing?

The fed prints money, they loan this .oney at huge discounts to banks, blackrock is a bank, they will borrow this money, they will by the homes.

This is why deficits matter. The more our government prints the more enslaved our nation is

richwicks says

GNL says

How will these trillions be injected into housing?

The fed prints money, they loan this .oney at huge discounts to banks, blackrock is a bank, they will borrow this money, they will by the homes.

This is why deficits matter. The more our government prints the more enslaved our nation is

I get the printing part but, you’re saying that Blackrock will be given the money to purchase 1-2 trillion dollars worth of homes?

As I understand it, Freddiemac is being given the go ahead to finance 2nd mortgages and home equity loans as a way to get people to spend their equity.

GNL says

I get the printing part but, you’re saying that Blackrock will be given the money to purchase 1-2 trillion dollars worth of homes?

I'm saying that the Uas going into debt is being offset by purpose shoving up home prices. This will make us a nation of slaves.

GNL says

As I understand it, Freddiemac is being given the go ahead to finance 2nd mortgages and home equity loans as a way to get people to spend their equity.

Where does Freddiemac get the funds to do that?

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

GSE Home Equity financing.

What part of that did you all miss?

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

$1 trillion to $2 trillion to be injected into housing by August via GSE Home Equity financing

I missed the part where Freddiemac gets the money to buy mortgages. You cannot do "GSE Home Equity financing" unless you have the money on hand to pay out.

HeadSet says

GNL says

As I understand it, Freddiemac is being given the go ahead to finance 2nd mortgages and home equity loans as a way to get people to spend their equity.

Where does Freddiemac get the funds to do that?

FJB?

HeadSet says

You cannot do "GSE Home Equity financing" unless you have the money on hand to pay out.

They have it. Or can easily raise it.

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

Or can easily raise it.

Raise it how?

HeadSet says

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

Or can easily raise it.

Raise it how?

How do they normally raise funding? They have collectively, ~$5 trillion in assets on their books already. Where did they raise the funding to get to that?

They are GSEs.

There's a huge reset coming to the Car Market as well.

It illustrates why there's no Fed Money Printing their way out of this.

Should have saved the video, but there's a used car dealer who buys at auction, showing a 2021 Tundra with 73k miles going for $72k ,,, "That's almost a dollar a mile!"

There are numerous examples of used cars (30k mi+) going for about as much as the new ones, but once you factor in there are no interest rate teasers for the used cars but there are dealer incentives and special rates for the new ones, it's MORE expensive to buy the used car with the 30k miles than the new model.

The cheapest at the auction is one of those thumbdrive sized cars with 2 seats and 40k miles, going for $9,900.

Same shit in the car market as in the used house market. The new construction is often cheaper than the used due to incentives homeloaners can't offer buyers but the builders/manufacturers can.

The car market is rapidly deteriorating and for the first time, $1000/month payments are now common. Problem is, people soon realize they can't afford that and are returning the vehicles... and the dealership can't move them since the trade-ins and the unsold are already a problem with not moving.

The correction is coming.

AmericanKulak says

Problem is, people soon realize they can't afford that and are returning the vehicles...

Are cars returnable to dealership? How does one do this, just drop off the car at the dealership where the buyer purchased it from?

You are correct. Car market should either normalize or possibly go down in the next 3 to 6 months. I am actively in the market for a new or used vehicle.

gabbar says

I am actively in the market for a new or used vehicle.

Same. I just can't bring myself to buy right now when the prices of vehicles are the same as down payments I made on rental houses 11-14 years ago.

just_passing_through says

gabbar says

I am actively in the market for a new or used vehicle.

Same. I just can't bring myself to buy right now when the prices of vehicles are the same as down payments I made on rental houses 11-14 years ago.

Can recommend the VW Tiguan. Half the price of a pimped up highlander, 80% of the space. Interior well done

just_passing_through says

gabbar says

I am actively in the market for a new or used vehicle.

Same. I just can't bring myself to buy right now when the prices of vehicles are the same as down payments I made on rental houses 11-14 years ago.

Lease or get the weight write off. I'll probably lease next. I'm under 12k miles per year now. Used to be 35k. A to B for me, so I really don't give a shit as long as it works or I can write more off. No fucks given about acceleration, speed or any of the that crap. I like big SUV's that can tow. So I only have about 4-5 models that are realistic for my needs.

mell says

Can recommend the VW Tiguan. Half the price of a pimped up highlander, 80% of the space. Interior well done

I sold VWs when I was a kid. I would never ever buy one.

Considering a RAM V8 for boat towing and dragging my lawn mower etc., to rental properties. Also a Prius Prime (never would have guessed I'd say that) as a grocery gitter. I expect the RAM to have problems but they are way overbuilt, sitting on lots everywhere so I expected steep discounts soon and are one of the few V8s left.

Right now, I wait... I need to check the toyota for cameras facing the driver. I don't want that shiite.

gabbar says

Are cars returnable to dealership? How does one do this, just drop off the car at the dealership where the buyer purchased it from?

Voluntary Repossession.

Then there is a secondary/tertiary market where the dealer sells it to wholesalers who often sell their excess inventory to used dealers.

Speaking of which, CARMAX profit was down something like 25% from last year

just_passing_through says

mell says

Can recommend the VW Tiguan. Half the price of a pimped up highlander, 80% of the space. Interior well done

I sold VWs when I was a kid. I would never ever buy one.

Considering a RAM V8 for boat towing and dragging my lawn mower etc., to rental properties. Also a Prius Prime (never would have guessed I'd say that) as a grocery gitter. I expect the RAM to have problems but they are way overbuilt, sitting on lots everywhere so I expected steep discounts soon and are one of the few V8s left.

Right now, I wait... I need to check the toyota for cameras facing the driver. I don't want that shiite.

That's why they are so much cheaper. They're all manufactured in Mexico anyways. We've only had it for a year and it was pretty much brand new, but so far it drives great and is very comfortable. Well built, too. Love old camrys and old Volvo station wagons, indestructible. But see no reason to choose a modern highlander for twice the price.

San Antonio makes Toyota trucks. I had an executive from Japan rent one of my houses for a couple of years. Even so, I'd want one made in Japan.

I think I’m a Camry buyer for life now.

just_passing_through says

I sold VWs when I was a kid. I would never ever buy one.

Never owned a VW but from my research they are fun to drive but pain in the ass to repair which happens frequently.

AmericanKulak says

Voluntary Repossession

Oh! I didnt know there was something like this. Interesting.

AmericanKulak says

it's MORE expensive to buy the used car with the 30k miles than the new model.

This seems to be the case nowadays. I am planning to drive a 2025 Toyota Camry hybrid next week. Never driven a hybrid vehicle.

gabbar says

AmericanKulak says

Voluntary Repossession

Oh! I didnt know there was something like this. Interesting.

You will get financially raped doing this.

gabbar says

AmericanKulak says

it's MORE expensive to buy the used car with the 30k miles than the new model.

This seems to be the case nowadays. I am planning to drive a 2025 Toyota Camry hybrid next week. Never driven a hybrid vehicle.

I think this will prove to be a good decision on your part.

gabbar says

Never owned a VW but from my research they are fun to drive but pain in the ass to repair which happens frequently.

I rented an Audi (really a VW) for a trip to Houston in February and it was a phenom ride. I had a pal who was a mechanic in the early naughties and he told me he charged double to work on those. They were made in Europe, shipped here, halfway taken apart and the reassembled with Standard hardware instead of metric. So he also had to use 2 sets of tools at the same time. Oh and they break down. A lot.