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As a result of recent research, a new stochastic methodology of assessing causality was developed. Its application to instrumental measurements of temperature (T) and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ([CO2]) over the last seven decades provided evidence for a unidirectional, potentially causal link between T as the cause and [CO2] as the effect. Here, I refine and extend this methodology and apply it to both paleoclimatic proxy data and instrumental data of T and [CO2]. Several proxy series, extending over the Phanerozoic or parts of it, gradually improving in accuracy and temporal resolution up to the modern period of accurate records, are compiled, paired, and analyzed. The extensive analyses made converge to the single inference that change in temperature leads, and that in carbon dioxide concentration lags. This conclusion is valid for both proxy and instrumental data in all time scales and time spans. The time scales examined begin from annual and decadal for the modern period (instrumental data) and the last two millennia (proxy data), and reach one million years for the most sparse time series for the Phanerozoic. The type of causality appears to be unidirectional, T→[CO2], as in earlier studies. The time lags found depend on the time span and time scale and are of the same order of magnitude as the latter. These results contradict the conventional wisdom, according to which the temperature rise is caused by [CO2] increase.
Together, the Sun’s average solar maximum and the Earth’s perplexing loss of protective magnetic energy combined to create never-before-seen effects (like recurring southern auroras) on our planet.
Also remarkably absent from the story was any discussion of the paper’s usual favorite topic: the climate. How does all this extra solar energy affect global weather? WaPo doesn’t say, doesn’t care, and won’t guess. It won’t even ask the question.
There’s no money in sun-caused climate change.
German state media broadcaster develops virtual reality game in which players shoot lasers at flying climate denialists, in perhaps the most eccentric effort to propagandise teenagers known to man
I swear that what follows is true and that I am not making it up.
Climatists at the German state media broadcaster Südwestrundfunk (SWR) have used the mandatory license fees they collect from all German households to produce an astounding virtual reality video game called GreenGuardiansVR. In this game, players shoot lasers at flying climate denialists to defeat disinformation and save the planet (h/t RatSays). This is literally true, this thing really exists. It will be released to the public sometime in the autumn; the Steam page is here. In the meantime, they’ve set up a whole stand to debut this lunacy at Gamescom, the Cologne video game trade fair.
Out here in Cali every time it gets over 90 we get a heat advisory.
I noticed another influencer post yesterday that signaled more good news in the climate wars. Ryan Maue, a PhD meteorologist and climate influencer (122K followers), tweeted a thread yesterday about the baffling lack of hurricanes so far this season...
You can imagine how excited I was when I saw his musings about the mysterious disappearance of hurricanes, considering Science widely predicted this would be the worst hurricane season in history, all thanks to carbon-fueled climate change. One famous Ivy League climate scientist predicted thirty-three named storms this year, which now would require a significant storm every two days for the rest of the eight-week season. But, behold:
@RyanMaue • 11h
What can cause all of this? The massive submarine
Hunga Tonga volcano in 2022 is the obvious culprit
for tampering with the Hadley Cell and ITCZ. But it
could also be some entirely new pattern we haven't
seen caused by a combination of solar activity and
unprecedented warming.
At last! Somebody finally mentioned the historic Hunga Tonga eruption, which C&C readers have known about for nearly two years now. And … solar activity! The ‘global warming’ narrative is falling apart. We’re making progress.
tweeted a thread yesterday about the baffling lack of hurricanes so far this season...
So, maybe the ocean levels ain't rising after all. In the article the author tries to explain away the islands growing by saying it is extra sand. Sorry, that just cannot physically happen.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/lifestyle/lifestyle-buzz/researchers-stunned-after-analyzing-nearly-1-000-vanishing-islands-i-m-not-sure-we-really-knew-what-we-would-find/ar-BB1pUnui
Evidence that the planet has never been as cold as it has been in the last few million years (about the time that humans have been around), suggesting that there are other non-human factors that explain the significant variation in global temperatures, and it is inevitable that we should now expect to be in a period of rapid warming and probably grateful too given the size of the human population and the fact that mammals (of which we are one species) evolved and thrived at much higher temperatures than today.
Extra sand from where?
Forbes ran a remarkable story a couple weeks ago, with the astonishing headline, “Northern Lights Forecast: Aurora May Be Visible In U.S. For Two Years, Scientists Say.” Two years!
The science part is that the May’s Solar Superstorm apparently stirred up Earth’s ionosphere, a thick upper layer of the atmosphere electrically charged by solar radiation. Who knew? Not only is it so stirred up it is producing persistent auroras in parts of the world where nobody’s ever seen them before, but it’s also heating up and moving the air in the upper atmosphere around. A lot.
The article stopped short of suggesting this could affect the weather somehow. I don’t blame them; they simply aren’t allowed to say that.
producing persistent auroras in parts of the world where nobody’s ever seen them before
RWSGFY says
Extra sand from where?
King tides. Happens at my condo too. I'm not saying they aren't full of shit but it happens.
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