patrick.net

I read elsewhere that heavy shorting of Trump led to a 5% drop in his odds over a few hours Saturday (a trend which began a few days ago). The media explanation is an Iowa poll giving Harris the edge there, paired with two other obscure polling outfits finding favorable Dem results.

I’d be inclined to think the heavily funded Harris campaign is shorting the betting markets to set an expectation of 50/50 odds — which enables their campaign to fight for every last absentee and mail-in ballot, even those not post-marked or received after Nov 5th. A way to drag things out like in 2020.

I will say early voting numbers, which usually favor Dems 2:1, are trending 1:1 Dem:Rep, a good sign for Republicans. Republicans now outnumber Dems in party identification nationwide for the first time in 30 years. And Republicans usually overwhelm Democrats in voting day attendance. While things look good from these stats, so much of Harris’ campaign has been psychological — the betting market u-turn to 50/50 could well be another effort to demoralize Election Day Trump voters.

goofus says

I will say early voting numbers, which usually favor Dems 2:1, are trending 1:1 Dem:Rep, a good sign for Republicans. Republicans now outnumber Dems in party identification nationwide for the first time in 30 years. And Republicans usually overwhelm Democrats in voting day attendance. While things look good from these stats, so much of Harris’ campaign has been psychological — the betting market u-turn to 50/50 could well be another effort to demoralize Election Day Trump voters.

Early voting is trash besides deployed military. You should vote day of. End of story. All you're doing is giving them time to get rid of your ballot. Electronically and physically. There's a reason we have an election day. Not week, not month or whatever.

Most states now it's a holiday. No work, no school, etc. There's no excuse to not vote in person at the last possible minute where it's substantially harder to cheat. Both sides cheat as well, it's just the Dems are better at it.

It’s better to go into Election Day at least tied, so you’re not playing catch-up, subject to machine malfunctions. Phony voter data is easier to sort through before Nov 5th than after, and lawsuits are easier to win. Once the “free-est and fairest elections of all time” screaming starts, the judiciary cowers. Like with Biden in 2020.

I asked for a receipt or copy of what I voted for. All they offered me was a fucking, "I voted", sticker.

You can put on your Cracker Jax box Satanic inversion decoder ring when you watch CNN to see what the Intels, Mockingbird and CIA want and what they are planning.

Clearly, they are going to run the election fraud to the wall. A successful election fraud is the ultimate demoralization because it installs vividly loathsome element of the population into power and the majority feel powerless to prevent it.

I caught CNN (right in front of the machines) at the gym. CNN sacks of shit are portraying all the key election states being completely neck in neck between Trump and Harris without exception or deviation. That simply means they continue to promote the mythology of the 'close' election in order to implement the election fraud full steam ahead.

Any voting machine that has telephony or internet wireless/bluetooth/satellite connection and/or rigged software is an enemy combatant subversive and deserves to have its bits hacked to bits by the white hats.

Ceffer says

The pen is NOT mightier than the Dominion machine.

What about voter registration though? Don't they at least ask for a name to check that the person is registered to vote?

They are really getting desperate:

And another...

SoTex says

I asked for a receipt or copy of what I voted for. All they offered me was a fucking, "I voted", sticker.

Take a picture. Most have smart phones in their pockets with a camera. No one can tell you on public property that you cannot photograph your ballot. I plan on taking a pic of my ballot. That way I can ask to show me my vote if shit goes sideways.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

They are really getting desperate:

I’ll take “Things that never happened for $800, Alex”

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

And another...

I can’t believe people are dumb enough to believe this.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

I can’t believe people are dumb enough to believe this.

Really? Rachel Maddow is still on the air. There are copious amounts of dumb fucks spouting shit people believe. People need to stop watching TV. If everyone did that for 3 months you'd come out a better person. They don't know they're being brainwashed. This is legit 1984 stuff.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

And another...

I can’t believe people are dumb enough to believe this.

I know people who believe this. The LGBT camps thing does come from Maddow. A friend like this has sent link after link, trying to save my eternal political soul. She’s an engineer from the former Soviet Union, quite smart, and absolutely unconvinceable.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

And another...

Both sides done this shit. For example in 2020 Scott Adams predicted that if Potato is elected in many of us would not be alive because Republicans will be hunted like animals.

WookieMan says

People need to stop watching TV.

Critical. When I have been asked why I didn't buy into the vax bullshit I can only say, 'well I haven't watched TV for 30 years or so'. I have turned it on in motel rooms and can take about 20 minutes.

FuckTheMainstreamMedia says

I’ll take “Things that never happened for $800, Alex”

That is what was in the comments section.

WookieMan says

Take a picture. Most have smart phones in their pockets with a camera. No one can tell you on public property that you cannot photograph your ballot. I plan on taking a pic of my ballot. That way I can ask to show me my vote if shit goes sideways.

Texas prohibits the use of electronic devices, including cell phones, within 100 feet of voting stations.

SoTex says

Texas prohibits the use of electronic devices, including cell phones, within 100 feet of voting stations.

My vote. Public property. Tough luck. I'm paying for it with taxes. Plus with small cameras now it's impossible for someone to police.

I'm not going to take a photo of someone else's ballot. At my polling place I know where to get to and take a clean shot and not get noticed. I don't give a flying fuck anymore. I want proof with GPS location and if I think shenanigans were going down the burden of proof is on them. Find my ballot. People need to do this tomorrow.

You can't record someone else audio wise without their knowledge. If you're not making a profit from it, or suing someone, you can photograph and record anything in a public space that you want. Polling stations are almost all publicly paid for facilities.

WookieMan says

SoTex says

Texas prohibits the use of electronic devices, including cell phones, within 100 feet of voting stations.

My vote. Public property. Tough luck. I'm paying for it with taxes. Plus with small cameras now it's impossible for someone to police.

I'm not going to take a photo of someone else's ballot. At my polling place I know where to get to and take a clean shot and not get noticed. I don't give a flying fuck anymore.

How this is different from demon rat attitude towards election laws? "Fuck your election laws, we'll do what we want, good luck catching us."

RWSGFY says

How this is different from demon rat attitude towards election laws? "Fuck your election laws, we'll do what we want, good luck catching us."

I don't care. I want to know my ballot is counted and have proof. It's not cheating or doing a thing with others ballots. Not sure your point or that you understood what I said.

If it isn't the voter fraud that dooms Trump, it will be this:

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

If it isn't the voter fraud that dooms Trump, it will be this:

The turnout so far has been better for Trump than in 2020 in terms of party affiliation and gender. Womynz always vote by mail/early because they are afraid of covid and everything else. If the turnout on election day is roughly the same as 2020 then Trump should win this. It shouldn't be close but it likely will, still Trump should win this.

All my friends voted already. I'm going 6am tomorrow. No lines in my town at that time. Farmers already found time during breaks to early vote. All the geezers I know voted already in anticipation of standing in long line.

Trying to give them the least amount of time to fuck with my vote and I'm documenting it. My polling place should be 80 Trump and 20 Harris. We'll see.

WookieMan says

RWSGFY says

How this is different from demon rat attitude towards election laws? "Fuck your election laws, we'll do what we want, good luck catching us."

I don't care. I want to know my ballot is counted and have proof. It's not cheating or doing a thing with others ballots. Not sure your point or that you understood what I said.

You are in IL. The demon rats rule there. They will throw a book at you if you waltz in and confess of violating the election laws in order to "catch them". I get it, you have no principles, it happens. But your "proof" will be used against you first.

RWSGFY says

You are in IL. The demon rats rule there. They will throw a book at you if you waltz in and confess of violating the election laws in order to "catch them". I get it, you have no principles, it happens. But your "proof" will be used against you first.

The cool part is I get to do what I want. I have the means to fight anything. I also know how to manipulate people. Not going to air my dirty laundry here, but I know what I'm doing. I also know everyone including state wide. I try to keep my mouth shut here, but it's mostly a CA centric site. So not overly worried.

Fortunately I have a common name, so I'm hard to dox. My last name is well known in Wisconsin and Illinois. But trust me, the county or state would have nothing on me. You gotta know the game.

I just listened to NPR interview some retired General and it was crystal clear that they are preparing for civil unrest and they will get their unrest whatever it takes. I anticipate 'Contested Results' followed by a 'False Flag' of obscene violence (Boston Marathon style) blamed on a 'Right Wing Extremist'. Game over. They are going to stop short of whatever-it-takes? They did 'Covid' FFS.
I am still amazed at how easy it was for them to orchestrate Jan 6, completely own the narrative, and spend years rubbing it in by jailing whoever the hell they want. Or get away with a blatantly stolen election last time, and spend the next 4 years mocking anybody that had the slightest doubt. Why the hell would it be any different this time? Elon is going to stop it single handed?

I knew there was a reason why last month the DoD updated Directive 5420.01, giving U.S. armed forces the power to use lethal force against protesting U.S. civilians.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

If it isn't the voter fraud that dooms Trump, it will be this:

Yes, men that have to work on a Tuesday need to find a time to fit in voting.

Tonight's betting odds is 58% for Trump on Real Clear Politics, for whatever it is worth

I hope if Harris does win, that she does not act like she has a mandate as far as the border, student loan forgiveness, deficit spending, etc

HeadSet says

Yes, men that have to work on a Tuesday need to find a time to fit in voting.

This is why voting should be on Saturday.

Welfare schlubs are gonna schlub no matter what day of the week it is. It makes it easier for men to vote.

Polymarket is 2.8 to 1 for Trump, so 38,000 on Harris will return 100K if she wins.
It is a way to hedge the hideous feeling of her winning with a little dopamine from the cash win.
This is Scott Galloway's idea except of course he is putting up $385,000 for a Million win.
.....on the other hand him losing 385 will make a Trump win just a little sweeter.

AmericanKulak says

Welfare schlubs are gonna schlub no matter what day of the week it is

Or just give the ballots to the harvesters.

Robert Sproul says

Polymarket is 2.8 to 1 for Trump,

Polymarket is bullshit. Ppl who bet aren't the ppl voting and you can even withdraw from a bet at anytime. What a crock.

Robert Sproul says

I just listened to NPR interview some retired General and it was crystal clear that they are preparing for civil unrest and they will get their unrest whatever it takes. I anticipate 'Contested Results' followed by a 'False Flag' of obscene violence (Boston Marathon style) blamed on a 'Right Wing Extremist'. Game over. They are going to stop short of whatever-it-takes? They did 'Covid' FFS.
I am still amazed at how easy it was for them to orchestrate Jan 6, completely own the narrative, and spend years rubbing it in by jailing whoever the hell they want. Or get away with a blatantly stolen election last time, and spend the next 4 years mocking anybody that had the slightest doubt. Why the hell would it be any different this time? Elon is going to stop it single handed?

I knew there was a reason why last month the DoD updated Directive 5420.01, giving U.S. armed forces the power to use lethal force against protesting U.S. civilians.

Scary that this is even in the realm of possibility, but there it is. However the BLM shock troops are not all on the same page [https://kfoxtv.com/news/nation-world/blm-activist-plans-to-vote-for-trump-been-blindly-loyal-to-the-democrat-party-mark-fisher-black-lives-matter-rhode-island-donald-trump-kamala-harris-democratic-republican-party].

Those left, like gays, women “of color,” and abortion-addled white women, aren’t much of a street threat. Let’s hope the left is in as much disarray as it seems.