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Barack Obama Wants to Reward FBs


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2007 Aug 29, 2:57am   30,654 views  270 comments

by Randy H   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

I don't follow politics for myriad reasons. I know that pretty much every Congressman and every Presidential hopeful is falling all over themselves to buy as many votes as they can -- business as usual. But I do know that the Obama crowd prides their candidate on his integrity and high ethical bar.

Well, Mr. Obama writes in Todays Financial Times "Comment" section:

Fine unscrupulous mortgage lenders

The implosion of the subprime lending industry is more than a temporary blip on our economic progress. It is a cancer that, given today's integrated financial markets, threatens to spread with devastating impact to housing and to our economy as a whole, unless we act to contain it.

Already I'm sure many of you will take some exception to Mr. Obama's statement. Myself, I don't see too much trouble with his concern; and I also think that the government has some role in providing stability to the core banking structure.

I'll go on, quoting the more objectionable excerpts. To Mr. Obama's credit, he does want to aggressively go after lenders who committed fraud, used deceptive tactics, or systematically exploited the elderly or minorities. To his detriment, not a single word was uttered about regulating or punishing the real-estate industry. I guess even a principled candidate has to be careful which lobbies he crosses.

This all started as a good idea -- helping people buy homes who previously could not afford to.

[...]

Today, as we weigh our options on how to best resolve this crisis, many argue that bailing out the borrowers and investors will just encourage them to engage in more of the same irresponsible practices.

[...]

The real victims in this crisis are the millions of borrowers who followed the rules, whose only crime was taking out mortgages lenders told them they could afford. Normally these borrowers could avoid foreclosure by refinancing their mortgages or selling their homes. The problem today is that they cannot refinance because no one will lend to them, and they cannot sell because the housing market has fallen. With some arguing that the effects of the worst subprime loans will not be felt until 2008 and 2009, this may be just the beginning.

We need to help struggling borrowers to weather this storm. One way to protect innocent homeowners -- at least until this crisis passes -- is to establish a fund to help people refinance or sell to avoid foreclosure.

[...]

That is why I have proposed a Home Score system that would create a simplified, standardised[sic] metric for home mortgages -- rather like the annual percentage rate (APR), the effective interest rate a borrower ends up paying on a loan -- allowing prospective home buyers easily to compare various mortgage products so they can find out whether they can afford to make the payments.

[...]

Owning a home represents a big part of the American dream and all Americans -- no matter what their income level -- should have the power to reach for that dream.

[...]

If we are serious about stopping this crisis [...] Washington needs to stop acting like an industry advocate and start acting like a public advocate.

I'll let you guys defend Barack or rip him apart. I'm not sure why Washington should necessarily advocate either side of the ownership/industry value chain, but I can see how this rhetoric gains populist votes.

One point for Mr. Obama: APR is not the same as EAR. You might want to get get someone on staff who actually knows something about markets, finance and economics before you go making a fool of yourself in the Financial Times.

--Randy H

#politics

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171   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 6:55am  

eburbed,

Even for your site, that Alum Rock house is truly a sight to behold. I didn't realize there were shotgun houses in San Hosebag. It looks Depression-era to me. How exactly would a contractor "breathe new life" into that thing?

I shouldn't comment on the "cum-muting" typo...

172   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:56am  

It's funny how the moderators suspend my account and then posted that.

173   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 6:59am  

I shouldn’t comment on the “cum-muting” typo…

Don't be a "hippocrit." ;)

174   OO   2007 Aug 30, 7:40am  

Allah,

I went to the link you posted, their Intelius site is so behind the curve. They are trying to charge me $14.95 for information that I could get at propertyshark for free. What kind of loser web2.0 are they?

The city data they posted for the neighborhoods that I know is more out-dated than wikipedia. That site has nothing useful to offer.

175   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:21am  

I went to the link you posted, their Intelius site is so behind the curve. They are trying to charge me $14.95 for information that I could get at propertyshark for free. What kind of loser web2.0 are they?

The city data they posted for the neighborhoods that I know is more out-dated than wikipedia. That site has nothing useful to offer.

OO,

I didn't even know they had anything like that; I was just brought there by a google search. That site is heavily biased; probably run by realtors. Mention anything negative about the market...you get an infraction by the web police!

176   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 9:21am  

What the heck is Lawrence Yun smoking, and where can I get some of it?

http://www.realtor.org/rmomag.nsf/pages/economysep07?OpenDocument

He's clearly making a strong bid to outdo David Lereah...

177   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:23am  

I went to the link you posted, their Intelius site is so behind the curve. They are trying to charge me $14.95 for information that I could get at propertyshark for free. What kind of loser web2.0 are they?

I guess anyone dumb enough to drink their kool-aide will pay the $14.95 and they probably get the said information from propertyshark.

178   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:26am  

He’s clearly making a strong bid to outdo David Lereah…

Don't you know he's the NAR's relief pitcher; I'm sure they have another one waiting in the bullpin until Yun has a nervous breakdown like Lereah did. Kharma claims another!

179   sfbubblebuyer   2007 Aug 30, 9:27am  

Off Topic... but look at this FB :

http://tinyurl.com/3cs37p

All you need to be a home owner is... catch up the two mortgages, then agree to pay for them all yourself!

Even an idiot would realize it'll be cheaper to buy it from the bank.

(Also, how can payments be between 5500 and 6500 a month? Doesn't he KNOW?)

180   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:28am  

Predictions are always risky, but I’m going out on a limb to say existing-home sales will improve markedly by the fourth quarter. Here’s why:

I'd say that's a very thin limb!

181   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:32am  

All you need to be a home owner is… catch up the two mortgages, then agree to pay for them all yourself!

and who the hell wants to live on a divided highway? (notice the yellow line in the street).

5500 and 6500 a month?

This is supposed to be a good thing?

182   sfbubblebuyer   2007 Aug 30, 9:41am  

I like how Yun pretty much hangs his hopes on foriegn buyers. Yah, they're going to rush in to snap up depreciating assets. Suuuuure.

183   SFRenter   2007 Aug 30, 9:57am  

At least Obama wants to make Wall Street pay instead of the taxpayers, that at least is a step in the right direction and far better than the taxpayer funded bailouts Dodd and Schumer are calling for.

Personally I think that the market is going to continue to address the issue and likely resolve it prior to the Government getting around to taking action. For example, the debt markets have dramatically marked down the price of most all mortgage backed security "investments," including the ones that don't even hold any subprime debt.

Furthermore, credit standards have dramatically tightened such that lenders are simply not issuing subprime loans because the lenders are (finally) scared of not being paid back, and all of this happenned before the Government got around to doing anything.

Of course, this whole mess never would have happenned if the Fed or the OCC actually enforced lending standards during the boom years. You remember those boom years right, back when we were called "jealous bitter renters" and derisively told to "just deal with" paying the haughty homeowners mortgages for them for the rest of our lives? Ha ha hah hah hah hah! Oh sorry, is that "schadenfreude"? My bad, I don't care. :)

184   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 10:15am  

Randy H would describe this as “stickiness”

:lol:

185   e   2007 Aug 30, 10:23am  

and who the hell wants to live on a divided highway? (notice the yellow line in the street).

It's actually not a divided highway.

http://tinyurl.com/357luc

186   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:27am  

@SFRenter

At least Obama wants to make Wall Street pay instead of the taxpayers, that at least is a step in the right direction and far better than the taxpayer funded bailouts Dodd and Schumer are calling for.

No. He says he wants to *partially* pay for the bail-out-the-FB fund with penalties exacted upon lenders who made the loans.

Now think about this; read the code. It says he's going to try to establish a system of post-facto penalties and asses them upon lending institutions. Firstly, this type if legislation has about 0.002% chance of passing. Secondly, even if it does pass the lenders won't pay the penalties and will fight it out for years in court. Lastly, even if the money is eventually collected, it will only cover a portion of the bail-out. Add in the cost of financing the float during the interim -- our government pays quite hefty financing charges for our debt -- and it's *you* who is paying for pretty much all of the bail out.

Mr. Obama is being a run of the mill, cynical politician. He offers hope of nothing more than more of the same. Some have said he is no worse than the others. Well, that's why I'm disappointed. He had potential; his speech at the convention was epic (anyone who denies that is a partisan). Too bad he had nothing else left in there.

187   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:28am  

*assess, lol

188   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:31am  

I like how Yun pretty much hangs his hopes on foriegn buyers.

It is all MIRAGE!

Again, the USA is not particularly attractive to rich foreigners. The French Riviera, perhaps. London, perhaps. Rich people know better.

It is not easy to obtain residency (legally) in the US. It is even harder to live here without having to pay tax for global income.

If the US wants the right people, the wrong taxes must be abolished.

189   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:35am  

Another thing really pisses me off: what ever happened to the very basic notion of personal responsibility. Caveat emptor aside, there is some level at which the buyer is responsible for what he or she buys, no?

Just because you didn't read the contract is no one's fault but your own. When you signed 50 documents with all kinds of scary 8pt font all over them, didn't you pause to think about what you were getting into? Perhaps you should have said "give me a day to ask someone to help me figure this out, I'm not sure about all this".

The problem with jerkoffs like Obama is he wants to send a very loud signal to all those responsible people who didn't sign the bullshit loan documents that they lose, and the ignorant happy go lucky 'tards win. They get a house, which Barack will make sure doesn't lose any more value, and the fiscally responsible people get to keep renting knowing they missed out on the fucking gravy train.

Sorry, this really pisses me off. Talk about creating exactly the wrong incentives. If we bail out the slobbering fools we'll pay an even higher cost later. How high can we keep building the house of cards??? WTF?

190   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 10:36am  

I like how Yun pretty much hangs his hopes on foriegn buyers.

Well, I don't know how true it is, but this article says the russians are buying up manhatten.

I didn't think russians were that stupid; but then again, the article is on a pro real estate site.

191   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:37am  

Randy, Obama's rhetorics will just ensure that he does not get elected. That leaves HRC...

192   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:42am  

Well, I don’t know how true it is, but this article says the russians are buying up manhatten.

They may be buying up London. But Manhattan? Probably not the richest ones.

The top market in London is probably more ironclad then that of NY. However, I would really love to see how the rest of UK unfolds. It is going to be interesting. It is time for a Conservative PM. Perhaps a fine leader like Thatcher.

193   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:42am  

Randy, Obama’s rhetorics will just ensure that he does not get elected. That leaves HRC…

Peter, I know. I've resigned to Hillary as president. The problem is that every time another jerkoff chimes in his or her debased-$0.02 crackpot bailout scheme, it gives Congress that much more cover to actually implement one. Do not underestimate the power of these things once they get rolling. This is the trying-to-get-it-rolling phase.

Someone much earlier pointed out that only a small portion of voters actually fall into the bail-out-need category. True. But that is exactly what this is about. Political engineering whereby they're spreading the emotional impact around, creating more people who *think* they are stakeholders and that a bailout helps them too. And it's working, which scares the shit out of me.

I so fucking hate politics. It is the absolute worst thing about the human condition.

194   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:46am  

It is the absolute worst thing about the human condition.

Nothing wrong about that. We just need to exploit the worst of human conditions.

We cannot change human natures. At best, we can benefit from this knowledge.

195   e   2007 Aug 30, 11:23am  

Again, the USA is not particularly attractive to rich foreigners.

Wrong. They are.

And they all want to live in Palo Alto and Cupertino.

Didn't Putin just recently say that he wished Russia's school system was as good as Gunn? I'm sure he did.

196   Different Sean   2007 Aug 30, 11:25am  

Peter P Says:
It is time for a Conservative PM. Perhaps a fine leader like Thatcher.

aaagghhh, good grief, charlie brown. thatcher f*cked everything for everyone except the ruling class. So a fine leader of the people by definition is someone who only benefits the elites?

197   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 1:28pm  

Well, the W has caved in (partly) to calls for subprime relief:

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/31/business/31home.html?_r=1&hp&oref=slogin

This says 2 things to me: Bush is utterly, completely lame duck now, and it's official - Americans do not need to have any degree of fiscal responsibility.

Sheesh.

198   SP   2007 Aug 30, 1:29pm  

SFRenter Says:
Personally I think that the market is going to continue to address the issue and likely resolve it prior to the Government getting around to taking action.

OF COURSE the market is going to resolve it before the Government takes action. That is how most things eventually get solved.

In the meantime, various blockheads in government will have taken some random, ineffective steps that have NOTHING to do with the solution. However, when the problem is resolved, they will pick one of these random acts of cluelessness and declare it to be the work of genius that saved everyone.

SP

199   SP   2007 Aug 30, 1:36pm  

"Most candidates talk about hot button social issues so that voters can maintain the fiction that they are not voting their prejudices."

I think it was Art Buchwald who said that (paraphrased from memory).

SP

200   smitty   2007 Aug 30, 2:46pm  

I'd like to say that Dennis Kucinich is a democrat and is, to me, as good as Ron Paul. Dennis would pay for prek education by taking 15% from the defense budget which is "OK" according to Dennis since the pentagon no longer audits itself; so, they'll never know the money is missing!

also, like Ron Paul, Dennis knew that the Iraq war was a scam for oil and would like the FED to publish its M3 numbers.

201   smitty   2007 Aug 30, 2:58pm  

At least Obama wants to make Wall Street pay instead of the taxpayers, that at least is a step in the right direction and far better than the taxpayer funded bailouts Dodd and Schumer are calling for.

really? the money would probably come from pension funds and/or 401k's. the way I view stocks is "they act like a national sales tax which benefits investors."

I would simply keep the banks solvent because, that way-- if the economy has a boom, the injected cash could be siphoned out of the system down-the-road.

propping up home values, in my mind, is a lose-lose proposition since, as boomers start to die off, their homes will go on the market and push prices down. can the government really keep the market stable without making dollars worthless?

202   Glen   2007 Aug 30, 4:05pm  

Obama says: "We need to help struggling borrowers to weather this storm. One way to protect innocent homeowners — at least until this crisis passes — is to establish a fund to help people refinance or sell to avoid foreclosure."

If you "help people sell," what does that mean? Will they be given a handout to make the lender whole so that they can have the privilege of walking away with $0 liability? If so, this sounds like a bailout of reckless lenders who would not recover a nickel from FBs--not an effort to "protect innocent homeowners." Say no to bailouts for stupid lenders. The foolish lenders, just as much as the foolish homedebtors, need to get washed out of the system. Forced liquidation is the best method---like ripping off a band-aid. Otherwise we will end up with a bunch of Japan-style zombie lenders for decades.

If you "help people refinance" does this mean the gov't will be holding paper? Unless Obama wants to give a cash handout to people, this won't help most recent homebuyers. The problem is not the interest--it's the principal. There are quite a few recent homebuyers who couldn't afford their homes even at 0% interest. Most people who borrowed $600K for a house which is now worth $500K are not really looking for a way to pay less interest on their $600K mortgage--they just want out. So a refi won't help, unless it also comes with a cash handout.

Bottom line is that you couldn't possibly raise enough money to bail out all the FBs anyways. Probably at least 20 million people overpaid for a house over the last 3-4 years. Multiplied by $50K per house, I guesstimate that Obama's fund would need around $1 Trillion (not counting administrative costs, waste, etc...) I would rather have a federal surplus. Or a tax refund. Or, what the heck, national healthcare. A trillion here a trillion there and pretty soon you are talking about real money.

203   justme   2007 Aug 30, 5:21pm  

I'm late to the party, but here goes anyway.

Barak Obama made some pretty reasonable statements about the overall situation. The only paragraph that alludes (and I mean alludes) to a bailout is the following:

>We need to help struggling borrowers to weather this storm. One way to protect >innocent homeowners - at least until this crisis passes - is to establish a fund to help >people refinance or sell to avoid foreclosure. We can partially pay for this fund by >imposing penalties on lenders that acted irresponsibly or committed fraud.

He doesn't say there will be a bailout. He says it is one way of handling the problem. If the above statement had been from Bernanke to some congressman,
he would have been lauded for his shrewd rhetoric, Instead Obama is being skewered.

I hope there will not be a bailout. But given the choice between war and a bailout, I pick bailout.

In the year 2000, people voted for tax cuts and got war and a big budget deficit. In the year 2004, people rallied around the war president and got more war and a truly gigantic budget deficit.

For God's sake, I hope we don't make the mistake of voting in a republican again just because we can' t stomach the thought that there may potentially be a housing bailout. Let;s keep things in perspective.

204   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 5:49pm  

But given the choice between war and a bailout, I pick bailout.

I am against all war but a bailout is not necessarily better than a war, especially if it is well fought and managed. (e.g. Falklands)

Some republicans (like Ron Paul) did not support the war. HRC actually voted *for* the war.

Let's keep things in perspective.

205   Jimbo   2007 Aug 30, 6:03pm  

Yes, an overwhelming majority of Republicans in Congress voted for the $1T mistake.

A majority of Democrats voted against it.

Now Bush wants to bail out the homedebtors by forcing the FHA to guarantee a bunch of sub-prime loans.

206   Bruce   2007 Aug 30, 8:50pm  

SFWoman,

I've wondered more than once how alert our overseas friends are to potential difficulties, so it's encouraging to hear your Parisian friend is aware and concerned.

And you? Was it Venice this Summer? I apologize for my post of some months ago to you about dining there. It had been far too long since I was in the city for me to be of real use, and I should just have said so. Best I recall, the ones I did mention seem to me now not the sort you enjoy. What was I thinking?

207   Zephyr   2007 Aug 30, 10:56pm  

The subprime mess is nicely summarized by a cartoon I saw showing two banker types walking down Wall Street, and one says to the other:

“It turns out poor people with bad credit can’t afford to buy a home. Who knew?”

208   HeadSet   2007 Aug 31, 12:29am  

"dreaming about buying their dream house in a desirable neighborhood for 70cents on the dollar still don’t get it…"

That would be me. But I am hoping for more like 50cents on the dollar....

209   Allah   2007 Aug 31, 12:32am  

The subprime mess is nicely summarized by a cartoon I saw showing two banker types walking down Wall Street, and one says to the other:

“It turns out poor people with bad credit can’t afford to buy a home. Who knew?”

You mean like this one.

210   HeadSet   2007 Aug 31, 1:03am  

Glen says:
"Will they be given a handout to make the lender whole so that they can have the privilege of walking away with $0 liability? "

As disgusting as that concept is, it may make housing affordable for future buyers. Consider an FB who paid $400k for a house in 06 but can only sell for $250k in 08. If the gov grants the FB the difference, it is all the same to him what the selling price is. If all the FBs join that party, house prices would have a definate downward pressure. Maybe the realtor commission could be based on the "made whole" price, as to not offend the NAR.

Vote for me and no one will have to sell at a loss. It could be financed by new taxes on renters and a new tax on balances in any type of savings vehicle. We would not want to motivate the wrong behavior.

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