patrick.net

thomas.wong1986 says

Better to use DQnew data …been doing for 20 years, long before the web upstarts and their

“mythical algorithm”. The public puts too much faith into Zillow’s zestimates and Redfin Charts.

Right. I never liked those Redfin charts too much. If you look at the small graph that comes up when you first enter the area you're looking at, and then go to the detail page and look at the large graph, the two graphs don't even agree with each other. Although I wouldn't equate Redfin and Zillow. Zillow is utter bullshit. It's in a league of its own.

Really? Really?

I am reminded of this underrated movie: Breast Men Chris Cooper is always great, but..... my personal favorite moment is David Schwimmer's death scene. It's one of those scenes that just WHAM, it STUCK with me. Funny how that works. Like when Usual Suspects surprised me. Or like nearly 30 years ago Magnum P.I. had a WHAM episode that I saw a scene copied on "Archer" and I instantly recognized it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7vW1oEKP1k

gameisrigged says

Zillow is utter bullshit. It’s in a league of its own.

In my area, its spot on with rent price estimates. And it does show the exact price a house sold at. Not sure what's utter BS about that. Do you mean the Zestimates? Those are sometimes good and sometimes off, because they don't know if a house is updated inside, or mold infested. Our house got appraised by the bank within $1k of the zillow zestimate. I thought it was pretty interesting.

How did I miss Breast Men? Back to "Really?"

zillow is pure BS. I had my house appraised for a re-fi to lower rate/terms... zillow was "off" by $200k.

I was browsing Detroit area (upscale NW suburbs) houses and "zestimate" for many houses was TWICE the asking price. I.e. DOUBLE. Like, asking $325,000 (and not sold), Zestimate $650,000.

Zestimate is utter BS.

This is awsome. I'm not sure what 'caal' means maybe you should call the site 'FB Parade' or something. Make sure to have a feature where they can print fake unemployment letters and fake paystubs to prove hardship! haha I'm kidding....people do that themselves with a copier at kinkos....no demand.

pkowen says

I was browsing Detroit area (upscale NW suburbs) houses and “zestimate” for many houses was TWICE the asking price. I.e. DOUBLE. Like, asking $325,000 (and not sold), Zestimate $650,000.
Zestimate is utter BS.

Zillow is not bullshit. As long as you know that it shows "Wishful thinking" prices, not actual selling prices. In Detroit the "Wishful" prices are 2x of the actual selling prices. In the Bay Area, the buyers don't seem to be as bright as the ones in Detroit, so the "Wishful" prices closer approximate the selling prices.

Caal (www.mycaal.com) is an online software company for real estate financing. Focused on the consumer, our first product (Caal Loan Modification Software) allows homeowners to see if they qualify for a HAMP or a private Loan Modification in a private and affordable way. Checking if one is qualified can be done in minutes as opposed to 6-12 months wait in a bank queue. Also, even if you find out that you are not qualified, at least you can know that in minutes as opposed to 6-12 months. Check out statistics of http://bailout.propublica.org/loan_mods/list. Why so many canceled mods and canceled trials? One of the reasons is that from the onset many applicants either do not qualify or have not prepared successful applications so they get cancelled out during the process

Caal software is not only good for the consumers, but also for the banks. If the Banks were to have their clients get pre qualified through Caal, they can run their operations far more efficiently and save months of waste time and red tape. With Caal, everyone is better off.

Does the software tell me how long I have to be unemployed to get a loan mod? I want to quit my job, get a loan mod (5 year at 2% interest rate AND a principal reduction). THEN I will start working again and make fun of all my chump ass neighbors for being chumps! "working is fer chumps!". "only dopes pay the mortgage" ,etc. Also does the software provide a list of insults for me to use? Its hard to come up with them. I would pay extra for this, try bundling the services offered! EGGCELLENT WORK!

PockyClipsNow -> the software does not tell you to be unemployed or employed. It simply tells you if you are qualified or not.

In the beginning down here, when the market was on the way down, most of the best listings said no FHA loans. It didn't matter to me, because the market wasn't where it was headed, or where I bought at for that matter. Otherwise I would have gotten more vocal and active, than bitching about it on Patnet.

I think the biggest problem with FHA loans, are the Buyer may be led to believe with a 100% certainty that they have financing. While as much as an hour before closing, the rug may pulled from under the whole deal.

"Bang up job, on Mortgage reform GUYS!"

OH! And thanks for the price fixed inflation in every commodity sector too! BOY did we ever get change?

At this rate, armed robbery will be legal by December. Provided you're a College grad, and have a million dollars in the bank. For the rest of us pissants, it's Pay UP Sucka!

I like that your service allows people to self-qualify for a loan modification. I think many people in this area would qualify but have given up due to the complexity of loan modification paperwork. Having an online tool is great.

FHA requires certain things in the inspection that the current owners / bank may not want to deal with.

http://www.biggerpockets.com/renewsblog/2010/04/25/fha-property-inspection-checklist/

FHA and VA loans usually take longer to close too. We fought hard and got ours closed in 30 days.

dunnross says

pkowen says

I was browsing Detroit area (upscale NW suburbs) houses and “zestimate” for many houses was TWICE the asking price. I.e. DOUBLE. Like, asking $325,000 (and not sold), Zestimate $650,000.

Zestimate is utter BS.

Zillow is not bullshit. As long as you know that it shows “Wishful thinking” prices, not actual selling prices. In Detroit the “Wishful” prices are 2x of the actual selling prices. In the Bay Area, the buyers don’t seem to be as bright as the ones in Detroit, so the “Wishful” prices closer approximate the selling prices.

Well, I stand corrected. Should be the "Wishtimate".

VA loans are a pain. So many inspections, changes, rules and on and on and the seller pays for closing costs. I sold a house in rural Napa county in the 90s and even though the septic was working fine (even a licensed septic guy came out and said it was working well and he stood to gain by doing work) and had been pumped a year earlier the VA required the leach field to be ripped out and re-done at my expense. You even have to have an appraiser that is certified by VA. When I sold another home not long after that ordeal, I directed the realtor to not even bring me another VA offer. About a week after putting another property on the market he called to tell me it was a VA loan but they would offer several thousand above asking to take care of the closing costs, etc. so I sold it with the buyer using a VA loan.

: )

One problem though is that this will utterly gut the REIT business model.

All those self-storage places sitting on their land waiting for it to ripen will get get hit with the tax rise, since Prop 13 is very kind to this type of land-hoarding.

Hey Patrick, why are you not shutting down this parade of dummy accounts?

Looks like people flagged several down already (three flags will put them back into moderation) and I deleted a few. I like to give the benefit of the doubt, but overly complimentary comments from new users seem like they must be shill comments. I have to admit that Carla wrote me wanting me to link to her business in the newslinks, and I myself suggested she post to the forum to see what you all thought.

I love it!

This provision sounds like a bit of a scam though:

"Senior homeowners aged 60 or older will be able to defer until July 1, 2020 all land taxes in excess of the property taxes they paid in the year preceding the July 1, 2011 effective date of the reform. "

Why should mega-rich senior citizens be exempt? Only poor senior citizens should be exempt.

Wow.
This engine didn't like some of my ascii

Sorry reposting...

See? This is what I'm always pointing out... Finding a graph that backs up your claim that (insert what your claim is as I'm a little lost...)... well it's possible. And by the looks of your graph there... Hey! Things are looking up...

or wait...

If you're still in the market... isn't it better prices go down so you can buy more houses, insert more tenants and grow your empire? Surely... as you claim... you're an income investor, wouldn't that be the best scenario?

So why would you want prices to rise?

Unless you're worried that a drop in prices will lower home values to the point that tenants would rather buy than pay your rents. So you'll eventually be forced to lower them. Sure you would still be in the black, but your original $$ would serve you better invested elsewhere.

My last guess is that you're a bit of a pompous old fart (I know I am) and can't believe with all your careful research and pouring over data that you may... just may... have jumped into the landlord market a little early and because you made so much noise while doing it... well now you have egg on your face.

If you do answer this post, here's my question:

Why do you want home prices to rise? Which it seems to me you're fervent about...

I love it!
This provision sounds like a bit of a scam though:

“Senior homeowners aged 60 or older will be able to defer until July 1, 2020 all land taxes in excess of the property taxes they paid in the year preceding the July 1, 2011 effective date of the reform. “

Why should mega-rich senior citizens be exempt? Only poor senior citizens should be exempt.

Well, for one most of the mega rich are senior citizens.

Troy says

One problem though is that this will utterly gut the REIT business model.

It will gut lots of business models. Anybody that's a homeowner would lose MASSIVELY, since all their sudden the costs of home ownership go way up. Of course that will be offset by elimination of sales and income taxes. There would be lots of losers and winners in the short term, even if in the long term everybody is better off.

I think it's actually a very sensible way to tax, but it's never going to happen. Hell, prop 13 it still a third rail.

First of all, thank you Patrick for letting me post here. Nevertheless, I wonder why the overly trashy messages were not flagged when people started to call me "Bitch". Do readers here prefer garbage? I want to remind everyone that it is very common in the real world for supporters to write positive reviews. There should be no need to remove them. The way I see it, it is not up to the readers or even the moderator or owner of the Forum to determine which comments are properly motivated and why? But it is needless to say that what should be removed and moderated is unprofessional and irrelevant language.

In a sense, what this really would do is revoke private ownership of land, and instead all land is leased from the state. Financially speaking it's not much different (25% different to be exact)

Given that this "tax" is really just like paying rent to the state, I actually like a market based solution better. Rather than having the rental value (tax) assessed, the land just gets leased on 10 years terms to the party that bids the highest rental rate (call it a tax if you insist). Fully transferable of course within local land use laws, and anytime a party voluntarily gives up use of the land, it's rented again at market rate. It's pretty hard to complain about your taxes if you actually bid the rate.

Good point! If you bid your tax rate, well, that was your own choice.

I also like it being fixed for some reasonably long time. 10 years seems a bit too long to me, since most owners actually own for only 6 years on average. But I could live with 10 years.

Of course there will be the cases where someone hits the 10 year mark and then gets outbid for their own land. The spectacle of people being forced out of what was their home for the last 10 years could be politically bad for this law. But then, it happens today with property taxes anyway.

Say, I think in China the government already is explicitly the landlord for all land. And their system seems to be working better than ours at the moment!

Say, I think in China the government already is explicitly the landlord for all land. Their seems seems to be working better than ours at the moment!

Yes, I was going to mention that as well.

It's still common in Chinese influenced cultures for land to be leased by wealthy old money land owners for long periods of time, and they have nothing to do with the activities or buildings on the land. They're just a parasite. Really it's the cornerstones of any feudal system. Your (land) Lord charges too much rent to farm their land and you go find another lord.

I see no reason not to turn Feudalism on it's head. Since somebody is going to be the parasite from land ownership, it might as well be the democratically elected government.

carlaghosn says

The way I see it, it is not up to the readers or even the moderator or owner of the Forum to determine which comments are properly motivated and why? But it is needless to say that what should be removed and moderated is unprofessional and irrelevant language.

Is this a fucking joke?

I see it as a huge tax loophole. I'm not big on taxes, but I don't think someone making a large sum of money should be exempt from taxes on profits. It seems like there is a possibility a company down the street could potentially end up paying the same amount of taxes as homeowners, depending on how it is zoned, of course. It also seems like a way to place the tax burden on property owners. Taxes are necessary for a civilized society to function and I really think everyone should contribute. Not just property owners.

Say, I think in China the government already is explicitly the landlord for all land. Their seems seems to be working better than ours at the moment!

And how did that work out in the Soviet Union?

kc6zlv says

I don’t think someone making a large sum of money should be exempt from taxes on profits.....Not just property owners.

I see a huge difference between somebody who makes a profit through passive rent-seeking, and somebody who makes a profit from productive enterprise. The later should be discouraged, and the former encouraged.

SubOink says

gameisrigged says

Zillow is utter bullshit. It’s in a league of its own.

In my area, its spot on with rent price estimates. And it does show the exact price a house sold at. Not sure what’s utter BS about that. Do you mean the Zestimates? Those are sometimes good and sometimes off, because they don’t know if a house is updated inside, or mold infested. Our house got appraised by the bank within $1k of the zillow zestimate. I thought it was pretty interesting.

Sometimes good and sometimes off? Do you find that a laudable goal?

Be careful every one.. The banks are telling Brokers to list homes for up to $50,000 $80,000 more then they really want..

Why because the cash buyers are really coming in with low offers. the banks think they can get closer to what they want this way... WE CANT SELL THEM AT THE LOWER list PRICE?????? stupid f-uckers

I am an agent and we had to list a number of homes that did not sell , with a higher price of $50,000-$80,000.. more on top of the Original list price,,,,, we will never sell them homes..
the banks are so f-ucked up..

All I can tell you folks out there is when you submit in offer on a home submit it $80,000 lower then asking, because its rigged by the banks,, their greedy son's of a bytchs.

we arer not selling shitt in the office.

I have 2 friends that are realtors and they told me that they are having a very difficult time closing a deal because everytime they get an offer in, some cash investor comes along and snags it right in front of them. They are very frustrated and haven't seen a comission in months. This is in the LA neighborhood.

Of course, I don't feel too bad for them because they made a killing between 1998-2006. You win some, you loose some. Or, you could get a real job like the rest of us :)

Okay, that was mean...I apologize but it just slipped out. No pun intended.

kc6zlv says

And how did that work out in the Soviet Union?

Good point! The Soviet Union failed because it did not let people keep the results of their own work. That system is exactly the opposite of what is being proposed here.

Land is not the result of anyone's work. So land is exactly the right thing to tax. Not labor.

A land-value tax also has the practical advantage that you can't hide land, and taxes paid are all public record. No one can evade the tax, except by corrupting the laws to get exemptions for themselves. Say, for example, by exempting everyone over 60 regardless of wealth...

lisa and Daniel says

Be careful every one.. The banks are telling Brokers to list homes for up to $50,000 $80,000 more then they really want..
Why because the cash buyers are really coming in with low offers. the banks think they can get closer to what they want this way… WE CANT SELL THEM AT THE LOWER list PRICE?????? stupid f-uckers
I am an agent and we had to list a number of homes that did not sell , with a higher price of $50,000-$80,000.. more on top of the Original list price,,,,, we will never sell them homes..

the banks are so f-ucked up..
All I can tell you folks out there is when you submit in offer on a home submit it $80,000 lower then asking, because its rigged by the banks,, their greedy son’s of a bytchs.
we arer not selling shitt in the office.

Hey, too bad it is the banks and not the agents have nothing to do with higher listing price.

"Both ground- rents and the ordinary rent of land are a species of revenue which the owner, in many cases, enjoys without any care or attention of his own. The annual produce of the land and labour of the society, the real wealth and revenue of the great body of the people, might be the same after such a tax as before. Ground-rents, and the ordinary rent of land are, therefore, perhaps the species of revenue which can best bear to have a peculiar tax imposed upon them."

Adam Smith

lisa and Daniel says

All I can tell you folks out there is when you submit in offer on a home submit it $80,000 lower then asking, because its rigged by the banks,, their greedy son’s of a bytchs.

I'm going to look at a house this weekend. Foreclosure. Depending on how much work needs to be done, I'm not going to offer more than 90% of its list price. I can tell that they aren't pricing as low as they used to, so I'll start there and work my way down depending on how much $ the house needs. Then again, I might not make an offer at all. But your theory may be correct if my anecdotal observations aren't wrong. After all, they are controlling the volume of houses they're putting on the markets.