patrick.net

I have a brother-in-law that runs a small gaming company and everything techy is done in Argentina.

I wonder how much longer NBC's morning news show will be able to sit next to Barbara Corchoran (sp?) with a straight face, as she talks about the "bargains" available around the country? Of course all the networks probably have their resident shills, but that's the one that pops into mind.

Hey guys, Tim Ellis from Redfin (and also Seattle Bubble) here.

Thanks for catching this.

We've dug into the jobs that generate these charts and figured out that the way we are calculating the list price per square foot has an error that affects the price we display on the chart for past dates. The current point is accurate, but the past points are being incorrectly adjusted downward, resulting in the upward tilt toward the end of all the charts.

We're working on a fix, but at this point I can't say for sure when it will be live.

awesome. thanks for the update tim.

If you are not getting $100k+ from the stock option or bonus, then you are at the bottom of the company food chain.

How else people buy these $2 million house with the $60k average household income.

EBGuy,

not a troy ounce. Holding on till our QE is over.

What simcha might possibly be trying to say is that, when a person uses the professional services of another person, they're often in a position to be taken advantage of. The trust that a woman has for her doctor takes on an idol worship-like relationship, which is ripe for the doctor to take advantage of her vulnerability. This is a line that should not be crossed. If a patient and doctor are attracted to each other, the appropriate action is to find another doctor. There's generally a waiting period for the patient/doctor relationship. This same issue can be raised with lawyers, teachers, therapists, etc. The vulnerability of a patient toward their doctor can also be a man patient woman doctor, or same-sex. It's not exclusive to any particular gender. But it's sick & wrong for a doc to have sex with his patient. FYI

Tim Ellis (Redfin) says

We’ve dug into the jobs that generate these charts and figured out that the way we are calculating the list price per square foot has an error that affects the price we display on the chart for past dates. The current point is accurate, but the past points are being incorrectly adjusted downward, resulting in the upward tilt toward the end of all the charts.

Any chance that the current list price per square foot is ALSO in error? Just curious as the 'up-tilt' glitch has been in the system for a while (at least since November of 2010).

Better to use DQnew data ...been doing for 20 years, long before the web upstarts and their
"mythical algorithm". The public puts too much faith into Zillow's zestimates and Redfin Charts.

I'm not even sure what he did is that bad, depending on the circumstances, which are not clear clear at all. Maybe we should ban rock stars and politicians from having sex with their star-gazed groupies? I bet you anything that show would put on Bernie Madoff's, or Charlie Manson's, or any home that belonged to a famous genuinely unsavory character, if it was a photogenic house. Not sure why you're singling out this doctor. Oh. It's because it's about sex. Duh.

The title of that show is pretty funny. For $1M you can get a run down 1200 square foot home in Palo Alto. Yeah! Now that would be a funny episode.

I'll give 50/50 odds it was the boob-job "patient" who brought the charges against him after she couldn't extract out of him what she wanted.

thomas.wong1986 says

Better to use DQnew data …been doing for 20 years, long before the web upstarts and their

“mythical algorithm”. The public puts too much faith into Zillow’s zestimates and Redfin Charts.

Right. I never liked those Redfin charts too much. If you look at the small graph that comes up when you first enter the area you're looking at, and then go to the detail page and look at the large graph, the two graphs don't even agree with each other. Although I wouldn't equate Redfin and Zillow. Zillow is utter bullshit. It's in a league of its own.

Really? Really?

I am reminded of this underrated movie: Breast Men Chris Cooper is always great, but..... my personal favorite moment is David Schwimmer's death scene. It's one of those scenes that just WHAM, it STUCK with me. Funny how that works. Like when Usual Suspects surprised me. Or like nearly 30 years ago Magnum P.I. had a WHAM episode that I saw a scene copied on "Archer" and I instantly recognized it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T7vW1oEKP1k

gameisrigged says

Zillow is utter bullshit. It’s in a league of its own.

In my area, its spot on with rent price estimates. And it does show the exact price a house sold at. Not sure what's utter BS about that. Do you mean the Zestimates? Those are sometimes good and sometimes off, because they don't know if a house is updated inside, or mold infested. Our house got appraised by the bank within $1k of the zillow zestimate. I thought it was pretty interesting.

How did I miss Breast Men? Back to "Really?"

zillow is pure BS. I had my house appraised for a re-fi to lower rate/terms... zillow was "off" by $200k.

I'm an agent and this is getting embarrassing to hear NAR open its mouth. They are on the wrong side of the debate. Worse, they want a dues increase to "lobby" congress.
Great, more money to the pimps & whores in Washington.
Folks, please stay on NAR to correct the skyed up sales figures. Still no correction of a + 20-40% overstatement. All I get is,"we're working on it".

I was browsing Detroit area (upscale NW suburbs) houses and "zestimate" for many houses was TWICE the asking price. I.e. DOUBLE. Like, asking $325,000 (and not sold), Zestimate $650,000.

Zestimate is utter BS.

This is awsome. I'm not sure what 'caal' means maybe you should call the site 'FB Parade' or something. Make sure to have a feature where they can print fake unemployment letters and fake paystubs to prove hardship! haha I'm kidding....people do that themselves with a copier at kinkos....no demand.

pkowen says

I was browsing Detroit area (upscale NW suburbs) houses and “zestimate” for many houses was TWICE the asking price. I.e. DOUBLE. Like, asking $325,000 (and not sold), Zestimate $650,000.
Zestimate is utter BS.

Zillow is not bullshit. As long as you know that it shows "Wishful thinking" prices, not actual selling prices. In Detroit the "Wishful" prices are 2x of the actual selling prices. In the Bay Area, the buyers don't seem to be as bright as the ones in Detroit, so the "Wishful" prices closer approximate the selling prices.

Caal (www.mycaal.com) is an online software company for real estate financing. Focused on the consumer, our first product (Caal Loan Modification Software) allows homeowners to see if they qualify for a HAMP or a private Loan Modification in a private and affordable way. Checking if one is qualified can be done in minutes as opposed to 6-12 months wait in a bank queue. Also, even if you find out that you are not qualified, at least you can know that in minutes as opposed to 6-12 months. Check out statistics of http://bailout.propublica.org/loan_mods/list. Why so many canceled mods and canceled trials? One of the reasons is that from the onset many applicants either do not qualify or have not prepared successful applications so they get cancelled out during the process

Caal software is not only good for the consumers, but also for the banks. If the Banks were to have their clients get pre qualified through Caal, they can run their operations far more efficiently and save months of waste time and red tape. With Caal, everyone is better off.

Does the software tell me how long I have to be unemployed to get a loan mod? I want to quit my job, get a loan mod (5 year at 2% interest rate AND a principal reduction). THEN I will start working again and make fun of all my chump ass neighbors for being chumps! "working is fer chumps!". "only dopes pay the mortgage" ,etc. Also does the software provide a list of insults for me to use? Its hard to come up with them. I would pay extra for this, try bundling the services offered! EGGCELLENT WORK!

PockyClipsNow -> the software does not tell you to be unemployed or employed. It simply tells you if you are qualified or not.

In the beginning down here, when the market was on the way down, most of the best listings said no FHA loans. It didn't matter to me, because the market wasn't where it was headed, or where I bought at for that matter. Otherwise I would have gotten more vocal and active, than bitching about it on Patnet.

I think the biggest problem with FHA loans, are the Buyer may be led to believe with a 100% certainty that they have financing. While as much as an hour before closing, the rug may pulled from under the whole deal.

"Bang up job, on Mortgage reform GUYS!"

OH! And thanks for the price fixed inflation in every commodity sector too! BOY did we ever get change?

At this rate, armed robbery will be legal by December. Provided you're a College grad, and have a million dollars in the bank. For the rest of us pissants, it's Pay UP Sucka!

I like that your service allows people to self-qualify for a loan modification. I think many people in this area would qualify but have given up due to the complexity of loan modification paperwork. Having an online tool is great.

FHA requires certain things in the inspection that the current owners / bank may not want to deal with.

http://www.biggerpockets.com/renewsblog/2010/04/25/fha-property-inspection-checklist/

FHA and VA loans usually take longer to close too. We fought hard and got ours closed in 30 days.

dunnross says

pkowen says

I was browsing Detroit area (upscale NW suburbs) houses and “zestimate” for many houses was TWICE the asking price. I.e. DOUBLE. Like, asking $325,000 (and not sold), Zestimate $650,000.

Zestimate is utter BS.

Zillow is not bullshit. As long as you know that it shows “Wishful thinking” prices, not actual selling prices. In Detroit the “Wishful” prices are 2x of the actual selling prices. In the Bay Area, the buyers don’t seem to be as bright as the ones in Detroit, so the “Wishful” prices closer approximate the selling prices.

Well, I stand corrected. Should be the "Wishtimate".

VA loans are a pain. So many inspections, changes, rules and on and on and the seller pays for closing costs. I sold a house in rural Napa county in the 90s and even though the septic was working fine (even a licensed septic guy came out and said it was working well and he stood to gain by doing work) and had been pumped a year earlier the VA required the leach field to be ripped out and re-done at my expense. You even have to have an appraiser that is certified by VA. When I sold another home not long after that ordeal, I directed the realtor to not even bring me another VA offer. About a week after putting another property on the market he called to tell me it was a VA loan but they would offer several thousand above asking to take care of the closing costs, etc. so I sold it with the buyer using a VA loan.

: )

One problem though is that this will utterly gut the REIT business model.

All those self-storage places sitting on their land waiting for it to ripen will get get hit with the tax rise, since Prop 13 is very kind to this type of land-hoarding.

Hey Patrick, why are you not shutting down this parade of dummy accounts?

Looks like people flagged several down already (three flags will put them back into moderation) and I deleted a few. I like to give the benefit of the doubt, but overly complimentary comments from new users seem like they must be shill comments. I have to admit that Carla wrote me wanting me to link to her business in the newslinks, and I myself suggested she post to the forum to see what you all thought.

I love it!

This provision sounds like a bit of a scam though:

"Senior homeowners aged 60 or older will be able to defer until July 1, 2020 all land taxes in excess of the property taxes they paid in the year preceding the July 1, 2011 effective date of the reform. "

Why should mega-rich senior citizens be exempt? Only poor senior citizens should be exempt.

Wow.
This engine didn't like some of my ascii

Sorry reposting...

See? This is what I'm always pointing out... Finding a graph that backs up your claim that (insert what your claim is as I'm a little lost...)... well it's possible. And by the looks of your graph there... Hey! Things are looking up...

or wait...

If you're still in the market... isn't it better prices go down so you can buy more houses, insert more tenants and grow your empire? Surely... as you claim... you're an income investor, wouldn't that be the best scenario?

So why would you want prices to rise?

Unless you're worried that a drop in prices will lower home values to the point that tenants would rather buy than pay your rents. So you'll eventually be forced to lower them. Sure you would still be in the black, but your original $$ would serve you better invested elsewhere.

My last guess is that you're a bit of a pompous old fart (I know I am) and can't believe with all your careful research and pouring over data that you may... just may... have jumped into the landlord market a little early and because you made so much noise while doing it... well now you have egg on your face.

If you do answer this post, here's my question:

Why do you want home prices to rise? Which it seems to me you're fervent about...

I love it!
This provision sounds like a bit of a scam though:

“Senior homeowners aged 60 or older will be able to defer until July 1, 2020 all land taxes in excess of the property taxes they paid in the year preceding the July 1, 2011 effective date of the reform. “

Why should mega-rich senior citizens be exempt? Only poor senior citizens should be exempt.

Well, for one most of the mega rich are senior citizens.

Troy says

One problem though is that this will utterly gut the REIT business model.

It will gut lots of business models. Anybody that's a homeowner would lose MASSIVELY, since all their sudden the costs of home ownership go way up. Of course that will be offset by elimination of sales and income taxes. There would be lots of losers and winners in the short term, even if in the long term everybody is better off.

I think it's actually a very sensible way to tax, but it's never going to happen. Hell, prop 13 it still a third rail.

First of all, thank you Patrick for letting me post here. Nevertheless, I wonder why the overly trashy messages were not flagged when people started to call me "Bitch". Do readers here prefer garbage? I want to remind everyone that it is very common in the real world for supporters to write positive reviews. There should be no need to remove them. The way I see it, it is not up to the readers or even the moderator or owner of the Forum to determine which comments are properly motivated and why? But it is needless to say that what should be removed and moderated is unprofessional and irrelevant language.

In a sense, what this really would do is revoke private ownership of land, and instead all land is leased from the state. Financially speaking it's not much different (25% different to be exact)

Given that this "tax" is really just like paying rent to the state, I actually like a market based solution better. Rather than having the rental value (tax) assessed, the land just gets leased on 10 years terms to the party that bids the highest rental rate (call it a tax if you insist). Fully transferable of course within local land use laws, and anytime a party voluntarily gives up use of the land, it's rented again at market rate. It's pretty hard to complain about your taxes if you actually bid the rate.