patrick.net

Like I said, this is a gift for the Dems.

Assuming the reality of the situation escapes the rightwing media machine's obfuscation and enough voters grow the f- up.

Obama's alleged bargaining "sacrifices" really really pissed me off -- pushing off my medicare two years (costing me who knows how much), cutting my social security by $1000/yr.

Granted, if the Republicans walk away from this and destroy the country it will have been a master, master stroke by Obama and I will forgive him.

Republicans wanted to fight in Iraq and blow $3T on our military 2002-now, and now they don't want to pay for it, or, worse, they want ME to pay for it when I was against going in in the first place. F-ing Idiots.

Don't forget it was Republicans that wanted TARP.
Obama had no choice to keep it going. Now,
it is time to cut the budget and increase the
revenue.

What about all the unemployed inner city blacks and poor rural whites?

Farmers just don't want to pay free market wages.

Nobody says

Don't forget it was Republicans that wanted TARP.

Obama had no choice to keep it going. Now,

it is time to cut the budget and increase the

revenue.

Rofl, now TARP is 100% Republican? It was mostly the Republicans who voted it down initially. The dems were mostly behind it in full force. In the end, it was a bipartisan effort. They all loaded their special interests into the bill and voted as if this were a common everyday bill

EMan says

you and some media out there are very biased toward having a balanced budget without more taxes

LOL. Do you have functioning brain?

Since 2000:
The defense budget has nearly TRIPLED, rising from $350B to $950B.
Medicare/Medicaid has DOUBLED, from $400B to $900B.
The FICA surplus has gone from $70B to a deficit of $30B, a swing of $100B.
Welfare has DOUBLED from $200B to $500B.

Meanwhile, federal income taxes are $50B LESS than 2000:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=15B

OF COURSE WE HAVE TO RAISE TAXES TO PAY FOR ALL THIS SPENDING.

Of course, the Republican strategy is to force spending cuts, but not in defense. They want to cut social security, medicare, medicaid, welfare, education, etc.

We are so f-ed. Hello China or Mexico.

Nobody says

Don't forget it was Republicans that wanted TARP.

Obama had no choice to keep it going. Now,

it is time to cut the budget and increase the

revenue.

Yeah because it was a Republican controlled senate and congress right? And because it was Obama that promptly ran home to craft the TARP bail outs from his campaign trail, as to look rationale and doing something.

It's the Mongolians fault! It was the Penguins, we've been framed!

Oh and Bravo!!!!

Obama doesn't get to complete his Vanity mission.
He'll go down in History as a one term failure.

That is Change we can all agree on. The bipartisan summer of love, the Universal Health care, the ending of two wars, the not raising taxes on single penny for any American....

The Lies, after lies, after lies, after lies...

Thank God someone is stopping that Mad Man.

Gold's bubble will probably bust in 2-3 yrs.

Shrek--

Why is McConnell maneuvering behind the scenes for a new plan B if the Republicans are so much "in control"

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0711/58801.html

It doesn't sound like Boehner even has control of his party anymore...

McConnell's plan to push this on the Dems is going nowhere, I hope.

Just raise the f-ing debt limit already.

You wanted a $3T war, we've got to keep borrowing or raise taxes to pay for it someday.

Federal income tax revenues are lower now than they were in 2000:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=15B

so we know cutting taxes for the "job creators" does not create jobs.

But I am curious whether the conservative spin machine will succeed in putting this on Obama. it's a quality gambit, I'll give you mofos that.

If shrekgrinch isn't trolling... Holy shit.

shrekgrinch says

No, the mathematics of the situation DEMANDS it. The Reps just want to destroy Obama's presidency by making him be the instrument of said mathematics.

What specifically... mathmatically... makes THIS the moment in time that huge, multi-trillion dollar cuts HAVE to be implemented? Also, why wasn't it viable to make huge spending cuts during the Bush years? Why now? Is it possible it has anything to do with poll numbers?

heh:

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=15G

Income taxes have fallen to 8% of GDP.

Too high! We must keep taxes historically low on the "job creators" or they will flee to much higher tax locales!

What a line of hoo-haw.

Who want's a War?

Shoot I ain't never been good for nuthin' 'cept for lovin'.

Who want's a War?

96% of House Republicans and 98% of Rep Senators did, in 2002.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Authorization_for_Use_of_Military_Force_Against_Iraq_Resolution_of_2002#Passage

Ah yes, he's so staunch and unyielding, that steamroller of a man who never offers compromise or alternatives...

Related and equally connected to relevance, here're some anagrams for "Obama Threatens to Make Granny Eat Cat Food":

A Cabana Ed Forges Totter Hmm Knotty
A Cabana Ed Heft Grommets Knotty Tor
A Cabana Ed Knee Forgot Hmm Tot Tryst
A Cabana Ed Meek Front Got Myth Torts
A Cabana Ed Tether Fort Gym Knots Tom

What I see and hear a lot of in our neighborhood are the shops buying gold, not sure what their business model is. And tons of commercials for home loans at very low rates.

Not sure what to make out of it all.

Troy says

Who want's a War?

96% of House Republicans and 98% of House Senators did, in 2002.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Authorization_for_Use_of_Military_Force_Against_Iraq_Resolution_of_2002#Passage

“Nessuna soluzione . . . nessun problema!„

And I was austricized both Left and Right, when I agreed with Richard Geer and the Dixie Chicks. Remember that huh?
Where was the Liberal media, Oh that's right, they were leading the angry Mob, to burn the Dixie Chicks at the sake, torches and all.

And I was austricized

?

Dur unt ya, I vas tuned indo an Austrian. Hear me now and smell my breath lattah...

EMan says

Not sure what to make out of it all.

Sheer desperation.

And in the mean time the Liberal press want's to go to the middle East and hold hand and sing Kumiya with the protestors, that are starving and increasingly getting emaciated everyday because we're all so damn proud of our Gold Bubble, while they scrounge for dog cakes and camel droppings.
Then we act surprised when they are whisked away by angry protestors and turned over to the very Government our Government says they are protesting.

Liberator or the man who shat on the worlds dinner plate?
You be the judge...

Yay Gold!!!

in a further demonstration of "fuck the constitution, lets simply do whatever we need to do for political gain"

This is a cut-throat political proposal, but it is constitutional, should the Dems go along with it.

It's up to We The People to figure out who's right in this, next November.

The American people made a serious mistake in the 1920s, and 1994-2004, so they may not fully come to understanding of the current crisis until a few more years.

If anything, given the immense amount of propaganda being generated with the Peterson Foundation, the Koch money, the Scaife media, the American people may not ever gain enlightenment on this. Just look at the several conservatives on this site, they're immune to reason and facts, and they want to keep it that way.

Wish I spoke Swedish. I took German in high school, mebbe I can go there when this country fails.

Sadly, it's extremely believable. Anything that allows plausible (or even implausible) deniability on the part of our elected officials is to be expected.

Democrats are in the minority and need Republicans to raise the ceiling with them in the House. Not to mention I am not sure if Pelosi and Reid are going to be eager to give the GOP an escape. They will want them to do the same.

This debt ceiling debate is a complete joke. Don't you people understand that Wall St., which controls the govt., is sitting on billions in T-Bills that woudl be worthless if the debt ceiling is not raised? NOBODY in Congress is crazy enough to vote against Goldman Sachs.

HousingWatcher says

, is sitting on billions in T-Bills that woudl be worthless if the debt ceiling is not raised?

Nope, you don't quite understand. If this were an actual crisis, not increasing the debt limit would actually protect the debt already issued.

What the debt limit does is prioritize gov't outlays to servicing the debt as it comes due, then people with contracts.

Granny's SSI is legally at the end of the line.

http://www.frumforum.com/social-security-checks-are-not-guaranteed

There is no legal requirement to pay bond holders first. Obama could pull a fast one by not paying bond holders, allowing for default, and blaming the carnage on Republicans. It would be a HUGE gamble that woudl result in him either winning or losing in a landslide in 2012. As we saw in the GM bankruptcy, Obama knows a thing or two about ignoring bond holders.

Yeah, but we took away the power when Obama
really needed to do good. Sure he was messing
up in some respect. But how can you give him
only two years to fail him?

Ummm,, Social Security income is intended to be supplimental income. Besides that, they aren't going to be reducing the benefits (unfortumately). Only raising the age over time (weak).

Besides that, cat food really doesn't taste bad like they keep saying. Have you tried any?

Nobody says

I guess people quickly had forgotten that this
recession started during Bush administration.

Obama may not be doing the right thing. But
can we really blame him alone when it took 8 years
for Bush to do all the damage?

This recession started in the late 70's with minor blips along the way.

holy crap...Ron Paul really corned Bernanke today. It was pretty funny.

He just ended the dialogue and the conversation went sorta like this:

RP: "Do you think gold is money?"

Bernanke: "No"

RP: "It functioned as money for $6000 years, why do central banks still hold gold?"

Bernanke: "It's an asset"

RP: "Why not hold diamonds? That's an asset?"

Bernanke: "It's tradition"

it was pretty funny seeing Bernanke put on the spot and watching him pause, and lie

zzyzzx says

This recession started in the late 70's with minor blips along the way.

I don't think you understand how a recession is defined.

As per the National Bureau of Economic Research:
"a significant decline in [the] economic activity spread across the country, for at least three months, normally visible in real GDP growth, real personal income, employment (non-farm payrolls), industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales."

Not really a 40 year measuring tool. If a recession last "too long" it then becomes a depression.

Perhaps you are thinking of the growing wealth disparity that did begin around 1979 years ago.

I think the case can be made the recession started in the 1970s.

We abandoned fiscal probity in 1983 or thereabouts, and have been living on credit and our reserve currency float since then. The current recession is a continuation of the tech recession which was a continuation of the 1991 recession which was the after party of the 1980s debt binge

Troy says

I think the case can be made the recession started in the 1970s.

Maybe it is just semantics here, but I don't see today's recession starting in the '70s, but certainly policy changes starting back then have made large contributions in creating the environment for a recession today.

At any point along the way we could have changed our direction, and perhaps avoided the recession today. So, what "started" in the '70s could have been avoided by changes in the '80s, '90s or even '00s.

theoakman says

holy crap...Ron Paul really corned Bernanke today. It was pretty funny.

Yeah, Benny got really upset.

If gold is so unimportant, why do central banks go out of their way to keep it?

thunderlips11 says

If gold is so unimportant, why do central banks go out of their way to keep it?

central banks all around the world are net buyers of gold. Clearly, even they are losing faith in their own fiat currency.

thunderlips11 says

Yeah, Benny got really upset.

If gold is so unimportant, why do central banks go out of their way to keep it?

There really is no getting around that one. Not one person who argues against a rising gold price and gold as a monetary asset can explain why central banks all over the world insist on keeping all that gold locked in their vaults. I guess its just for the hell of it. Oh wait...we have central banks increasing their gold reserves now. Again, I'd like to have anyone explain this one if gold is indeed, not money, and not important.

thunderlips11 says

What about all the unemployed inner city blacks and poor rural whites?

Farmers just don't want to pay free market wages.

Yep, that is a big part of the problem. That and Americans don't want to pay free market prices for their food.

This is great. Hopefully the democrats grow a pair and keep this pressure up. Let the republicans put their money where their mouth is and start making difficult cuts. Not tweaking a million here and a million there out of a multi trillion dollar budget, but real cuts.

They can cut the military, social security, or medicare. Everything else is minor and if they eliminated ALL of it (NASA, Dept of Ed and Energy, etc.), there would still be a big deficit.

Good luck trying not to cut any of those to a substantial degree without raising tax revenue. I don't believe it possible.

austrian_man says

Where is the irrational exuberance?

See quote below.

All factors point an upward momentum for gold.

There is an old saying, "when the shoe shine boy starts giving you stock tips, it's time to get out of the market." Back in 2000, Anna Kuornikova, the hot tennis player, was making commercials advocating stocks. She was the shoe shine boy. Next, every shoe shine boy was talking about real estate. Today it's gold.

Sure, gold prices could continue to rise for years. But they could also reverse at any time. The reasons I think gold is in a bubble are:

1. Interest rates are so low that there are no other investments that money is chasing (except bonds to some extent).
2. Everyone is harping about how great gold is. Perfect shoe shine boy behavior.
3. The price of gold relative to other commodities like food, copper, and toilet paper is high. If inflation is solely responsible for the price of gold, then one would expect all commodities to rise more or less the same.

There are also 11 Signs That Gold Is In A Bubble That Is Going To Burst according to the Business Insider in sharp contrast to the idea that "All factors point an upward momentum for gold."

Motley Fool also warns that gold is in a bubble and has debated both sides of the issue.

The gold bubble has been discussed in Seeking Alpha and the Wall Street Journal with scary graphs like

and conclusions like "Gold is a high-risk and potentially dangerous speculation. Anyone thinking of investing needs to do some serious thinking first."

There is even a Gold Bubble Blog -- not affiliate with Patrick.net.

Generally, by the time people start talking about a bubble possibly existing, it has already become prime to burst. Of course, I don't know when the gold bubble with burst, but I do know it will, and I am strongly against buying into bubbles late in the game. Sure, you could still make a lot of money, but that opportunity comes with high risk.

To be fair, some of the increase in the price in gold is justified. I just don't think the lion's share is.

You have to remember that gold isn't going up. Dollars are going down.