patrick.net

There isn't any way that the rental market could become a bubble.LMAO

Florida has a homestead exemption but you have to have a current state ID to apply for it. Change your drivers license.

I live in Florida. You can only claim homestead exemption for your primary house. Sure, you can rent it out, but the county does check and you lose your exemption if they find out you are not living there. Those with HE have their future tax asessed values capped at 3% per year. During the bubble, we had many properties increase 400% within five years. So, if you had HE your tax bill didn't go up much. But if you happened to rent that property, you saw your taxes triple.

Why is this 2009 article on RENTS trending at all? The stock market was at 6000 in March 2009.. We were in the middle of a financial market crash.. of course rents were low!

Are bears really desperate enough to point to 2009 articles for confirmation rents are heading lower in 2012?

Are housing pimps desperate enough to lie to the public about housing when rents are headed lower in;

Denver (-8.8%)
Chicago (-4.8%)
Los Angeles (-2.6%)

http://newsroom.transunion.com/MediaLibraries/TransUnion/Documents/graphics/1Q12/Q1-2012_SolutionsReport.pdf

you lying bastards.

Re: 2009. The first post in this thread mentioned it and I already answered. I didn't check the date and relied on Google filtering articles from just the last month.

The stock market has risen by 100% since 2009. It rose on the excuses of "v shaped bottom", "green shoots", "recession is over". Looking back, that rally was 100% wrong. The federal reserve just told us things will suck until at least 2015. With interest rates this low, I would argue the bears are correct. Can you support a bull market in real estate and rents under these fundamentals?

Since you mentioned 2009, I will also mention that most of the new construction since then has been in apartments. Bulls want us to think once the deadbeats are kicked out due to foreclosure they will have to re-rent the very home they lost. Nope. They will have plenty of choices. From new apartments, to millions of novice landlords who are buying foreclosures thinking they will get rich renting them out. Supply and demand. Loads of rental supply coming....

Realtors® Are Filthy Liars says

Denver (-8.8%)
Chicago (-4.8%)
Los Angeles (-2.6%)

Ahem, so what?

This is a Bay Area Centric website. Patrick got frustrated with how Different It Is Here, so he made the website.

Realtors Are Filthy Liars says

Are housing pimps desperate enough to lie to the public about housing when rents are headed lower in;

Denver (-8.8%)
Chicago (-4.8%)
Los Angeles (-2.6%)

You are already inheriting our SF Bay Area high tech jobs... other states are booming benefiting from higher costs in CA.

No one talks about how Gen Y/ The Millenial generation approx 1982-2001 is much larger than the baby boomer generation. So those that think there will be an oversupply of housing is just wrong. Maybe some surburban tracts will be demolished out far from work centers... But the millenial generation will keep rents high until they absorb boomer housing at their death rate or better with ease.

B.A.C.A.H. says

This is a Bay Area Centric website. Patrick got frustrated with how Different It Is Here, so he made the website.

You may want it to be.... but it's not.

BoomAndBustCycle says

No one talks about how Gen Y/ The Millenial generation approx 1982-2001 is much larger than the baby boomer generation. So those that think there will be an oversupply of housing is just wrong. Maybe some surburban tracts will be demolished out far from work centers... But the millenial generation will keep rents high until they absorb boomer housing at their death rate or better with ease.

And how will they will be able to pay for their expensive houses? Their wages are low and anyone with a higher education will be straddled with debt. Their parents are likely tapped out. Do they have the ability to actually buy houses or will they be a generation of low income renters?

Massive Housing Inventory says

Are housing pimps desperate enough to lie to the public about housing when rents are headed lower in;

Denver (-8.8%)

I rented in Denver in Q2 2012 and my experience does not jibe with a 8.8% decrease in rents. The market was tight and rents were increasing. I was restricting myself to a relatively small area, but every indication I had was that rents in general had increased and were still increasing.

I don't buy it.

"Yep, if that chart doesn't SCREAM recovery..... nothing does!!! Starts at the lowest level since records were kept, the future looks booming!!!"

LOL, too funny... that chart... LMAO The duck has been plucked!

That is disgusting. Not only do you negative nancys have no fantasy world of riches to turn into reality you also have NO CONCEPT OF DECENCY. My god man how can you post a picture like that… its… its… simply HORRIBLE. How would you like me to start posting pictures of hanging naked humans??? As for this topic its irrelevant, no matter how low rents fall you will still be a landlord TYCOOOOOOON. As rents fall simply buy more and more houses. Tre Simple!!! KACHINGCHING

duckhead says

That is disgusting. Not only do you negative nancys have no fantasy world of riches to turn into reality you also have NO CONCEPT OF DECENCY. My god man how can you post a picture like that… its… its… simply HORRIBLE.

Genius. Comedy gold.

duckhead says

you also have NO CONCEPT OF DECENCY. My god man how can you post a picture like that… its… its… simply HORRIBLE.

That's Chick-fil-A!

During the US bubble, many said “Prices only go up…” because of X, Y and Z reasons.

Now that the buble popped, many of the (newer) regulars around here say “Prices only go down.” Because of X, Y and Z reasons.

The truth is almost always somewhere in-between.

For what it’s, all of my metrics indicate that prices have more or less bottomed. History will prove if I’m right or wrong (not that I care too much about being right). But please people, lets be rational. 1960’s prices… I don’t see that happening.

Yep. Rents are falling. Only cheese prices are rising.

robertoaribas says

apocolypsefuck is still winning in my book, but duckhead is in a strong second position for the main reasons to read this site!

It's the best screen name by far and that alone qualifies to be on every possible blog. When I am zoning off in the morning before work watching my stocks go up for no reason I get that blank stare and in those minutes I try to figure out what this screen name could possibly mean and how Shostakovich is connected to the apocalypse. This goes even deeper than picking the daily winner of computer generated spam email subjects and beats any politician's, banker's, lawyer's, real estate agent's or Keynesian economist's dribble of the day. Dow to 50K, long printing presses and mortgages!

mell says

robertoaribas says

apocolypsefuck is still winning in my book, but duckhead is in a strong second position for the main reasons to read this site!

It's the best screen name by far and that alone qualifies to be on every possible blog. When I am zoning off in the morning before work watching my stocks go up for no reason I get that blank stare and in those minutes I try to figure out what this screen name could possibly mean and how Shostakovich is connected to the apocalypse. This goes even deeper than picking the daily winner of computer generated spam email subjects and beats any politician's, banker's, lawyer's, real estate agent's or Keynesian economist's dribble of the day. Dow to 50K, long printing presses and mortgages!

Shostakovich was a proponent of subsistence farming. He loved tubers in all shapes, sizes and varieties.

We know how fond AF is of this skill. He is merely honoring his philosophical mentor.

Median Rental Rate Tumbles 14% In Downtown West Palm Beach In 2012

The demand for rental units in the Downtown West Palm Beach / Palm Beach Island coastal market decreased even as the median monthly lease price tumbled to less than $1.35 per square foot in 2012 from about $1.55 per square foot in the same period in 2011 and more than $1.65 per square foot in 2010, according to the report.

http://www.condovultures.com/News/ViewArticle/tabid/77/ArticleId/106638/Median-Rental-Rate-Tumbles-14-In-Downtown-West-Palm-Beach-In-2012.aspx

Median rents on a per-square-foot basis, meanwhile, dropped 3 percent in February from a year earlier after climbing 1.5 percent in the 12 months through February 2012 and 3 percent a year earlier, according to Fletcher Wilcox, a real estate analyst at Grand Canyon Title Agency in Phoenix.

......while Las Vegas rents fell 4.1 percent to a median 70 cents a square foot over the same timeframe, according to RentRange LLC.........

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-18/rent-gains-trail-as-blackstone-crowds-u-s-with-homes.html

Not in the bay area at least rents have not dropped in Mountain View, Sunnyvale or Santa Clara yet.

CaptainShuddup says

I think it's time Cities across America tax investor/landlords especially on single family homes

Many dont realize that rental incomes under reported to the IRS since they lack a well documented audit trail like W-2s and 1099s.

Tax revenues from Rental Income would spike if one was to give a credit to renters.. as long as they report total payments made to landlords. Would bring in 100s of Billions in taxes. Everthing from Room Rentals to SFH rentals... there is alot of room for improvements.

Trust but verify...

IRS looks to cut rental tax losses
Thursday, March 10, 2011

The Internal Revenue Service needs to keep a closer eye on landlords. They apparently are not reporting all their income.

That's the word from the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration, or TIGTA, the federal office that keeps tabs on the IRS. TIGTA recently looked more closely at rental activity and its associated tax revenue because in August 2008, the Government Accountability Office reported that more than half of taxpayers with rental real estate activity in 2001 misreported their income and losses to the tune of $12.4 billion.

So what did TIGTA's follow-up find? That the IRS is indeed leaving lots of rental tax money uncollected.

35% rise in prices plus unsustainable rent rate may make Phoenix “scratching head” for money managers think that maybe is a time to take profits.

REpro says

35% rise in prices plus unsustainable rent rate may make Phoenix “scratching head” for money managers think that maybe is a time to take profits.

@REpro,

So when do you think it's time to take some chips off the table for the Bay Area? :)

E-man says

So when do you think it's time to take some chips off the table for the Bay Area?

It’s not about when, but how to detect right time.