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Fed prepares to act. what will they do?


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2011 Sep 7, 12:16pm   1,223 views  4 comments

by uomo_senza_nome   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2011/09/wsj-fed-prepares-to-act.html

Option 1: Operation Twist.

Option 2: Cut interest rate on excess reserves, forcing banks to take lending risks with their reserves (hint...more inflation).

Option 3: Word magic and don't really do anything lol.

Option 1 is the most likely I think...any thoughts?

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1   MisdemeanorRebel   2011 Sep 8, 2:20am  

No idea. What ammo do they have left?

Reserve Requirements are low.
Interest Rates are rock bottom.

Doing something with long term interest rates?

2   uomo_senza_nome   2011 Sep 8, 2:31am  

thunderlips11 says

Doing something with long term interest rates?

Which is what's Operation Twist. Maturing Short Term investments are taken and then Long Term investments are added to the Fed's portfolio. This has an effect of lowering the interest rate on the 7y, 10y and 30y T-notes. They're going to call it 'duration extension' of their portfolio. Which they hope will stimulate and help the economy.

I think this and excess reserve interest rate cuts (the Fed is paying 0.25% to the banks for depositing the money with the Fed) are the only two actionable options. Banks will be forced to lend the money if they cut interest rates on excess reserves, which I think will be very inflationary. We'll see.

3   badhumvee-yahoo-com   2011 Sep 8, 9:30am  

Remember how Hank Paulson strong armed the banks back in 2008 to take the raw deal at that emergency meeting or else... I think Timothy Geithner has a great opportunity to get that tradition going given equally serious crisis today. Some how compel the banks to lend money to small business, make taking mortgages easier (banks take more risk), take principal hair cuts, etc, all this with verifiable time-bound targets...OR ELSE... Sorry, I am also not quite happy with this approach, but nothing else comes to mind that will make a dent.

4   Done!   2011 Sep 8, 9:45am  

How can you tell when stocks are tanking?

Bernakes mouth is moving.

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