patrick.net

What I find amusing about the stupidity on this thread is that it almost exactly mirrors what political wonks were saying about Democrats in 2008.

The united states is going to remain the same purple country that it has been for the better part of the last 50 years.

As in the last several elections, http://electoral-vote.com/ is the place to watch for real, informed, and remarkably good predictions.

The idea that the house doesn't flip very often is simply wrong: http://artandhistory.house.gov/house_history/partyDiv.aspx

Holding the house for more than 3 elections is something that is a relatively recent phenomenon, and it's an era that has clearly ended; the house has flipped two times in the last four elections.

The senate is looking like a complete toss up at this point. We have around 45 safe seats for either side.

Lets also remember that you don't need a majority to set the agenda in this country. If that was the case, Obama wouldn't have had to bend over backwards for everything he tried to do during his first two years in office.

My prediction:

- Obama wins re election
- The house remains republican
- The senate remains democratic

When all is said and done, congressional republicans will still be their obstructionist selves.

You could say the repub's are obstructionists, but what they are obstucting is creeping socalism and tyranny.

Maybe you prefer those things for America, I don't.