patrick.net

I'm going to wait until a few days after the RNC to post an accurate update of Trump versus Clinton polling averages in this thread.

It's not going to be pretty.

www.youtube.com/embed/7ZSZsVM_cBo

http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016/07/17/pollster-trump-will-win-because-majority-of-americans-seek-change-from-obama/

Pollster: Trump Will Win Because Majority of Americans Seek Change From Obama

She's still down 1.5% from just a few days and several polls ago.

Clearing out Bernie has actually made her lose points rather than gain them.

I LOL'd at one poll having Johnson at 17%.

thunderlips11 says

Johnson getting 5%, hahahahaha.

Anything more than 3% is prob ridiculous; Still not convinced that trump will pull it out against hillary but as high as 17% for Johnson is really silly

http://rsbn.tv/2016-republican-national-convention-live-stream/

Mrs. Trump now.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/amp/poll-clinton-trump-now-tied-gop-convention-kicks-n611936

NBC Poll:
The contest is also competitive in a four-way general election scenario between Clinton (39 percent), Trump (40 percent), Libertarian Gary Johnson (10 percent) and Green Party candidate Jill Stein (5 percent). These results are according to the latest from the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll conducted online from July 11 through July 17, 2016 among 9,353 adults who say they are registered to vote.

www.youtube.com/embed/Qvc1t-g6JqA

Looks like he's being introduced at WrestleMania.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/07/18/poll-trump-leads-clinton-by-11-points-with-independents/
Poll: Trump Leads Clinton by 11 Points with Independents

Donald Trump is leading presumptive Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by 11 points with Independents, 38 percent to 27 percent, according to a new Morning Consult poll.

zzyzzx says

Poll: Trump Leads Clinton by 11 Points with Independents

Translation: THe ugly Fox news, Talk Radio, etc, moronic nature of right wing media in the past 20 years has caused many more republicans to refer to themselves as independents than democrats.

It would be interesting to know how Trump is doing among true independents That is people that never considered themselves D or R and who have voted for a lot of people on both sides.

My guess is at least 11% in the other direction.

What kind of person does it take to not see unacceptable risk with Trump as President ? MAybe some people don't realize that terrible things can happen. And if they do, he would be the President ? How can you not get this ? How would he handle a worse financial crisis than 2008 ? Or being on the brink of WW3. You really feel that you can trust that guy ? What are you people thinking ?

Consider Hillary's closest confidant, a rhode scholar that has been President before.

I mean we all have an intuition about these things. How does yours tell you Trump is the answer ?

tatupu70 says

Looks like he's being introduced at WrestleMania.

Trumps been to Wrestle Mania a few times. He wins at that too....

www.youtube.com/embed/5NsrwH9I9vE

And then there was the time he fired Dan

www.youtube.com/embed/nYcfsLfwQcM

It's now a tie in New Hampshire:
https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_summer_presrace072116.pdf

37% for both Trump and Hillary.

http://regated.com/2016/07/clinton-campaign-freaking-donald-trump-leads-polls/

CLINTON CAMPAIGN FREAKING OUT AS DONALD TRUMP LEADS IN THE POLLS

In a recent poll done by OANN/Gravis where they asked 40% Dems, 33% Republicans and 27% Independents who they would vote for, Donald Trump won with flying colors. Keep in mind these poll numbers came out before the DNC email leaks, where they were exposed for collusion with the media, lies and deception. Once new polls come out, there will be an even more drastic difference in people not wanting to vote for Hillary Clinton and i’m sure a lot jumping on to the Trump train.

The truth is that is socially unacceptable to say you are a Trump supporter with fear of losing jobs, friends and family many people say they will vote Democrat. Although, it’s possible that on election day, Trump could end up with upwards of 57% of the popular vote.

Donald Trump is known for saying “I haven’t even started on her yet” and this is very true. Once Donald Trump faces Hillary Clinton in a one on one debate in September.. things will change drastically. Now that the DNC email leak is making the rounds of the main stream circuit, it’s obvious that there will be another major drop in Clinton’s numbers in the polls.

Clinton campaign is most definitely freaking out at this point, in an attempt to overshadow Clinton’s misuse of emails they choose Tim Kaine as VP who is supposedly strong on foreign affairs. Sanders supporters who Hillary needs to win this election are very skeptical of Kaine and his support for NAFTA, Trans-Pacific Partnership and his recent move for regulations on small sized banks.

Notice something about the last few polls?

The bigger the sample size, the better Trump does. Likely Voters - reliable voters - favor Trump.

The more Voters see of her, the less they like her.

-------------

Can she hide out in a discreet safe zone for a couple months? That's her only hope.

That and relying on the populace being gullible enough to eat up all the anti-Trump propaganda

http://harlanhill.com/poll-alert-trump-takes-commanding-lead-in-la-timesusc-poll/

Trump Takes Commanding Lead in LA Times/USC Poll

Donald Trump has taken a commanding lead over Hillary Clinton in the latest LA Times/USC Poll. The poll shows Trump leading with 45.1% to Hillary’s 41.7%.

Going into the Republican National Convention, Donald Trump had a very slim lead against Hillary Clinton in the same poll. It’s now clear that the Convention and the most recent WikiLeaks/DNC email scandal is helping Trump.

I'm waiting a few days to see where it settles. I'm not going to cherry pick right now (like you guys). But real politics still has the average of all the polls with Hillary ahead. This is good, but considering what a clown Trump is I'm not happy to see him even close.

What a basket case this country is.

I know you guys equate intelligence and good analysis with liberal bias, but this is the one to watch.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

You should be celebrating that he (or they) has it down to only 58.3% chance that Hillary wins, and the dust hasn't settled from the RNC yet. These are probabilities, not poll numbers. A 58.3% probability of winning reflects a spread of only a couple points in the average polls.

If and when they have Trump ahead, you can imagine me being very disturbed.

Found an infographic that's going to get Hillary elected didjya?
Well you hang on to that.

AS expected. Okay don't listen to me. Go back to your cherry picking. We both know Trumps absolute peak may be happening right now on the heels of the RNC. So you should find the best polls you can right now and savor them, you know, just in case it's all down hill from here.

Chuck Norris endorses Trump.

http://mobile.wnd.com/2016/07/the-people-have-spoken/

Booger says

Chuck Norris endorses Trump.

http://mobile.wnd.com/2016/07/the-people-have-spoken/

Trump should have picked Norris as VP.

Trump up 9 in New Hampshire:
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/757917305183596544

Trump 48
Clinton 39

Almost another full point!

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/07/26/exclusive-4/
Amish PAC Endorses Trump, Launches Billboards in Pennsylvania

#amish

#amish lol

I passed that billboard this morning.

Roughly 95 percent of Amish and Mennonite voters are Republican

They're racist!

Trump now ahead on Oregan, Nevada, and parts of Maine (which splits it's vote)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/or/oregon_trump_vs_clinton-5892.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nv/nevada_trump_vs_clinton-5891.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/me2/maine_cd2_trump_vs_clinton-5897.html

errc says

I passed that billboard this morning.

When you saw it, where you thinking like WTF???

zzyzzx says

Trump now ahead on Oregan, Nevada, and parts of Maine (which splits it's vote)

Funny look at those dates, Hillary was trouncing Trump until last week in every supposedly poll.
I guess now they are releaseing the real numbers and Hillary has always been sucking hind tit in this race.
Not that she would think anything was wrong with that.

It's called a convention bounce. It happens every Presidential election year. McCain pulled ahead of Obama in '08 after the RNC convention too.

Polls will start really mattering in another month.

6 Plain Reasons Why Trump Will Win:

1) White turnout is going to be historically high, driven in large part by A VERY PISSED OFF "REAGAN DEMOCRAT" COMPONENT, who view both Bill & Hillary Clinton as The Murderers of The American Middle Class Dream (NAFTA, GATT, TPP) - see this:

www.youtube.com/embed/wwmOkaKh3-s

2) Trump will get a much higher % of the women vote than is the common'wisdom assumption.

3) Trump will get a huge turnout from Pro-2nd Amendment/NRA voters.

4) Trump Will Capture YUUGE % of union member votes (despite union leaders endorsement of Billary).

5) LGBT issues have been taken too far in too aggressive a manner to not only piss off and energize evangelicals, but even moderate Americans, as well. Trump, while not broadcasting messaging against LGBT issues, is perceived as far more reserved (and even pro-states' rights) on this issue, while Shillary is (rightfully) perceived as 'Federal Government Is Going To Force Your Kid's School To Allow Adults With Penises To Be Able To Use The Girls Bathroom & Locker Room.'

6) "October Surprises" - Hitlery is already damaged goods because of Basement Server Classified e-mail Gate, and leaked DNC emails proving Bernie was sabotaged, but wait, there's more damaging stuff on the way, including more leaked emails and investigations that turn up highly damaging information regarding the Bill, Hillary & Chelsea Clinton Slush fund-Foundation.

#TheAmericanPeopleAreAsPissedAsEverAndReadyToKickTheEstablishmentInTheBallsWithSteelToeBoots - Bitches

The bitch is going down quick!

zzyzzx says

I ought to show that to my Bass player he isn't voting but believes every thing CNN says. .
I know it's just a meme but he wouldn't. He is the definition of low information. If I showed him that said I saw it on CNN last night. He would be convinced that CNN declared him the winner already.