patrick.net

Trump up by 7 points in NC:
http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/

Previous result: What is your political affiliation?
Registered Republican
31%
Registered Democrat
35%
Registered other political party
2%
Unaffiliated
31%
Not registered
3%
zzyzzx is deplorable says

Trump up by 7 points in NC:

zzyzzx is deplorable says

Trump up by 7 points in NC:

The new bellweather....... right?

On the ropes or on the pole?

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/793814816313966592

Florida:
Trump 48 (+4)
Clinton 44
Johnson 2

Ohio:
Trump 49% (+5)
Clinton 44%
Johnson 2

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/11/02/outlier-or-harbinger-pennsylvania-poll-shows-trump-leads-by-one-percent/

Pennsylvania Poll Shows Trump Up by One Percent

Whoa, Trump winning Virginia would mean it's over for real.

https://asweetdoseofreality.com/2016/11/02/hillary-camp-in-full-panic-mode-as-early-black-voter-turnout-plunges-in-key-swing-states/

Well, early voting data out of some key swing states seems to reveal that, in fact, black voter turnout is reverting back to pre-Obama levels, which is a terrible sign for team Hillary. According to Old North State Politics, early voting data out of North Carolina suggests that black voter turnout is down roughly 7 points, as a percent of the overall electorate versus 2012, implying that cumulative black votes are down around 16%.

As a reminder, Mitt Romney won North Carolina in 2012 by slightly over 2 points. Given that black voters usually favor democrats by 80-90%, simple math implies that a 7-point reduction in blacks as a percentage of the overall electorate would hurt Hillary by roughly 6 points versus the 2012 results.

Meanwhile, the outlook is even more telling in Florida as black composition of early votes is down 9.5 points versus 2012.

According to a recent article by Politico, in 2008 and 2012, Obama received 95% of the 1.7mm votes cast by black voters in Florida. Given that, simple math would imply that a 9.5-point reduction in blacks as a percentage of the overall electorate would hurt Hillary by roughly 9 points, versus the 2012 results, which is news for a state that Obama narrowly won by less than 1 point.

Unfortunately for Hillary, a recent poll from Florida Atlantic University provides even more bad news. While Obama received 95% of the black vote in Florida in 2012, Hillary is only polling at 68% among black voters while Trump is polling at 20%. And, at least according to the president of the Democratic African-American Women Caucus, this math has the Clinton campaign in “full panic mode.”.

Can Trump win California and/or NY?

Peter P says

Can Trump win California and/or NY?

Supposedly so in CA and not NY, which makes no sense to me; I would think it would be the other way around since Trump is going to win big in upstate NY, and win in suburban NYC, and most likely Statan Island too.

zzyzzx is deplorable says

Trump is going to win big in upstate NY,

My BIL in Red Hook has said all year it's up to you's folks in Florida. While he nad no doubt Trump has the upstate. He said the Liberals in the City will carry the state there is no contest about that.

Polls were already moving in Trump's favor BEFORE the FBI announcement.

Saw video of Hillary asking how many of you voted early. Everyone there yelled.
I thought great everyone there has already voted, Pointless Trump is still ahead in early voting by 17k.

After casting my early vote for Trump.

Trump ahead in New Hampshire:
http://www.wbur.org/politicker/2016/11/03/trump-clinton-new-hampshire
This new poll (topline, crosstabs) now shows Trump in front, with a razor thin 1-point lead.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_nov3
Republican Donald Trump has a three-point lead in Rasmussen Reports’ White House Watch survey. Among voters who are certain how they will vote, Trump now has over 50% support.

http://www.jpost.com/US-Elections/Exclusive-Trump-beats-Clinton-in-Israeli-absentee-voter-exit-poll-471561
Trump beats Clinton in Israeli absentee-voter exit poll
Trump received 49% of the Israeli-American vote, while Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton got 44%, according to the poll conducted by get-out-the-vote organization iVoteIsrael and KEEVOON Global Research.

http://eagnews.org/elementary-school-cancels-mock-election-after-students-chant-trump-trump-trump/

Elementary school cancels mock election after students chant ‘Trump! Trump! Trump!’

zzyzzx is deplorable says

http://eagnews.org/elementary-school-cancels-mock-election-after-students-chant-trump-trump-trump/

Elementary school cancels mock election after students chant ‘Trump! Trump! Trump!’

Great find... That's in New York too.

Just came back from barbershop 3 Hispanic 2 white barbers mix of clients and everybody pro Trump and want Hillary in jail and this is in LA I thought it would be more polarized. Same with all of my Hispanic and Asian friends, only Hillary supports I know are a few women. Maybe Trump will get a lot more votes in CA than anyone is thinking.

Will Trump win 400+ EV?

No, Hillary is upticking in the average of polls.

marcus is NOT deplorable says

No, Hillary is upticking in the average of polls.

Not quite sure that Hillary going from 1.7 ahead Tuesday night to 1.3 ahead wednesday night back to 1.7 ahead last night while Maine of all places goes to Tossups status constitutes an uptick in the polls.

The shift towards Trump seems to be stalling. I think he needs one more Clinton incident to get him over the bar.

Michigan Maine and Vermont(!?!?!?!) now Tossups. Hillary had 274 on RCP electoral map last week. Now 204!

No wonder Toby's been going apeshit.

Watch for breaking news at 4 p.m., right as markets close, highly adverse to Hillary Crime Boss Rodham-Clinton.

Even CNN now shows Hillary under 270 EV's:
http://www.texasinsider.org/clinton-drops-under-270-electoral-votes-in-cnns-morning-map/?shared=email&msg=fail

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/794610216360955904

Arizona @Data_Orbital Poll (11/1-2):
Trump 47% (+8)
Clinton 39%
Johnson 4%
Stein 3

http://dailycaller.com/2016/11/04/exclusive-poll-trump-clinton-tied-in-michigan/

Republican nominee Donald Trump is tied with Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in Michigan, according to a Strategic National Poll.

The Michigan statewide poll revealed Trump is now dead even with Clinton, in a state that has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988.

Trump and Clinton both received 44 percent support from respondents in a poll conducted Nov. 3, which was obtained by The Daily Caller News Foundation. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson received 4 percent support, while Green party nominee Jill Stein received 3 percent. One percent of the respondents said that they were supporting someone else, and five percent said they were still undecided.

Trump ahead and multiple polls in NH:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-6022.html

high stakes!!!

oh wait, it's just patrick.net

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/06/politics/democrats-republican-poll-watching-lawsuits/index.html

Republican lawyers have successfully fended off several pre-emptive lawsuits filed by Democrats across the country accusing Donald Trump's campaign of "conspiring to threaten and intimidate minority voters in urban neighborhoods from voting in the 2016 election." Democrats are seeking temporary restraining orders against the Trump campaign and Republicans, as they raise the alarm of possible voter intimidation due to comments from the GOP nominee and others.

As long as Trump is winning, Trump is still winning. He staved off many Primary hijack attempts and rigged straw polls, to win the nomination.
This is good, Trump has competent people on top of it. While he's out State hopping making 4 and 5 stops a day.

Hillary's guys has to plan on creative ways to get her out, and get people to see her.

Hillary is bringing out A-list celebs that appeal to her base; Ice-T, Jay-Z, J-Lo, Snoop Dog and 2 Live Crew.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/11/06/republicans-ballots-colorado/
Republicans Over-Performing in Colorado, Returned More Ballots Than Democrats

Registered Republicans returned more ballots in the state of Colorado than registered Democrats, according to the Republican National Committee’s (RNC) absentee ballot and early voting update on Sunday.

Update Trump won

Now that cic outsmarted Iwop, shouldn't he inherit the wopper's 31 followers?

http://detroit.cbslocal.com/2016/11/09/donald-trump-officially-wins-michigan-voting-margin-less-than-a-half-percent/

Donald Trump Officially Wins Michigan

DETROIT (WWJ/AP) – It’s official: The majority of Michigan voters elected Donald Trump to be the nation’s next president.

According to election totals, Trump won Michigan by .28 percent of the vote — roughly 13,000 votes.

“The vote was 47.59 to Trump and 47.31 for Hillary Clinton,” WWJ Lansing Bureau Chief said live on WWJ Newsradio. “The 16 electoral votes for Michigan go to Donald Trump and the Republicans, the first time that’s happened since 1988.”

Trump’s strong performance in an industrial Midwest state that President Barack Obama easily won twice also benefited down-ballot Republicans, who kept their majority in the state House and a 9-5 edge in the U.S. House delegation.

Phew!!!