patrick.net

Rasmussen? I think that says all that needs said.

tatupu70 says

Rasmussen? I think that says all that needs said.

BUT...... you would have probably agreed with it last week.

joshuatrio says

BUT...... you would have probably agreed with it last week

Nope--unlike some others here, I am able to look at data and facts objectively and realize that Rasmussen's performance at polling has been very poor. Among the worst. So, regardless of what the poll says, it must be taken with a large grain of salt.

Nate silver has been horrendous this season-simply horrendous. The Quinnipac poll has showed a small gap-within the margin of error-with Hillary in the lead.
I still think Trump will win-lets see.

Now having said that I did vote for Obozo the clown the first time around-so lets how how it goes.

lostand confused says

Nate silver has been horrendous this season-simply horrendous

Bullshit. Nate Silver has actually been almost perfect with his polling interpretations and primary result predictions.

He was wrong to assume that Trump would implode during the primaries, but that was not based on polling--just based on previous experience with that type of candidate.

Tenpoundbass says

People aren't so dumb after all.

I don't know about that. If they believe this poll they are

No cell phones. Hahahahahahahahaha ! I haven't had a land line in about 15 years. And I'm not even a young person.

I wonder what percentage of people that have land lines are republicans

I'd agree that this Rasmussen poll isn't using proper methods. Robocalling and Internet? No way that is good. Also no cells? I also haven't had a land line in years. What's the point of it?
I'd imagine everyone under 35 is in the same camp regarding land lines. It's something your mom or grandma has.
good chart anyway.

Trump never had any of those against Bush, not against Rubio and not against Cruz not against any of his contenders.
Funny how you guys don't remember all of those polls against Trump.

Tenpoundbass says

Trump never had any of those against Bush, not against Rubio and not against Cruz not against any of his contenders.

Funny how you guys don't remember all of those polls against Trump.

Trump was ahead in basically every poll after the race started. I know it doesn't fit your narrative, but it's true.

Couldn't Trump's support could aerosolize and spread through air?

(As far as is known, transmission is still ass-to-mouth.)

Why would anyone get their panties in wads over polling at this point? There is waaaay too much time between now and November. We have months and months to find out more about Hillary's criminal past... Months and months for Trump to say really stupid, offensive things... Anything could happen at this point. For your own sanity, may I suggest you ignore all polls until October.

Ironman says

Yep, plus neither one has been officially nominated, as the conventions haven't happened yet.

I know... I've gotta admit... Topless TD never thought Trump would get it. That's what I deserve for trying to mess with you all. It will be okay. They are just breasts, right? I swear, if anyone uses this against me at any point in the future, you will meet my very dark side... Be very afraid.

Ironman says

But you said you don't own a gun, so we're safe right??

I don't need no stinkin gun.

People on that level- my people- live in a world where everyone is trying to get over on them. The dumb are on the receiving end of every scam possible: payday loans, rent-to-own furniture, OnlyFans, seed oils, etc. They know their fellow idiots are out to get them, and that’s bad enough. But they also know that the smart folks want their money and energy, and unlike with their peers, clever schemers are both unpredictable and unfathomable.

Thus, being dumb means that one must cultivate a- as smart people might say- heuristic in dealing with elite human capital when it comes around making offers. You can’t simply take these people at face value without risking your money, your credit rating, your health, or your freedom. Whereas for people like Cofnas epistemology is largely based on reasoning from abstractions- a matter of having the right ideas- for the dumb, knowing things is experiential and inductive. You look at your life before the smart people affected it, then after, then draw conclusions.

Cofnas claims the smarts are doing a bang-up job running things, that the Biden economy was doing great, etc., before Trump came in and tanked everything. He offers as evidence for this that per capita GDP is up and that workers generally have it better than ever if you do the math right. Understanding the benefits of free trade seems to require a lot of such math, since to stupid people it really doesn’t seem that great when you look around and recall the course of your life for the past thirty years, but since you have to be smart to understand it, perhaps you missed something.

So you start to weigh the evidence from your own experience. Looking at that thirty-year span, you can remember a whole bunch on times when the smart people went on TV and assured you that X would happen, with Y following instead every time. Many dumbs were sent to war by smarts, the latter of whom spent their time quite far from the sandier areas of Earth, mostly on news shows assuring the former that any day now a great reason for the conflict would emerge, that we had to fight them over there so we didn’t have to fight them here, so that we could preserve our freedom and way of life. The result of this was mass government surveillance and the importation of tens of millions of unvetted foreigners, all of whom the smart people assured the dumbs were adding GDP to that wonderful economy. Housing got incredibly expensive, but smart people like Alan Greenspan said the market had no where to go but up, so you took out a mortgage in 2006, just like they said. How’d that go? The smart people, to a man and woman, told you that Donald Trump,- who said that all of the above policies represented failures on the part of the smarts- would never be elected president. They whiffed that one too. The end of his first term coincided with a Biblical plague the smarts assured people would kill untold millions from all walks of life, which necessitated unprecedented lockdowns that could only be broken for reasons more important than dumb people’s parents’ funerals, like Democrat leaders getting hairstyled and race riots, the latter of which the smart people thought were just great. The one time Trump listened to the smart people was in his advocacy for a “vaccine” that doesn’t really do anything to prevent infection or transmission of the underlying virus. To dumb people Joe Biden really looked senile and out of it, but the smarts were always there to debunk that Russian misinformation, and to drive home the point, started censoring everything.

At this point, as a dumb person, you really have to start interrogating the whole concept of smart. If your claim to authority is expertise, and you are repeatedly shown by events to be either wrong or lying, then it hardly stands to reason that people should keep listening to you because you wave around your standardized test scores. Perhaps there are other factors in decision making apart from g that are just as important, factors that the current crop of smart people lack. Perhaps they’re misguided in a way they don’t themselves see. ...

Dumb people understand that smart people like Cofnas hate them, and whatever potential the latter have to make their lives better is outweighed by their sneering need to differentiate themselves from their lessers with preening appeals to their own intelligence and sophistication. Note the contrast between people with university educations and thuggery in his screed. Dumb people sense that there’s a hollow insecurity at the root of it all, an instinct for conformity and consensus, that a man who’s centered his life around passing tests is a man whose outsourced his sense of worth, and needs to constantly signal against others with a completely unmerited arrogance.

I say unmerited because what is he actually holding out as better than what the dumb people want? Thirty years ago the smart people were promising that incorporating China into the emerging globalist order would make them more like us; the opposite is what happened instead. America’s industrial base was sold off in the name of efficiency to a nation that is now our chief rival. Cofnas thinks this is great because of that aforementioned per capita GDP, but to us dumb folks that really just looks like someone took all the money being made in America and divided it by the number of people. If I walked into a party with a hundred guests and gave one of them $1,000 and then announced that the room was now $1,000 richer, that would be true in a sense, but would be a bit misleading. Cofnas wants more of this, and thinks you’re an idiot for not wanting more of it as well, because capitalism (as he understands it) is the in-thing among the high IQ set.

Bullshit. Nate Silver has actually been almost perfect with his polling interpretations and primary result predictions.