patrick.net

marcus says

Why are your stats referring to 6 times as many blacks,

From Chicago:

Sniper says

marcus says

Do you want to bet me ?

Yes, go for it.

We'll be waiting.

Multiple personality disorder
A disorder characterized by the presence of two or more distinct personality states.

Projection: Psychological projection is a theory in psychology in which humans defend themselves against their own unconscious impulses or qualities (both positive and negative) by denying their existence in themselves while attributing them to others.[1] For example, a person who is habitually rude may constantly accuse other people of being rude. It incorporates blame shifting.

Are you trying to distract from this ?

marcus says

I call total BS.

I don't want to go through the troulbe unless you are willing to bet. I bet I can find a suburb, of say, D.C., baltimore, Atlanta or some other city, with a significant black population and close to zero murder rate. And I'm talking middle class, not even upper middle class.

Do you want to bet me ?

marcus says

Sniper says

marcus says

Do you want to bet me ?

Yes, go for it.

We'll be waiting.

I need a trustee to hold the money and a good definition of what constitutes a win.

@Patrick I’m telling you there’s a huge market in need of an outlet here. SkininthegamelikearealfuckingAmerican.com
Man up and put your money where your mouth is or piss straight off with your worthless tripe.

You’d need to work on having fair arbiters, though.

marcus says

I don't want to go through the troulbe unless you are willing to bet. I bet I can find a suburb, of say, D.C., baltimore, Atlanta or some other city, with a significant black population and close to zero murder rate. And I'm talking middle class, not even upper middle class.

You are betting that you can find an outlier? Sure, go ahead. I'll bet if you could find an outlier as well. It would be interesting to compare the outlier to black culture at large. This type of exercise will most likely illuminate the problems and perhaps even solutions to those problems. I encourage you to find this outlier.

marcus says

Why are your stats referring to 6 times as many blacks, rather than 20 times as many drug dealing street gang bangers ?

Statistics on racial breakdowns are easy to find and as accurate as statistics across 300 million people can be.

marcus says

If there was some population where there were three pedophiles cought last year, all white, would it be relevant to go on and on about how there are infinitely more white pedophiles in that population than any other race ?

Probably not. 3 people does not make a statistically significant case study. 5000 gun murders per year, however, does.

marcus says

I commend you though on your refreshing lack of political correctness !

You see. THIS is why we cant solve the problems in the black community. PC culture IS STANDING IN THE WAY OF SAVING LIVES. You dont care, you just care about not being called racist.

Some of us have more integrity and courage.

Another juxtaposition of the quotes. I think of it as an art form.

CBOEtrader says

Why is it difficult for leftists to make points w/o attacking others?

CBOEtrader says

you wouldnt be able to tell the difference between Nazi's and today's left.

CBOEtrader says

This form of bigotry is so deeply rooted into the psyche of the left that it becomes almost impossible to discuss a political topic w/o letting these direct personal attacks slip.

CBOEtrader says

You are betting that you can find an outlier? Sure, go ahead. I'll bet if you could find an outlier as well.

An outlier ? I was talking about an entire population. I believe that I could find many populations with significant black populations and a very low murder rate. I think your proposition is an absurd lie, unless applied to populations that include a dirt poor black population. Even then, if it's in a non urban area it's still probably false.


CBOEtrader says

Probably not. 3 people does not make a statistically significant case study. 5000 gun murders per year, however, does.

Actually 3 compared to zero is statistically significant.

CBOEtrader says

You see. THIS is why we cant solve the problems in the black community. PC culture IS STANDING IN THE WAY OF SAVING LIVES. You dont care, you just care about not being called racist.

Bull-fucking shit !! I don't deny the problem. I also don't define the problem as simplistically as you.

Maybe you can explain to us how making it about race, rather than about job opportunities,education and family values makes your approach so much more efficacious ?

marcus says

I believe that I could find many populations with significant black populations and a very low murder rate.

Sniper says

Yes, go for it.

We'll be waiting.

and, we're still waiting.....

marcus says

I think your proposition is an absurd lie

This is the brainwashing talking.

Simple statistical truths become so unpalatable that you reject obvious facts.

Ok, do this. Out of 52 states (including Puerto Rico and DC), measure the correlation between murder and % of black population in 42 of them. Then use that to forecast the murder rate of the last 10. You will get VERY close. I know, because I've done it. You are crying foul because you haven't.

Ultimately this type of PC reaction hurts black communities. We must be free to identify an obvious crime problem in the black community if we have any chance to fix the problem.

Or do you feel that our black communities are totes fine because you can find an outlier somewhere?

marcus says

Maybe you can explain to us how making it about race, rather than about job opportunities,education and family values makes your approach so much more efficacious ?

Because you can do the same thing for poor hispanic, white and Asian communities AND blacks still dwarf the others in their crime rate. Yes, poverty is correlated but race is FAR more correlated.

CBOEtrader says

AND blacks still dwarf the others in their crime rate. Yes, poverty is correlated but race is FAR more correlated.

Okay, what's your point ? What are you going to do with that ? Let's suppose your're right. How exactly is that useful ?

And I still say it's easy to find middle class black communities with close to zero violence, making you wrong.

Perhaps poor and black is far more likely to be violent than poor and asian.

But that doesn't mean that middle class and black isn't nearly equal in violence to middle class and Asian.

Sniper says

marcus says

I believe that I could find many populations with significant black populations and a very low murder rate.

Sniper says

Yes, go for it.

We'll be waiting.

and, we're still waiting.....

marcus says

And I still say it's easy to find middle class black communities with close to zero violence, making you wrong.

...and we're STILL waiting.....

I'm still waiting for you to put up some money. Cluck cluck cluck cluck cluck......

DO you get my drift ? Or do I need to spell it out more clearly for you.

marcus says

I'm still waiting for you to put up some money.

So, you're having a tough time finding those communities with close to zero black violence and murder rates, I see.

marcus says

Or do I need to spell it out more clearly for you.

Nope, very clear, you have no facts to back up your assertion. Just what I figured.

@patrick,

I am still waiting for you to remove Goran's comment (#91), which was a personal attack.

Or maybe some of the other moderators will step in? The ones that were ensuring us that they will take care of all personal attacks, so that we don't even need a "personal" button.

marcus says

And I still say it's easy to find middle class black communities with close to zero violence, making you wrong.

Bzzt. Fail. Outliers do not make strong correlations wrong. Outliers do perhaps tell another story though.

Go find your outlier and lets see what we can glean from it.

marcus says

But that doesn't mean that middle class and black isn't nearly equal in violence to middle class and Asian.

You are making this up. Facts do not support your progressive worldview. The sooner you accept this, the sooner you can actually help someone. Asians, on average, have much lower crime rates than every other group. Middle class Asians do absolutely commit less crime than middle class blacks.

marcus says

Okay, what's your point ? What are you going to do with that ? Let's suppose your're right. How exactly is that useful ?

The original point was in refuting a poster who suggested that Republicans should be allowed to have guns so they kill themselves. I pointed out that a large majority of the murderers (and suspects) are D's.

Regardless, there is always value in speaking truth. Ask Roland Fryer, famous black harvard economist. I once heard a talk he gave in which he mentioned PC culture as a HUGE issue holding back economists in helping black communities. Specifically, the tendency to call economists racist if they study differences in cultures or come to the wrong anti-PC conclusions is an enormous detriment to actually finding a solution to the problem. This is also why he decided to study black under-achievement as his life's work.

However, the same PC culture tendencies are very literally killing people.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/03/11/1000-children-may-have-victims-britains-biggest-ever-child-abuse/
"authorities did not keep details of abusers from Asian communities for fear of being accused of "racism" and that police failed to investigate one recent case five times until an MP intervened."

In summary, PC culture = black deaths, and rape of little girls.

CBOEtrader says

bob2356 says

highest murder rates are in liberal gun law red states and the lowest murder rates are in strict gun law blue states.

perhaps clarify which states you are talking about? Not sure how you define liberal vs strict gun laws.

I haven't run the numbers in 2 years, but when you take murder rate and run a regression against legal gun ownership rate, there is a negative correlation. Higher legal gun ownership = lower murder rate per state. Although the relationship was nowhere near as strong as % of african americans to murder rate

Google doesn't work for you? https://deathpenaltyinfo.org/murder-rates-nationally-and-state#MRord

There are only 3 blue states in the top 20 states with the highest murder rates. Il, Md, De. All states next to states where buying guns is a joke and gun running is common.Take out Chicago, Baltimore, and Wilmington there would be no blue states in the top 20. How tough to you suppose it is to buy a gun in LA,MO,AL,MS, NV,SC,TN,AK which are all top 10 murder rates states?.



Sorry but i'm not able to see the states with the lowest murder rates having the highest gun ownership. LA,MO,AL,MS, NV,SC,TN are all top of the charts on gun ownership in in addition to having the highest murder rates. Repeating something lots of times doesn't make it true.

CBOEtrader says

Specifically, the tendency to call economists racist if they study differences in cultures or come to the wrong anti-PC conclusions is an enormous detriment to actually finding a solution to the problem.

Sounds absurd. How could attributing a social problem to race help to identify a solution ? (even if there were a correlation to race?) I can't imagine a single example.

You might say that it could bring more resources to assist that race ? But I know that's not where you're going. You might say it would put more focus on helping that race to help themselves. But I believe that awareness and focus is already there (among those in the middle and upper middle class and higher). It's not like the typical middle class/upper middle class African American is unaware of the problems with inner city blacks, single parenthood etc.

bob2356 says

Sorry but i'm not able to see the states with the lowest murder rates having the highest gun ownership.

Straw man. That's not what I said.

Run the numbers and you get gun ownership rate at a negative correlation to murder rate. Fact.

I also said % of blacks in population is FAR more correlated to murder rate. Fact.

marcus says

How could attributing a social problem to race help to identify a solution ?

Turn off the brainwashing. It us important to identify trends in groups, especially if they are negative. Identifying a problem is the only way to fix it. marcus says

Sounds absurd.

Professor Frye's career sounds absurd to you? People who care abour fellow americans disagree.

CBOEtrader says

bob2356 says

Sorry but i'm not able to see the states with the lowest murder rates having the highest gun ownership.

Straw man. That's not what I said.

Run the numbers and you get gun ownership rate at a negative correlation to murder rate. Fact

Repeating the word fact doesn't make something a fact.

Show us the numbers then. Start with LA,MS,Al vs NY,CT,MA I'll be waitng, and waiting, and waiting, and waiting.

Or are you talking about the rise in gun ownership and fall in crime since the late 90's. Snipers bullshit chart. Track the rise in crime and the rise in gun ownership that happened for 30 years before that and see how much negative correlation you come up with. Fact.

marcus says

Bull-fucking shit !!

I'd love to see that

RafiMaas says

bob2356 says

Repeating the word fact doesn't make something a fact

Fact, rightists don't understand what the word fact means.

Fact

bob2356 says

Or are you talking about the rise in gun ownership and fall in crime since the late 90's. Snipers bullshit chart. Track the rise in crime and the rise in gun ownership that happened for 30 years before that and see how much negative correlation you come up with. Fact.

CBOEtrader says

bob2356 says

Sorry but i'm not able to see the states with the lowest murder rates having the highest gun ownership.

Straw man. That's not what I said.

bob2356 says

Or are you talking about the rise in gun ownership and fall in crime since the late 90's.

No I'm talking about the murder rate by state (including DC amd PR) correlated to legal gun ownership rate. Depending on the numbers used (gun ownership rate is difficult to track and numbers vary) you get a flat to slightly negative correlation. I've also read studies suggesting correlation is mildly positive. As ive said over and over, % of blacks in the population is BY FAR a stronger predicter.

FYI I just ran numbers again from a few different sets of gun ownership and different annual murder rates. The correlation is flat to negative, depending on the data sets used. Average -.14 slope. It's interesting to point out, considering the current BAN GUNS narrative, but again as stated 5 times above, it's a weak negative correlation at best.

Culture of the population is the predictor of murders per capita, not guns per capita or even poverty levels per capita.

bob2356 says

Take out Chicago, Baltimore, and Wilmington there would be no blue states in the top 20

Cherry picked point is cherry picked.

Take out all Democrat controlled inner cities and the gun homicide rate nationally is comparable to the UK and Australia per capita.

Vermont is a blue state and has very LOOSE gun crime statistics, much much lower than California per capita.

How do you explain that?

Goran_K says

bob2356 says

Take out Chicago, Baltimore, and Wilmington there would be no blue states in the top 20

Cherry picked point is cherry picked.

Take out all Democrat controlled inner cities and the gun homicide rate nationally is comparable to the UK and Australia per capita.

Vermont is a blue state and has very LOOSE gun crime statistics, much much lower than California per capita.

How do you explain that?

Vermont is sparsely populated with the only city center type town being a college town on the Canadian border.

So lots of liberals, not so many gun nutters = low crime

errc says

Vermont is sparsely populated with the only city center type town being a college town on the Canadian border.

Wrong.

Vermont has lots of gun nutters. One of the most active NRA chapters is in Vermont, and they can own Class III NFA items (not available in California or New York).

Lots of Democrats = Lots of gun homicide

Goran_K says

errc says

Vermont is sparsely populated with the only city center type town being a college town on the Canadian border.

Wrong.

Vermont has lots of gun nutters. One of the most active NRA chapters is in Vermont, and they can own Class III NFA items (not available in California or New York).

Lots of Democrats = Lots of gun homicide

You quoted what i said, which was absolutely correct, bizarrely responded by falsely claiming i was wrong when it is easily verifiable, and then went off on some off topic tangent

Burlington has less than 50k residents, most of which are college kids

You’d be lucky to find any other towns with population larger than 10k

Not sure what comparisons you feel you can draw from Vermont, but it’s obvious you’ve never been and whatever you’re reading is confusing you

errc says

Goran_K says

errc says

Vermont is sparsely populated with the only city center type town being a college town on the Canadian border.

Wrong.

Vermont has lots of gun nutters. One of the most active NRA chapters is in Vermont, and they can own Class III NFA items (not available in California or New York).

Lots of Democrats = Lots of gun homicide

You quoted what i said, which was absolutely correct, bizarrely responded by falsely claiming i was wrong when it is easily verifiable, and then went off on some off topic tangent

Burlington has less than 50k residents, most of which are college kids

You’d be l...

So no response to the actual fact that where you find high populations of Democrats, you get sky high gun crime? Going to go onto a tangent about "Burlington having 50k residents"?

Okay!

If you disagree with the left, full force of left wing media goes to work to assault and destroy you. Yet somehow they think they stand for freedom.

Glad Trump won, someone needed to stop left wing propaganda and their anti American views.

FortWayne says

Glad Trump won, someone needed to stop left wing propaganda and their anti American views.

Just the damage Trump has done to the DNC and CNN's brand was all worth it.Everything else is icing on the cake.

The Democrat party has not seen lower opinion of its party according to Gallup EVER.

https://www.cnn.com/2017/11/07/politics/cnn-poll-republicans-democrats-taxes/index.html

Only 37% of Americans have a favorable opinion of Democrats, down from 44% in March of this year. A majority, 54%, have an unfavorable view, matching their highest mark in polls from CNN and SSRS, CNN/ORC and CNN/USA Today/Gallup stretching back to 1992.

Mind you, this was from a CNN poll. The true percentage is probably a lot lower.

As much as I can't stand SJW's and other zealous left-wing ideologues, I'm beginning to think that they serve a useful function. Namely, to counter-balance the right wing loonatics.

From now on, when I see a SJW, I'll just think: "Hey, this is the person that cancels out 2G+"

Goran_K says

Just the damage Trump has done to the DNC and CNN's brand was all worth it.Everything else is icing on the cake.

The Democrat party has not seen lower opinion of its party according to Gallup EVER.

Funny that they're winning elections in Alabama, rural PA, and all over Virginia. What's it say about the Republican brand if they are losing the generic ballot by 10 pts?

HappyGilmore says

Funny that they're winning elections in Alabama, rural PA, and all over Virginia. What's it say about the Republican brand if they are losing the generic ballot by 10 pts?

Special elections against weak candidates where the Democrat candidate was actually fairly moderate. I consider Conor Lamb a Joe Machin Democrat. Joe Machin voted for the "Stop Dangerous Sanctuary Cities Act ", and helped pass Trump's budget for fucks sake. Both support 2A, both support border security, both support immigration reform, both are not fervently anti-Trump. I have no problem with these "Democrats" holding office over some establishment Republican like Mccain or Flake.

is that really a win for leftist? I don't think so.

Also remember the DNC is the one that lost the most expensive House election of all-time.

2018 is the real barometer. So we'll see how the DNC will do when they are in debt, unable to attract donations, and have record low approval ratings.

against weak candidates

By weak candidates, you mean standard Republicans, endorsed by Trump?

errc says

against weak candidates

By weak candidates, you mean standard Republicans, endorsed by Trump?

As long as they vote the right way when it counts, I don't care if they have a (D) or an (R) before their name, that's the difference between me and partisan big party types.

Goran_K says

So no response to the actual fact that where you find high populations of Democrats, you get sky high gun crime?

I do not think that is the only variable. Austin, TX is very democratic and has little crime, so does El Paso TX - last one actually has one of lowest crime rates of big cities in US. Also, this shows that high gun concentrations does not mean high gun homicide rates - these are TX cities which means population is armed to teeth. One can also compare Chicago, IL with (politically purple and ethnically very mixed) Houston, TX which are about the same size. Heavily armed Houston has much less crime/shootings than Chicago with its gun restrictions.

It is overall pretty complicated to figure out all the reasons, but good economy correlates more with lack of crime/shootings than gun restrictions or even party affiliation.

For context:

Goran says : “Cherry picked point is cherry picked.

Take out all Democrat controlled inner cities and the gun homicide rate nationally is comparable to the UK and Australia per capita.

Vermont is a blue state and has very LOOSE gun crime statistics, much much lower than California per capita.

How do you explain that?”

Errc responds to Goran question: “Vermont is sparsely populated with the only city center type town being a college town on the Canadian border.

So lots of liberals, not so many gun nutters = low crime”.

Gorans question was answered. I easily explained that which confused him

But then, Goran falsely claimed that I was wrong.

Which I quickly proved with facts backing up my claim.

Then Goran moves the goal posts and instead of saying “i was wrong again, errc was right again, like every other time we’ve disagreed about something “, he goes on a tangent about Democrats

How do you expect civil conversation when this is how you act?

drB6 says

It is overall pretty complicated to figure out all the reasons, but good economy correlates more with lack of crime/shootings than gun restrictions or even party affiliation.

Sure there are many factors. But if weak gun restrictions is not an important factor, explain US vs other developed countries.