▲
10
0
▼

There will be no "Blue Wave", change my mind!


 invite response                
2018 May 14, 8:51am   80,216 views  699 comments

by Goran_K   ➕follow (4)   💰tip   ignore  



Yesterday former Bill Clinton advisor Dick Morris told radio host on New York's AM 970 that he believes the "blue wave" that Democrats are expecting to give them back the Senate and House will not materialize, and polling has backed him up.

Last week, CNN's mid term poll showed that Democrats only had a 3 point advantage, well within the margin of error, and considering that CNN is known for "oversampling" Democrats in its own polls, this is troubling for the DNC.

Additionally, a recent poll from Reuters (left leaning) has shown that Millennials are leaving the Democrat party in droves. Democrat membership in the 18-34 demographic (the bread and butter of the DNC) dropped 9% over the past 2 years, most of them becoming "independents".

"I think that [Democrats] see fool’s gold in these scandals," Morris said. "They’re putting everything behind the Stormy Daniels scandal and Michael Cohen … and the country doesn’t give a damn."

That's when Morris dropped his prediction.

"There is no blue wave coming," Morris exclaimed. "There is a red wave. And what makes it red is the blood of the Democratic Party."

Here's my official take. I believe the GOP will LOSE seats in the house but will not give it up to the DNC. I believe the GOP will GAIN seats in the senate, keeping their majority. This will mean that Trump will have both houses of congress for his entire term.

« First        Comments 319 - 358 of 699       Last »     Search these comments

320   Shaman   2018 Oct 14, 8:22am  

CBOEtrader says
I'll bet you $500 that the dems do worse than this in both. The dems BOTH gain less than 4 Senate seats AND gain less than 30 House seats.


This can’t be explained by average data. This time in politics is unprecedented. We’ve never had a party behave this badly and it be so evidenced by such a wide range of media. You’d have to be willfully blind and deaf to miss the absolute attack on our very nation that the Democrats have launched. They’re trying to kill the patient to cure the “disease” of conservative thought. The closest analogue was Lincoln’s election pre-Civil war and there was nothing like the media presence then as we have now.
321   CBOEtrader   2018 Oct 14, 12:00pm  

Quigley says

This can’t be explained by average data. This time in politics is unprecedented.


Yeah I know. That's why these blue wave expectations seem ridiculous.

If I had real balls I'd hit marcus's 26 seat bet.

https://www.predictit.org/legacy/Market/4214/How-many-House-seats-will-Democrats-hold-after-2018-midterms seems to be about a 55:45 bet in your favor
322   Shaman   2018 Oct 14, 1:20pm  

I am growing to think that my prediction is overly cautious. This might be a REAL grab-your-ankles spanking for the Democrats.
Men are done with the Democrats and their feminazi allies who can accuse, try, and convict you in the court of public opinion before you say anything at all.
It’s better to be single than with a feminist. Any man with balls will now understand this as they tipped their hand with the Kavanaugh Kangaroo Kourt. The goal is obviously male slavery, no objections allowed! And men are walking away.

Women who don’t want to become cat ladies had better reform pretty darn quick. In five years, the only feminists in sight will be aging harridans with ten cats, a pussy hat, and a bull-dyke horn.
323   Bd6r   2018 Oct 14, 1:23pm  

Quigley says
It’s better to be single than with a feminist

A simple solution is Mexican-American girlfriend. Not to be raycist, but feminism crap is usually spewed by white, middle-class or rich womyn from coasts. Have yet to hear that type of garbage from a normal Hispanic woman.
324   HeadSet   2018 Oct 15, 1:43pm  

Have yet to hear that type of garbage from a normal Hispanic woman.

Kamala Harris?
325   Bd6r   2018 Oct 15, 1:50pm  

HeadSet says
Kamala Harris?


Harris was born on October 20, 1964, in Oakland, California, to a Tamil Indian mother, Shyamala Gopalan Harris (1938–2009), and a Jamaican father, Donald Harris.
326   HeadSet   2018 Oct 15, 2:03pm  

dr6B says
HeadSet says
Kamala Harris?


Harris was born on October 20, 1964, in Oakland, California, to a Tamil Indian mother, Shyamala Gopalan Harris (1938–2009), and a Jamaican father, Donald Harris.


Thanks.
327   Bd6r   2018 Oct 15, 2:39pm  

Aphroman says
Spanish broads are usually pretty Conservative, usually dictated by however much silly religion their parents subscribe to

That is part of it, another part is that the culture is very family-oriented. Someone here noted that one sees nearly no Hispanic homeless, which is extension of the same.
328   tatupu70   2018 Oct 15, 5:01pm  

TwoScoopsOfSpaceForce says
Show me one Mainstream Media Outlet that wasn't all but guaranteeing a Hillary Victory. Right here on this board, Trump supporters were being mocked for even bothering to contest the election given such overwhelming numbers.


just fyi-I did, but someone obviously doesn't want the truth to be visible so all my posts were flagged.
329   Patrick   2018 Oct 15, 6:11pm  

@tatupu70 can you point me to a flagged post or comment?
330   Goran_K   2018 Oct 16, 8:28am  

Patrick says
@tatupu70 can you point me to a flagged post or comment?


Yes I'd like to see the flagged comment as well. I browsed the moderation queue yesterday and this morning, I never saw any of these supposed "unfair" flagged posts.
331   MisdemeanorRebel   2018 Oct 19, 11:52am  

Goran_K says
Yes I'd like to see the flagged comment as well. I browsed the moderation queue yesterday and this morning, I never saw any of these supposed "unfair" flagged posts.


Nor I. I'm pretty lenient, it's got to be a bald insult for me to mark it personal.
332   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 8:58am  

Patrick says
@tatupu70 can you point me to a flagged post or comment?


Sure--I believe it was post 348.

But the even funnier one is the post that was marked spam in another thread. I'd love for someone to tell me how my post can be considered spam.
333   Bd6r   2018 Oct 20, 9:20am  

Perhaps it would be reasonable to have two moderators agree if a comment has to be whacked, one moderator on left and one on right. I have noticed that a few comments that are quite personal do not disappear after being flagged.
334   Bd6r   2018 Oct 20, 9:41am  

Aphroman says
Lol there’s six hardcore right wing moderators here

Wokieman is not hard right wing by any stretch of imagination
335   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 9:45am  

The Aphroman says
dr6B says
Perhaps it would be reasonable to have two moderators agree if a comment has to be whacked, one moderator on left and one on right. I have noticed that a few comments that are quite personal do not disappear after being flagged.


Lol there’s six hardcore right wing moderators here and only another 8-10 people that ever come here to post. A moderator on the Left lol yea that ain’t going to fly on a website that abandoned it’s Free Speech mission early in 2017.


99.999% of your posts are left wing cheers and right wing disses and one only needs to click on your post history to see all of it has not been edited or nuked.

So your complaints are pretty unfounded.

I seriously invite anyone to look at Aphromans post history and see if it’s devoid of right wing disses that the “mods” have mysteriously removed.
336   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 9:46am  

personal
337   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 9:54am  

Thanks for your input tatupu/Joey/Leon.

Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.
338   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:11am  

Goran_K says
Thanks for your input tatupu/Joey/Leon.

Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.


lol-- I rest my case.
339   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:11am  

tatupu70 says
Goran_K says
Thanks for your input tatupu/Joey/Leon.

Keep all posts civil please. Stick to the thread topic and keep it non-personal.


lol-- I rest my case.
340   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 10:16am  

Good, I'm glad you rested. Thanks for following the rules.
341   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:16am  

Goran_K says
Good, I'm glad you rested. Thanks for following the rules.


No problem buddy. It's a pleasure.
342   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 10:22am  

It's an ugly business doing one's duty.

But just occasionally, it's a delightful pleasure.
343   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:24am  

Goran_K says
It's an ugly business doing one's duty.

But just occasionally, it's a delightful pleasure.


I hope @Patrick is watching this. At least you're laying bare your motives here.
344   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 10:25am  

tatupu70 says
I hope @Patrick is watching this. At least you're laying bare your motives here.


Yes, keeping the forum civil and full of non-ad hom discourse is pleasurable to me. @Patrick also appreciates this I'm sure.
345   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:25am  

Showing your true motive of trolling is fun for me.
346   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:26am  

Goading you into it is too easy.
347   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 10:26am  

As long as you keep it non ad-hom, knock yourself out.

But now, let's keep it on topic. Thanks tatupu.
348   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:27am  

spam
349   zzyzzx   2018 Oct 20, 10:31am  

Meanwhile, in Times Square:
350   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:33am  

personal
351   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 10:34am  

zzyzzx says
Meanwhile, in Times Square:


Man that picture is going to be iconic someday.
352   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 10:36am  

tatupu70 says
Goading you into it is too easy.


tatupu70 says
spam


tatupu70 says
spam


Looks like the truth hurts.
353   Patrick   2018 Oct 20, 10:51am  

Goran_K says
Yes, keeping the forum civil and full of non-ad hom discourse is pleasurable to me. Patrick also appreciates this I'm sure.


Yes, if you enjoy dealing with ad-hom comments, more power to you!
354   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 10:55am  

Patrick says
Goran_K says
Yes, keeping the forum civil and full of non-ad hom discourse is pleasurable to me. Patrick also appreciates this I'm sure.


Yes, if you enjoy dealing with ad-hom comments, more power to you!


I am expecting a 25% raise at some point though.
355   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 11:19am  

spam
356   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 11:20am  

spam
357   tatupu70   2018 Oct 20, 11:37am  

personal
358   Goran_K   2018 Oct 20, 11:44am  

Guys let’s keep it on topic. Patrick has a thread for “discuss anything”. If you have complaints about the forum, go to that thread.

Thanks!

- the Management

« First        Comments 319 - 358 of 699       Last »     Search these comments

Please register to comment:

api   best comments   contact   latest images   memes   one year ago   random   suggestions   gaiste