patrick.net

#iranuswarNow we have the big news event of the day. The US military got very lucky and killed Quesam Soleimani. He is the commander of the Quds forces. This is the elite military branch of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards. (This would be like Heinrich Himmler, Hitler's head of the SS, being killed during World War II.) There has been a secret war with Iran. Now it is not going to be secret. You will again see large numbers of US ground troops in Iraq. They will be fighting Iranian forces. Russia will be providing Iran with its best weapons and technology. You will see cyber attacks and terrorist attacks worldwide. The Straits of Hormuz could be closed. This would cause oil to shoot up to between $200 and $300 a barrel US. This will be devastating for the economies of India, Japan, and China. Please take Iran seriously. It has a population of over 70 million. Despite its bad economy, it makes a lot of money from oil. It has a worldwide network of supporters. If you're planning an international trip in the coming months, be alert. For example, I would be concerned with an Iranian cyber attack targeting the US air traffic control system. I lived through a crisis in Argentina where the air traffic control system was taken down for a number of days. No planes crashed, but no planes flew either.