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Corona virus (more correctly, Wuhan virus)


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2020 Jan 24, 12:33pm   195,529 views  3,372 comments

by Heraclitusstudent   ➕follow (8)   💰tip   ignore  

Anyone wants to risk a bet on the eventual number of sick people? Dead people?

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609   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Mar 10, 10:35am  

Zika - named for Zika Forest in Uganda
Ebola - named for Ebola River, Congo
MERS - Middle East Respiratory Syndome
Spanish Flu - Spain

Yet:
SARS - Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Corona Virus/Covid-19

Both emerged in East Asia.

RACIST!

Let's call it the Wu Ping Cough.
610   RWSGFY   2020 Mar 10, 10:44am  

NoCoupForYou says
Zika - named for Zika Forest in Uganda
Ebola - named for Ebola River, Congo
MERS - Middle East Respiratory Syndome
Spanish Flu - Spain

Yet:
SARS - Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
Corona Virus/Covid-19

Both emerged in East Asia.

RACIST!

Let's call it the Wu Ping Cough.


Hong Kong flu. But that was before Hong Kong fell under Commie rule.

MUST BE PC TOWARDS COMMIE FASCIST FUCKS!!!!
611   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2020 Mar 10, 1:59pm  

I think bass called it Kung Flu. I like that.
612   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2020 Mar 10, 2:00pm  

HeadSet says
Was that from a "Mr Bean" method of getting the recliner home from the furniture store? Or is that an electric recliner that went out of control and folded up on you "George Jetson" style?


Protip: Never use the decline feature on a relax the back gravity chair to stretch your shoulder.
613   PMack   2020 Mar 10, 2:16pm  

Flu kills more people in an hour than this bogus virus.
614   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Mar 10, 9:52pm  

NoCoupForYou says
Neither is the Coronavirus. It took weeks to get to 400+ cases.

And now at 1000+ cases. With the testing capacity of a third world nation.


mell says
Again, the new infection rate in the US has started to trend down since testing has been established.

Where do you see that?

The_Weeping_Ayatollah says
It's not necessary for more severe strain to kill the host in order to hamper it's spread: people infected with more severe strain would more likely stay home or be put into quarantine thus hampering propagation of the virus

This would also select deadly bugs with long incubation periods.
The reality is collaboration with hosts always beats killing the host. This is why symbiosis is so common in nature.
615   WookieMan   2020 Mar 11, 3:27am  

Still not understanding the hype.... If you've been slightly sick in the last 3 months, there was a decent chance it was CV. True urgency and awareness for this didn't start until early/mid Feb, with the first "reported" case in China being December. Think of the amount of travel to and from China in a month? There's 0% chance this wasn't spreading in the states by late December. Zero.

Again, this very much has likely been around as early as October in China and maybe earlier. The reaction that this is just NOW starting to spread is completely naive. Wouldn't be surprised to find out that 10-20% of the population has already had it.
617   WookieMan   2020 Mar 11, 6:57am  

Tim Aurora says
The_Weeping_Ayatollah says
Spanish Flu - Spain


Spanish Flu did not originate in Spain but in France

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu

And? It's called the Spanish flu. It shares a border with France. There's an extremely high probability that in the early 1900's no one had a fucking clue where it came from. I think 99% of the population alive today would think it came from Spain. Who cares?
619   Patrick   2020 Mar 11, 8:35am  

For comparison, here are two previous fu epidemics:



And here are some (already obsolete) stats on the current epidemic:

620   RWSGFY   2020 Mar 11, 9:36am  

Tim Aurora says
The_Weeping_Ayatollah says
Spanish Flu - Spain


Spanish Flu did not originate in Spain but in France



And I didn't write what you quoted.
621   Bd6r   2020 Mar 11, 9:42am  

Patrick says
Coronavirus Conference Gets Canceled Because of Coronavirus

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-10/coronavirus-conference-gets-canceled-because-of-coronavirus

Almost like a quote from Babylon Bee
622   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Mar 11, 10:24am  

Heraclitusstudent says
And now at 1000+ cases. With the testing capacity of a third world nation.


How many people in the US right now do you think have the flu or common cold?
623   mell   2020 Mar 11, 10:28am  

NoCoupForYou says
Heraclitusstudent says
And now at 1000+ cases. With the testing capacity of a third world nation.


How many people in the US right now do you think have the flu or common cold?


It's still growing linearly now that testing has ramped up. It's not true that testing is unavailable. They have been distributing enough tests to the states to test those that are sick (not the ones not showing symptoms). Asia continues to be on the downslope, Europe is mixed and likely close to experiencing the peak or at it. Same for the US.
624   mell   2020 Mar 11, 10:38am  

Heraclitusstudent says
mell says
Again, the new infection rate in the US has started to trend down since testing has been established.

Where do you see that?


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Used to grow by 30%+ the first few days when testing was established. Of course it's easier to get higher percentage when staring out low in the beginning, but it has now been around 25% flat per day. As testing has been catching up that's not too bad. Let's see where the day ends today.
625   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Mar 11, 10:42am  

Total Number of People that have or had Coronavirus in past few months: 10M
Total Number by Summer: 50M

Only confirmed cases are being published. Most went home, drank tea, vegged on the couch, and went back to work a few days later. Never went to doctor or hospital at all.
626   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Mar 11, 10:44am  

mell says

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Used to grow by 30%+ the first few days when testing was established. Of course it's easier to get higher percentage when staring out low in the beginning, but it has now been around 25% flat per day. As testing has been catching up that's not too bad. Let's see where the day ends today.

You have to believe the Chinese when they say they stopped the virus, at a time where it is spreading everywhere else.
Without that, the numbers you are looking at are just wrong.
627   RWSGFY   2020 Mar 11, 10:49am  

Heraclitusstudent says
You have to believe the Chinese


LOL, LOL and ROTFLMAO on top of that.
628   mell   2020 Mar 11, 10:55am  

Heraclitusstudent says
mell says

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Used to grow by 30%+ the first few days when testing was established. Of course it's easier to get higher percentage when staring out low in the beginning, but it has now been around 25% flat per day. As testing has been catching up that's not too bad. Let's see where the day ends today.

You have to believe the Chinese when they say they stopped the virus, at a time where it is spreading everywhere else.
Without that, the numbers you are looking at are just wrong.


Bullshit. The Chinese don't fuck around with the clampdowns. Their numbers are believable, plus the same trend is seen for other Asian countries. You can spout tinfoil hat stuff all day, we have direct contact with companies that work there. It's true that they're slowly going back to normal, you can see that by how the Asian stocks are behaving as well. It's the European and US indexes that have been under pressure lately, not the Asian ones.
629   mell   2020 Mar 11, 10:57am  

Hong Kong is pretty much unaffected as of now.
630   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Mar 11, 11:10am  

WookieMan says
Heraclitusstudent says
It will just be slowed and minimized. The main problem initially will be the overwhelmed health services.

Not here.


People in Europe & Asia are mere barbarians compare to us. USA USA USA....

- Italy health services are overwhelmed:
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/03/11/italys-hospitals-overwhelmed-coronavirus-top-health-official-says-worst-yet-come-us

- well actually... turns out Italy has 3.18 hospital beds / 1000 people. vs 2.77 hospital beds / 1000 people in the US
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_countries_by_hospital_beds
631   WookieMan   2020 Mar 11, 11:15am  

The pressure is essentially off the Chinese now anyway. There will be repercussions potentially long term for China on the business side, but Italy locking down an entire country is the bigger news story at this point. There's no motivation anymore for the Chinese to lie anymore at this point (even though I still don't trust them).
632   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Mar 11, 11:23am  

mell says
The Chinese don't fuck around with the clampdowns. Their numbers are believable, plus the same trend is seen for other Asian countries.


Right. Remember they clampdown was mostly in 1 region. The virus is now spread in many places in China. They have 130 cities of more than 1 million people. Were they all locked down? Nope. Otherwise the economic damage would have been massive. And everywhere else it spreads silently in communities, but in China they miraculously catch all the new cases.... Maybe they do, but I have my doubts. Maybe they just decided, "ok we lost, we'll just slow it down and stop counting cases and claim victory in the meantime".
633   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Mar 11, 11:26am  

WookieMan says
There's no motivation anymore for the Chinese to lie anymore at this point (even though I still don't trust them).

What would be the motivation to continue to show the cases growing in their country: 200k, 1million?
It would be a daily display of impotence.
634   Heraclitusstudent   2020 Mar 11, 11:28am  

Stopped. Snap. Just like that.
635   WookieMan   2020 Mar 11, 11:36am  

Heraclitusstudent says
What would be the motivation to continue to show the cases growing in their country: 200k, 1million?
It would be a daily display of impotence.

People testing positive really means nothing. If they have 500M tested cases and 20k dead at the end of this, it's no worse than the flu.

This is just like peanut allergies in my opinion. YOU have to self quarantine if you have respiratory or health issues. It's not up to the rest of the world to bend over backwards for your ailment. Isn't this common sense?

I feel for the people that have these issues themselves and/or relatives that do too, but it's not everyone else's problem. My old man didn't "catch" cancer, it just happened. Unfortunately I don't have others to blame like this virus. People gotta stop pointing fingers. Self quarantine yourself if you have any concerns. Simple as that.

The hype on this literally is going to kill more people due to economic reason than the actual virus. I won't be able to prove it, but we get a shitload of meds from China. If there's a shortage of just one, there's could be hundreds of deaths.
636   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Mar 11, 12:11pm  

Heraclitusstudent says
Right. Remember they clampdown was mostly in 1 region. The virus is now spread in many places in China. They have 130 cities of more than 1 million people. Were they all locked down? Nope. Otherwise the economic damage would have been massive. And everywhere else it spreads silently in communities, but in China they miraculously catch all the new cases.... Maybe they do, but I have my doubts. Maybe they just decided, "ok we lost, we'll just slow it down and stop counting cases and claim victory in the meantime".


At least a Million people already have or had it. Probably millions. John Hopkins is only posting Confirmed Cases.
637   mell   2020 Mar 11, 12:17pm  

Heraclitusstudent says
WookieMan says
There's no motivation anymore for the Chinese to lie anymore at this point (even though I still don't trust them).

What would be the motivation to continue to show the cases growing in their country: 200k, 1million?
It would be a daily display of impotence.


If you want to just use tinfoil hat numbers instead of numbers given for EVERY country - even if some don't report totally accurately - then there's nothing to discuss since it's up to everyone's personal opinion.
638   mell   2020 Mar 11, 5:59pm  

Looks like we're coming in around 24% again, Italy is showing some promise at 18.5% new infections, Germany 21%, rest of Europe between 10% and 30%, Asia continues to level off fast, also Iran is starting to show a slowdown. It's mainly the US and Europe right now, in the US the 2 worst hit states by far are Washington and NYC, followed by CA which seems to be slowing down as well amid newly announced lockdowns.
639   ForcedTQ   2020 Mar 11, 6:21pm  

Just in, no European travel to USA for 30 days!
640   mell   2020 Mar 11, 6:24pm  

ForcedTQ says
Just in, no European travel to USA for 30 days!


Those are good measures to contain the spread, but it begs the question why they didn't do that in 2009 during the swine flu pandemic which infected and killed far far more people than this likely will. The lamestream media is in panic mode hoping to hurt the Prez and to distract from Biden's dementia and cokehead Hunter's Shenanigans.
641   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Mar 11, 6:25pm  

* All employee Sick days to be compensated (not sure how this works exactly)
* $50B SBA to direct loans/grants to small biz for sick workers.
* Total European travel ban for 30 days.
* Temporary Payroll tax reduction/elimination

Only thing missing was hefty FCC fines for hyping the virus and not contextualizing it.
642   mell   2020 Mar 11, 6:38pm  

We currently have 1260 active cases in the US of which 10 (!) are serious/critical. Ooook, that surely warrants the apocalypse now.
643   MisdemeanorRebel   2020 Mar 11, 6:47pm  

I get doing some of this stuff as a confidence booster, but it's too bad a State of Emergency requiring that conferences, events, schools, businesses, be forbidden from closing unless they can prove a high infection rate among staff/attendees/students can't be declared.

Maybe something can be done with Federal Contractors and Grant recipients - Sorry, UCal Whatever, you received millions in federal aid, so you can't close.

Many universities plan to shut for spring break and not re-open except via remote learning (which might, in the long run, be a good thing).
644   mell   2020 Mar 11, 6:57pm  

Forrest Gump has CV - Run, Forrest, Run!
645   mell   2020 Mar 11, 7:06pm  

Also MSNPCBS always cites the 120k number of total infections. The active infections are currently 53k, less than half, or 0.00068831168 % of the world population, you can add a factor fo 10 if you think the real infection rate is 10 x higher, so 0.007% rounded.
646   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2020 Mar 11, 9:03pm  

mell says
Ooook, that surely warrants the apocalypse FUCK now.


fixed it for you.
647   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2020 Mar 11, 9:03pm  

mell says
Hong Kong is pretty much unaffected as of now.


Badasses... They did such a bang up job their flu season ended 2 months earlier than usual.

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