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Ukraine’s invasion (of Kursk) was a major strategic blunder, which will accelerate its defeat. The key determinant of success in a war of attrition is the casualty-exchange ratio, not capturing territory, which Western commentators obsess over. The casualty-exchange ratio in the Kursk offensive decisively favors Russia for two reasons. First, it has caused relatively few Russian casualties because Ukraine’s army effectively overran undefended territory. Second, once alerted to the attack, Moscow quickly brought massive airpower to bear against the advancing Ukrainian troops, who were in the open and easy to strike. Unsurprisingly, the attacking forces lost many soldiers and a huge proportion of their equipment.
To make matters worse, Kyiv removed top-notch combat units from the front lines in eastern Ukraine — where they are desperately needed — and made them part of the Kursk strike force. This move is tilting the already lopsided casualty-exchange ratio on that critically important front further in Russia’s favor.
If Kursk blows, it irradiates most of Eurasia, and the rest falls into the Pacific Ocean -BFD.
In Proxy War news, yesterday the Washington Post ran a surprising story headlined, “Ukraine’s offensive derails secret efforts for partial cease-fire with Russia, officials say.” The sub-headline explained, “The warring countries were set to hold indirect talks in Qatar on an agreement to halt strikes on energy and power infrastructure, according to officials.”
Now they tell us. It was a ‘secret’ because media never reported it till now. Apparently, Ukraine and Russia were planning to meet, to discuss de-escalating their tit-for-tat energy strikes, which Russia is clearly winning, since the lights are still on in Moscow while most of Ukraine is sitting around in the dark.
As they say in Westeros, winter is coming. Astonishingly, WaPo admitted Ukraine is on the breaking point:
"We have one chance to get through this winter, and that's if
the Russians won't launch any new attacks on the grid," an
Ukrainian official who was briefed on the talks said.
The same official explained, “energy is definitely critical for us; we’re facing free fall if there’s no light and heat in the winter.”
Facing free fall. Not literally. He meant it’s lights out, comrades. Game over.
Why would Russia want to agree to stop its effective infrastructure attacks? WaPo didn’t say. Nevertheless, the parties had been optimistic about a potential deal. WaPo’s anonymous diplomat said, “Kyiv and Moscow had both signaled their readiness to accept the arrangement in the lead-up to the summit.”
But then Ukraine invaded Russia last week. Now Moscow says “nyet.”
The Ukrainians seem to have missiled themselves in the foot again. Their ‘daring invasion’ into a small rural district in western Russia isn’t likely to produce any benefit, and has scuttled the delicate ‘secret negotiations:’
Military analysts have expressed skepticism that Ukrainian
forces can maintain control of the Russian territory. Moscow
has also continued to make gains in eastern Ukraine's
Donetsk region and has not diverted troops from there to
defend the new Ukrainian assault.
If the Ukrainians had somehow managed to grab the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant ahead of these secret talks, they might have held a royal card to play. But they never even got close.
Ukraine will have to develop an education plan for children in the Kursk region, - Deputy Minister of Education
"If the situation continues until the end of September, we will have to draw up an education plan for minors in those territories," Vinnitsky said.
Better late than never in abandoning this lost cause ...
The Beginning Of The End? Germany To Ban All New Ukraine Military Aid
Soviet assets
RWSGFY says
Soviet assets
You do know the USSR disbanded last century, don't you?
Not expecting a cogent answer.
Yet they still act like paranoid and murderous buffoons needing walls and buffer border countries to protect them from the “evils” of the West.
socal2 says
Yet they still act like paranoid and murderous buffoons needing walls and buffer border countries to protect them from the “evils” of the West.
We still don't know what Hunter was doing for Burisma. We do know the deep state was willing to impeach Trump for whatever it was.
Yet they still act like paranoid and murderous buffoons needing walls and buffer border countries to protect them from the “evils” of the West.
"traffic cameras are still operating in Kursk, and people are receiving speeding fines when trying to outrun FPVs [first-person-view attack drones]. Some have resorted to covering their license plates but the traffic police force them to remove them."
We still don't know what Hunter was doing for Burisma. We do know the deep state was willing to impeach Trump for whatever it was.
We've had the socal2 bot for some time now.
When discussing the ongoing war in Ukraine, the prelate said it is essential to see the war from both parties’ perspectives and not simply divide it into the “good” and the “bad” sides.
“There is a history and aggressive politics from the United States and NATO, which provoked this war.”
“And they wanted it from the beginning,” he said.
“I have never seen such a promotion of war by politics in Europe,” Bishop Eleganti stated. “It’s really crazy.”
“And there are powerful people with [a lot of] money who have their own hidden agenda.”
https://x.com/Glenn_Diesen/status/1830110518113186289
I think this is to cover up how easy it was for the Russians to shoot it down, instead.
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https://twitter.com/HinchaPenta/status/1496700652084473857?s=20&t=T1inEM5Hv6ahmrL4nzNirQ&source=patrick.net