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housing prices peak 2


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2022 Apr 29, 9:29pm   600,143 views  5,620 comments

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net

Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.

Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.

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1266   RC2006   2022 Nov 7, 8:58am  

I saw on my local news rents have fallen 3%.
1267   B.A.C.A.H.   2022 Nov 7, 9:25am  

RC2006 says

I saw on my local news rents have fallen 3%.

Where is this?
1268   Al_Sharpton_for_President   2022 Nov 7, 9:35am  

Mortgage Holders Lose $1.3 Trillion in Equity in Q3 as Price Correction Continues; Nationally, Homes Shed 2.6% of Value Over Past Three Months.

According to the Black Knight Home Price Index, median home prices fell 0.52% in September, continuing a three-month streak of declines – but slowed at half the pace of the prior two months

Annualized appreciation slowed to 10.7% – still more than twice long-term norms – and, while indicative of continued correction, the 1.2% decline from August is the smallest seen in four months

Despite price corrections, home values in the nation’s 50 largest markets remain elevated by anywhere from 19% to 66% since the start of the pandemic

Still, $1.3T (-7.6%) in recently added equity vanished from the market in the third quarter, the largest quarterly dollar decline on record, and the largest on a percentage basis since 2009

Equity among mortgaged homes is now nearly $1.5T (-8.4%) off its May 2022 peak, with the equity of the average borrower down $30K from earlier this year

While additional declines may be on the horizon, equity positions remain strong; at $5T (46%) above pre-pandemic levels, the average mortgage holder still has more than $92K more equity than before

Though the number of underwater homeowners has climbed nearly 275K over the past four months –more than doubling the population – fewer than 500K homes are currently underwater nationwide

Nationally, 3.6% of borrowers are either underwater or have less than 10% equity, roughly half the pre-pandemic share; a historically and extremely low share (0.84%) are in negative equity positions.

https://www.blackknightinc.com/black-knights-september-2022-mortgage-monitor/
1269   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 7, 9:45am  

https://www.reddit.com/r/RealEstate/comments/ym383q/request_for_advice_builder_going_under_and_taking/

Request for advice: Builder going under and taking the money with him
1270   socal2   2022 Nov 7, 9:48am  

Next door neighbor in Carlsbad, CA sold his 1,800 square foot home for $1.1 million in August. House was built in 1977 and he bought it in the mid 1980's and has ton of equity.

Looks like some flippers bought the house and they were only planning on "modest" home improvements. But they have had folks working on the house (and pool!) for 3 months now. I'm estimating at least $200K has been put into the house so far. Probably more including all the big trees they cut down.

There are only 2 homes in my neighborhood for sale right now and they have been sitting for months with price reductions.

I think the flippers are going to lose their shirt on this house.
1271   Booger   2022 Nov 7, 3:57pm  

Roughly a 3 month supply of houses for sale on a national level.
1272   Ceffer   2022 Nov 7, 4:02pm  

socal2 says

I think the flippers are going to lose their shirt on this house.

Flippers be floppers.
1273   🎂 GNL   2022 Nov 7, 4:17pm  

Booger says

Roughly a 3 month supply of houses for sale on a national level.

I think that is considered an even market.
1274   RC2006   2022 Nov 7, 4:23pm  

B.A.C.A.H. says

RC2006 says


I saw on my local news rents have fallen 3%.

Where is this?


Boise
1275   WookieMan   2022 Nov 7, 4:34pm  

Booger says

Roughly a 3 month supply of houses for sale on a national level.

6 months is classically a balanced market for sellers and buyers. I think most real estate news is clickbait currently based on interest rates and overarching economy. Until the supply hits that, at least locally, I wouldn't get worked up too much about house prices.

The Dems are going to get their asses handed to them tomorrow. If they want the executive branch next term, interest rates are coming down. Housing is not the weak spot currently. No one is building outside of where there's actual demand. No one is building subdivisions assuming they can sell 100 homes without there being a contract on the house.

Oil and supply chain issues are the biggest problem. Not ghetto people aborting children and women's rights. My wife makes more than most on this forum. Not a knock on anyone, but women are doing fine. The wealthy ones are conservative. And not the "wealthy" ones via the husband. Women that earn are conservative as fuck. My wife is probably more conservative than I am. Totally anti-abortion. Hates the taxes we pay even though she's a bit naive to what we pay. Deals with government daily and it chaps her ass. I got lucky our paths somehow aligned soon to be 25 years ago. Fuck, I'm getting old, but I'm still young(ish).
1278   exfatguy   2022 Nov 8, 11:03am  

From $1,800 per month to $8,000+? Holy shit, mother of all bad decisions!
1279   HeadSet   2022 Nov 8, 11:16am  

Glad to hear it on the "Bad Decision, Must Sell" post. Asshole ran from the mess he likely supported in CA and also help raise the price of homes in Snohomish. Succumbed to "peer pressure" is just another way of saying "keep up with the Joneses."
1280   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 8, 11:50am  

HeadSet says

Succumbed to "peer pressure" is just another way of saying "keep up with the Joneses."


Or the wife made him do it.
1281   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 8, 11:56am  

https://www.reddit.com/r/FirstTimeHomeBuyer/comments/yp6qeu/i_dont_want_my_house_anymore/

I don't want my house anymore

I bought in early 2022. A house in CA for $590,000. But I no longer want it. My neighbors are annoying, I've been bleeding my savings into renovations, the layout is not what I want, and it's not in that desirable of an area.

I've been looking at the market and similar houses are going for under $500k. So I want to sell the one I have and buy a newer, better, and cheaper house.

The problem is though that I bought this place less than 6 months ago so I'm not even sure if it's possible to sell that soon. Unless I offload it to an ibuyer like redfin.

Does anyone know if selling in less than 6 months is a possibility? I understand I may sell at a loss but how bad is that really?
1283   🎂 GNL   2022 Nov 8, 11:57am  

zzyzzx says

HeadSet says


Succumbed to "peer pressure" is just another way of saying "keep up with the Joneses."


Or the wife made him do it.

^^^^^^^^^. Pussy is hella expensive. Better to rent.
1284   HeadSet   2022 Nov 8, 12:00pm  

GNL says

zzyzzx says


HeadSet says



Succumbed to "peer pressure" is just another way of saying "keep up with the Joneses."


Or the wife made him do it.


^^^^^^^^^. Pussy is hella expensive. Better to rent.

It may have been the wife's job that bought in the most loot.
1285   🎂 GNL   2022 Nov 8, 12:09pm  

HeadSet says

GNL says


zzyzzx says



HeadSet says




Succumbed to "peer pressure" is just another way of saying "keep up with the Joneses."


Or the wife made him do it.



^^^^^^^^^. Pussy is hella expensive. Better to rent.


It may have been the wife's job that bought in the most loot.

Yes, could be. $$ don't make a person smart. I know a guy who owned a very successful printing company. The guy could not read or write.
1286   Ceffer   2022 Nov 8, 12:36pm  

Several new 'admitted' price cuts occurring in many units in Santa Cruz.
1287   Onvacation   2022 Nov 8, 3:25pm  

GNL says

^^^^^^^^^. Pussy is hella expensive. Better to rent

Rent house? Or pussy?
1288   🎂 GNL   2022 Nov 8, 3:42pm  

Onvacation says


GNL says


^^^^^^^^^. Pussy is hella expensive. Better to rent

Rent house? Or pussy?


Rent pussy. I don't really mean that but, anyone who's married for a length of time has thought it might have been smarter. I assume.
1289   porkchopXpress   2022 Nov 8, 4:02pm  

Eman says

That’s quite a generalized statement.
Good points.
1290   HeadSet   2022 Nov 8, 6:50pm  

GNL says

$$ don't make a person smart. I know a guy who owned a very successful printing company. The guy could not read or write.

If he started and built a very successful business (not inherited), then he is smart. Might have a learning disability or severe dyslexia. Measuring smarts by literacy would put a bilingual Latino kid ahead of his English only speaking Professor.
1291   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 9, 9:12am  

https://old.reddit.com/r/RealEstate/comments/yq9o7u/price_changes/

Literally two weeks ago, we put an offer on a new construction home with the builder. House was priced pretty high at $735k, and I told the realtor I did not want to exceed the loan limit so our offer will be $675k (I realize this seems low, but it was appropriate for the area/current market). They came back and would not lower the price below $710k. They had a smaller model come available since the original buyer backed out and we tried our offer again at $675k. They came back with $686k. This seemed high still, but we’re having a baby in a couple months so we want to get this move done quickly so we stupidly agreed. We signed contracts with the builder and put down a deposit of $15k. The loan is in process and the approximate move in date is 11/29. Fast forward to today, we stopped by to get a measurement and I see they lowered all of their base prices by $60k and the house that they refused to lower below $710k is now $689k. I realize we should’ve just waited, but this pregnancy has me fat and impatient. Is there anything we can do? Can we ask them to lower the price? Can we try to switch houses now after contracts were signed?
1292   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 9, 9:23am  

This will affect some markets:
https://www.hrdive.com/news/report-9-in-10-companies-will-require-return-to-office-by-2023/633055/

Report: 9 in 10 companies will require return to office by 2023
1293   Eric Holder   2022 Nov 9, 9:32am  

zzyzzx says

I realize we should’ve just waited, but this pregnancy has me fat and impatient


Ah, the good old housebuying while pregnant....
1294   🎂 GNL   2022 Nov 9, 9:57am  

HeadSet says

GNL says


$$ don't make a person smart. I know a guy who owned a very successful printing company. The guy could not read or write.

If he started and built a very successful business (not inherited), then he is smart. Might have a learning disability or severe dyslexia. Measuring smarts by literacy would put a bilingual Latino kid ahead of his English only speaking Professor.

Yes, he did inherit it. But he reimagined the company and took all work in over the web. He hired people to create his vision. I'd say that took some intelligence.
1295   🎂 GNL   2022 Nov 9, 9:58am  

zzyzzx says

https://old.reddit.com/r/RealEstate/comments/yq9o7u/price_changes/

Literally two weeks ago, we put an offer on a new construction home with the builder. House was priced pretty high at $735k, and I told the realtor I did not want to exceed the loan limit so our offer will be $675k (I realize this seems low, but it was appropriate for the area/current market). They came back and would not lower the price below $710k. They had a smaller model come available since the original buyer backed out and we tried our offer again at $675k. They came back with $686k. This seemed high still, but we’re having a baby in a couple months so we want to get this move done quickly so we stupidly agreed. We signed contracts with the builder and put down a deposit of $15k. The loan is in process and the approximate move in date is 11/29. Fast forward to today, we stoppe...

Best to never put yourself in a position where you have to do something.
1296   Ceffer   2022 Nov 9, 10:00am  

Eric Holder says

Ah, the good old housebuying while pregnant....

The 'nesting imperative' dominated by genetic narcissism trumps common sense.
1297   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 9, 10:10am  

Ceffer says

Eric Holder says

Ah, the good old housebuying while pregnant....

The 'nesting imperative' dominated by genetic narcissism trumps common sense.


Another "The wife made me do it"...
1298   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 9, 10:12am  

https://finance.yahoo.com/m/fb33f461-a993-385a-8ba4-823885808a67/d-r-horton%E2%80%99s-earnings-fall.html

D.R. Horton’s Earnings Fall Short as Home Orders Drop and Cancellations Rise
1300   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 9, 11:47am  

https://news3lv.com/amp/news/local/las-vegas-housing-market-continues-to-cool-in-october-southern-nevada-home-prices-real-estate-listings-mortgage-interest-rates-condos-townhomes

The median price for an existing single-family home sold in Southern Nevada last month was $440,000, the group Las Vegas Realtors reports.

That figure is down 2.2% from September when the median price was $450,000. It's also the fourth time in the last five months that prices have declined and down from the all-time record of $482,000 set in May.
1301   zzyzzx   2022 Nov 9, 11:55am  

ERECTION INTENSEFYING!!!

https://news.yahoo.com/redfin-shutting-down-home-flipping-140510024.html

Redfin is shutting down its home-flipping business and laying off 13% of staff

Redfin announced it would cut 862 people, or 13% of its staff, on Wednesday.

It's winding down its home-flipping business, RedfinNow, also known as an iBuyer.

The real-estate company Redfin announced on Wednesday that it would lay off 862 staffers, or 13% of its workforce as it sees the housing contraction lingering into 2023.

Of the cuts, 264 of those are related to the company's home-flipping business, RedfinNow, which it will shut down, the company said in a financial filing.

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