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housing prices peak 2


               
2022 Apr 29, 9:29pm   866,847 views  7,410 comments

by AD   follow (0)  

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net

Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.

Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.

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7398   HeadSet   @   2026 Jan 24, 8:22am  

Patrick says

He cited the strong performance of retirement accounts as a reason to preserve those funds rather than encourage withdrawals for housing.

Correct. Retirement accounts are for retirement, not to prop up house prices.
7399   FortWayneHatesRealtors   @   2026 Jan 24, 9:38am  

HeadSet says

Patrick says


He cited the strong performance of retirement accounts as a reason to preserve those funds rather than encourage withdrawals for housing.

Correct. Retirement accounts are for retirement, not to prop up house prices.


That’s a good point. What’s next? Ca
R guys get Trumps ear… withdraw to buy a car.

Defeats the whole retirement point.
7400   TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter   @   2026 Jan 24, 1:24pm  

Yep, and allowing withdrawals from 401ks isn't going to help those under 40 buy anyway, nor will it impact the market.

The Government is fucked in attempting to control housing prices.

Biden already let any illegal with a pulse get a nothing/almost nothing down minimal documentation loan.
7401   zzyzzx   @   2026 Jan 28, 6:49am  



7402   ForcedTQ   @   2026 Jan 28, 7:04am  

zzyzzx says





You forgot GPUs, and now RAM….
7403   HeadSet   @   2026 Jan 28, 8:39am  

zzyzzx says





Yes, go ahead and try "scalping" real estate. I bought and refurbished many homes to use as rentals. In no case could I have covered the initial costs of the home plus the refurbishment cost if I sold it soon after buying. I bought them to rent out long term, because even with a slight negative cash flow I figured I was buying a house for $20 a month. When I finally sold these houses, I did make good money even after the recouped depreciation and cap gains tax. Also, being a landlord is not like being an investor, it is like having a part time job.
7404   Patrick   @   2026 Jan 28, 7:48pm  

HeadSet says


Retirement accounts are for retirement, not to prop up house prices.


It's legal to buy a house with your 401(k) money already, and has been for a long time, as long as it's an investment.

You just can't live in it.

So that feels contradictory. You can invest your retirement money in a house, but not your own house.
7405   HeadSet   @   2026 Jan 29, 2:32pm  

Patrick says

So that feels contradictory. You can invest your retirement money in a house, but not your own house.

Actually, that makes sense. Rental property is money making, a private house is consumption. Same reason you can use 401(k) money to buy Ford stock but not a personal Ford truck.
7406   stereotomy   @   2026 Jan 29, 3:49pm  

Imagine that - a tax law that actually makes sense. It must have been written in the 1970's - that's the last time politicians actually legislated.

EDIT: I'm not mocking anyone - I find it refreshing when a law actually makes sense.
7407   Patrick   @   2026 Jan 30, 12:21pm  



7408   Patrick   @   2026 Jan 30, 6:11pm  

https://wolfstreet.com/2026/01/29/californias-population-declines-again-200000-since-2020-relief-for-housing-shortage-as-new-supply-keeps-getting-built/


Home prices in California are down 2% year-over-year and roughly unchanged since July 2022.

California’s population declined again in the 12 months through July 1, 2025, to 39.36 million people, after two years of growth, and is 200,400 people below the “estimate base” of April 1, 2020 (39.56 million), according to the Census Bureau annual data on the US population.

That put California’s population where it had been in about 2017 – essentially eight years of no population growth.
7409   mell   @   2026 Jan 30, 7:54pm  

CA also has been taking away more and more land away from potential builders. Plus building activity has been weak for years.

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