housing prices peak 2
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2022 Apr 29, 9:29pm 607,574 views 5,691 comments
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379
Al_Sharpton_for_President
2022 Jul 16, 10:49am
Al_Sharpton_for_President
2022 Jul 16, 10:49am
Realtor: Here is a nice resale, built in 2021. It's listed for $825,000.
Me: What did the current owners pay for it?
Realtor: $725,000.
Me: What did it list for?
Realtor: $630,000.
Me: So the current owners overbid $95,000, or 15%, on the home?
Realtor: Well, it was a competitive market, and they wanted the home.
Me: And now they want me to pay 14% more on top of that, after they lived in it for one year?
Realtor: Ummm.... Can you put your wife on the phone, please?
Me: What did the current owners pay for it?
Realtor: $725,000.
Me: What did it list for?
Realtor: $630,000.
Me: So the current owners overbid $95,000, or 15%, on the home?
Realtor: Well, it was a competitive market, and they wanted the home.
Me: And now they want me to pay 14% more on top of that, after they lived in it for one year?
Realtor: Ummm.... Can you put your wife on the phone, please?
380
Booger
2022 Jul 16, 11:35am
Booger
2022 Jul 16, 11:35am
Al_Sharpton_for_President says
I also think that women are a good part of the reasoning behind the overbidding.
Realtor: Ummm.... Can you put your wife on the phone, please?
I also think that women are a good part of the reasoning behind the overbidding.
381
1337irr
2022 Jul 17, 7:51pm
1337irr
2022 Jul 17, 7:51pm
Looks like the backup plan on overpaying on a fix and flip house is to rent it out to cover the mortgage payment. The searches for "property manager" are bit elevated in states like California, Florida and New York. Texas, Colorado and Idaho doesn't seem too bad though. And Wyoming isn't a hot market surprisingly.
Thoughts?
Thoughts?
382
pudil
2022 Jul 17, 8:39pm
Are we having record inflation or not? Please explain how housing prices are going to drop while everything else is going up 10%+ yoy.
383
gabbar
2022 Jul 18, 5:14am
gabbar
2022 Jul 18, 5:14am
Al_Sharpton_for_President says
The reason why I still haven't bought a home is this. I wanted a 1600 sft ranch home (more than enough for my small family). My wife wanted a larger colonial style home with a sunroom. We argued and fought. Yep, we still rent and are rather happy. We travel and have our kid's undergraduate education 100 percent covered.
Realtor: Here is a nice resale, built in 2021. It's listed for $825,000.
Me: What did the current owners pay for it?
Realtor: $725,000.
Me: What did it list for?
Realtor: $630,000.
Me: So the current owners overbid $95,000, or 15%, on the home?
Realtor: Well, it was a competitive market, and they wanted the home.
Me: And now they want me to pay 14% more on top of that, after they lived in it for one year?
Realtor: Ummm.... Can you put your wife on the phone, please?
The reason why I still haven't bought a home is this. I wanted a 1600 sft ranch home (more than enough for my small family). My wife wanted a larger colonial style home with a sunroom. We argued and fought. Yep, we still rent and are rather happy. We travel and have our kid's undergraduate education 100 percent covered.
384
1337irr
2022 Jul 18, 5:47am
1337irr
2022 Jul 18, 5:47am
pudil says
It's a reversion to the mean. Austin will revert back to the mean increase.
Home values in Austin have increased by 29.4% over the last year. Over the past five years home values in Austin have increased by 99%. Median sales price for a home in Austin is $550,000 based on the most recent report from the Austin Board of Realtors.
The Austin market is the biggest market for flippers and the government/FED at the moment is not subsidizing them as much. Increasing interest rates, takes away the house price increases. 20% of all transactions in the last year were speculators.
"You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible."
- Thomas Sowell
Does that make sense pudil?
I should note, I'm carrying a chip on my shoulder, I should've bought in Austin earlier. However, I did buy in the Waco-area.
Are we having record inflation or not? Please explain how housing prices are going to drop while everything else is going up 10%+ yoy.
It's a reversion to the mean. Austin will revert back to the mean increase.
Home values in Austin have increased by 29.4% over the last year. Over the past five years home values in Austin have increased by 99%. Median sales price for a home in Austin is $550,000 based on the most recent report from the Austin Board of Realtors.
The Austin market is the biggest market for flippers and the government/FED at the moment is not subsidizing them as much. Increasing interest rates, takes away the house price increases. 20% of all transactions in the last year were speculators.
"You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible."
- Thomas Sowell
Does that make sense pudil?
I should note, I'm carrying a chip on my shoulder, I should've bought in Austin earlier. However, I did buy in the Waco-area.
385
gabbar
2022 Jul 18, 6:55am
gabbar
2022 Jul 18, 6:55am
A few years back I talked to a mortgage loan officer. At that time we had more than 100k sitting in our checking account and it was in an increasing trend. She said the reason we have this cash in our account was because we live like students. That is, even after we graduated from school and got jobs, we continued to live like students.
What's the mortgage debt about? Is it about keeping the population running on an job treadmill? Is it about a method of preventing mass chaos? Is it about maintaining power status quo? We talk about freedom but seems to me the most important freedom is fiscal freedom.
What's the mortgage debt about? Is it about keeping the population running on an job treadmill? Is it about a method of preventing mass chaos? Is it about maintaining power status quo? We talk about freedom but seems to me the most important freedom is fiscal freedom.
386
gabbar
2022 Jul 18, 7:01am
gabbar
2022 Jul 18, 7:01am
WookieMan says
I agree. Is this because agents work only on commission (no salary at all)? They don't eat if they don't kill. And they kill using any means necessary. An ethical real estate agent will soon leave real estate business. In fact, I met a young real estate agent who pretty much told me this.
You have to be an unethical dick to work in RE and I couldn't do it anymore.
I agree. Is this because agents work only on commission (no salary at all)? They don't eat if they don't kill. And they kill using any means necessary. An ethical real estate agent will soon leave real estate business. In fact, I met a young real estate agent who pretty much told me this.
387
Booger
2022 Jul 18, 8:02am
Booger
2022 Jul 18, 8:02am
pudil says
Housing prices are tied to wages, not inflation.
Are we having record inflation or not? Please explain how housing prices are going to drop while everything else is going up 10%+ yoy.
Housing prices are tied to wages, not inflation.
388
1337irr
2022 Jul 18, 8:05am
1337irr
2022 Jul 18, 8:05am
Booger says
I would also say house prices are strongly correlated to wages and net wealth.
pudil says
Are we having record inflation or not? Please explain how housing prices are going to drop while everything else is going up 10%+ yoy.
Housing prices are tied to wages, not inflation.
I would also say house prices are strongly correlated to wages and net wealth.
389
GNL
2022 Jul 18, 10:24am
GNL
2022 Jul 18, 10:24am
gabbar says
There is NO FREEDOM without economic freedom. Unpossible.
A few years back I talked to a mortgage loan officer. At that time we had more than 100k sitting in our checking account and it was in an increasing trend. She said the reason we have this cash in our account was because we live like students. That is, even after we graduated from school and got jobs, we continued to live like students.
What's the mortgage debt about? Is it about keeping the population running on an job treadmill? Is it about a method of preventing mass chaos? Is it about maintaining power status quo? We talk about freedom but seems to me the most important freedom is fiscal freedom.
There is NO FREEDOM without economic freedom. Unpossible.
391
Al_Sharpton_for_President
2022 Jul 21, 9:44am
Al_Sharpton_for_President
2022 Jul 21, 9:44am
Quick flip RIP.
Date Jul 21, 2022
Price Changed
Price $765,000
Date Jul 7, 2022
Price Changed
Price $775,000
Date Jun 16, 2022
Price Changed
Price $798,000
Date Jun 2, 2022
Price Changed
Price $820,000
Date May 19, 2022
Listed (Active)
Price $825,000
Date Oct 19, 2021
Sold (MLS) (Closed)
Price $389,000
Date Jul 21, 2022
Price Changed
Price $765,000
Date Jul 7, 2022
Price Changed
Price $775,000
Date Jun 16, 2022
Price Changed
Price $798,000
Date Jun 2, 2022
Price Changed
Price $820,000
Date May 19, 2022
Listed (Active)
Price $825,000
Date Oct 19, 2021
Sold (MLS) (Closed)
Price $389,000
392
1337irr
2022 Jul 21, 6:14pm
1337irr
2022 Jul 21, 6:14pm
Al_Sharpton_for_President says
How is it a RIP?
Quick flip RIP.
Date Jul 21, 2022
Price Changed
Price $765,000
Date Jul 7, 2022
Price Changed
Price $775,000
Date Jun 16, 2022
Price Changed
Price $798,000
Date Jun 2, 2022
Price Changed
Price $820,000
Date May 19, 2022
Listed (Active)
Price $825,000
Date Oct 19, 2021
Sold (MLS) (Closed)
Price $389,000
How is it a RIP?
393
Al_Sharpton_for_President
2022 Jul 21, 7:34pm
Al_Sharpton_for_President
2022 Jul 21, 7:34pm
1337irr says
Rhymed with flip. But I doubt if the fliiper put in 112% of the price of the purchase in upgrades when the flip was listed a scant 7 months after purchase, even accounting for a possible increase in average market price, which is no longer a given. Perhaps I should have listed this under the Pigotry post.
How is it a RIP?
Rhymed with flip. But I doubt if the fliiper put in 112% of the price of the purchase in upgrades when the flip was listed a scant 7 months after purchase, even accounting for a possible increase in average market price, which is no longer a given. Perhaps I should have listed this under the Pigotry post.
394
WookieMan
2022 Jul 22, 6:07am
WookieMan
2022 Jul 22, 6:07am
gabbar says
I was salaried and didn't do the sales part myself. I was marketing, accounting, broker support, basic tech, etc. Basically managed the office and the overall business. Generally didn't deal with clients one on one outside of shooting photos or talking/texting them for showings.
Dealing with people that don't know when the next check is coming was miserable. I made solid money for my age, but there are way to many hands in the cookie jar in real estate. New agents rolling up in Tesla after I'd been doing ALL parts of the business for 10 years, I'd just start telling them to fuck off. I became a massive ass hole in the latter years I was there. I'd get in screaming matches with inspectors, attorneys, brokers, etc. Everyone in the industry waits until the last second and it then becomes a problem that was solvable weeks ago.
I also hate the brag part of brokers. "I sold $10M last year." You'd be lucky to walk with $100-120k net if you don't own the brokerage. Big fucking deal. To be wealthy as a broker today you'd need to sell $20M+ and own the brokerage. 80% of agents, even with higher prices are lucky to sell $2-5M, which is $50-70k/yr net. Hence the reason Realtors are so shady. It's a shitty living unless you're super social and click with everyone you meet and aren't a tool. That's all there really is to it. Sales 101.
Most people don't have it and flop when they get their license. Most brokers also cannot deal with emotions. You're kind of a therapist in guiding someone to the largest purchase in their lives with most transactions. It's why commercial RE is much more ideal. No emotions. Business deal. Numbers.
WookieMan says
You have to be an unethical dick to work in RE and I couldn't do it anymore.
I agree. Is this because agents work only on commission (no salary at all)? They don't eat if they don't kill. And they kill using any means necessary. An ethical real estate agent will soon leave real estate business. In fact, I met a young real estate agent who pretty much told me this.
I was salaried and didn't do the sales part myself. I was marketing, accounting, broker support, basic tech, etc. Basically managed the office and the overall business. Generally didn't deal with clients one on one outside of shooting photos or talking/texting them for showings.
Dealing with people that don't know when the next check is coming was miserable. I made solid money for my age, but there are way to many hands in the cookie jar in real estate. New agents rolling up in Tesla after I'd been doing ALL parts of the business for 10 years, I'd just start telling them to fuck off. I became a massive ass hole in the latter years I was there. I'd get in screaming matches with inspectors, attorneys, brokers, etc. Everyone in the industry waits until the last second and it then becomes a problem that was solvable weeks ago.
I also hate the brag part of brokers. "I sold $10M last year." You'd be lucky to walk with $100-120k net if you don't own the brokerage. Big fucking deal. To be wealthy as a broker today you'd need to sell $20M+ and own the brokerage. 80% of agents, even with higher prices are lucky to sell $2-5M, which is $50-70k/yr net. Hence the reason Realtors are so shady. It's a shitty living unless you're super social and click with everyone you meet and aren't a tool. That's all there really is to it. Sales 101.
Most people don't have it and flop when they get their license. Most brokers also cannot deal with emotions. You're kind of a therapist in guiding someone to the largest purchase in their lives with most transactions. It's why commercial RE is much more ideal. No emotions. Business deal. Numbers.
398
Bd6r
2022 Jul 22, 4:53pm
Bd6r
2022 Jul 22, 4:53pm
Anecdotal: I parse har.com (TX RE listings) and look at land (40+ acres). Half a year ago, nearly everything that went up for sale was snatched up in days or weeks. Now there are much fewer pending sales.
399
1337irr
2022 Jul 22, 4:55pm
1337irr
2022 Jul 22, 4:55pm
Booger says
Hopefully he got something good...
I think rising natural gas prices are going to make more sellers soon. It is $8.29 a mmBTU. They will reach $20/mmBTU soon enough.
Hopefully he got something good...
I think rising natural gas prices are going to make more sellers soon. It is $8.29 a mmBTU. They will reach $20/mmBTU soon enough.
400
gabbar
2022 Jul 23, 7:01am
gabbar
2022 Jul 23, 7:01am
WookieMan says
The commonly used real estate sale agreement/contract provided and used by realtors in Ohio is shit, shittier than shit. It is designed to give the agents the controlling hand. And you are right, agents are shady, probably worse than used car salesmen. And the government colludes with real estate agents in making policies that favor the industry and place the buyers and sellers at a disadvantage.
Glad that you were able to get away from a job that you didn't like.
I also hate the brag part of brokers. "I sold $10M last year." You'd be lucky to walk with $100-120k net if you don't own the brokerage. Big fucking deal. To be wealthy as a broker today you'd need to sell $20M+ and own the brokerage. 80% of agents, even with higher prices are lucky to sell $2-5M, which is $50-70k/yr net. Hence the reason Realtors are so shady. It's a shitty living unless you're super social and click with everyone you meet and aren't a tool. That's all there really is to it. Sales 101.
The commonly used real estate sale agreement/contract provided and used by realtors in Ohio is shit, shittier than shit. It is designed to give the agents the controlling hand. And you are right, agents are shady, probably worse than used car salesmen. And the government colludes with real estate agents in making policies that favor the industry and place the buyers and sellers at a disadvantage.
Glad that you were able to get away from a job that you didn't like.
401
Patrick
2022 Jul 23, 9:05am
Patrick
2022 Jul 23, 9:05am
https://notthebee.com/article/home-sales-have-been-declining-for-nearly-half-a-year-straight-so-yeah-i-think-the-insane-housing-market-is-finally-cooling-off
Pre-owned home sales drop for the 5th straight month as buyers finally surrender to this insane economy
Pre-owned home sales drop for the 5th straight month as buyers finally surrender to this insane economy
403
gabbar
2022 Jul 24, 7:41am
gabbar
2022 Jul 24, 7:41am
Silly question. When we call a house a single family home, does it mean that only one family should or is legally allowed to live there?
404
Booger
2022 Jul 24, 9:58am
Booger
2022 Jul 24, 9:58am
https://www.kgw.com/article/news/local/homeless/north-portland-makeshift-homeless-village-rent-businesses/283-4e0aa5a5-fa46-4bbb-9704-7ac1a7c6d5a3
North Portland homeless encampment charges rent for houseless people to stay
North Portland homeless encampment charges rent for houseless people to stay
405
HeadSet
2022 Jul 24, 1:39pm
HeadSet
2022 Jul 24, 1:39pm
gabbar says
Designed for single family use. Can be used otherwise, just like a screwdriver does not only have to be used to drive screws.
Silly question. When we call a house a single family home, does it mean that only one family should or is legally allowed to live there?
Designed for single family use. Can be used otherwise, just like a screwdriver does not only have to be used to drive screws.
406
Onvacation
2022 Jul 24, 1:42pm
Onvacation
2022 Jul 24, 1:42pm
HeadSet says
Yeah but, if you use them properly you can unscrew things.
Designed for single family use. Can be used otherwise, just like a screwdriver does not only have to be used to drive screws.
Yeah but, if you use them properly you can unscrew things.
407
Ceffer
2022 Jul 24, 1:47pm
Ceffer
2022 Jul 24, 1:47pm
'Grace's Oasis' homeless camp. What could possibly go wrong? Most homeless camps achieving size eventually burn down do to people not safely using heating, cooking, or just passing out with lit pipes, cigarettes etc.
408
gabbar
2022 Jul 24, 3:21pm
gabbar
2022 Jul 24, 3:21pm
HeadSet says
So its lawful for more than 1 family to live in a single family house? Do laws prohibit renting out of a single family home in such a way that the owner and an another family lives in a single family home? Do laws specifically prohibit single family homes to be used for business purposes? I know that Asian businesses use their stores as a part time or full time residence. They convert the back of the store to an efficiency apartment like space.
Designed for single family use. Can be used otherwise, just like a screwdriver does not only have to be used to drive screws.
So its lawful for more than 1 family to live in a single family house? Do laws prohibit renting out of a single family home in such a way that the owner and an another family lives in a single family home? Do laws specifically prohibit single family homes to be used for business purposes? I know that Asian businesses use their stores as a part time or full time residence. They convert the back of the store to an efficiency apartment like space.
409
HeadSet
2022 Jul 24, 6:46pm
HeadSet
2022 Jul 24, 6:46pm
gabbar says
Yes, although some localities limit the number of unrelated people who can leave in a single-family dwelling. Prince Willaim County, Va tried to make that limit 12, but even that generous number was struck down by a court.
gabbar says
That would be zoning laws. Residential zoned houses are not supposed to be used for commercial purposes.
So its lawful for more than 1 family to live in a single family house?
Yes, although some localities limit the number of unrelated people who can leave in a single-family dwelling. Prince Willaim County, Va tried to make that limit 12, but even that generous number was struck down by a court.
gabbar says
Do laws specifically prohibit single family homes to be used for business purposes?
That would be zoning laws. Residential zoned houses are not supposed to be used for commercial purposes.
411
zzyzzx
2022 Jul 26, 8:26am
zzyzzx
2022 Jul 26, 8:26am
https://www.reddit.com/r/REBubble/comments/w89voz/i_backed_out_of_builder_contract_made_a_low_offer/
I Backed Out of Builder Contract. Made a Low Offer on Another Home and Got It Accepted.
I was in contract with a builder for a 500K home in April. There were already some issues with this builder that made me want to cancel. After reading this forum everyday for the past 3 months and my own research on the current market, I decided to cancel. I tried everything I can, including pleading with the builder to give me back half of the deposit. At the end, I lost the full deposit of 15K. It sucked, but I knew it was the right decision.
Yesterday, I made an offer on a home that was just completed by another builder. Similar build, but better location, better community amenities, and better priced. This is near Indianapolis. Asking price was 386K. I offered 370k and asked to throw in a new fridge. Seller countered at 374K. I accepted. So yes, the housing market price is going down and you can make a lower than asking offer. This home was back on market after the previous buyer backed out. There are quite a few new builds that I see back on the market in the area. Yes it confirms that builders are having more contracts being canceled.
What I learned from this experience is:
1). Don't ever buy from a national builder because their contract is made to protect them and only them. I had no choice because my husband only liked new construction homes.
2). Don't ever use a realtor. My realtor kept telling me to not give lower than asking offers. She was annoyed that I made low ball offers at several homes. When she realized that I was canceling a 500K home to look at homes under 400K, she tried hard to convince me that other homes have low re-sell values and other flaws.
3). If you can subscribe to a legal plan, do it. My husband's employer offered a discounted legal plan (through a major life insurance company). He can pay about $8 a month and get access to most lawyer services for free, which include real estate contracts. I only found out about this recently and I will be using this in the future if I need to. No need for useless realtors.
I Backed Out of Builder Contract. Made a Low Offer on Another Home and Got It Accepted.
I was in contract with a builder for a 500K home in April. There were already some issues with this builder that made me want to cancel. After reading this forum everyday for the past 3 months and my own research on the current market, I decided to cancel. I tried everything I can, including pleading with the builder to give me back half of the deposit. At the end, I lost the full deposit of 15K. It sucked, but I knew it was the right decision.
Yesterday, I made an offer on a home that was just completed by another builder. Similar build, but better location, better community amenities, and better priced. This is near Indianapolis. Asking price was 386K. I offered 370k and asked to throw in a new fridge. Seller countered at 374K. I accepted. So yes, the housing market price is going down and you can make a lower than asking offer. This home was back on market after the previous buyer backed out. There are quite a few new builds that I see back on the market in the area. Yes it confirms that builders are having more contracts being canceled.
What I learned from this experience is:
1). Don't ever buy from a national builder because their contract is made to protect them and only them. I had no choice because my husband only liked new construction homes.
2). Don't ever use a realtor. My realtor kept telling me to not give lower than asking offers. She was annoyed that I made low ball offers at several homes. When she realized that I was canceling a 500K home to look at homes under 400K, she tried hard to convince me that other homes have low re-sell values and other flaws.
3). If you can subscribe to a legal plan, do it. My husband's employer offered a discounted legal plan (through a major life insurance company). He can pay about $8 a month and get access to most lawyer services for free, which include real estate contracts. I only found out about this recently and I will be using this in the future if I need to. No need for useless realtors.
413
gabbar
2022 Jul 26, 9:08am
gabbar
2022 Jul 26, 9:08am
zzyzzx says
Buyer's agents don't work for the home buyer (irrespective of what they say). They work for themselves first and are strongly aligned to the seller. Their goal is their commission.
Don't ever use a realtor. My realtor kept telling me to not give lower than asking offers. She was annoyed that I made low ball offers at several homes. When she realized that I was canceling a 500K home to look at homes under 400K, she tried hard to convince me that other homes have low re-sell values and other flaws.
Buyer's agents don't work for the home buyer (irrespective of what they say). They work for themselves first and are strongly aligned to the seller. Their goal is their commission.
414
gabbar
2022 Jul 26, 9:09am
gabbar
2022 Jul 26, 9:09am
zzyzzx says
All contracts will be written to protect the builder.
Don't ever buy from a national builder because their contract is made to protect them and only them.
All contracts will be written to protect the builder.
417
1337irr
2022 Jul 26, 2:25pm
1337irr
2022 Jul 26, 2:25pm
WineHorror1 says
Fat finger typing problem?
zzyzzx says
I just looked up this listing. Something is amiss. They dropped the price by $350,000?
Fat finger typing problem?
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net
Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.
Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.