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housing prices peak 2


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2022 Apr 29, 9:29pm   604,463 views  5,669 comments

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net

Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.

Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.

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5162   AmericanKulak   2024 Aug 10, 5:15pm  

AD says


Go to Democrat shitholes like Long Island, New York and its very common for at least 2 families in one house.

Long Island, esp. Suffolk, is a hardcore Republican stronghold and was for far longer than upstate NY.

That's why the Dems in Albany just diluted several LI CDs by stretching them into Queens


They usually convert upstairs or their basement to an apartment. Notice how high property tax is on Long Island, New York, let alone the income tax and sale tax are high.

This is true, But the income tax is because retarded people fought any and all light industry and LILCO plants tooth and nail. Apparently some loved commuting on the LI Distressway and 4inches of grime window LIRR so much they didn't want alternative local employment. We used to use our fingers to write "Clean Me" on them until the $80k/year conductor (in 1992) ticket puncher of that corrupt institution threatened us with being tossed off.

Now, the place is overbuilt and thanks to Albany and NYC/Upstate Rustbelt Ghetto City Welfare Hoes and Gov't Workers, they're building multistories all over.
5163   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Aug 10, 5:18pm  

I suspect they are listing it this way to meet the lender's demands for some sort of short selling attempt. Only thing that makes sense.

Kinda like how you see actual ads in the newspapers for tech jobs that the tech firms only put in there to comply with H1B visa bullshit compliance.
5164   Onvacation   2024 Aug 10, 5:51pm  

AmericanKulak says

The kind of house Al Bundy could have brought on a one-income shoe salesman's salary in 1988.

The Bundy's house was nicer.


5165   Onvacation   2024 Aug 10, 5:55pm  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Kinda like how you see actual ads in the newspapers for tech jobs that the tech firms only put in there to comply with H1B visa bullshit compliance.

I worked at a place where the webmaster had an h1b visa. When they promoted him they had to advertise and the qualifications were so specific that he was the only one that could possibly qualify.

He was a really nice guy and he got the job.
5166   mell   2024 Aug 10, 6:12pm  

The reason they advertise in newspapers is because no American reads them anymore so theycan say they haven't gotten any applications and thus need to hire a foreigner.
5167   WookieMan   2024 Aug 11, 7:30am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

I suspect they are listing it this way to meet the lender's demands for some sort of short selling attempt. Only thing that makes sense.

Owner sets the price in a short sale. We did well over 100 of these. Lender doesn't even know if you're selling. They have no say in it until you present an offer. From there the lender can accept or reject based on their own valuation (BPO's). The owner is ultimately in control until the lender forecloses.

This sounds like a situation where the owner has liquid cash outside of retirement funds. A short sale is a taxable event if you're not insolvent. So if you lose $100k you get taxed on that federally and state level. So the owner is likely setting the price at the debt owed (and maybe other debt) to pay it all off for tax avoidance.

709 days is not a serious listing either. It would have most likely been foreclosed on in that time frame if they were short selling. From my perspective it just sounds like a seller looking to pay off other debt and not wanting the home anymore as an investment.
5168   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2024 Aug 11, 8:55am  

you guys don’t think they’ll find ways to inflate prices again? why would they stop now. it’s not just housing our entire economy is based on inflation and debt.
5169   gabbar   2024 Aug 11, 9:52am  

Fort Lauderdale, FL

5170   Al_Sharpton_for_President   2024 Aug 11, 3:00pm  

AmericanKulak says

I was alive and I waited, waited

The Red Hot Chile Peppers are boomers.
5171   Ceffer   2024 Aug 11, 3:08pm  

Al_Sharpton_for_President says

The Red Hot Chile Peppers are boomers.

Hmm, and I always thought they were shroomers.
5172   AmericanKulak   2024 Aug 11, 7:03pm  

Al_Sharpton_for_President says


The Red Hot Chile Peppers are boomers.

Jesus Jones, not RHCP.

Boomer if you go by the "1963 is last year of boomer"

In any case, he's got a hot 20 year old girlfriend. Keeps him going at 62.



School girls rule!
5173   HeadSet   2024 Aug 11, 7:29pm  

AmericanKulak says

he's got a hot 20 year old girlfriend

Your definition of "hot" and mine differ.
5174   WookieMan   2024 Aug 11, 7:43pm  

HeadSet says

AmericanKulak says


he's got a hot 20 year old girlfriend

Your definition of "hot" and mine differ.

Same. Not digging her at all. He also looks like a fag and always has. RHCP has also been massively overrated and I grew up in that era. Never bought an album. Most their stuff sounds overly produced and not original, as in not written by the band.
5176   mell   2024 Aug 11, 10:16pm  

WookieMan says

HeadSet says


AmericanKulak says



he's got a hot 20 year old girlfriend

Your definition of "hot" and mine differ.


Same. Not digging her at all. He also looks like a fag and always has. RHCP has also been massively overrated and I grew up in that era. Never bought an album. Most their stuff sounds overly produced and not original, as in not written by the band.

One hot minute (w/ Dave Navarro) and Californication are two masterpieces of music. They are properly rated as one of the most influential bands of the gen x era and outstanding musicians.

HeadSet says

AmericanKulak says


he's got a hot 20 year old girlfriend

Your definition of "hot" and mine differ.


Sure I prefer my wife (who is a decade younger) but not that hot and not my type sounds like jealousy to me. Y'all would be thrilled to bang this decent looking chick at 62. Please. Sure he has a pedo whiff (possibly history) but what he's doing now is legal, either you're an adult with 18 or you aren't. Don't care about Kiedis but there are plenty of other musicians with such a significant dating age gap.
5177   HeadSet   2024 Aug 12, 7:25am  

mell says

Y'all would be thrilled to bang this decent looking chick at 62

Maybe, but none of us would be banging her even if she were hot. Since we are all just looking, the comments on her appearance stand. Sorta like a comment that a particular NBA player is "not that good." Sure, that player is better than any of us will ever be, but we are just spectators that are comparing him to other NBA players. Besides, if at age 62 you want to bang a 20-year-old, just do what Jones did and whip out your wallet.
5178   zzyzzx   2024 Aug 12, 10:23am  

I know what I got!!!

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/12/new-existing-home-price-difference

New houses now cost less per square foot than old houses
5179   WookieMan   2024 Aug 12, 11:41am  

zzyzzx says

I know what I got!!!

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/12/new-existing-home-price-difference

New houses now cost less per square foot than old houses

Cheaper land. We got ours at a massive deal considering it's fully improved with sewer, water, electricity, fiber and storm drainage. That's basically what we paid for. Now we just need to get this fucking house going. Tip, don't get two lots with an easement between the two. It's a bitch to vacate it.
5180   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Aug 12, 1:36pm  

zzyzzx says

I know what I got!!!

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/12/new-existing-home-price-difference

New houses now cost less per square foot than old houses


Thank you for putting this thread back on track.
5182   AmericanKulak   2024 Aug 12, 3:19pm  

FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden says


pedo

Feminist communist definition of Pedo. She's old enough to vote, be in the military, have a life or death job in emergency services of some kind, contract in any business, etc.

16-Sixteen is the ancient agreed upon age of maturity. And that was in times were famines were common so people developed more slowly, and there was far less socialization than today.

40-60 year old men and 19-20 year olds was normal until WW2.

We need to push back on the infantilization of people generally, like making excuses for 26 year olds that they're not really adults yet, or that somebody in their early 30s is still "Adulting". That's part of the Oligarch-Socialist program to tamp down on responsibility and freedom, which are naturally entwinned..

As the great Edvards Liedskalniņ of Coral Castle said, let the old birds screw the young guys and keep the young women "Fresh" for the experienced older men
5183   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Aug 12, 5:09pm  

But the Housing Experts on PatNet...

Seller has cut price $472k on this listing. 40% reduction from original list.

Down to a price below what they bought it for in 2020, before the pandemic spike in prices.

Worst of all: check out the HOA fee.

$2,300/month. Ouch.


5184   Blue   2024 Aug 12, 5:28pm  

https://www.siliconvalley.com/2024/03/14/mountain-view-real-estate-office-build-loan-economy-tech-buy-develop/amp/
Bay Area RE still having lots of vacancy. Heard, some are sold out for 1/4th of purchase price around in MV area! Never thought about these numbers before!
5185   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Aug 12, 5:45pm  

Blue says

https://www.siliconvalley.com/2024/03/14/mountain-view-real-estate-office-build-loan-economy-tech-buy-develop/amp/
Bay Area RE still having lots of vacancy. Heard, some are sold out for 1/4th of purchase price around in MV area! Never thought about these numbers before!


Commercial vacancy, you mean?
5186   AD   2024 Aug 12, 6:15pm  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Seller has cut price $472k on this listing. 40% reduction from original list.

Down to a price below what they bought it for in 2020, before the pandemic spike in prices.

Worst of all: check out the HOA fee.

$2,300/month. Ouch.


what's the cap rate ? I assume it can be a short term or vacation rental

a buddy of mine bought a 1 bedroom condo at The Summit on Panama City Beach for around $175,000 at the peak in 2006

he was making at least 15% annually on this investment as a vacation rental 10 years ago even with the on-site management company running it

he still owns it and likely making a lot more money on it

.
5187   AD   2024 Aug 12, 6:18pm  

.

a lot of families are skipping the 1 week vacation at Disney World and embracing the beach ecotourism experience

can fish and snorkel on the beach on the white sands of the Gulf of Mexico from Orange Beach, Alabama to north of Naples, Florida

its more economical to rent a beach condo for 6 nights and not go out to eat

that is why it can be a good investment as far as buying a vacation rental on the Gulf of Mexico

.
5188   WookieMan   2024 Aug 12, 6:44pm  

AD says

a lot of families are skipping the 1 week vacation at Disney World and embracing the beach ecotourism experience

I don't think Millennials with kids want to spend the money on Disney. A big maybe, but I'd do Disneyland again. Disney World I'll never go to unless it's with future grand kids.

I like the FL panhandle as I've mentioned before. At heart though I'm a Caribbean type guy. The panhandle is the closest water wise to the Caribbean on a calm day and with better sand. The weather is much better in the Caribbean outside of hurricane season though. We try to go in January (Caribbean) and it's 82ºf and sunny most of the time. Water is warm.

I'd say panhandle is still probably a good long term investment for a vacation rental if you buy right. My old man made about $200k in the late 90's early 2000's on a condo in Navarre Beach. Only owned it for about 6 years. Rented it out so cost were covered and small profit.
5189   Blue   2024 Aug 13, 12:00am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

Commercial vacancy, you mean?

Office building on Middlefield Road Mountain View. I don't have address, it should be old EMC office.
5190   AD   2024 Aug 13, 9:10am  

.

Reading this about net immigration of rich people into the USA for 2024, is this going to benefit California and Miami Beach real estate ?

https://patrick.net/post/1347834/2022-10-15-i-have-some-bad-news-about-the-economy?start=176#comment-2089734

.
5191   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Aug 13, 9:17am  

AD says

.

Reading this about net immigration of rich people into the USA for 2024, is this going to benefit California and Miami Beach real estate ?

https://patrick.net/post/1347834/2022-10-15-i-have-some-bad-news-about-the-economy?start=176#comment-2089734

.


Only if these rich ppl are stupid enough to buy R/E in a falling market.
5193   AD   2024 Aug 14, 4:20am  



5194   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Aug 14, 6:47am  

AD says






It's a good time to buy a house.
5196   zzyzzx   2024 Aug 15, 6:29am  

https://www.reddit.com/r/RealEstate/comments/1esftl4/when_and_how_much_to_lower_price/

When and how much to lower price?

TDLR: They are too stupid to lower the price enough to sell and somehow think that what they owe on the house is what they should sell it for. Yes, they took out a HELOC.
5197   WookieMan   2024 Aug 15, 6:55am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says



What most don't know is price cuts are a marketing tactic. Even if they're small. Price cuts show up in the buyer's MLS feed that the brokers set up. So even small price cuts can help a buyer see the property again or drop into a new buyers price point. It also gets listings bumped in the IDX feeds to sites like realtor.com, zillow, redfin, etc.

As ridiculous as this sounds, we'd have sellers sign a form with the listing agreement that we were allowed to do $1 price cuts up to $100. It worked. Buyers would tell us at showings unprompted. Reason is that most buyers may not be all that serious at first and just scan through what the broker sent them.

80/20 rule. 80% of buyers are morons when it comes to real estate. 19% have a solid idea of the market. 1% knows their shit. That's why the $1 price cut worked on most buyers. 15 years of anecdotal evidence on 1k+ deals.
5198   Eric Holder   2024 Aug 15, 8:31am  

WookieMan says


What most don't know is price cuts are a marketing tactic. Even if they're small. Price cuts show up in the buyer's MLS feed that the brokers set up. So even small price cuts can help a buyer see the property again or drop into a new buyers price point. It also gets listings bumped in the IDX feeds to sites like realtor.com, zillow, redfin, etc.

As ridiculous as this sounds, we'd have sellers sign a form with the listing agreement that we were allowed to do $1 price cuts up to $100. It worked. Buyers would tell us at showings unprompted. Reason is that most buyers may not be all that serious at first and just scan through what the broker sent them.

80/20 rule. 80% of buyers are morons when it comes to real estate. 19% have a solid idea of the market. 1% knows their shit. That's why the $1 price cut worked on most buyers. 15 years of anecdotal evidence on 1k+ deals.


Car dealers are doing this too. I've once subscribed to price alerts on one car I was interested in on Autotrader and discovered the seller kept changing the price from about $1K above KBB down in $100 increments until it hits KBB and then he bumps it back up and repeats the game. The car has eventually disappered from the site, meaning they did find a sucker to buy it above KBB.
5199   WookieMan   2024 Aug 15, 9:18am  

Eric Holder says

Car dealers are doing this too. I've once subscribed to price alerts on one car I was interested in on Autotrader and discovered the seller kept changing the price from about $1K above KBB down in $100 increments until it hits KBB and then he bumps it back up and repeats the game. The car has eventually disappered from the site, meaning they did find a sucker to buy it above KBB.

Didn't think about cars. Less regulation there. All realtors have to have something to show a price change. Some states an email might be okay, but we just knocked it out up front with a document.

Only legal issue we had was one listing where the seller lied and said their property never flooded. New owner talked to the neighbor and found out it frequently flooded. Seller paid $15k and our office paid $15k. Wasn't our fault, but it satisfied the buyer and got us out of a bigger shit show.

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