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housing prices peak 2


               
2022 Apr 29, 9:29pm   821,525 views  7,275 comments

by AD   follow (0)  

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/pimco-kiesel-called-housing-top-160339396.html?source=patrick.net

Bond manager Mark Kiesel sold his California home in 2006, when he presciently predicted the housing bubble would pop. He bought again in 2012, after U.S. prices fell more than 30% and found a floor.

Now, after a record surge in prices, Kiesel says the time to sell is once again at hand.

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7271   FreeAmericanDOP   2025 Dec 15, 6:37pm  

The_Deplorable says


Not true. The supply of houses in the market is low because we are dealing with a monopoly. Something like 90% plus of the houses in the USA are owned by six financial companies.

That can't be right. Not even in hot markets. I think it's less than 5% by institutions (and another 5% by smaller, local companies NOT owned or managed by REITs or Funds) and that was COVID peak, they've unloaded quite a bit as the markets expected to "Go up forever" like Texas, Tennessee, and Florida are declining the fastest
7272   FortWayneHatesRealtors   2025 Dec 15, 6:39pm  

The_Deplorable says

GNL says

"That is a misprint for sure. 90% of all houses are owned by 6 financial companies? What?"

Yes, we are dealing with a huge monopoly here.
Think about it: For the first time in our history, interest rates are going up and housing prices are not coming down.


“Managed” economy. Inflation is insane too. We are buying our own debt. Suicide.
7273   The_Deplorable   2025 Dec 15, 8:36pm  

Earlier I wrote: The supply of houses in the market is low because we are dealing
with a monopoly. Something like 90% plus of the houses in the USA are owned by
six financial companies.

FreeAmericanDOP says

"That can't be right...

Think of it this way. The housing bubble goes back about 20 years to Alan Greenspan
who deliberately kept interest rates low (based on the Fed minutes).
Greenspan was the Fed chairman at the time.
7274   FreeAmericanDOP   2025 Dec 15, 8:55pm  

Approximately 2-4% of single-family homes in the USA are owned by large institutional investors or financial companies (typically defined as entities owning 100+ or 1,000+ properties, such as private equity firms, REITs like Invitation Homes, or major corporate landlords).This figure comes from multiple recent analyses as of 2024-2025:Institutional investors own about 3.8% of the nation's single-family rental properties (Urban Institute, Brookings, and related reports), and since single-family rentals make up roughly 15-18% of all single-family homes, this translates to under 1% of the total stock in some estimates—but focused on larger entities.
Very large investors (1,000+ homes) own around 2.2% of investor-held properties, which themselves comprise ~20% of the ~86 million single-family homes (BatchData and John Burns Research & Consulting reports from 2025).
Overall, large institutional ownership is consistently described as less than 2-4% nationally (Econofact, GAO, and Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies), though higher (up to 10-25%) in specific Sunbelt markets like Atlanta or Charlotte.

Broader "investors" (including small "mom-and-pop" landlords owning 1-10 properties) own about 20% of single-family homes, but these are mostly individuals, not financial companies.Claims of much higher corporate ownership (e.g., 20% by private equity) are debunked as misconceptions confusing total investor activity with large financial institutions. Investor purchases of new sales have risen (25-33% in 2025 quarters), but this is driven mostly by small buyers, and stock ownership changes slowly.

https://x.com/i/grok/share/yHd5zAyHJtLxroy0uI5dacvUR

The big shots have been dumping out of the hotter markets in the Sunbelt for over a year now (despite claims of local non-pro homeloaners and realtors, who are usually several quarters behind reality), selling off in small pieces, though now they are screwed in Tampa.

I'm no friend of big finance (needs to be cut down 3 pegs, not just one) but it's just the ordinary sticky upwards mentality of many Homeloaners. For all their bitchin, many of them didn't take advantage just a little of the greatest stock runup in history and really bet it all on the house appreciating several fold since 1993 to retire on.
7275   FreeAmericanDOP   2025 Dec 15, 9:34pm  

Midwest Party, formerly hot markets wallow

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