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Russian Black Sea Fleet is practically neutered.


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2022 May 9, 11:06am   30,815 views  259 comments

by Eric Holder   ➕follow (5)   💰tip   ignore  


After the dramatic sinking of the missile-cruiser Moskva by a Ukrainian missile battery on April 14, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is down to just three major surface combatants. The best and most important of them might be the new missile-frigate Admiral Makarov.
...

On Thursday and Friday there were reports the Ukrainians had landed a blow with a Neptune and the frigate was on fire. There was no immediate hard evidence to back up the rumors, although one blurry video that circulated online does seem to depict a warship in flames.

Commissioned in 2017, Admiral Makarov is the third, last and most modern vessel in her class. All three of the Admiral Grigorovich-class frigates belong to the Black Sea Fleet. Armed with 24 Buk medium-range surface-to-air missiles and eight Kalibr cruise missiles, all in vertical cells, the frigates can escort other vessels and also attack targets on land.

Admiral Makarov and her sisters are not big ships. Displacing just 4,000 tons of water and accommodating 200 crew, they’re less than half the size of the U.S. Navy’s main surface combatants, the Arleigh Burke-class destroyers.

But the frigates are about as big as Russia can make a non-nuclear surface combatant these days, for reasons that—ironically—have everything to do with the current war. Throughout the Soviet era and for years after the USSR’s collapse, Russia acquired its big marine engines from Ukraine.

After Russia in 2014 invaded and annexed Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula—including the port of Sevastopol where Admiral Makarov now is based—Kyiv barred certain exports to Russia, including the marine engines Russia requires for any fast, conventional vessel displacing more than 5,000 tons or so.

Which is to say, after 2014 the Russian navy struggled to build big warships. That made it impossible to replace, like for like, the biggest Soviet-vintage ships such as Moskva, which displaced 12,000 tons.


...

Moskva’s sinking, along with the earlier destruction of the Black Sea Fleet landing ship Saratov following an apparent hit by a Ukrainian ballistic missile, spooked fleet commanders. They pulled back the surviving surface ships.

Many, including one Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate—it’s not clear which—were moored in Sevastopol as recently as Thursday. When the warships do sail from Crimea, they tend to stay 100 miles or so from the Ukrainian coast, potentially keeping them beyond the range of Kyiv’s Neptunes.

Keeping at a safe distance meant the frigates apparently were in no position to help when the Ukrainian navy last week mounted a furious drone assault on the Russian garrison on Snake Island. The tiny hunk of rock, 25 miles off the coast of southwestern Ukraine, helped Kyiv assert some control over the western Black Sea—until the Russians captured it on the first full day of the current war on Feb. 24.

Ukrainian TB-2 drones knocked out Russian air-defenses on the island then went hunting deeper at sea. On Monday, a TB-2 struck two Russian Raptor-class patrol boats with laser-guided missiles, heavily damaging if not destroying both of the 55-foot boats as they motored toward Snake Island.

Without the protection of a frigate, the Raptors were sitting ducks. In that sense, sinking Moskva—and scaring off the rest of the Black Sea Fleet’s major combatants—was as good as sinking the frigates, too. It doesn’t matter that Russia still has three powerful warships in the Black Sea if those ships can’t, or won’t, risk approaching the Ukrainian coast.
...



https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/05/06/the-russian-frigate-admiral-makarov-might-be-the-juiciest-target-in-the-black-sea/?sh=5439ecbb74d5&source=patrick.net

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203   komputodo   2023 Oct 11, 9:56pm  

Eric Holder says

Remember how Pukin exited the grain deal and declared a naval blocade? What came out of that?

I remember our "news media" claiming that.
204   RWSGFY   2023 Oct 15, 10:55am  

Hunted like rabbits at the entrance to what used to be their home base:

https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1712920949484380428
205   RWSGFY   2023 Nov 4, 7:17pm  

The neutering continued in Kerch:



The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched 15 Storm shadow cruise missiles at the small missile ship Karakurt in Kerch. 13 missiles were allegedly shot down. This means that at least two missiles with a warhead of 450 kg each hit the ship, which means Karakurt either received heavy damage and was disabled for a long time, or it was destroyed and cannot be restored. The words about 15 missiles raise many questions, since earlier the Russian Defense Ministry itself stated that it had destroyed all Ukrainian Su-24 bombers capable of carrying cruise missiles. And now it turns out that at least 15 Su-24s were raised for the strike at the same time.


https://t.me/ButusovPlus/6021

The moment of the destruction of the small missile ship of the Russian Navy Karakurt at the dock in Kerch by Storm Shadow cruise missiles of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on November 4. As you can see, Russian air defense was probably able to shoot down two cruise missiles, but the other two broke through and accurately hit the target. The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that 13 missiles were allegedly shot down. The relatively high flight altitude of Storm Shadow is noteworthy. This is what allows Russian air defense to detect and hit a certain number of missiles using stealth technology. Reducing altitude requires more precise programming of the rocket's flight parameters. Obviously, the shipyard is covered by air defense, since it has already been hit before, and is located next to the Kerch Bridge, which the occupiers smoked. This shows that the enemy has established early warning and warnings against missile attacks, but Russian air defense is still unable to fully protect its Kerch facilities.


https://t.me/ButusovPlus/6022
206   Bd6r   2023 Nov 4, 7:57pm  

Eric Holder says

BREAKING: Unconfirmed reports about the Russian patrol ship “Pavel Derzhavin” having been blown up near Sevastopol today https://t.co/7al82RXEUp

CGI!CGI!CGI!

And please remember that Europe is freezing in 1…2…3…10000 years!!!
207   AD   2023 Nov 4, 11:29pm  

RWSGFY says

The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched 15 Storm shadow cruise missiles at the small missile ship Karakurt in Kerch


Standard op is to launch using a Ukrainian SU-24 : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Storm_Shadow#Use_by_Ukraine

.
208   Eric Holder   2023 Nov 6, 3:54pm  

RWS Ascold have been renamed RWS Cuckold:



https://youtu.be/RvJONuTbm-c
209   RWSGFY   2023 Nov 10, 7:58am  

Minus 2 amphibious ships overnight:

https://twitter.com/PStyle0ne1/status/1722897781495353453

This neat summary is from couple days before, so doesn't mention them:


210   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Nov 15, 7:09pm  

WTF does this have to do with Ukraine being totally fucked in the land war that matters?

Nothing.

Even Ukraine’s isolated successes only serve to emphasize the enormous disparity in capabilities. For example, when the AFU uses western missiles to attack Russian ships in drydock, this is only possible because Russia has a navy. The Russians, in contrast, have a wide arsenal of anti-ship missiles that they are not using, because Ukraine does not have a navy. While the spectacle of a successful hit on a Russian vessel makes for nice PR, it only reveals the asymmetry in assets and does nothing to ameliorate Ukraine’s fundamental problem, which is the steady attrition and destruction of its ground forces in the Donbas.


https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-the-reckoning
211   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2023 Nov 15, 7:11pm  

In the third century, during China’s Three Kingdoms era (after the Han Dynasty broke apart into a trifurcated state in the early 200’s), there was a famous general and official named Sima Yi. While not as oft quoted as the better known Sun Tzu, Sima Yi has one pithy aphorism attributed to him which is better than anything in the Art of War. Sima Yi put the essence of warmaking the following way:

In military affairs there are five essential points. If able to attack, you must attack. If not able to attack, you must defend. If not able to defend, you must flee. The remaining two points entail only surrender or death.

Ukraine is working its way down the list. The events of the summer demonstrated that it cannot successfully attack strongly held Russian positions. Events in Avdivvka and elsewhere now test whether they can defend their position in the Donbas against rising Russian force generation. If they fail this test, it will be time to flee, surrender, or die. Such is the way of things when the time for reckoning comes.


https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-ukrainian-war-the-reckoning
212   AD   2023 Nov 15, 10:08pm  

PumpingRedheads says


Ukraine is working its way down the list. The events of the summer demonstrated that it cannot successfully attack strongly held Russian positions. Events in Avdivvka and elsewhere now test whether they can defend their position in the Donbas against rising Russian force generation. If they fail this test, it will be time to flee, surrender, or die. Such is the way of things when the time for reckoning comes.


I read that US and Russian officials met (in Pakistan?) recently. I wonder if some deal was worked out as far as winding down the war.

Perhaps let Russia occupy Donbas and let it have Crimea as part of that deal.

And bring in UN observers for Donbas, as well as not let Ukraine join NATO but allow them to keep their military.

Xi and Biden may be discussing the terms of this as well, and I can see Biden wanting this going into the election year.

.
214   Onvacation   2023 Nov 16, 7:53am  

ad says


Perhaps let Russia occupy Donbas and let it have Crimea

Don't they already own Donbas and Crimea?
215   socal2   2023 Nov 16, 8:31am  

PumpingRedheads says

WTF does this have to do with Ukraine being totally fucked in the land war that matters?


The Russian Navy can no longer target or threaten Ukrainian exports since Ukraine forced Russia to abandon its major Crimean Naval bases.

Ukraine doesn't have an economy if it can't export its grain through the Black Sea.

So kind of a big deal.
216   RWSGFY   2023 Nov 16, 9:46am  

PumpingRedheads says


WTF does this have to do with Ukraine being totally fucked in the land war that matters?

Nothing.


Au contraire, my friend: at the start of the war ze Red fleet was used to
put pressure on the North-Eastern shore of the Black Sea to the point of some warships popping up within artillery range of Odessa and landing ships with marines onboard lurking just below horizon. That fixed lots of forces there. Not anymore. Then there was a blocade, which was partially releaved by so-called "grain deal" and there was constant pressure of Reds exiting it with "dire consequences for Ze Global South".Not anymore: the moment came when their bluff was called, the Reds have withdrawn from the deal, but blocade was not restored, because they can't. And absent inspections which were happening under that deal one coukd suspect these grain ships are not coming to Ukie ports empty anymore. Then there are these missile barrages aimed to terrorize the civilian population - much of that was launched from vessels which aren't capable of doing it anymore, or ceased to exist. And lastly, the fate of Red Army in Dumb Ass very much depends on the health of their force in Crimea, supply routes it secures and aviation it hosts. That fleet was an integral part of Crimea defense. Not anymore. Andcwhen that bridge falls somebody would wish for more landing ships to paper them over.... Alas, most of them are gone. What is the word for constantly diminishing numbers and strength.... attrition? Nah, it can't be.

But hey, if achieving a somewhat stable front against an opponent you initially expected to roll in 3 days with an army supposedly capable of going against whole NATO iwhile your fleet is being turned into scrap is a victory, pop that Champaign.

It's just not a very common definition of victory, that's all.
218   RWSGFY   2023 Dec 25, 7:08pm  

Aaaand another Ropucha-class large amph landing ship is going up in smoke:



How many of these left now, three?
219   Bd6r   2023 Dec 25, 8:10pm  

CGI, clearly. Or something.
220   AD   2023 Dec 25, 8:36pm  

https://kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-air-force-destroys-russian-landing-ship-in-occupied-crimea/

"Earlier tonight, at around 3 a.m. local time, explosions were reported in the area of Feodosia. A ship with Iranian ammunition was reportedly blown up and a fire broke out in the port."

....
222   RayAmerica   2023 Dec 26, 12:07pm  

Any day now, Putin will crawl into Ukraine upon his knees begging to surrender. ROFL
223   WookieMan   2023 Dec 26, 12:18pm  

RayAmerica says

Any day now, Putin will crawl into Ukraine upon his knees begging to surrender. ROFL

I don't think that's Socal's point. I don't like Ukraine, but Russia has been made to look like shit by this invasion on their own accord. That's 100% not a discussion or debate. Ukraine has 1/5th the GDP of Illinois for fucks sake. Russia is not winning to a country smaller than the state of IL and likely more corrupt.

Russia helped win WWII for the allies. How'd that work out long term? They failed. It's a failed culture. So is Ukraine. This will never change. These people are small dick morons that think they can just punch each other in the face and they won. They're dip shit losers. They have tiny chunks of farmable land and then frozen crap. Russia has some resources that they're too retarded to get out of the ground without Western help. Both countries are anal cunt.
224   FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden   2023 Dec 26, 12:29pm  

this is like iraq war, except we use ukrainians to die for us. kinda fucked up.
225   Tenpoundbass   2023 Dec 26, 12:44pm  

WookieMan says

Russia is not winning to a country smaller than the state of IL and likely more corrupt.


You are sooooo uninformed if you have deduced that Russia is solely up against Ukraine's military budget alone.
226   WookieMan   2023 Dec 26, 12:58pm  

FortwayeAsFuckJoeBiden says

this is like iraq war, except we use ukrainians to die for us. kinda fucked up.

Don't disagree with that. I get European money and US money and weapons for the war, but Ukraine is a $200B economy GDP wise. Russia is almost $1.8T GDP. At no point in this conflict does Russia look strong. We need to dump any funding and focus 100% of energy towards China and getting our house in order and not relying on that shit hole.

Russia is a paper tiger and this conflict is going to eat them up long term. If killing people is defined as winning a war, Russia will and already did. That's never what it was about. Russia is not a threat to anyone globally and we know this definitively now. It's likely their nukes don't work. A test of a nuke is a massively different situation. You're not under enemy fire or incoming nukes against you. They don't work without extensive planning.
227   WookieMan   2023 Dec 26, 1:01pm  

Tenpoundbass says

You are sooooo uninformed if you have deduced that Russia is solely up against Ukraine's military budget alone.

Fully aware of the situation just like Col. Mc dip shit Gregor. I know money and weapons are being pumped in. Russia is a $1,800,000,000,000 economy. Larger population. Fighting a land neighbor. They're winning. But a dip shit, corrupt force with foreign $$$ is stopping what is supposed to be a juggernaut. That's fact.
228   Onvacation   2023 Dec 26, 1:32pm  

WookieMan says

Ukraine has 1/5th the GDP of Illinois for fucks sake

And they're backed by the most powerful nation (for now) in the world with all of the surveillance and intelligence assets we have
WookieMan says

These people are small dick morons that think they can just punch each other in the face and they won

OK
229   Onvacation   2023 Dec 26, 1:36pm  

WookieMan says

If killing people is defined as winning a war, Russia will and already did. That's never what it was about.

What do you think it's about?
WookieMan says

Russia is not a threat to anyone globally

Except the globalists.
230   WookieMan   2023 Dec 26, 3:25pm  

Onvacation says

WookieMan says

Ukraine has 1/5th the GDP of Illinois for fucks sake

And they're backed by the most powerful nation (for now) in the world with all of the surveillance and intelligence assets we have

IL could fleece me of my tax money and hold back Russia. My point is Russia is a massive pussy. They will win. Do not conflate what I'm saying. Russia can't act like they're some fucking boss, will win, but are 100% looking like absolute shit in a San Fransisco street.

We controlled the vast majority of Iraq and Afghanistan in months with less lives lost in the war so far. I didn't agree with those wars. BUT, we did it across a god damn planet with ships and didn't have the benefit of a land border. This is like Texas invading the Southern portion of Arkansas and Arkansas is holding their ground. I don't care how much backing/fraud Ukraine gets, they have conceded nothing. And yes, they will lose.
231   socal2   2023 Dec 27, 10:00am  

WookieMan says

This is like Texas invading the Southern portion of Arkansas and Arkansas is holding their ground. I don't care how much backing/fraud Ukraine gets, they have conceded nothing. And yes, they will lose.


Yep - it has been a total and complete disaster for both Russia and Ukraine.

Russia's military incompetence, corruption and brutality has been exposed for the entire world to see, costing Russia hundreds of thousands of casualties and uniting the EU and NATO like never before. America has been able to put old munitions to good use and watch from the sidelines as modern warfare evolves with drones and high precision artillery taking down Russia's meat wave attacks.
233   Onvacation   2023 Dec 27, 10:26am  

socal2 says

share   ↑ like (0)   ↓ dislike (0)   quote   flag      
WookieMan says

This is like Texas invading the Southern portion of Arkansas and Arkansas is holding their ground. I don't care how much backing/fraud Ukraine gets, they have conceded nothing. And yes, they will lose.

Yep

Wow! Wookie and Socal agreeing!
234   PeopleUnited   2023 Dec 27, 10:26am  

Yep, playing battleship. But there is always the nuclear option. Do you have a punch line for that?

Poke the bear, poke the bear. And find out.

Or maybe just stop poking the bear?

The bear lives half way around the world. Why do we insist on poking the bear?

The bear is mean. But poking the bear is mean too. Don’t poke the bear!
235   RWSGFY   2023 Dec 27, 12:15pm  

PeopleUnited says


Yep, playing battleship. But there is always the nuclear option. Do you have a punch line for that?



Yes, it's called MAD. Look it up. Worked wonders for decades.
236   socal2   2023 Dec 27, 12:26pm  

Onvacation says

Wow! Wookie and Socal agreeing!


I think we agree on most things other than Tesla.
237   PeopleUnited   2023 Dec 27, 12:29pm  

Not a punch line, more like a wish. The problem is in the assurance, there is no assurance with leadership as weak and people incompetent in control. Plus, the imaginary retaliation might already be compromised by sabotage, spies, or hackers and so there is no assurance of anything. That is just one of many reasons why you don’t poke the bear.
238   WookieMan   2023 Dec 27, 1:20pm  

socal2 says

Onvacation says


Wow! Wookie and Socal agreeing!


I think we agree on most things other than Tesla.

I agree with most here. Sometimes I feel like it's an echo chamber. I don't think EV's are the future, so eat shit on that ;). I think Russia is not winning. It's obvious Ukraine won't win. I kind of feel like this is obvious. Pick your pony I suppose. Both nations are fucked because of this. I dislike Russia more if I'm picking a side. They're both corrupt as fuck and stupid people made stupid decisions. This will go on for another century/lifetime/infinity.
239   WookieMan   2023 Dec 27, 1:22pm  

PeopleUnited says

The bear lives half way around the world. Why do we insist on poking the bear?

The bear is mean. But poking the bear is mean too. Don’t poke the bear!

Agree we shouldn't be involved. I think you got the animal wrong. The mouse. Don't poke the mouse.
240   zzyzzx   2023 Dec 27, 3:01pm  

The Russian Navy Sucks - Part 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1eJT1Gffas

The Russian Navy Sucks - Part 2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A9TkPUXLgTk

The Russian Navy Sucks - Part 3
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ogb_ydFTa4A&t=7s

The Russian Navy Sucks - Part 4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sPMt6SfVcVo

The Russian Navy Sucks - Part 5
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ucDZ2MxubeQ&t=2s
241   AD   2023 Dec 27, 7:25pm  

I would not completely discount the Russian military. They are not deploying the best of their forces.

I think because Putin figures he can drag out the war while using essentially just Reserve forces or the B-listers and not the A-listers.
242   PeopleUnited   2023 Dec 27, 9:08pm  

WookieMan says


. I think you got the animal wrong. The mouse. Don't poke the mouse.

Well whatever animal you want to call them, their rockets have been giving our astronauts rides to and from the ISS ever since our fancy shuttle program was shuttered. (At least until Elon made his rockets available.) Elon and the Russians are better at rockets than the US government. So again, don’t poke the bear.

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