patrick.net

Consanguineous marriage, particularly between first or second cousins, is reported to be relatively common in certain regions of Somalia, though data varies significantly by clan and region. A 2019 genetic study of Ethiopian Somalis found that 48.7% of individuals were products of first or second cousin marriages, with an average inbreeding coefficient (FROH) of 0.018, which is higher than the typical coefficient for second cousin offspring.
Regional rates in similar cultures range from 44% to 63%.

In northern Somalia, traditional marriage practices often involve contracting unions between previously non-related families to establish new alliances.
In southern Somalia, the preferred spouse is often a patrilateral parallel cousin, either real or classificatory.
While cousin marriage is not universally common across all Somali clans, it is more prevalent in certain groups, particularly those with stronger ties to Arab heritage.
Some sources indicate that it is more common in smaller clans or among specific subgroups, such as the Reer Badiya, though it is often arranged or encouraged by older family members to strengthen familial bonds.

https://search.brave.com/search?q=consanguinity+by+country+somalia&source=web&conversation=e974c1a33ec94232cbc86b&summary=1

From perplexity.ai:

Meta‑style reviews and classic studies suggest an average drop of about 2.5–3.5 IQ points for children of first cousins (about 0.15–0.25 standard deviations).

Some individual studies in highly inbred populations report larger differences (up to 8–10 points), but those settings often combine multiple generations of consanguinity and other risk factors, so they are not typical for a one‑off first‑cousin marriage.

More important than the small shift in average IQ is the increased risk at the low end:

A classic analysis estimated the risk of “mental retardation” (IQ <70 in older terminology) rising from about 1.2% with unrelated parents to about 6.2% for children of first cousins.

This is thought to be due to recessive disease alleles becoming homozygous more often when parents share ancestry at many loci.

One point I learned in too many years of biology in college is that everyone has a few defective genes making nonfunctional proteins, but normally, you also have a different gene from the other parent at the same locus (as gene locations are called).

The other gene is unlikely to also happen to be defective, so most genetic diseases require inheriting the same bad gene from both parents. This is why inbreeding causes problems.

There is an opposite effect, called "outbreeding depression" in which it's beneficial to disable a gene in a certain environment. A simple example is genes for dark skin. In sunny climates, these genes help protect the skin, but in northern climates, they result in vitamin D deficiency and a resulting increase in disease. So in northern climates, people with broken genes for melanin did better in life when they got the same broken gene from both parents via inbreeding, eventually displacing people with dark skin completely in Europe. So a bit of inbreeding helped them, and outbreeding hurt them.

Also interesting: a vast number of your genes code for the brain and for joint structure, so typical signs of inbreeding are retardation and defective joints.

While it may be true that the Muslims have higher rates of reproduction than the Christians and the atheists, that is not the reason the Europeans are dissapearing.

The reason is that the foreigners are being indiscriminately allowed to enter Europe. The power brokers sold us a tale that cheap labour is needed for the economy to function. When labour becomes expensive the economy will work just fine, but the rich will gain less wealth.

Patrick says

I literally just posted that here https://patrick.net/comment?comment_id=2229896

https://slaynews.com/news/china-scrambles-reverse-population-collapse/

China’s birth rate has been falling for years due to the CCP’s notorious one-child policy imposed from 1980 to 2015, compounded by rapid urbanization and economic strain.

Today, young Chinese couples are reluctant to marry or start families amid soaring childcare and education costs, shrinking job prospects, and a weakening economy.

China is expected to lose about 20 percent of its population over the next 30 years.

Patrick says

China is expected to lose about 20 percent of its population over the next 30 years.

That may not be a bad thing as China is grossly overpopulated. Only about a third life a life that is not hand to mouth poverty.

Patrick says

China is expected to lose about 20 percent of its population over the next 30 years.

More than that.



That 1.0+ figure in the chart above is bogus. Chinese kindergarten enrollments tell the truth.

Most Chinese cities have a TFR of .5.

Beijing and Shanghai have a TFR of .25.

https://wolfstreet.com/2026/01/27/population-growth-slows-to-crawl-net-migration-may-turn-negative-census-bureaus-new-population-estimates/

Garsh, looks like self-deportation is working great! About 20 million more, and we'll have half of the illegals who came in over the last ten years gone. Should open a ton of jobs!

rocketjoe79 says

Garsh, looks like self-deportation is working great! About 20 million more, and we'll have half of the illegals who came in over the last ten years gone. Should open a ton of jobs!

I don't see it happening Joe. I know Trump says there are millions self deporting, but I don't see less illegals, I see more of them. So I don't trust admin to be honest here, they don't have data to back it up either. Just sensationalist statements with no proof.

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

Just sensationalist statements with no proof.

Data is 'sensationalism statements with no proof'.

You are in denial because you don't want to admit that the housing market is demographically fucked.

Cope.

They are decreasing in Cali because you can tell from the schools and traffic. The Kommie Teacher's Union must be in panic mode.

The smart illegals self deported so that they can come back legally. Many were just lazy and thought they never had to even try to become citizens.

MolotovCocktail says

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

Just sensationalist statements with no proof.

Data is 'sensationalism statements with no proof'.

You are in denial because you don't want to admit that the housing market is demographically fucked.

Cope.

Show me the data

China's Youth Unemployment rate is 20%, according to some reports.

China is in a bind, preferring to give jobs to those 30-50, because of the Sandwich Man problem. Men are obligated to care for both parents and children, Chinese women were divorcing after a few years and the first child to get the house (a groom's family responsibility) while keeping the man on the hook for child support, but the CCP just changed that law so the house stays with the groom and Chinese women were Livid.

Also, China might have overstated it's population by 100-200M. Some say the domestic food and import numbers are approprate for a country with 700-800M people, not 1B.

There's also the Shanghai Index problem, where if the economy is growing 3%+ annually like the CCP claims, there's no way SOME of that money isn't being spent on hotels, restaurant franchises, etc. that are listed on the Exchange with a corresponding rise in stock prices. Exchange has been trading in a range sideways for about a decade.

Finally, tons of anecdotes about small cities, where most of the urban population came from, being half empty. Not Ghost Cities in the region outside Mongolia, but long established towns in China's heartland. These were not the places that saw a boom in building.

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

MolotovCocktail says

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

Just sensationalist statements with no proof.

Data is 'sensationalism statements with no proof'.

You are in denial because you don't want to admit that the housing market is demographically fucked.

Cope.

Show me the data

???? WtF are you talking about?

Everyone else has magically seen what I posted. You just tagged about on w/o reading it.

I didn’t see it, where?

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

I didn’t see it, where?

MolotovCocktail says

You are in denial because you don't want to admit that the housing market is demographically fucked.

Cope.

Depends. Old homes (at least 60 years old) that are rentals in the midwest likely will be abandoned eventually due to lack of demand. I expect a lot of new semi-ghost towns in Wisconsin, Michigan, etc.

Panama City Beach on the other hand is different because of the tourism attraction and also the economy is diversifying from tourism like an aerospace campus with about 2000 new jobs, an electric boat manufacturing facility with 800 new jobs, etc.

Plus Florida State Univ is completing a new teaching hospital in Panama City Beach.

MolotovCocktail says

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

I didn’t see it, where?

Census estimates, just estimates, there is nothing about deportations. Just population growth slowed down because border is closed and Biden influx stopped.

Interesting pop growth by half a million naturally per article without migrants. So the “we gonna die if we don’t import” is a lie.

FortWayneHatesRealtors says

Census estimates, just estimates, there is nothing about deportations. Just population growth slowed down because border is closed and Biden influx stopped.

Translation: More refusium & denial on your part.

Housing is fucked not even because of that but because of collapsing TFR and the onset of Peak Boomer Dieoff.

Births are around ~500k per year. That's 014% out of 348 million ppl.

AD says

MolotovCocktail says

You are in denial because you don't want to admit that the housing market is demographically fucked.

Cope.

Depends. Old homes (at least 60 years old) that are rentals in the midwest likely will be abandoned eventually due to lack of demand. I expect a lot of new semi-ghost towns in Wisconsin, Michigan, etc.

Panama City Beach on the other hand is different because of the tourism attraction and also the economy is diversifying from tourism like an aerospace campus with about 2000 new jobs, an electric boat manufacturing facility with 800 new jobs, etc.

Plus Florida State Univ is completing a new teaching hospital in Panama City Beach.

Uh-huh.

https://patrick.net/post/1378940?start=2242714#comment-2242714

MolotovCocktail says

Uh-huh.

https://patrick.net/post/1378940?start=2242714#comment-2242714

Hurricane Michael only destroyed old homes that did not have post-Hurricane Andrew building code standards.

Our townhome had 180 mph wind surges and it only suffered with a failure of the seal for the rear door (French Doors).

HO-3 property insurance has gone down about 25% for 2026 compared to 2025 for our townhome HOA about 2 miles from the shoreline of white sand and emerald water of Panama City Beach Florida.

Our HOA assessment has decreased about 10% in 2026 compared to 2025 and has only increased by about 4.9% annually since 2013.

Stay in your shithole Democrat Sanctuary States, don't come to Free State of Florida, boy.

AD says

Stay in your shithole Democrat Sanctuary States, don't come to Free State of Florida, boy.

Uh huh.

Your state is going to get fucked harder than most from demographics. But hey! Hopium abounds!

MolotovCocktail says

AD says

Stay in your shithole Democrat Sanctuary States, don't come to Free State of Florida, boy.

Uh huh.

Your state is going to get fucked harder than most from demographics. But hey! Hopium abounds!

WRONG, boy !

That is not for the best place on Earth, Florida panhandle and Panama City Beach. BTW, where is Wookie ? I have not seen him post for a long time.

In addition to the new Florida State University teaching hospital near the Panama City Beach city hall, here are other recent non-tourism related employment trends such as including IAG Aerogroup Voltari Electric Inc., a Canadian-based electric boat manufacturer,

https://www.wjhg.com/2023/11/14/fsu-awarded-984-million-aerospace-project/

https://www.wjhg.com/2025/11/13/bay-county-economic-development-alliance-projects-could-bring-up-2000-new-jobs/

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/it-s-official-a-new-amazon-delivery-station-has-opened-in-panama-city/ar-AA1DNjgh

https://www.wjhg.com/2026/01/14/electric-boat-manufacturer-bring-hundreds-jobs-bay-county/