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Predictions thread.


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2022 Sep 12, 2:18pm   80,059 views  449 comments

by Eric Holder   ➕follow (5)   💰tip   ignore  

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

It goes without saying that everybody is welcome to add their favorite predictions.

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379   HeadSet   2024 May 28, 12:39pm  

RWSGFY says

1. In the conditions of martial law, the following are prohibited:
changing the Constitution of Ukraine;
amendment of the Constitution of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea;
conducting elections for the President of Ukraine

Was this by any chance added in 2014 or 2019? If so, that would be like the CDC changing the definition of a vaccine so that the new definition can include the Covid shot.
380   Onvacation   2024 Jun 4, 10:21am  

Eric Holder says

Elections are explicitly prohibited by law during wartime. So not likely.

Didn't Zelensky make that law?
381   RWSGFY   2024 Jun 11, 10:28am  

HeadSet says


RWSGFY says


1. In the conditions of martial law, the following are prohibited:
changing the Constitution of Ukraine;
amendment of the Constitution of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea;
conducting elections for the President of Ukraine

Was this by any chance added in 2014 or 2019?



No. The dates of all changes are visible on the website.

PS. Thanks to goolag translate we can now read all kinds of stuff we weren't able 20 years ago. So the fucking thing is useful for something after all.
382   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 10:44am  

Never happened.

RWSGFY says






I wonder how many people are still sitting in all cash because of "professional" predictions like that...
383   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 10:50am  

Onvacation says


Ukraine has changed hands many times. What business is it of the USA?


US took their nukes, strategic bombers, cruise missiles, ICBMs and stockpiles of enriched Plutonium and Uranium in exchange for assurances of sovereignty and territorial integrity back in 1994. We wanted that nuclear non-proliferation and this is the price we're paying for it. I can't believe you don't know that. Are you playing richwicks here? That guy is still looking for the Nord Stream pipeline in the Black Sea.... Don't be like richwicks. It's unbecoming.

Back to predictions. Do you have any to make?
384   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:03am  

Onvacation says


Eric Holder says


Elections are explicitly prohibited by law during wartime. So not likely.

Didn't Zelensky make that law?



No. It was made well before his time. And, like here, there presidents don't make laws - it's the job of the parliament.

PS. Their constitution has many such failsafes to prevent state being subverted to the external threat. One of them is the mechanism of legally changing the borders, which, in a nutshell, makes any territoriall concessions under the threat of force legally impossible.
385   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:10am  

richwicks says

Hey "Eric Holder" - did I win the giant teddy bear prize yet?


Not even close. Nothing is fogotten. The fact that people still trying to bring Ukraine into any thread is the best proof.
386   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:12am  

Eric Holder says

PS. The idea for this thread was to keep in clean with predictions and links to predictions only. Otherwise it will drown in the usual noise.


And it went off-rails of course. Anyone predicted that?
387   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:14am  

Bd6r says

I thought you have been on Patnet for a while...what is the chance of a clean thread.


"Contra spem spero"
388   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:15am  

Patrick says

Hunter Biden will die in unclear circumstances when the FBI gets rid of him to protect themselves.


Found guilty on 3 criminal charges but still alive an kicking.
389   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:16am  

RWSGFY says

Here a "as good as Cuntsler (who?) guy" predicts European starving and freezing to death this winter (2022-2023): https://patrick.net/post/1345718/2022-06-17-one-of-kunstler-s-best?start=6#comment-1877701


Have I mocked mercilessly this one? Even if I did, it's worth doing again.
390   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:20am  

1337irr says

AMRS to $20 in 24 months.





391   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:22am  

Misc says

California's sales tax rate goes to 15% or higher in 2023.


Nope.
392   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:25am  

RWSGFY says


Nukes! Nukes!

https://patrick.net/comment?comment_id=1882142




Not only Pukin is now absorbing strikes on the "new territories" he's taking it up the ass inside USSR proper with refineries, stragic airfields, early warning radars and MIC factories going up in smoke.

Marking this one busted.
393   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:26am  

apex says

Eric Holder says



Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

I predict that this thread is a trap, and Eric Holder will mock you later and damage
your credibility when your predictions don't turn out to be 100% true.



Please come to the booth to collect your giant teddy bear.
394   Eric Holder   2024 Jun 11, 11:52am  

Another one to watch:

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

https://www.oann.com/newsroom/hunter-biden-found-guilty-on-three-federal-gun-charges/

He'll serve about 5 months at Club Fed, then daddy will pardon him right after the election.
395   HeadSet   2024 Jun 11, 12:38pm  

I predict Hunter will serve NO jail time, as he is a "first time and non-violent offender."
396   socal2   2024 Jun 11, 12:47pm  

HeadSet says

I predict Hunter will serve NO jail time, as he is a "first time and non-violent offender."


I predict they will give Hunter a few months jail time so they can justify giving Trump jail time on the New York case.
397   fdhfoiehfeoi   2024 Jun 11, 6:11pm  

Eric Holder says

I wonder how many people are still sitting in all cash because of "professional" predictions like that...


What do you call the current state of things? I call it fucked, and if you started stocking up on silver and gold two years ago, you'd be doing very well right now...
398   Onvacation   2024 Jun 11, 6:40pm  

personal
399   Patrick   2024 Jun 23, 7:36pm  

I predict that Trump will be legitimately elected for a third time, but this time he will distinctly betray his supporters and continue the Uniparty/corporate corruption of DC as usual, in particular outsourcing to China, flooding the US with cheap Latin American labor, and cooperating with the defense industry to start new wars to make money selling weapons at taxpayer expense. And continuing to push deadly and ineffective injections for Pfizer profits.

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side. I think it's very likely that he's selling out right now with these deals in exchange for support and protection.

Trump's rise was entirely due to the Democrats' betraying their working class base, which left a huge political opening for Trump to step into. But now he will become part of the problem because it's safe and profitable for him.

I hope I'm wrong.
400   HeadSet   2024 Jun 24, 6:41am  

Patrick says

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?
401   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Jun 27, 8:03pm  

I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Oh, there will be polls that also don't show it. Those will be the ones that are BS polls. Easy to identify.
402   RWSGFY   2024 Jun 27, 8:22pm  

NuttBoxer says

Eric Holder says


I wonder how many people are still sitting in all cash because of "professional" predictions like that...


What do you call the current state of things? I call it fucked, and if you started stocking up on silver and gold two years ago, you'd be doing very well right now...


Compared to what? Cash? Sure. Stonks? Don't think so. Not to mention the murderous taxation of gold and silver.
403   fdhfoiehfeoi   2024 Jun 27, 8:31pm  

RWSGFY says

Compared to what? Cash? Sure. Stonks? Don't think so. Not to mention the murderous taxation of gold and silver.


We did this already, showed you specific data proving they outperformed your tech go-to's over the past 10 years. Over the past two, wouldn't even be close. But you already know this...

There are no taxes on gold and silver in several states now, and like all taxes, it depends on you self-reporting. I'd imagine people who hold physical and rightly consider them to be the only real money don't do that very often. But even if they do, I don't believe the capital gains tax differs between stocks and gold silver.
404   DOGEWontAmountToShit   2024 Jun 27, 9:38pm  

Prediction: There isn't going to be another presidential debate between now and Election Day.

Their MIGHT be a VP debate, tho.
405   Patrick   2024 Jun 27, 9:51pm  

HeadSet says

Patrick says


He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?


Bill Barr comes to mind.
406   RWSGFY   2024 Jun 28, 10:24am  

NuttBoxer says



I don't believe the capital gains tax differs between stocks and gold silver.


And this is where you are berry, berry wrong.

Physical gold and silver investments are also subject to capital gains tax.
The IRS classifies gold and silver as collectibles.
Here’s how it works:
-Long-term capital gains on gold and silver are taxed at a maximum rate of 28%.
-If you hold gold or silver for less than a year, any gains are taxed as ordinary income, which can be higher than the long-term capital gains rate.
-The cost basis includes the purchase price plus associated costs (e.g., dealer premiums, storage fees), reducing the taxable gain upon sale.
-Reporting requirements involve filing on Schedule D of Form 10401.


PS. The advice to get around taxation by breaking the law was hilarious. I hope you don't practice what you preach for the sake of your young children and integrity of your own anus. Refer to AFs rants for more details on the joys of Federal penetentiary.
407   fdhfoiehfeoi   2024 Jun 28, 6:24pm  

You don't understand investments that aren't in paper. If you aren't holding your silver and gold, you're likely getting ripped off. So throw out storage fees, and anyone knowing how much you have. But I guess you self-report to the local police every time you go over the speed limit, so you definitely disclose 100% honestly your finances.

Please nigger, don't shovel that shit here...

Unlike you I don't theorize, I live what I believe. Have for over 10 years...

Now let's put some reality to your theorizing(something you're very bad at):

"...so here’s some scorekeeping, from 29 December 2023 through today. Remember that at the periods' ends, hedge fund, investment advisors, etc., look and their scores and add or drop investments, so the score does matter.

S&P500, +14.5%

Dow Industrials, +3.8%

S&P500 in gold, +1.4%

Dow in gold, -8.0%

Dow in Silver, -15.35%

Gold, +12.9%

Silver, 22.6%

Gold/silver ratio, -7.9%

And here’s the scorecard from 30 December 1999, just for fun:

S&P500, +272.9%

Dow Industrials, + 241.6%

S&P500 in gold, -53.6%

Dow in gold, -57.5%

Dow in silver, -36.3%

Gold, +703.8%

Silver, +436.2%

Gold/silver ratio, +49.9%
"

- Sanders
408   Maga_Chaos_Monkey   2024 Jun 29, 10:55am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says


I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Oh, there will be polls that also don't show it. Those will be the ones that are BS polls. Easy to identify.


I'm sure you meant Cratering but that gave me a hilarious mental image.
409   WookieMan   2024 Jun 29, 11:06am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says


I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Not a grammar dick generally. Cratering I think is the word you wanted? Maybe he's a good cook, but not sure I want him catering a meal for me shitting his pants. Trust me I get auto correct typing on everything now, so not a dig.

Biden is toast though, so you're right.
410   Patrick   2024 Jul 21, 6:31am  

Patrick says


HeadSet says

Patrick says

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?

Bill Barr comes to mind.


And now Zuckerberg has complimented Trump:

"Seeing Donald Trump get up after
getting shot in the face and pump his
fist in the air with the American flag
is one of the most badass things I've
ever seen in my life... I think that
that's why a lot of people like
the guy."

And Zelensky is willing to "work with" Trump.

And Boris Johnson is now complimenting Trump:

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/breaking-through-sunday-july-21-2024

I am more convinced than ever that Trump has the strength and bravery to
save Ukraine and end this appalling war.


I think they are simply adjusting to the reality that Trump cannot lose now, barring yet more massive fraud.
411   Patrick   2024 Jul 21, 6:35am  

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.
412   WookieMan   2024 Jul 21, 6:57am  

Patrick says


My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.

No chance. DNC in Chicago would be a shit show in August. An unelected POTUS nominee not from the general public, but just delegates? Hell no that goes well. All the Bernie bros would come back out. You could see Hilary come back out of the weeds. The Dems have more factions than the Republicans. It would be horrible for down ballot candidates

The reason is that no one else can win at this point. Trump will have double the war chest with campaign funding in the coming months. If I recall Biden could only transfer his money to Kamala and that's it. So a full restart on fundraising efforts on a candidate you didn't vote for? They're kind of screwed at this point. The Dems only goal should be House and Senate seats if they want a "win" at this point.

Basically you can't outspend Trump. Trump can now start campaigning in district and states with contested Congressional seats. The Democrats are probably in the worst possible position of any party in our adult lifetimes. Mine for sure. But Joe going away would probably be the worst outcome. They need to just take the POTUS loss.
413   HeadSet   2024 Jul 21, 11:28am  

Patrick says

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.

That did not age well. (Predictions are always hard).
414   HeadSet   2024 Jul 21, 11:30am  

WookieMan says

But Joe going away would probably be the worst outcome

Surprise!!
415   WookieMan   2024 Jul 21, 11:31am  

HeadSet says

That did not age well. (Predictions are always hard).

Mine is bad too. I never thought they'd force him out. So stupid on the Dems part.
416   Patrick   2024 Jul 21, 1:42pm  

Patrick says

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.


I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.
417   Ceffer   2024 Jul 21, 1:46pm  

Patrick says

I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.

They will kill him as effigy during convenient anonymity, and give him a fake death notice and state funeral. That's the problem with fakes, you have to carry to script even when the fake is no longer useful.
418   AmericanKulak   2024 Jul 21, 2:20pm  

Patrick says

I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.

There's almost no chance he knew about the hit. Not his moron SJW twitter account runners would be dumb enough to tell that to his senile ass.

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