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Predictions thread.


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2022 Sep 12, 2:18pm   62,157 views  376 comments

by Eric Holder   ➕follow (5)   💰tip   ignore  

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

It goes without saying that everybody is welcome to add their favorite predictions.

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228   HeadSet   2023 Jan 12, 8:22pm  

Patrick says

We will find out what Trump’s purloined Mar-a-Lago files really contained.

Those docs were not "purloined."
229   RWSGFY   2023 Jan 13, 9:40am  

Are elections over now? Where's the $1 gas price spike? I say we mark that particular prediction as false.
230   RWSGFY   2023 Jan 23, 8:07am  

Cucker Tarlson predicts Sleepy Joe will be removed from tge office either like Kennedy or like Nixon: https://patrick.net/post/1378362/2023-01-23-paul-craig-roberts-how-troublesome?start=1#comment-1918926
231   Onvacation   2023 Jan 23, 8:19am  

RWSGFY says

Cucker Tarlson predicts Sleepy Joe will be removed from tge office either like Kennedy or like Nixon:

Looks like it will be like Nixon.
233   RWSGFY   2023 Jan 24, 3:59pm  

Oldie, but goodie:

"If for some reason Russia was forced to conduct military operations, to repel the aggression of a country comparable in its potential to Ukraine, then I hope that everyone understands how many days this conflict would last: two, three, maximum four days" - - Speaker of the State Duma 🤡 Sergey Naryshkin, 06 APRIL 2016


https://www-tvc-ru.translate.goog/news/show/id/89907?_x_tr_sl=ru&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp
234   Onvacation   2023 Jan 24, 5:54pm  

RWSGFY says

"If for some reason Russia was forced to conduct military operations, to repel the aggression of a country comparable in its potential to Ukraine, then I hope that everyone understands how many days this conflict would last: two, three, maximum four days"

EXACTLY!

This is not a war between Russia and Ukraine. It is a proxy war. If we are going to fight against Russia, Congress should declare war.

I vote no, but I don't have a vote.
235   PeopleUnited   2023 Jan 24, 7:11pm  

Ukraine sovereignty is about as real as joe Biden as POTUS. Both Ukraine and Biden are puppets. And the woke globalists shills and sheep are eating up the puppet show and cheering for a real war in defense of ongoing puppeteering. Disgusting.
236   AmericanKulak   2023 Jan 24, 7:53pm  

RWSGFY says


Oldie, but goodie:

"If for some reason Russia was forced to conduct military operations, to repel the aggression of a country comparable in its potential to Ukraine, then I hope that everyone understands how many days this conflict would last: two, three, maximum four days" - - Speaker of the State Duma 🤡 Sergey Naryshkin, 06 APRIL 2016


https://www-tvc-ru.translate.goog/news/show/id/89907?_x_tr_sl=ru&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp


Yeah, the performance of the Russian Army is downright embarassing. Even IF Western Mercs are being employed. And especially given the almost ideal nature of the terrain, short of desert, for mechanized forces that clearly outnumber the opponents.
237   komputodo   2023 Jan 24, 8:19pm  

AmericanKulak says

Yeah, the performance of the Russian Army is downright embarassing. Even IF Western Mercs are being employed. And especially given the almost ideal nature of the terrain, short of desert, for mechanized forces that clearly outnumber the opponents.

Has anyone ever actually WON a war without the other side surrendering? And as long as the ukraines leader won't surrender, it will slowly be demolished bit by bit until it becomes an inhabitable wasteland. Which would be horrible for the common folk but not so much for the newly created multi billionaire leader of the ukraine. The usa couldn't beat the viet cong and they weren't supported by NATO and billions of dollars of support
238   tomtomtom   2023 Jan 25, 8:37pm  

They stopped draining the strategic oil reserve early January 2023: https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_ending_stocks_of_crude_oil_in_the_strategic_petroleum_reserve
The oil prices are high and the DOE is waiting for a lower price to replenish it. Meanwhile, the demand is growing.

tomtomtom says

Gas prices will jump about $1 after the upcoming elections (once they stop spending the strategic reserve).
239   NuttBoxer   2023 Jan 25, 11:23pm  

tomtomtom says

DOE is waiting for a lower price to replenish it.


I heard Rockefeller got it classified as a fossil fuel, and replenishment isn't really a thing. More likely same reason as the shipping interruptions, lack of items at the store, and for business's that has been going on for two years now. Centralization is cratering in front of our eyes.
242   richwicks   2023 Jan 27, 9:00pm  

Eric Holder says







Um, and? What exactly are you pointing out or think you are pointing out?

Edit: Oh I see. You're marking it as a prediction. Hope I'm wrong. I hope this war ends as soon as possible.
243   Patrick   2023 Jan 27, 9:06pm  

Onvacation says

This is not a war between Russia and Ukraine. It is a proxy war. If we are going to fight against Russia, Congress should declare war.

I vote no, but I don't have a vote.


@Onvacation Note that the German defense minister also recently said "We are fighting a war against Russia."

https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2023/01/26/ww3-watch-german-foreign-minister-declares-we-are-fighting-a-war-against-russia/
246   RWSGFY   2023 Feb 12, 11:26pm  

Bunch of predictions, some of them with timeframes like "in the next 3 months" and "by the end of this year" made by Peter Zeihan on April 7th, 2022

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pdP01go8wdQ
247   RWSGFY   2023 Feb 14, 8:12am  




Did he imply he is being paid to act like an idiot?
248   DhammaStep   2023 Feb 15, 9:47am  

DhammaStep says

Bold? Okay. Billions of people will die imminently or in 2023. Japan will be sunk to the bottom of the ocean. The west coasts will be slammed by the largest tsunami ever witnessed in written history. Most SEA countries will face an extinction level event.

And no matter where you are, you'll know it's happening.

Hmmm... My prediction surely seems impossible, doesn't it?
249   RayAmerica   2023 Feb 15, 10:17am  

My 1st. prediction is that most of the predictions on this thread will be proven wrong.

My 2nd. prediction is that the Island of Guam will 'tip over' just like Rep. Hank Johnson warned us it would.
251   RWSGFY   2023 Feb 17, 2:40pm  

RayAmerica says



My 2nd. prediction is that the Island of Guam will 'tip over' just like Rep. Hank Johnson warned us it would.


But only if additional equipment and personnel deployed there!
252   RWSGFY   2023 Mar 7, 10:21am  

Tenpoundbass says

Within five years the current Car Battery platform will be outlawed by most Governments around the world.
Unless there's a new way to make car batteries, it will spell the end of Lithium battery arrays in cars. Not to say we wont see cars with many Marine batteries.


https://patrick.net/post/1378718/2023-03-07-you-are-part-of-the-problem-with-ai?start=1#comment-1930709
253   Bd6r   2023 Mar 7, 8:59pm  

Gen. TransMilley’s predictive abilities rival those of some Patnetters who predicted Europe freezing, Ukraine falling, or massive arrests of corrupt officials in DC
RWSGFY says




254   Eric Holder   2023 Mar 8, 11:34am  

Bd6r says

Gen. TransMilley’s predictive abilities rival those of some Patnetters who predicted Europe freezing, Ukraine falling, or massive arrests of corrupt officials in DC


I wonder what's his handle on this site...
256   NuttBoxer   2023 Mar 13, 11:10am  

This may be the quickest turn around on a prediction as Signature was shuttered the very next day:
https://patrick.net/post/1378750/2023-03-10-silicon-valley-bank-goes-under-won-t?start=116#comment-1932586
257   Eric Holder   2023 Mar 13, 12:36pm  

NuttBoxer says

This may be the quickest turn around on a prediction as Signature was shuttered the very next day:
https://patrick.net/post/1378750/2023-03-10-silicon-valley-bank-goes-under-won-t?start=116#comment-1932586


That post predicts 100pt slash by December. Didn't happen yet.
258   NuttBoxer   2023 Mar 13, 1:53pm  

The thread predicted SVB was only the first to go down. Signature didn't even last the weekend, and I see two more that may not last the week.

Are you intentionally attempt to misconstrue my comment above?

The one comment you latched on to, rather than look at the big picture of the thread(seems to be a habit with you, avoiding the big picture), was just made, so a hundred point rate reduction would be for this December, nine months away.

What the fuck man!?
259   Eric Holder   2023 Mar 13, 2:00pm  

NuttBoxer says


The thread predicted SVB was only the first to go down. Signature didn't even last the weekend, and I see two more that may not last the week.

Are you intentionally attempt to misconstrue my comment above?


Is that directed at me? All I did is I read the post and the article linked in it. In the article the only place where Signature is mentioned is to state the fact that it is "plunging". Here it is, in its entirety: "Meanwhile, shares of Wall Street banking giants are falling, and regional lenders like First Republic, Signature Bank and PacWest are also plunging." Does it qualify as a prediction? Not in my book.

And then the prediction comes:


"Within the next couple of months, as the contagion brews up this channel — up to high yield, leveraged loans, across the entire ecosystem — that's when the Feds gonna have to bring out the other firehose and cut rates, probably within six to nine months," McDonald said.


So it looks like one of us can't read. Could be me. But it's not intentional for sure. More like disability.
261   NuttBoxer   2023 Mar 24, 9:41am  

@Eric%20Holder So the main prediction in the thread came true in 24 hours. Any comments not in the OP are not focus, seems like I shouldn't have to tell you that.

But, the comment you latched onto, and the article it references was just written, so the prediction is well within the time limit which would expire start of next winter. Meaning, you can't call it yet. I think you just need to read more carefully.
262   RayAmerica   2023 Mar 24, 4:43pm  

My prediction ...

Banking crisis will get a LOT worse. Why? Because Biden Says "Banks In Pretty Good Shape" As Small Banks See Biggest Deposit Outflow On Record
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/over-110-billion-deposits-dumped-small-banks-saw-biggest-weekly-outflow-ever-svb-collapsed

The Fed just released its weekly commercial bank data dump showing deposit inflows/outflows.

Two things to note:

1) This is for the week up to 3/15/23 (which includes the SVB collapse but nothing more)

2) 'Large Banks' includes the top 25 banks (which means SVB was among that group, hence, we get no indication of SVB rotation flows)

The overall data shows that domestic commercial banks saw over $98 billion in deposit outflows (seasonally-adjusted) that week to just over $17.5 trillion (8th straight week of aggregate outflows).


263   DhammaStep   2023 Mar 30, 11:42am  

I'm seeing a rise in 6.0 mag earthquakes around the ring of fire from SEA to Chile. Maybe I'll get my prediction after all!
264   richwicks   2023 Mar 30, 12:04pm  

RWSGFY says


"CCCP will collapse now! - No, CCCP strong, I'll collapse in 10!"

https://patrick.net/post/1378887/2023-03-24-russia-is-going-to-break-apart-after?start=1#comment-1936179


I "predict" the CCCP will collapse on December 26, 1991.

What prize do I get?

I'm tired of your willful dishonesty.
265   richwicks   2023 Mar 30, 12:11pm  

Here, I will make a serious prediction, which I hope I'm wrong about.

The war between Ukraine and Russia will continue to AT LEAST the end of 2024. This war will not end until the next presidency, at minimum. I would not be surprised to see it last for 10 years, although I doubt it will last that long.

The entire Ukrainian male population of fighting age will be mostly wiped out, and Eastern Ukraine will be taken over by Russia, Western Ukraine may break up.

I also predict that, possibly (25% chance I give it) that NATO will break up at the end of this. It depends on how badly Europe is harmed by a lack of energy exports from Russia. This is an unknown, because Russia ships energy to China, and China then sells it to Europe. So much for environmentalism...

I also predict that Zelenskyy will retire from the world stage, and retire into obscurity. Where he goes, well, I doubt it will be Israel because it's too obvious.
266   stereotomy   2023 Mar 30, 12:13pm  

I predict that the 2024 election will be the most divisive of the last 100 years. This is literally the showdown between Nationalism and Golobohomo. There is much money to be made on side bets; namely, is Ukraine/WW3 still to be pushed, or is a "Fuck the rest of the world and Globohomo," and put America first going to be the agenda?
267   stereotomy   2023 Mar 30, 12:16pm  

richwicks says


Here, I will make a serious prediction, which I hope I'm wrong about.

The war between Ukraine and Russia will continue to AT LEAST the end of 2024. This war will not end until the next presidency, at minimum. I would not be surprised to see it last for 10 years, although I doubt it will last that long.

The entire Ukrainian male population of fighting age will be mostly wiped out, and Eastern Ukraine will be taken over by Russia, Western Ukraine may break up.

I also predict that, possibly (25% chance I give it) that NATO will break up at the end of this. It depends on how badly Europe is harmed by a lack of energy exports from Russia. This is an unknown, because Russia ships energy to China, and China then sells it to Europe. So much for environmentalism...

I also predict that Zelenskyy will retire from the world stage, and retire into obscurity. Where he goes, well, I doubt it will be Israel because it's too obvious.

Most Ukrainian chicks are relatively hot. If Ukraine is decimated, this is an opportunity to snag high quality Eastern European Ass to relive the severe M/F ratio.

EDIT: This could be the potentially the biggest bonanza for spergs since the collapse of the USSR. Brilliant and hot Ukes desperate for a 2-year sex slavery role to get a green card. Or don't they do this anymore?

EDIT2: I knew someone in the 90's who tried to do the mail-order Russian brides. My post was more in sarcasm than really acknowledging this as a legitimate option.

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