patrick.net

Onvacation says

Ukraine has changed hands many times. What business is it of the USA?

US took their nukes, strategic bombers, cruise missiles, ICBMs and stockpiles of enriched Plutonium and Uranium in exchange for assurances of sovereignty and territorial integrity back in 1994. We wanted that nuclear non-proliferation and this is the price we're paying for it. I can't believe you don't know that. Are you playing richwicks here? That guy is still looking for the Nord Stream pipeline in the Black Sea.... Don't be like richwicks. It's unbecoming.

Back to predictions. Do you have any to make?

Onvacation says

Eric Holder says

Elections are explicitly prohibited by law during wartime. So not likely.

Didn't Zelensky make that law?

No. It was made well before his time. And, like here, there presidents don't make laws - it's the job of the parliament.

PS. Their constitution has many such failsafes to prevent state being subverted to the external threat. One of them is the mechanism of legally changing the borders, which, in a nutshell, makes any territoriall concessions under the threat of force legally impossible.

richwicks says

Hey "Eric Holder" - did I win the giant teddy bear prize yet?

Not even close. Nothing is fogotten. The fact that people still trying to bring Ukraine into any thread is the best proof.

Eric Holder says

PS. The idea for this thread was to keep in clean with predictions and links to predictions only. Otherwise it will drown in the usual noise.

And it went off-rails of course. Anyone predicted that?

Bd6r says

I thought you have been on Patnet for a while...what is the chance of a clean thread.

"Contra spem spero"

Patrick says

Hunter Biden will die in unclear circumstances when the FBI gets rid of him to protect themselves.

Found guilty on 3 criminal charges but still alive an kicking.

RWSGFY says

Here a "as good as Cuntsler (who?) guy" predicts European starving and freezing to death this winter (2022-2023): https://patrick.net/post/1345718/2022-06-17-one-of-kunstler-s-best?start=6#comment-1877701

Have I mocked mercilessly this one? Even if I did, it's worth doing again.

1337irr says

AMRS to $20 in 24 months.

Misc says

California's sales tax rate goes to 15% or higher in 2023.

Nope.

RWSGFY says

Nukes! Nukes!

https://patrick.net/comment?comment_id=1882142

Not only Pukin is now absorbing strikes on the "new territories" he's taking it up the ass inside USSR proper with refineries, stragic airfields, early warning radars and MIC factories going up in smoke.

Marking this one busted.

apex says

Eric Holder says

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

I predict that this thread is a trap, and Eric Holder will mock you later and damage
your credibility when your predictions don't turn out to be 100% true.

Please come to the booth to collect your giant teddy bear.

Another one to watch:

UkraineIsTotallyFucked says

https://www.oann.com/newsroom/hunter-biden-found-guilty-on-three-federal-gun-charges/

He'll serve about 5 months at Club Fed, then daddy will pardon him right after the election.

I predict Hunter will serve NO jail time, as he is a "first time and non-violent offender."

HeadSet says

I predict Hunter will serve NO jail time, as he is a "first time and non-violent offender."

I predict they will give Hunter a few months jail time so they can justify giving Trump jail time on the New York case.

Eric Holder says

I wonder how many people are still sitting in all cash because of "professional" predictions like that...

What do you call the current state of things? I call it fucked, and if you started stocking up on silver and gold two years ago, you'd be doing very well right now...

personal

I predict that Trump will be legitimately elected for a third time, but this time he will distinctly betray his supporters and continue the Uniparty/corporate corruption of DC as usual, in particular outsourcing to China, flooding the US with cheap Latin American labor, and cooperating with the defense industry to start new wars to make money selling weapons at taxpayer expense. And continuing to push deadly and ineffective injections for Pfizer profits.

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side. I think it's very likely that he's selling out right now with these deals in exchange for support and protection.

Trump's rise was entirely due to the Democrats' betraying their working class base, which left a huge political opening for Trump to step into. But now he will become part of the problem because it's safe and profitable for him.

I hope I'm wrong.

Patrick says

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?

I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Oh, there will be polls that also don't show it. Those will be the ones that are BS polls. Easy to identify.

NuttBoxer says

Eric Holder says

I wonder how many people are still sitting in all cash because of "professional" predictions like that...

What do you call the current state of things? I call it fucked, and if you started stocking up on silver and gold two years ago, you'd be doing very well right now...

Compared to what? Cash? Sure. Stonks? Don't think so. Not to mention the murderous taxation of gold and silver.

RWSGFY says

Compared to what? Cash? Sure. Stonks? Don't think so. Not to mention the murderous taxation of gold and silver.

We did this already, showed you specific data proving they outperformed your tech go-to's over the past 10 years. Over the past two, wouldn't even be close. But you already know this...

There are no taxes on gold and silver in several states now, and like all taxes, it depends on you self-reporting. I'd imagine people who hold physical and rightly consider them to be the only real money don't do that very often. But even if they do, I don't believe the capital gains tax differs between stocks and gold silver.

Prediction: There isn't going to be another presidential debate between now and Election Day.

Their MIGHT be a VP debate, tho.

HeadSet says

Patrick says

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?

Bill Barr comes to mind.

NuttBoxer says

I don't believe the capital gains tax differs between stocks and gold silver.

And this is where you are berry, berry wrong.

Physical gold and silver investments are also subject to capital gains tax.
The IRS classifies gold and silver as collectibles.
Here’s how it works:
-Long-term capital gains on gold and silver are taxed at a maximum rate of 28%.
-If you hold gold or silver for less than a year, any gains are taxed as ordinary income, which can be higher than the long-term capital gains rate.
-The cost basis includes the purchase price plus associated costs (e.g., dealer premiums, storage fees), reducing the taxable gain upon sale.
-Reporting requirements involve filing on Schedule D of Form 10401.

PS. The advice to get around taxation by breaking the law was hilarious. I hope you don't practice what you preach for the sake of your young children and integrity of your own anus. Refer to AFs rants for more details on the joys of Federal penetentiary.

You don't understand investments that aren't in paper. If you aren't holding your silver and gold, you're likely getting ripped off. So throw out storage fees, and anyone knowing how much you have. But I guess you self-report to the local police every time you go over the speed limit, so you definitely disclose 100% honestly your finances.

Please nigger, don't shovel that shit here...

Unlike you I don't theorize, I live what I believe. Have for over 10 years...

Now let's put some reality to your theorizing(something you're very bad at):

"...so here’s some scorekeeping, from 29 December 2023 through today. Remember that at the periods' ends, hedge fund, investment advisors, etc., look and their scores and add or drop investments, so the score does matter.

S&P500, +14.5%

Dow Industrials, +3.8%

S&P500 in gold, +1.4%

Dow in gold, -8.0%

Dow in Silver, -15.35%

Gold, +12.9%

Silver, 22.6%

Gold/silver ratio, -7.9%

And here’s the scorecard from 30 December 1999, just for fun:

S&P500, +272.9%

Dow Industrials, + 241.6%

S&P500 in gold, -53.6%

Dow in gold, -57.5%

Dow in silver, -36.3%

Gold, +703.8%

Silver, +436.2%

Gold/silver ratio, +49.9%"

- Sanders

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Oh, there will be polls that also don't show it. Those will be the ones that are BS polls. Easy to identify.

I'm sure you meant Cratering but that gave me a hilarious mental image.

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says

I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Not a grammar dick generally. Cratering I think is the word you wanted? Maybe he's a good cook, but not sure I want him catering a meal for me shitting his pants. Trust me I get auto correct typing on everything now, so not a dig.

Biden is toast though, so you're right.

Patrick says

HeadSet says

Patrick says

He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?

Bill Barr comes to mind.

And now Zuckerberg has complimented Trump:

"Seeing Donald Trump get up after
getting shot in the face and pump his
fist in the air with the American flag
is one of the most badass things I've
ever seen in my life... I think that
that's why a lot of people like
the guy."

And Zelensky is willing to "work with" Trump.

And Boris Johnson is now complimenting Trump:

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/breaking-through-sunday-july-21-2024

I am more convinced than ever that Trump has the strength and bravery to
save Ukraine and end this appalling war.

I think they are simply adjusting to the reality that Trump cannot lose now, barring yet more massive fraud.

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.

Patrick says

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.

No chance. DNC in Chicago would be a shit show in August. An unelected POTUS nominee not from the general public, but just delegates? Hell no that goes well. All the Bernie bros would come back out. You could see Hilary come back out of the weeds. The Dems have more factions than the Republicans. It would be horrible for down ballot candidates

The reason is that no one else can win at this point. Trump will have double the war chest with campaign funding in the coming months. If I recall Biden could only transfer his money to Kamala and that's it. So a full restart on fundraising efforts on a candidate you didn't vote for? They're kind of screwed at this point. The Dems only goal should be House and Senate seats if they want a "win" at this point.

Basically you can't outspend Trump. Trump can now start campaigning in district and states with contested Congressional seats. The Democrats are probably in the worst possible position of any party in our adult lifetimes. Mine for sure. But Joe going away would probably be the worst outcome. They need to just take the POTUS loss.

Patrick says

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.

That did not age well. (Predictions are always hard).

WookieMan says

But Joe going away would probably be the worst outcome

Surprise!!

HeadSet says

That did not age well. (Predictions are always hard).

Mine is bad too. I never thought they'd force him out. So stupid on the Dems part.

Patrick says

My predcition: Deep State will now move on from trying to kill Trump and assassinate *Biden* because he can't legitimately win and refuses to let anyone else run.

I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.

Patrick says

I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.

They will kill him as effigy during convenient anonymity, and give him a fake death notice and state funeral. That's the problem with fakes, you have to carry to script even when the fake is no longer useful.

Patrick says

I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.

There's almost no chance he knew about the hit. Not his moron SJW twitter account runners would be dumb enough to tell that to his senile ass.

I don't think they'll try another shot at Trump, especially after Vance ("fuck the crazy cat ladies") is the running mate.

I guess WWIII is still on the table. . .

Patrick says

I'm altering my prediction because they no longer need to kill him, assuming he really drops out.

I'm altering it again, to predict that Zients and Klain really do need to kill Biden, and have already done it, because he just wouldn't really drop out, not even after Pelosi threatened him.

The body will pop up in a week, bloated and obviously not a fresh kill.

Patrick says

I'm altering it again, to predict that Zients and Klain really do need to kill Biden, and have already done it, because he just wouldn't really drop out, not even after Pelosi threatened him.

That would fit with the resignation being a letter and not a press conference. Also fits with the letter being a total surprise to Biden's closest campaign managers. It also fits with the leak of Biden's brother claiming Joe resigned because of very poor health. If Biden was killed, he will have to "die" soon, since he is supposed to give a spoken announcement press conference this week.

Of course, this dead Biden theory is kaput if Biden does that press conference (unless they use a body double).

HeadSet says

If Biden was killed, he will have to "die" soon

Covid's a killer. Biden should have got that booster...