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Predictions thread.


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2022 Sep 12, 2:18pm   70,262 views  409 comments

by Eric Holder   ➕follow (5)   💰tip   ignore  

Here I will collect bold predictions so we can see what came true and what didn't.

It goes without saying that everybody is welcome to add their favorite predictions.

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401   DemocratsAreTotallyFucked   2024 Jun 27, 8:03pm  

I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Oh, there will be polls that also don't show it. Those will be the ones that are BS polls. Easy to identify.
402   RWSGFY   2024 Jun 27, 8:22pm  

NuttBoxer says

Eric Holder says


I wonder how many people are still sitting in all cash because of "professional" predictions like that...


What do you call the current state of things? I call it fucked, and if you started stocking up on silver and gold two years ago, you'd be doing very well right now...


Compared to what? Cash? Sure. Stonks? Don't think so. Not to mention the murderous taxation of gold and silver.
403   NuttBoxer   2024 Jun 27, 8:31pm  

RWSGFY says

Compared to what? Cash? Sure. Stonks? Don't think so. Not to mention the murderous taxation of gold and silver.


We did this already, showed you specific data proving they outperformed your tech go-to's over the past 10 years. Over the past two, wouldn't even be close. But you already know this...

There are no taxes on gold and silver in several states now, and like all taxes, it depends on you self-reporting. I'd imagine people who hold physical and rightly consider them to be the only real money don't do that very often. But even if they do, I don't believe the capital gains tax differs between stocks and gold silver.
404   DemocratsAreTotallyFucked   2024 Jun 27, 9:38pm  

Prediction: There isn't going to be another presidential debate between now and Election Day.

Their MIGHT be a VP debate, tho.
405   Patrick   2024 Jun 27, 9:51pm  

HeadSet says

Patrick says


He already seems to be making deals and getting former enemies on his side.

Which former enemies?


Bill Barr comes to mind.
406   RWSGFY   2024 Jun 28, 10:24am  

NuttBoxer says



I don't believe the capital gains tax differs between stocks and gold silver.


And this is where you are berry, berry wrong.

Physical gold and silver investments are also subject to capital gains tax.
The IRS classifies gold and silver as collectibles.
Here’s how it works:
-Long-term capital gains on gold and silver are taxed at a maximum rate of 28%.
-If you hold gold or silver for less than a year, any gains are taxed as ordinary income, which can be higher than the long-term capital gains rate.
-The cost basis includes the purchase price plus associated costs (e.g., dealer premiums, storage fees), reducing the taxable gain upon sale.
-Reporting requirements involve filing on Schedule D of Form 10401.


PS. The advice to get around taxation by breaking the law was hilarious. I hope you don't practice what you preach for the sake of your young children and integrity of your own anus. Refer to AFs rants for more details on the joys of Federal penetentiary.
407   NuttBoxer   2024 Jun 28, 6:24pm  

You don't understand investments that aren't in paper. If you aren't holding your silver and gold, you're likely getting ripped off. So throw out storage fees, and anyone knowing how much you have. But I guess you self-report to the local police every time you go over the speed limit, so you definitely disclose 100% honestly your finances.

Please nigger, don't shovel that shit here...

Unlike you I don't theorize, I live what I believe. Have for over 10 years...

Now let's put some reality to your theorizing(something you're very bad at):

"...so here’s some scorekeeping, from 29 December 2023 through today. Remember that at the periods' ends, hedge fund, investment advisors, etc., look and their scores and add or drop investments, so the score does matter.

S&P500, +14.5%

Dow Industrials, +3.8%

S&P500 in gold, +1.4%

Dow in gold, -8.0%

Dow in Silver, -15.35%

Gold, +12.9%

Silver, 22.6%

Gold/silver ratio, -7.9%

And here’s the scorecard from 30 December 1999, just for fun:

S&P500, +272.9%

Dow Industrials, + 241.6%

S&P500 in gold, -53.6%

Dow in gold, -57.5%

Dow in silver, -36.3%

Gold, +703.8%

Silver, +436.2%

Gold/silver ratio, +49.9%
"

- Sanders
408   SoTex   2024 Jun 29, 10:55am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says


I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Oh, there will be polls that also don't show it. Those will be the ones that are BS polls. Easy to identify.


I'm sure you meant Cratering but that gave me a hilarious mental image.
409   WookieMan   2024 Jun 29, 11:06am  

DemocratsAreTotallyFucked says


I say that the polls taken after Biden's debate disaster from here on out will show Biden catering.

Catering. Defined as double digit drops.

Not a grammar dick generally. Cratering I think is the word you wanted? Maybe he's a good cook, but not sure I want him catering a meal for me shitting his pants. Trust me I get auto correct typing on everything now, so not a dig.

Biden is toast though, so you're right.

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