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post election stock market bump predictions


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2022 Oct 20, 8:08am   999 views  7 comments

by clambo   ➕follow (2)   💰tip   ignore  

The likelihood is high that the socialist Democrats will have their asses kicked in various elections in November.
Typically and probably there will be a bump in the stock market indices following the election.

Which % bump do you predict? Or, do you predict no bump at all and are preparing to be pissed off?

My prediction is 9%.

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1   mell   2022 Oct 20, 8:36am  

If Republicans reduce inflation assets will deflate as well, so I say no significant change, but agree on positive note, maybe max 3% up just for getting rid of the woke shit.
2   AD   2022 Oct 20, 6:33pm  

If Repubs win either chamber of Congress, then there may be a +5% bump up

If the Repubs win with a large margin and have a clear mandate of victory, then I can see the market going up 15%.
3   stereotomy   2022 Oct 20, 6:37pm  

Any bump is temporary - a chance to bail out into any safe asset, if any such asset still exists.

Asset prices have defied reality for the past 40 years. Once this mechanism for asset price support fails, there will be no refuge.
4   Undoctored   2022 Oct 20, 11:56pm  

In the run-up to the 2000 election (Bush v Gore) I calculated that stocks would go up after the election no matter who won because whoever won would be the choice of the majority and for that reason the predominant sentiment would be economic optimism. I forget what happened exactly with the market but that was the end of my days as political-economic analyst.
5   Ceffer   2022 Oct 21, 12:33am  

My prediction is that my prediction will be wrong unless by some act of stochastic miracle it happens to be right, but not because I knew anything, but purely by accident.

Anything about investments and the economy has to eventually be related to currency because the 'currency is printing press fiat' stratagems have run their course and the full absurdity of currency backed by nothing and printed by a few centralized crooks has run its course.

Until currency is returned to commodity based standards, all commentary on markets is somewhat moot. They'll bump it up, they'll bump it down, they'll bump it all around by some arcane and arbitrary standard of control for themselves, with us investment ants none the wiser.
6   HeadSet   2022 Oct 21, 6:09pm  

clambo says

The likelihood is high that the socialist Democrats will have their asses kicked in various elections in November.

In an honest election, yes. In a world with mail in votes with no postmarks needed, not necessarily.

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