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Not So Fast on Electric Cars - WSJ


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2022 Dec 26, 9:49am   52,108 views  778 comments

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Not So Fast on Electric Cars - WSJ

Allysia FinleyDec. 25, 2022 6:20 pm ET

Toyota’s CEO delivers a timely warning, and many states echo it.

Toyota CEO Akio Toyoda recently caused the climate lobby to blow a fuse by speaking a truth about battery electric vehicles that his fellow auto executives dare not. “Just like the fully autonomous cars that we were all supposed to be driving by now,” Mr. Toyoda said in Thailand, “I think BEVs are just going to take longer to become mainstream than the media would like us to believe.” He added that a “silent majority” in the auto industry share his view, “but they think it’s the trend, so they can’t speak out loudly.”
The Biden administration seems to believe that millions of Americans will rush out to buy electric vehicles if only the government throws enough subsidies at them. Last year’s infrastructure bill included $7.5 billion in grants for states to expand their charging networks. But it’s a problem when even the states are warning the administration that electric vehicles aren’t ready to go mainstream.

Maine notes in a plan submitted to the Federal Highway Administration this summer that “cold temperatures will remain a top challenge” for adoption, since “cold weather reduces EV range and increases charging times.” When temperatures drop to 5 degrees Fahrenheit, the cars achieve only 54% of their quoted range. A vehicle that’s supposed to be able to go 250 miles between charges will make it only 135 miles on average. At 32 degrees—a typical winter day in much of the country—a Tesla Model 3 that in ideal conditions can go 282 miles between charges will make it only 173 miles.
Imagine if the 100 million Americans who took to the road over the holidays were driving electric cars. How many would have been stranded as temperatures plunged? There wouldn’t be enough tow trucks—or emergency medics—for people freezing in their cars.
The Transportation Department is requiring states to build charging stations every 50 miles along interstate highways and within a mile of off-ramps to reduce the likelihood of these scenarios. But most state electrical grids aren’t built to handle this many charging stations and will thus require expensive upgrades. Illinois, for one, warns of “challenges related to sufficient electric grid capacity, particularly in rural areas of the state.”

Charging stations in rural areas with little traffic are also unlikely to be profitable and could become “stranded assets,” as many states warn. Wyoming says out-of-state traffic from non-Tesla electric vehicles would have to increase 100-fold to cover charger costs under the administration’s rules. Tesla has already scoped out premier charging locations for its proprietary network. Good luck to competitors.

New Mexico warns that “poor station maintenance can lead to stations being perpetually broken and unusable, particularly in rural or hard to access locations. If an EV charging station is built in an area without electrical capacity and infrastructure to support its use, it will be unusable until the appropriate upgrades are installed.”

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Arizona says “private businesses may build and operate a station if a grant pays for the first five years of operations and maintenance” but might abandon the project if it later proves unprofitable. Many other states echo this concern, noting that federal funds could result in stranded assets.

The administration aims to build 500,000 stations, but states will likely have to spend their own money to keep them running. Like other federal inducements, these grants may entice states to assume what could become huge financial liabilities.

Federal funds also come with many rules, including “buy America” procurement requirements, which demand that chargers consist of mostly U.S.-made components. New Jersey says these could “delay implementation by several years” since only a few manufacturers can currently meet them. New York also says it will be challenging to comply with the web of federal rules, including the National Environmental Policy Act, the Americans with Disabilities Act, the Uniform Relocation Assistance and Real Property Acquisition Policies Act of 1970, and a 1960 federal law that bars charging stations in rest areas.

Oh, and labor rules. The administration requires that electrical workers who install and maintain the stations be certified by the union-backed Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Training Program. New Mexico says much of the state lacks contractors that meet this mandate, which will reduce competition and increase costs.

Technical problems abound too. Virginia says fast-charging hardware “has a short track record” and is “prone to malfunctions.” Equipment “previously installed privately in Virginia has had a high failure rate shown in user comments and reports on social media,” and “even compatibility with credit card readers has been unexpectedly complicated.”

A study this spring led by University of California researchers found that more than a quarter of public direct-current fast-charging stations in the San Francisco Bay Area were unusable. Drivers will be playing roulette every time they head to a station. If all this weren’t disconcerting enough, Arizona warns cyber vulnerabilities could compromise customer financial transactions, charging infrastructure, electric vehicles and the grid.

Politicians and auto makers racing to eliminate the internal-combustion engine are bound to crash into technological, logistic and financial realities, as Mr. Toyoda warned. The casualties will be taxpayers, but the administration doesn’t seem to care.


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340   WookieMan   2024 Feb 11, 1:35am  

GNL says

WookieMan says

Electric carts have been around for 30+ years now. I like Musk. This is nothing new though.

Can a golf cart go 405 miles on a single charge? If so, how long would it take for a golf cart to travel that 405 miles?

For $10K I can get a golf cart to do that. 100%. Batteries, wheels and motor swap. 55mph. Easy.

Also no Tesla is going 405 miles on a charge without being extremely uncomfortable. 280-300 is max real life at highway speeds. Then sit at a charger for 30 minutes. Can't fit anyone in it. Can't fit luggage or go camping.

Eman says

You can do 0-60 in a golf cart as fast as a Tesla. Please do, time it and share the result for all of us to see.

Yes, people do with carts. I don't because there's no point. My cart is for around town. My car is a V8 that can tow, handle 7 passengers and luggage. Go 400 miles on a 4 minute fill up. Was $30k cheaper than any model Tesla. So the gas doesn't matter over the life of the car.

It's not anything to do with affording it. It's the practicality and function of it. A Tesla is worthless to me no matter how fun it is to drive. I could buy 5 tomorrow. I don't want one. You specifically don't listen to me and defend an overpriced toy to get A to B. Congrats on wasting $20-50k more then better cars for life. Clearly you don't have kids.
341   Blue   2024 Feb 11, 1:52am  

WookieMan says

Also no Tesla is going 405 miles on a charge without being extremely uncomfortable. 280-300 is max real life at highway speeds.

True, at least in my case. Ideally it must reach LA but it doesn't. @WookieMan not sure you realized before wasting your time, @Eman talks to himself most of the time!
342   GNL   2024 Feb 11, 3:44am  

Google said 405 mile range for a model X. Please share a video of a golf cart beating a corvette 0 to 60. I'd love to see that.
343   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 9:32am  

Blue says

WookieMan says


Also no Tesla is going 405 miles on a charge without being extremely uncomfortable. 280-300 is max real life at highway speeds.

True, at least in my case. Ideally it must reach LA but it doesn't. WookieMan not sure you realized before wasting your time, Eman talks to himself most of the time!

The difference between us is that I just make things work with whatever the current established rules and regulations. I don't whine and bitch like others @Blue.
344   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 9:37am  

GNL says

Google said 405 mile range for a model X. Please share a video of a golf cart beating a corvette 0 to 60. I'd love to see that.


It’s actually for the model S. They did a test a couple years ago from the Bay Area to Hawthorn SoCal in one shot. However, the conditions were keeping the speed limit between 65-70 miles with the A/C between levels 2-3.

The faster one drives, the more range EV loses due to higher drag force. Same with using HVAC as the consume more battery.
345   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 9:49am  

Another cool feature about Tesla is that one can cool or heat the car remotely. It takes a couple minutes for us here in the Bay Area, but up to 8 minutes for folks in Canada with negative temperature. It’s great for people with young kids/babies.

In summer when it’s 100 degree outside and there’s no shade, one can sit in the car with A/C while there’s no engine running. The same with winter.

I’m sure the golf cart can do the same right, @Wookieman? Oh, and the golf cart can drive itself too.
346   socal2   2024 Feb 11, 9:52am  

Tesla - "iTs jUsT A cAR cOMpAnY......."

The latest version of Tesla's Full Self Driving using neural nets and only video for training is unbelievable. There isn't anything close to this in this world and Tesla is adding millions of miles of new training video every single day.

Tesla will be selling this to all of the other OEM's who are still still in business in the next 5 years.

https://twitter.com/WholeMarsBlog/status/1756522414845186327
347   socal2   2024 Feb 11, 10:00am  

Eman says

Another cool feature about Tesla is that one can cool or heat the car remotely. It takes a couple minutes for us here in the Bay Area, but up to 8 minutes for folks in Canada with negative temperature. It’s great for people with young kids/babies.


Love that feature. I have it as a widget on my phone and never get into my Tesla without having it heated or cooled. Only takes 2-3 minutes.

Another newish feature that came last year was the AUTO seat-heat and steering wheel heat. It just works. I never have to mess around to adjust. I thought I wouldn't like the auto feature at first, but love it now. Same with HVAC. I just leave it at 70 and everything just works. I rarely adjust anything. Granted, my weather is pretty amazing, but I have never driven a car in SoCal where I wasn't always messing with temperature settings and modes.
348   WookieMan   2024 Feb 11, 10:26am  

GNL says

Google said 405 mile range for a model X. Please share a video of a golf cart beating a corvette 0 to 60. I'd love to see that.

107mph in a quarter. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n29-vBL93eM

Biggest issue is safety. There are plenty of carts that could blow a Corvette or Tesla out of the water speed wise. It is just not safe. Golf carts are mini EV's. I'm not sure the disconnect on this topic.

I was driving electric carts since I was 14 at my country club. The tech has been around forever. I know the families that maintain most of the electric carts in my region. The batteries cost a fortune and always will. That's why the costs have hit the floor at this point. They have to lower size and range to cut costs and make them a 100 mile vehicle range wise. But no one would buy it.

Hybrid EV's are the future. We have copious amounts of oil. My mom has a RAV-4 hybrid and fuels up maybe once a quarter and lives over an hour one way to visit. For the MSRP tag difference on a Tesla I'd take the RAV-4 10 out of 10 times. High speed and acceleration is a small dick syndrome thing. Enjoy that. I'll enjoy my car that can tow 9k lbs with ease and can refuel in 4 minutes and still go further than a Tesla sedan.
349   porkchopXpress   2024 Feb 11, 10:30am  

WookieMan says


I don't because there's no point. My cart is for around town. My car is a V8 that can tow, handle 7 passengers and luggage. Go 400 miles on a 4 minute fill up. Was $30k cheaper than any model Tesla. So the gas doesn't matter over the life of the car.

It's not anything to do with affording it. It's the practicality and function of it. A Tesla is worthless to me no matter how fun it is to drive. I could buy 5 tomorrow. I don't want one. You specifically don't listen to me and defend an overpriced toy to get A to B. Congrats on wasting $20-50k more then better cars for life. Clearly you don't have kids.
I tend to agree. By all means, I'm glad Teslas and EVs exist for people who want them and I really hope the innovation continues, but they make no economic or practical sense right now.
350   ForcedTQ   2024 Feb 11, 11:03am  

porkchopXpress says


WookieMan says


I don't because there's no point. My cart is for around town. My car is a V8 that can tow, handle 7 passengers and luggage. Go 400 miles on a 4 minute fill up. Was $30k cheaper than any model Tesla. So the gas doesn't matter over the life of the car.

It's not anything to do with affording it. It's the practicality and function of it. A Tesla is worthless to me no matter how fun it is to drive. I could buy 5 tomorrow. I don't want one. You specifically don't listen to me and defend an overpriced toy to get A to B. Congrats on wasting $20-50k more then better cars for life. Clearly you don't have kids.
I tend to agree. By all means, I'm glad Teslas and EVs exist for people who want them and I really hope the innovation continues, but they make no economic or practical sense right now.


EVs work for a certain group of people, or as a commuter vehicle for some with an ICE vehicle to also use. They shouldn’t be pushed on people with bullshit mandates for phasing out ICE vehicle purchase/production, government incentives for purchase, lack of remittance of alternative MFT for road use, and government subsidies for charging stations/locations that are in excess of anything the liquid fuels industry receives.
351   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 12:19pm  

porkchopXpress says

WookieMan says



I don't because there's no point. My cart is for around town. My car is a V8 that can tow, handle 7 passengers and luggage. Go 400 miles on a 4 minute fill up. Was $30k cheaper than any model Tesla. So the gas doesn't matter over the life of the car.

It's not anything to do with affording it. It's the practicality and function of it. A Tesla is worthless to me no matter how fun it is to drive. I could buy 5 tomorrow. I don't want one. You specifically don't listen to me and defend an overpriced toy to get A to B. Congrats on wasting $20-50k more then better cars for life. Clearly you don't have kids.
I tend to agree. By all means, I'm glad Teslas and EVs exist for people who want them and I really hope the innovation continues, but they make no economic or practical sense right now.

Porkchop,

Serious question. Have you ever owned an EV or a Tesla? My wife and I used to be ICE car drivers, and we don’t see ourselves ever going back to to ICE cars.

EV may not make economic and practical sense for everyone, but it does for some. Just like voting, some people think a politician is a loser while others believe otherwise. If I ever had to own a full size SUV, it would be a Toyota Land Cruiser or Sequoia. It would never buy a Nissan Armada. No reason to buy a second or third tier Japanese SUV.
352   GNL   2024 Feb 11, 1:04pm  

WookieMan says


107mph in a quarter. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n29-vBL93eM

That is impressive but it's more gimmick than a Tesla. There's no disconnect though, I've never thought EVs were the way to go either for a bunch of reasons that have been thoroughly covered. I do like the the hybrid concept and I'll probably end up with getting one as my or my wife's next vehicle.
353   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 1:13pm  

GNL says

WookieMan says



107mph in a quarter. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n29-vBL93eM

That is impressive but it's more gimmick than a Tesla. There's no disconnect though, I've never thought EVs were the way to go either for a bunch of reasons that have been thoroughly covered. I do like the the hybrid concept and I'll probably end up with getting one as my or my wife's next vehicle.

Yup, I agree hybrid is the way to go. However, EV meets our needs with basically no maintenance and going to the gas stations once a week.

We don’t see ourselves buying a used vehicle ever again. Having the warranty and extended warranty is a must for us.

Time is money right? EV saves us time.
354   GNL   2024 Feb 11, 1:18pm  

I just don't understand why they wouldn't put more thought into the look of the cars though. There are so many cars out there that look a lot better than a Tesla.
355   HeadSet   2024 Feb 11, 2:05pm  

Eman says

Same with using HVAC as the consume more battery.

On that Bolt EUV I had, the battery was constantly cooled and if you wanted A/C, it tapped off of the battery cooler. Running A/C did not affect the range, however running a heater did. That A/C was quite powerful and cooled the cabin fast.
356   GNL   2024 Feb 11, 2:05pm  

HeadSet says

Eman says


Same with using HVAC as the consume more battery.

On that Bolt EUV I had, the battery was constantly cooled and if you wanted A/C, it tapped off of the battery cooler. Running A/C did not affect the range, however running a heater did. That A/C was quite powerful and cooled the cabin fast.

Tiny car, no?
357   HeadSet   2024 Feb 11, 2:17pm  

GNL says

Tiny car, no?

Like a RAV4. What is your point? I suspect that if Chevy made that Silverado electric, the systems would work the same way.
358   GNL   2024 Feb 11, 2:58pm  

HeadSet says

GNL says


Tiny car, no?

Like a RAV4. What is your point? I suspect that if Chevy made that Silverado electric, the systems would work the same way.

I was thinking a tiny car would cool down quicker than a larger car.
359   Blue   2024 Feb 11, 3:30pm  

Eman says


EV may not make economic and practical sense for everyone, but it does for some.

Yes, particularly to those who collect others tax money under "gov incentives" ;) this incentives can apply to so many other vehicles under business expenses.
(PS: I have to admit that I am one of them to be honest for my Tesla plaid model s)
360   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 4:17pm  

HeadSet says

Eman says


Same with using HVAC as the consume more battery.

On that Bolt EUV I had, the battery was constantly cooled and if you wanted A/C, it tapped off of the battery cooler. Running A/C did not affect the range, however running a heater did. That A/C was quite powerful and cooled the cabin fast.

Yes, A/C doesn’t consume much. Heat consumes more. However, it heats up quickly. Kind of like a hair dryer.
361   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 4:21pm  

GNL says

I just don't understand why they wouldn't put more thought into the look of the cars though. There are so many cars out there that look a lot better than a Tesla.

Aerodynamic would be my guess. The S looks good. The refreshed model 3 looks good. Model X looks alright. Model Y is getting a facelift this year too.

I don’t know why and how the Cybertruck made the cut. I needed the truck then, but no longer need one now so I’m not buying. I told my wife it it weren’t made by Tesla, no one would buy this fugly Cybertruck. 😅
362   Eman   2024 Feb 11, 4:26pm  

Blue says

Eman says



EV may not make economic and practical sense for everyone, but it does for some.

Yes, particularly to those who collect others tax money under "gov incentives" ;) this incentives can apply to so many other vehicles under business expenses.
(PS: I have to admit that I am one of them to be honest for my Tesla plaid model s)

Tesla sold its EVs just fine without the tax incentives in 2022. In fact, Elon said no tax incentives. The government is the one who came up with these incentives. Sorry, but we don’t get to decide. It is what it is.
363   Eman   2024 Feb 17, 11:39pm  

As I previously mentioned, beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Joe Rogan in 30 sec on the Cybertruck.
https://x.com/nicklasnilsso14/status/1758777471833415925?s=46&t=5lEEPaezr6Ic-W4Z6huZ5Q
364   richwicks   2024 Feb 18, 12:42am  

Electric cars are so heavy that a guard rail is absolutely no match for them:


original link
365   richwicks   2024 Feb 18, 12:45am  

Eman says

The government is the one who came up with these incentives. Sorry, but we don’t get to decide. It is what it is.


Isn't dumbocracy and and freedumb great?
366   richwicks   2024 Feb 18, 12:48am  

Eman says

Aerodynamic would be my guess. The S looks good.


No. 99.99% of cars on the road would have less drag if they drove backwards. The only vehicle that is actually designed to limit drag is the Aptera and that's in development hell.

Unless the back of the car is more tapered than the font, aerodynamics was ignored. It has to be a tear drop shape.
367   WookieMan   2024 Feb 18, 1:00am  

Eman says

As I previously mentioned, beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Joe Rogan in 30 sec on the Cybertruck.
https://x.com/nicklasnilsso14/status/1758777471833415925?s=46&t=5lEEPaezr6Ic-W4Z6huZ5Q

I give zero shits about looks. I drove a Pontiac Aztec for 2 years because it was cheap and had utility. Cyber Truck is useless for utility. It's not debatable. There's no range with load or towing. I give zero shits about speed. I don't need to kick my car, hit it with a hammer or shoot a bow and arrow at it. That's retarded. You pay a premium for status and stupid shit that should never happen to your car if you're a good driver. That's it. Gas is cheaper. Again, not debatable.

I live modest and have almost $2M in savings at 40. I'm not dropping $80k on a car that can't go 100 miles with a trailer and sit at a charging station for 30 minutes plus to maybe get another 100 miles out of it. It's a stupid vehicle. It's a tax write off for poor business owners that think they're smart. Musk isn't stupid. He knew what he built and have admitted as much. It looks cool to him. It's not a good car. It was a pet project.

Sales will dry up. Fly over country isn't buying them. Market saturation will be 18-24 months.
368   HeadSet   2024 Feb 18, 7:15am  

WookieMan says

I drove a Pontiac Aztec for 2 years

Everyone I knew that had an Aztec loved it.
369   WookieMan   2024 Feb 18, 10:52am  

HeadSet says

WookieMan says


I drove a Pontiac Aztec for 2 years

Everyone I knew that had an Aztec loved it.

My parents had 3. It was a flop commercially. It was a cooler car than you'd think though. I guess maybe that's what the Cyber Truck is trying to go for. I stacked two pontoon boats on a trailer coming from the Quad Cities. I'd have had to stop at least two times to make the distance I needed with a Cyber Truck. A touch sketchy with a V-6, but made it without fueling up. Not a chance in hell I'm doing that in a EV.
371   GNL   2024 Feb 18, 7:16pm  

Patrick says





Legend.
372   HeadSet   2024 Feb 18, 8:01pm  

Patrick says





If the country was all EVs. then there would be no gas stations and chargepoints/battery swaps would have been everywhere. As far as the new ICE vehicles, people would ask "Where are you going to refuel? Are you going to have a tanker truck follow you around?" "Even if you had fueling stations, those stations would have to be constantly serviced by tankers or run out quickly. Much easier to use the battery swap-outs that are serviced by existing power lines. "I hear you have to change the crankcase lubricant every few thousand miles, what will we do with that hazardous waste?" "Also, ICE engines are very noisy, require transmissions and thus lose efficiency, thus ICE cars are slow accelerating."

100 years ago we had cars powered by gasoline, steam, alcohol, and even electric. Gas won out over time.
373   Reality   2024 Feb 18, 8:29pm  

HeadSet says


If the country was all EVs. then there would be no gas stations and chargepoints/battery swaps would have been everywhere. As far as the new ICE vehicles, people would ask "Where are you going to refuel? Are you going to have a tanker truck follow you around?" "Even if you had fueling stations, those stations would have to be constantly serviced by tankers or run out quickly. Much easier to use the battery swap-outs that are serviced by existing power lines. "I hear you have to change the crankcase lubricant every few thousand miles, what will we do with that hazardous waste?" "Also, ICE engines are very noisy, require transmissions and thus lose efficiency, thus ICE cars are slow accelerating."

100 years ago we had cars powered by gasoline, steam, alcohol, and even electric. Gas won out over time.


Without ICE cars, electric grid would not have progressed much beyond lighting use (with frequent residential fires due to wire shorts), and battery technology not much beyond lead-acid: wide use of plastic would not have been possible if not for the petrochemical industry developed over the early 20th century for gasoline and diesel production. Various plastics for the interior/exterior of cars as well as for the membranes used in modern lithium batteries, and for wire insulation in the electric grid were byproducts of the ICE revolution. Even lithium mining depends on massive ICE mining trucks. If the Green socialists were around in 1890 to enforce their theology, the world might just have become a bigger and longer-duration Cuba: instead of being stuck with 1950's cars for half a century, the world transportation technology standards could have stuck for a century in a mix of horses, lead-acid battery cars and bicycles.
374   HeadSet   2024 Feb 18, 8:45pm  

Reality says

Without ICE cars, electric grid would not have progressed much beyond lighting use (with frequent residential fires due to wire shorts), and battery technology not much beyond lead-acid

Could be, but I was answering on that premise "all cars are EV."
375   Reality   2024 Feb 18, 8:54pm  

The premise "all cars were EV's" would have meant no plastic, as there would have been no way of disposing of massive amount of the lighter components of the petroleum, nor would there have been the petrochemical research to result in plastics. So the dominant battery technology would have been Lead-Acid. Even today, banning all ICE cars would face the problem of what to do with the 60-70% by volume lighter components of petroleum, as making plastic and paving road would only need the most heavy 1/3 components, and the heavy EV's require frequent repaving using asphalt. What to do with the 2x more volume lighter components of petroleum that producing aslphalt (and plastics) would result as byproducts?
376   WookieMan   2024 Feb 18, 10:48pm  

HeadSet says


Reality says

Without ICE cars, electric grid would not have progressed much beyond lighting use (with frequent residential fires due to wire shorts), and battery technology not much beyond lead-acid

Could be, but I was answering on that premise "all cars are EV."

We literally don't have a quality electric grid in most places. It's one thing IL and ComEd here have done 100% right. We have the most nuclear generation in the country and probably world per capita. Never have had a legit power outage more than 30 minutes. Usually only off for 30 seconds and comes back on. Some drunk hits a power pole, lightening strike, or transformer blown. That's usually the reason, but it's still back quick.

We also have some of the largest wind farms near me. Not a massive fan of "green" power, but it does make sense where I'm at. I could run a windmill to a battery pack and power things like my pool pump, outdoor landscape lighting and sound system. Today was 20mph consistent with no big gusts. So those things probably allow the nat gas power plants and coal to back off production and take over on windy days. So it makes sense.

Outside of a tornado hitting your town here, our grid is amazing here in IL. I don't give compliments to my own state often. I feel for you guys in CA. It's only going to get worse with the cyber truck and small dick syndrome and being gay. I don't think any of you have any idea how taxed your already over taxed grid is going to get. It's honestly not funny. You may have week long outages during hot stretches as people plug in all these EV's. I'd invest in ways to keep your already cold food cold for at least a couple days. Generators are obvious but I'd still at least get a huge cooler or two and grab ice the minute the power goes out. Long outage without that would cost us an east $600-1k in spoiled food.

This is what you're gonna be getting with EV's. Just amazing.
377   Reality   2024 Feb 19, 5:13am  

In the absence of ICE car demand for gasoline (and diesel), there wouldn't have been the petrochemical industry that has produced the plastic insulators (tubes/wire-wraps/coatings) for electric lines. Electricity distribution into households would have continued using the Knob-and-Tube method, which is not only much more expensive but also far more fire-hazardous. Under those conditions, it would be doubtful that high power household electrical appliances (such as electric stove, electric dryer, dishwasher with drying function, electric water heater, electric heater, or even central air conditioning) would have become popular. Nuclear power plants would have been quite unnecessary except for making nuclear bombs. Knob-and-Tube wire charging an EV is possible, but chances are that you would have to physically remove the Lead-Acid batteries from the car to carry them into the house to charge, because the extension electric cable with 1 or 2 elements (no grounding under Knob-and-Tube method of household wiring) wrapped in asphalt or natural rubber would be either brittle or age rapidly if exposed to UV or elements. So the EV's under those circumstances would be what we call golf carts, but even golf carts would still be better than horse-drawn carriages (which would be buses) for city dwelling household ownership living in streets filled with muck from horse-drawn "buses" and "taxi-cabs"; charging Lead-Acid batteries would be easier than buying hay every day, and a golf-cart doesn't generate vet bills just standing still. Of course kids on their way to schools would be witnessing horse-shooting in the streets frequently as a typical horse (pulling buses or taxi-cab) lasted only 2000-5000 miles, and had to be put out of misery when it collapsed.
378   porkchopXpress   2024 Feb 19, 6:10am  

Eman says


Porkchop,

Serious question. Have you ever owned an EV or a Tesla? My wife and I used to be ICE car drivers, and we don’t see ourselves ever going back to to ICE cars.

I've never owned an EV but I have driven them and they are indeed fun to drive. If I owned a home in CA, AZ or NV, I'd probably own an EV if I had solar on my house. But, it still probably wouldn't make economic sense but neither do many things I do...I just do them because I want to. I don't put a lot of miles on my car because I work from home, and I live in TN where EV infrastructure is more scarce. If someone does a lot of driving, especially city driving, I could see it making sense.
379   WookieMan   2024 Feb 19, 6:31am  

porkchopXpress says


I've never owned an EV but I have driven them and they are indeed fun to drive. If I owned a home in CA, AZ or NV, I'd probably own an EV if I had solar on my house. But, it still probably wouldn't make economic sense but neither do many things I do...I just do them because I want to. I don't put a lot of miles on my car because I work from home, and I live in TN where EV infrastructure is more scarce. If someone does a lot of driving, especially city driving, I could see it making sense.

Bingo. CA isn't the country. They don't make sense and the Cyber Truck makes even less sense if you try to get ANY utility out of it for the price. It's okay to like a car. Is it logical most of the time? No. I'll never buy an all EV even if in a warm climate. It makes no sense. You'll want a new car 5 years in and you still haven't even gotten your gas savings at all.

Quote this or whatever. The electric grid cannot handle it AND MFT taxes or taxes via the grid are coming EV owners ways. I think by 2025. Covid gave the EV owners an extra 2-3 years. It's coming. I won't be wrong.

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