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Trump defeated the Polls. For the last three weeks, the polls claimed Kamala Harris enjoyed a slight 1-3% lead over Trump, calling it “essentially neck and neck.” A couple of outlier polls from “respected” pollsters early this week even purported to show Kamala surging ahead.
The polls are a dead letter.
In another shift that may be a forever change, in contrast to the official polls, the layman’s betting markets correctly predicted the outcome of the presidential race. The polls were, once again, badly wrong. The polls are pure propaganda.
Transparent betting markets offer disintermediated, direct access to voter’s pre-election preferences. The polls will never be the same after this.
For another delicious thought, imagine how many ecstatic conservatives will be counting the cash they won from disappointed democrats. The top pro-Trump better on Polymarket put up $29 million. Ouch.
Harris aide admits campaign never had internal polling that showed a lead over Trump ... so why were all the professional polls different?
https://notthebee.com/article/harris-campaign-aide-admits-they-never-had-internal-polling-showing-them-with-a-lead-on-trump
Harris aide admits campaign never had internal polling that showed a lead over Trump ... so why were all the professional polls different?
Clearly all the public polls were adding the 2020 margin of cheating to Kamala's results, because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.
because they assumed that the same level of cheating would happen.
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Also the betting markets currently hold harris as favorite although the swing states stay hotly contested while Trump survives assassination attempt after attempt.
One would think they would move in the opposite direction which is a bit disturbing, but it may just be partisan hackery to add insult to injury.
Teamsters overwhelmingly voted in favor of Trump, do we have more liberal arts majors than working class to explain the polls?
Make your predictions here, or not ;)