patrick.net

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

Hey we haven't seen you in a while. @Patrick needs to have a welcome back here. What's the point of this link? Yes, the betting markets are currently unanimous although some are aa close as 2 percentage points. Are you forecasting a harris victory?

RealClear Politics has one of the best tracking polls

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Biden won by 4.6% of the popular vote so round that up to 5%, and examine the recent national polls for Harris which have her as much as winning the popular vote by 5%

Don't matter cause she might fare a lot better in New York and California than Biden to easily get her to that 5% margin. What matters is the voting in less liberal states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and Michigan.

I guess the Del Boca Vista demographic has slowly died off in South Florida and that may explain why Florida is essentially not a left leaning in Presidential elections.

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AD says

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Biden won by 4.6% of the popular vote so round that up to 5%, and examine the recent national polls for Harris which have her as much as winning the popular vote by 5%

Don't matter cause she might fare a lot better in New York and California than Biden to easily get her to that 5% margin. What matters is the voting in less liberal states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and Michigan.

I guess the Del Boca Vista demographic has slowly died off in South Florida and that may explain why Florida is essentially not a left leaning in Presidential elections.

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Agreed. Still the betting markets are betting on who becomes president (amongst other things), and I was surprised about the 5% lead following them being pretty much tied around the 2nd assassination attempt. Maybe many are betting on the dem cheat machine being well oiled or that the next attempt succeeds. Crazy times. Still it's pretty much a tie in the EC right now, probably slightly leaning Trump since PA will be fucked if harris wins

^^^^^^
THIS!

mell says

betting on the dem cheat machine being well oiled

Bingo!

mell says

Maybe many are betting on the dem cheat machine being well oiled or that the next attempt succeeds.

That is what I have been wondering a lot especially since the Arizona lawsuit by the Arizona GOP about the 40,000 voter registrations. The chickens have finally come home to roost in regards to Bill Clinton's Motor Voter Law.

I think also about Georgia and the voter integrity law passed a couple of years ago by Governor Kemp, and wonder how hard will the paid AntiFa and Act Blue operatives will work this election year compared to 2020.

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Why would anybody bet on a rigged election with a captured MSM? You're basically betting on whether the fraud can overcome the popular vote or not. The percentages are bogus, when KamalaToe has trouble bribing audiences to attend her events.

Does the Deep State and the Euro Congeners win, or does Trump massively overwhelm their cheating apparatus?

I guess the old mantra holds that compulsive gamblers will gamble on anything.

AD says

I guess the Del Boca Vista demographic has slowly died off in South Florida and that may explain why Florida is essentially not a left leaning in Presidential elections.

Secular/Reform Brooklyn Bolsheviks were replaced with Hassidim who vote 75% Republican. Seriously: North of Miami is full of Hassidics now, and most of them conceal carry. They have 3-4 kids apiece unlike the Secular Yentas.

Orlando however went the opposite way; Orange and Oscela used to be solid Red: Now it's chock full of MENA who vote solid Democrat. The State Rep in Orlando, Eskamani, is 5 kinds of Left Nut, her parents were Iranian Communists.

AD says

I guess the Del Boca Vista demographic has slowly died off in South Florida

Isn't that where Seinfelds parents moved to?