patrick.net

https://metatron.substack.com/p/division-is-not-always-a-bad-thing

We still need a term for the "Mid-East" region. "Old Northwest" was one, before the settling of the Plains.

Rustbelt is okay but Kentucky, Tennessee, etc. aren't really in that category. And like Maryland, they are quasi-Southern; as many or more KY and TN men fought in the Union.

Lakes doesn't work either.

Appalachia doesn't fit because Indiana, Ohio, etc. aren't in the Appalachians (or only a small piece in OH).

IL might actually be a swing state in 2028. Mexicans that came here legally are pissed. Blacks are pissed about the illegals. 60% of Chicago is Latino or black. Trump created the phenomenon of caring about the border, but I think it carries over.

If he gets the taxes on tips done a massive swath of formerly Dem voters will turn R as long as it's a charismatic candidate. Not many people pay in cash even though I know that's a frequent topic here. People just don't do it. It would be massive to the restaurant employee industry. For those low to middle class women that waitress, they'll love it. Same with hair dressers. Chicago is tourism and tips. We don't produce much anymore outside of finance, legal, transportation and government jobs.

I think JD is the guy for 2028. Either way they need to start planning. I don't think Desantis has it unfortunately. He does decent as a state level leader, but I just don't think he has it. And for gods sake don't let Nikki run or the New Jersey fat fuck. Reality is R's at least have fresh blood. I see nothing with Democrats.

If the outgoing administration doesn't start WWIII by authorizing the use of intermediate range ballistic missiles deep into the heart of Russia, then I think Trump has a chance of surviving until the inauguration.

I've said this before:

First, they tried to jail Trump - Fail!
Next, they tried to assassinate Trump (3X!!!) - Fail!
Start WWIII to prevent Trump from being inaugurated - In process.

stereotomy says

If the outgoing administration doesn't start WWIII by authorizing the use of intermediate range ballistic missiles deep into the heart of Russia, then I think Trump has a chance of surviving until the inauguration.

I've said this before:

First, they tried to jail Trump - Fail!
Next, they tried to assassinate Trump (3X!!!) - Fail!
Start WWIII to prevent Trump from being inaugurated - In process.

Not an irrational thought, but I'm not seeing it. Too risky. We become a banana republic officially at that point. Like the banana signs the deal.

Republicans are mostly rational and reserved. If Trump isn't POTUS this time around with a popular vote, people will die. I don't think it will get to that level. Kamala was so bad they really can't defend her. But hard core right wing people won't stand by this time. Not just take a tour of Congress. You poke the bear enough, you eventually get mauled.

Trump technically as President elect could probably negotiate deals to avoid WWIII. I think we're already into it anyway though. We just don't have boots on the ground, but N. Korea sent troops to the Ukraine front. Israel is fighting in Gaza, Lebanon and with Iran who is allied with Russia. NATO countries are funding Ukraine and likely sending mercenaries. I mean, this is already a world war if you think about it.