patrick.net

Safe prediction - Jimmy Carter dies before the years out. /s

I think mundane. Russia/Ukraine could be shut down. I don't see the Israel situation resolving as quickly now that Syria will likely be a cluster F. Bunch of executive orders. Border control actions.

I don't see anything of major consequence until after 2026 elections. I think we will see Clarence Thomas resign. Not sure if in 2025 though. Sotomayor has some health issues, so if that ship sails the SCOTUS will be naturally stacked (not adding justices).

Honestly I really don't think much happens in 2025. Border and foreign policy are the biggies. Drill baby drill as well. The Rinos are going to hold him back either way. Hence why 2026 is more important. They need to win seats in both chambers of Congress. I think this year overall is going to be a dud politically. Dems can't even get votes to impeach. So this is a race to 2026.

The SIPC members are gonna try like crazy to get out of the obligations they have to former clients of Madoff. You see about 94% of the funds were paid back to his former clients, but that extra 6% is about $258 million. Supposedly, the SIPC is supposed to cover losses like that, but folks are gonna find out real quick that the SIPC is not a government entity. It is backed by the security dealers, themselves.

Sure, those slime will willingly pay up their share of those funds owed the clients. - giggles to self

The brokerage firms are all hoping that people forget all about that pesky SIPC coverage.

... and NO, they will not give me an account on 'X'.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/bernie-madoff-victims-receiving-final-payout-will-recover-94-of-their-losses/ar-AA1wLTnp?pc=U531

Biden will pardon more of his family before Jan 20th.

HeadSet says

Biden will pardon more of his family before Jan 20th.

I assumed he already had at this point. We just don't know them all. Likely cousins involved. 2nd cousins. Investigative journalism is dead so they only put out the headline clickbait makers like Hunter. Making a name up, but if Jack Biden is pardoned the media won't report on it.

Going to adjust original prediction a bit. I think the year will be mundane, but after the NOLA Bourbon St. thing I could see more things like this happening in the first two months before mass deportations start. There should have been no chance that should have happened on New Years on that street. Clean it tomorrow. The street is gross even after cleaning. Just keep it barricaded. Today is a holiday anyway. Distributors and restaurants/bars should have provisioned for a day off so no drop offs.

Stay safe in the New year everybody. We're going to be in rough seas the next few weeks, but still do think it settles down.

Oprah’s gargantuan food consumption will overwhelm her industrial-strength Ozempic drug regimen, and she will do a Mr. Creosote.

Lots of inside the beltway establishment politicians will be squirming during Trump's Inaugural Address. Watch for it. It's going to be very entertaining.

Once again, I predict that all my predictions will be wrong, as they have reliably been in the past. However, this year, I have some Madison Avenue types promulgating my delusions so that I can garner a captive group of paid subscribers and make hay. My guys will convince everybody that I have accurately predicted every major political event and market turn since the Kennedy assassination.
Of course, the subscribers, drunk on their wishful thinking and unable to parse or investigate bullshit, will be sitting ducks.

Al_Sharpton_for_President says

Oprah’s gargantuan food consumption will overwhelm her industrial-strength Ozempic drug regimen, and she will do a Mr. Creosote.

Nothing worse than BBQ chicken wings catapulting intact from the Ophrah sewage hole.

Al_Sharpton_for_President says

Oprah’s gargantuan food consumption will overwhelm her industrial-strength Ozempic drug regimen, and she will do a Mr. Creosote.

Hope no one offers her that "wafer thin mint."

I must sadly predict that RFK Jr will either:

1. Be rejected by the Pfizer-owned Senate, or
2. Show a complete absence of testicle once HHS secretary, and distract everyone with food instead of talking about the death jabs.

The Dollar will break parity with the Euro causing many Euroweenie tears to be shed.

Debt Crisis will start to go nuclear. The Fed will be forced to refinance it all. Since interest earned by USTs held by the Fed gets remitted to the Treaury Dept, that means the interest payments part of our deficits will be practically zeroed out even though the debt instruments are being 'paid'. As long as the Fed holds on to those treasures, things will be good.

Or, they just refi it at 1% or even zero.

USD will fall bigly vs assets and even other foreign currencies as all that Fed created money to refinance as per the above floods the money market. Inflation will be high in goods, but the US economy will boom, mostly. Interest rates on corporate, state/local, mortgages, etc will collapse at first. Companies like Apple that import their shit from China will be screwed, tho. All imports will skyrocket in price.

Other countries with too much debt to GDP like Japan will pull the same shit with central banks.

Some capital and export controls might be imposed. Esp for oil and food commodites.

Within about 8 months after this, THEN Trump can DOGE the fuck outta federal spending w/o harming the overall economy.

Or not. We might limp through another couple years of same-o, same-o instead.