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2026 Midterms


               
2025 Jun 27, 7:29pm   943 views  9 comments

by TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter   follow (9)  

20 Republican seats are up, only 13 Dem, with no realistic pathway to 60 Senate Seats.

The best of the realistic outcomes is that Ossoff gets turned out of Georgia, sadly that means also that Collins wins. It's unlikely Collins, if she is unseated in a primary, is replaced by a MAGA Republican who actually wins regardless of the many Left winger Maniacs in that state. However, Cornyn can and looks like will, be beat by Paxton in the Primary, so that's a MAGA pickup from GOPe.

But that's only a one-seat pickup from Dems. Two if a Michigan Miracle happens, but with a Dem Gov and big corruption, unlikely. Things can change but 12 of the 13 Dem Seats are in fairly Blue States. We will see.

Trump has a $1.4B warchest as of right now. This will go up.

Because this is a "Defensive" election in the Senate, a lot of Republican Senators are going to have to tow the line.

Comments 1 - 9 of 9        Search these comments

1   TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter   2025 Dec 2, 9:06pm  

ZOMG! Record Retirements! Debunked below:

* There average is ~17 retirements by Republicans in the House in a midterm year.

* When a Republican President sits in office, it climbs to the mid 20s.

* The worst year was 2018, when over 30 Republicans retired from the House.

___

* Twenty Three (23) Republican Congressmen announced they are not running again for the House in 2026.

* However, 18 of the 23 are declining to run in lieu of running for State Governor or a Senate Seat and only 5 are entirely retiring from Public Office.

___

* The Senate has seen 4-5 Republican retirements in the past 5 cycles.

* Four (4) Senators announced retirement from the Senate for 2026, inc. Mitch McConnell
2   TheAntiPanicanLearingCenter   2025 Dec 2, 9:57pm  

Matt Van Epps wins a special election by 9% on a random Tuesday in December.

Multiple reports of many Tennesseans not even knowing there WAS an election.

https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1996038434084008372?s=20
4   Patrick   2026 Jan 5, 11:35am  

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5670354-minnesota-democrats-fraud-scandal/


Minnesota fraud scandal poses danger for Democrats in Senate race

The massive statewide fraud scandal in Minnesota is threatening to become a liability for Democrats in the state’s closely watched Senate race this year.

In particular, some Democrats think the widespread money laundering scheme, which is estimated to have stolen as much as roughly $9 billion, could be a problem for Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, the second-in-command to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D). Flanagan is running against Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) for the party’s nomination to replace Sen. Tina Smith (D-Minn.).

Others in the party worry the issue could be a challenge for the party as a whole in the North Star State, as President Trump, House Majority Whip Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) and other Republicans seek to make it a major issue, especially in the wake of a viral video from conservative YouTuber Nick Shirley alleging fraud by federally funded daycare centers in the state.
5   GNL   2026 Jan 5, 11:43am  

I gotta say this...how do we know anything the media tells us is true? Are we sure about anything at all?

Does anyone really think that the AI we see is as good as what the government has? Do you think the government hasn't perfected, over all these years, how to best propagandize the American people let alone the entire world? Is operation mockingbird real? If so, we are in deep doodoo.
6   HeadSet   2026 Jan 5, 2:45pm  

Patrick says

Minnesota fraud scandal poses danger for Democrats in Senate race

Except that Minnesota vote fraud is bigger than the Somali fraud. No voter ID and one voter can "vouch" for 8 others.
7   Patrick   2026 Jan 5, 3:13pm  

GNL says

I gotta say this...how do we know anything the media tells us is true? Are we sure about anything at all?


Yes, because we know people.

If you know people in Venezuela, you can know from them that really was a big military operation there, for example.
9   Patrick   2026 Jan 7, 11:52am  

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/revolutionary-wednesday-january-7


This morning, the New York Times ran an op-ed titled, “Minnesota’s Fraud Should Be a Wake-Up Call for Democrats.” It’s an entertaining read. It reminded progressive readers how the Democrats wandered into the political wilderness for years after Reagan revealed all the welfare fraud— until Clinton rescued them with his historic welfare reform initiatives. Here’s the best paragraph from the editorial:

Democrats may be inclined to dismiss the potential political effects
of the fraud issue because of their recent success in wielding
affordability concerns against Republicans. The theory is that
voters are so dissatisfied with their personal financial situations
and the failure of the Trump administration to improve them that
people won't really care about a problem like program fraud. But
people who are financially pressed are especially likely to be
incensed at others gaming the system. This is a longstanding
dynamic of American politics, and there is little reason to believe it
doesn't apply today.

The next best paragraph reacted to the new Democrat Socialist Mayor of New York City’s recent and widely shared comments. He recently promised his followers he would “govern as a democratic socialist” and would “replace the frigidity of rugged individualism with the warmth of collectivism.” Yesterday’s op-ed recoiled in horror:

One can scarcely imagine an approach less likely to resonate with
the average American, particularly the average working-class
American, who tends to be suspicious of big government, hostile to
collectivism and completely OK with rugged individualism. It's
unlikely to convince such voters that Democrats will eliminate
fraud in government programs and ensure that only those who
work hard and play by the rules benefit.

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