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There are three distinct hierarchies in the whole negotiation process:
First Tier: The US, China, and Russia – the key global powers that dictate the broader geopolitical landscape amid Cold War 2 between the US and the DragonBear. Moscow engages predominantly at this level with the key systemic players America & China.
Second Tier: The European powers, including Germany and France, which have influence but lack decisive autonomy in shaping outcomes. Transatlantic partners such as Canada, Japan etc. No amount of summits, statements and joint declarations will replace the lack of hard power projection.
Third Tier: Ukraine – a key player in the war but missing in direct track of talks between the US & Russia at the highest level. Ukraine can only partially exercise influence over the negotiation process through its hard power projection on the ground and the direct backing it gets from the Second Tier.
Russia seeks to position itself on equal footing with Washington and Beijing while sidelining Kyiv from direct negotiations. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for assessing any future diplomatic moves.




What happened to the peace plan where Russia could have all of Ukraine and drop nukes on Switzerland for ten days?
They claimed ethnic cleansing was going on






I guess he must be from Planet UkieFluffer.

AND....drum roll...the deal is dead. Long live the deal.
Except now Trump can say, "Ok...we are done with this shit. We tried."



Security guarantees is what started WWII. Let's not do that again.
Everyone thank Vicky Nuland and Lindsey Graham for this crap. McCain too, but he’s dead so no point.
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Summary:
1) Confirmation of Ukraine’s sovereignty, Ukraine receives U.S. security guarantees, but with conditions.
2) Ukraine remain neutral and will never join NATO (added to their constitution). NATO also agrees it will never accept Ukraine. This will be legally binding.
3) The size of Ukraine’s Armed Forces is restricted. Ukraine remains a non-nuclear state.
4) Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk are recognized as Russian. Kherson and Zaporizhzhia are “frozen” along the line of contact. Some territories become a demilitarized buffer zone under de facto Russian control.
5) NATO does not station troops in Ukraine.
6) The U.S. and Europe launch a major investment package for Ukraine’s recovery. $100 billion in frozen Russian assets go to rebuilding Ukraine; the U.S. takes 50% of the profits. Europe adds another $100 billion.
7) Russia in the global system, gradual lifting of sanctions. Russia’s return to the G8. Long-term U.S.–Russia economic cooperation.
8) Humanitarian issues: “All-for-all” prisoner exchange, including civilians and children. Ukraine must have education programs to de-Nazification.
9) Energy and special facilities. Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant resumes operation under IAEA supervision; electricity split 50/50 between Ukraine and Russia. The U.S. helps rebuild Ukraine’s gas infrastructure.
10) Internal political processes in Ukraine. Elections held 100 days after signing the agreement. Full amnesty for all participants in the war.
11) Implementation and oversight. The agreement is legally binding. Oversight carried out by a “Peace Council” chaired by Donald Trump. Violations result in sanctions. Immediate ceasefire and withdrawal to agreed positions after signing.
https://x.com/WallStreetMav/status/1991621920941285819?s=20