patrick.net

Paralithodes says

Certanly, if a regulation is socialist, socialism is regulation in that case. To argue generally that “regulation isn’t socialism” in the fashion that you do seems to ignore anything that doesn’t fit your definition. End of story.

Oh I forgot to address this one. my response is Huh? I'm saying a regulation isn't socialist.. So not sure what the rest of your argument is...

is taking money from one tax payer and handing out to another person - by the choice of the gov - under threat of prison - socialist?

Tatu, did you understand the article when it said regulation (ie reform) is newspeak. Rather than calling it socialism liberals want to call it "solutions for the free market", when in reality it is socialism with a fancy name like "reform" or "regulation", or "pay czar" etc...

"Do you even see how illogical your argument is? Favoring certain stockholders over others is socialist? In socialism there are no stockholders. How can that be socialistic?"

You are arguing a black/white premise which does not exist. You are essentially saying that a policy or action cannot be "socialist" because the entire economy is not fully communist, and there cannot be any varying degrees of socialism within an economy.

tatupu70 says

Paralithodes says

Certanly, if a regulation is socialist, socialism is regulation in that case. To argue generally that “regulation isn’t socialism” in the fashion that you do seems to ignore anything that doesn’t fit your definition. End of story.

Oh I forgot to address this one. my response is Huh? I’m saying a regulation isn’t socialist.. So not sure what the rest of your argument is…

I'm saying that your blanket assertion that "a regulation isn't socialist" is absurd. Whether a regulation is socialist or not ... depends on the regulation in question.

Yes--I don't think we'll find much common ground on this one. I think that calling a capitalistic government with necessary regulations to combat moral hazards and externalities "socialist" is ridiculous. I believe Socialism describes a particular type of government where there is no private ownership.

Nomograph says

I find it endlessly entertaining; it’s a guilty pleasure I can’t seem to put down.

Dang it, where are the smilies from the old forum?

I do enjoy spirited discourse. It's the mean spirited discourse I have a problem with, as in a verbal attack in response to a comment I made about a pizza place selling 50 cent wings. per wing:

Honest Abe says
Elliemae - a lonely, bitter, liberal, cry baby.

My response (Well, one out of four ain’t bad) was light-hearted, but it seems to me that Abe ain't being honest with himself or anyone else. It was a hurtful, hateful comment that only served to diminish whatever meaningful message he might wish to relate in the future.

Nomograph says

I find it endlessly entertaining; it’s a guilty pleasure I can’t seem to put down.

Me too. But what I find so entertaining is the commentary in response. If anyone's keeping score, Nomo has made me sneeze pop out of my nose about a zillion times now.

I find spirited discourse immensely invigorating, too. Not to mention spirited intercourse. However, I do have a problem with mean spirited intercourse. That being said, I must admit that both seem to clear my sinuses much better than those cheesy over the counter pharmaceuticals, both the spirited and the mean spirited, respectively.
PS: I heard that Abe Lincoln was Jewish. He was shot in the temple.

""RayAmericaMarch 10th, 2010 at 3:21 pm | top | quote | share on Facebook | email this | impolite
Not according to Nancy Pelosi. We need it quick like and she’ll tell us what’s in the bill after they pass it. LOL""

I guess that would be like hank paulsen saying the world is going to end!!...if the gov doesnt bailout wallst RIGHT NOW, while few knew what that meant....til after they passed it.
Then there is the ole wmd thingy.

""RayAmerica on Tue, Mar 2nd, 2010 at 9:07 am
Interesting too that our politicians, so intent on ramming through National Healthcare, will be exempt from the very system they are trying to force on us, just as they are exempt from Social Security participation. And yet, we have people that “trust” our government and seemingly refuse to hold them accountable to the same set of laws, standards and restrictions they force on us. WHY IS THAT ???""

So, this part would liken to war and military service, wouldnt it....you know, that ole "trust" the gov toknow when to "do" war and
sacrifice young lives while being "exempt" from serving.
Oh!, You can "trust" them for that....cant....You.
You, also too....live in that cherry-pickin' Tbagrz haze where what is good for You is all that matters.
btw....who plowed your snow.
...yes, yes, I know...Im sure it was....You-the-plumber. LOL.

a most excellant point DocNomo

tatupu70 says

I don’t agree. It is not a middle/transition stage at all.

Well, in Marx's world it was (Socialism = state owned, Communism = nobody owned).

However, that was just what Marx wanted. There's no fundamental law of nature that says that socialism leads to communism. Most credible political scientists today argue that communism simply can't work, because it's just another name for anarchy.

I'm just ignoring the rest of the thread because this discussion is stupid. These people don't know what they're talking about, and, thankfully, their anarcho masturbation fantasies will never come to fruition anyway.

tatupu70 says

I think that calling a capitalistic government

If by capitalistic government you mean a government that is run by corporations, and uses government and the FED to privatize profits and socialize losses then perhaps you could call this a capitalist government. But a more honest description of the US government would be Corporatism or "Public/Private Partnership" in newspeak.

AdHominem says

Tatu, did you understand the article when it said regulation (ie reform) is newspeak. Rather than calling it socialism liberals want to call it “solutions for the free market”, when in reality it is socialism with a fancy name like “reform” or “regulation”, or “pay czar” etc…

I understand what the article is saying, but it's incorrect. Unfortunately, you can't believe everything you read on the interwebs.

AdHominem says

If by capitalistic government you mean a government that is run by corporations, and uses government and the FED to privatize profits and socialize losses then perhaps you could call this a capitalist government. But a more honest description of the US government would be Corporatism or “Public/Private Partnership” in newspeak.

I agree that our government has some big problems. And too much corporate lobbying and "donations" is very high on the list. Let's get some real campaign finance reform and fix it!

"Liberal Delusions About Freedom"

But, capitalist anarchy, thats jes fine, eh.
...wheres the emotey for "tool".

The government didnt fail....wallst did.

gnomograph says

One of the hallmarks

perhaps you will like this excerpt better?

" Take a look at this URL: http://www.ssa.gov/history/ottob.html. There you will see an engraving. It is not an engraving of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin, or any of the Founding Fathers. Instead it is an engraving of Otto von Bismarck, who served as chancellor of Germany from 1862 to 1890.

You may have noticed that the URL has the letters “ssa.gov” in it. That is the Internet domain name for the U.S. Social Security Administration.

You might then ask, What in the world is the U.S. government doing glorifying a chancellor of Germany rather than America’s Founding Fathers? "

AdHominem says

gnomograph says

One of the hallmarks

perhaps you will like this excerpt better?
” Take a look at this URL: http://www.ssa.gov/history/ottob.html. There you will see an engraving. It is not an engraving of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Benjamin Franklin, or any of the Founding Fathers. Instead it is an engraving of Otto von Bismarck, who served as chancellor of Germany from 1862 to 1890.
You may have noticed that the URL has the letters “ssa.gov” in it. That is the Internet domain name for the U.S. Social Security Administration.
You might then ask, What in the world is the U.S. government doing glorifying a chancellor of Germany rather than America’s Founding Fathers? “

Or then again, he might not. I already bet on Nomo's response & lost - so I'm gonna sit this one out. BTW, I'm referring to the latter supposition rather than the earlier question.

But thanks for letting me play.

thanks ellie we have some lovely parting gifts for you. A year's subscription to the cheese of the month club and a case of Hiney whine.

AdHominem says

What in the world is the U.S. government doing glorifying a chancellor of Germany rather than America’s Founding Fathers? “

Because the founding fathers lived in a largely agrarian society on the edge of an entire f---ing continent, full of material riches, relatively free for the taking? Ie a society that no longer exists? And that's not even considering the indentured servitude of the north and the outright chattel slavery of the south.

The economic history of the 19th century is endlessly fascinating to me, and its lessons are subtle but clear.

Adam Smith, David Ricardo, John Stuart Mill, and Henry George are my polestars in understanding the dynamics of this age.

Europe, being more densely settled, hit their socioeconomic wall first, in 1848. That year scared the crap out of everyone. The rise of the collectivists prompted a reaction, and Bismarck, being the Mensch that he was, decided to steal some of their thunder and drink the Commie's milkshake.

HISTORY QUIZ

In 1800, Thomas Jefferson won the Presidency with how many votes?

A 400,000
B 4,000,000
C 10,000,000
D 40,000,000

waterbaby says

“Liberal Delusions About Freedom”

But, capitalist anarchy, thats jes fine, eh.

…wheres the emotey for “tool”.
The government didnt fail….wallst did.

judging by the number of former and probably future Goldman employees in high positions at the Treasury over the years... I would say Wall Street runs our Government pretty well (at least according to Goldman's point of view)

Turbo Tax Tim Geithner has done pretty good by them as well, especially as head of the NY FED leading up to the crisis in 2008.

Based on what do you believe in the "integrity" of the press?

In this case, tho, they printed a story in which they had a financial interest. There appears to be no other reason to write it - it certainly isn't "news." It did advertise the book the guy wrote. So I have a problem with it. Paralithodes says

Based on what do you believe in the “integrity” of the press?

Based on idealism. How dumb of me.

But idealism based on what? As Nomo points out, the press operates under free market principles, and additionally, the "mainstream media" consists primarily of for-profit corporations.

a href="/post/28942#comment-671404">Paralithodes says

But idealism based on what?

http://www.spj.org/ethicscode.asp According to the code of ethics for journalists, they should: — Distinguish news from advertising and shun hybrids that blur the lines between the two. — Avoid misleading re-enactments or staged news events. —Avoid conflicts of interest, real or perceived. I know there are worse things happening in the world - to most this is a non-issue. However, the paper has a financial interest in the guy's book, as they published it and sell it in their lobby. It's not news, it's a shameless advertisement disguised as a story. Had the story been plagarized, it would be an abomination to journalism. But to me this is just as bad.

I'm still giving you kudos for laying out your ideas in a very well thought out process. You even made it clear that you didn't have a huge chance of success, but the potential payout was making the investment worth while.

Gold is probably stuck where it's at because countries are now dealing with essentially 1 problem at a time. The EU had to deal with Greece and Greece appears to have made the decisions necessary, other countries have more or less backed them. They might not be 100% backing them, but they've indicated that they're making a move in the right direction. Nothing major on the jobs front. Nothing major on the housing front. Oil is relatively stable again. The real fire that was driving people to buy gold seems to have died down, and probably reducing the chances of a full bubble forming like you had predicted.

I don't see gold falling below $1000 ever again but I have on clue how long it takes to break out no the upside and go parabolic.

I see the medium-term structured differently.

We need to raise taxes. That's deflationary if you pay taxes.
We need to cut government spending. That's deflationary if you're someone receiving some of the $6.5T in annual government spending.
Oil supplies will continue to be constrained vs global demand -- that's deflationary if you buy petroleum products.
Interest rates can't get any lower (?). Deflationary if true!

The money's already been done created, 1995-2009. It is in the process of being moved from weaker to stronger hands.

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MZM?cid=30

We'll see $2000 gold right around when Walmart's paying $20/hr.

^ honest abe can only express himself in a series of cliches apparently.

also, honest abe clearly doesn't understand anything about economics in general or land economics in particular.

"Its the same thing that caused house prices, over time, to increase"

Monetary inflation has ZERO to do with land values. Rents and land values respond to producer surplus of the wage earning class, moderated by their access to credit.

Productivity goes up? Assuming labor sees a piece of this increased wealth (not a given) rents and home prices will go up.

Spouses join the workforce? Household income goes up, and rents and home prices will also go up.

Interest rates go down? Household buying power goes up, and rents and home prices go up. (see the chart)

50% down becomes 20% down becomes 5% down becomes 0% down becomes -4% down? Home prices go up.

Borrowers qualified on the temporary teaser rates not the back-end actual rates? Buying power goes up, home prices go up.

Tax cuts increase household aftertax income by hundreds of dollars a month? Buying power goes up, home prices go up.

I could go on but I think anyone with a brain gets the point. None of these factors has ANYTHING to do with the metallic backing of money.

Troy, everything you said is correct, with two exceptions: (1) I believe my understanding of economics is sound and (2) monetary inflation has EVERYTHING to do with the cost of EVERYTHING. Inflation can not pick and choose what it will effect and what it won't. It either exists or it doesn't (hint: it exists).

Honest Abe says

Inflation can not pick and choose what it will effect and what it won’t. It either exists or it doesn’t (hint: it exists).

As I said about a month ago, housing inflation has historically existed with both fiat money and with fully convertible money. The core problem is credit (and credit-worth borrowers), not money supply. And credit isn't always a problem, credit can either fuel capital creation (good!) or plain consumption (bad!), which is why we attempt to regulate credit through government oversight of the private credit markets.

Historically, the United States was on the gold standard from 1900-1932, fat lot of good it did preventing real estate bubbles in LA and Florida.

Expanding money supply hasn't prevented the Japanese real estate market from pancaking since 1990, either. Japanese M1 has expanded almost 4X since then, yet prices are down 50% or more, and would be done even more except 10yr mortgage interest rates are 2%.

Economies are somewhat subtle processes. Money supply is tied to turnover, trade flows, dark pools, sovereign wealth funds.

But inflation is also pretty simple, too. If you can ask your boss for a COLA, and get it, we've got "inflation expectations" and the economy will be off to the races in a wage-price spiral, like what we saw in the 1970s and late 1990s.

Without more earning power -- takehome pay -- in J6P's grubby little hands, there can BE no total price inflation -- just reallocation of inflation in things we need and deflation in things we want.

This is a brutal process as prices readjust to what the buyers are ready and willing to pay. I just bought 3 2L of Mountain Dew from Safeway for 88c each. That, my friend, is not inflation.

Troy says

Expanding money supply hasn’t prevented the Japanese real estate market from pancaking since 1990, either. Japanese M1 has expanded almost 4X since then, yet prices are down 50% or more, and would be done even more except 10yr mortgage interest rates are 2%.

I think this is the point where gold-bugs / inflationists (they tend to be the same people), put their fingers in their ears and go la, la, la, la.

Economic theory from 100 years ago that has been thoroughly debunked is coming in to fashion among some groups. Blame it on the internet I guess.

I personally think it is understandable. In finance and economics "common sense" is often dead wrong since it's not very intuitive. Intuition tells us that money is a "thing", some sort of commodity. But it is unlike any other "thing" in that it cannot exist without it's opposite, anti-money (debt). There is no such thing as "anti-gold", or anti-anything-else in the real tangible world, so the human mind does not naturally take to the concept.

Let's not forget, as I noted elsewhere, the Fed has abandoned QE (at least for now). When you shut down the printing presses, I cannot imagine that not having an effect on the price of gold. We'll see how long Ben can tow the line...

MarkInSF says

Troy says

Expanding money supply hasn’t prevented the Japanese real estate market from pancaking since 1990, either. Japanese M1 has expanded almost 4X since then, yet prices are down 50% or more, and would be done even more except 10yr mortgage interest rates are 2%.

I think this is the point where gold-bugs / inflationists (they tend to be the same people), put their fingers in their ears and go la, la, la, la.
Economic theory from 100 years ago that has been thoroughly debunked is coming in to fashion among some groups. Blame it on the internet I guess.
I personally think it is understandable. In finance and economics “common sense” is often dead wrong since it’s not very intuitive. Intuition tells us that money is a “thing”, some sort of commodity. But it is unlike any other “thing” in that it cannot exist without it’s opposite, anti-money (debt). There is no such thing as “anti-gold”, or anti-anything-else in the real tangible world, so the human mind does not naturally take to the concept.

Actually, the only economics that have really been debunked is pretty much the entire field of academic economics that has plagued our universities for about 70 years.

Nomo,

There you go again, interjecting reason. How dare you?

The problem with tea party and the grandstanding senators and the palins of the world is that they play on emotion and manipulation. Take palin for example - she denounced the bridge to nowhere and publicly refused to build it because it was bad PR.

Then she kept the money. Kind of like the girl you ask to marry you, find out she's been sleeping with all your friends, and you break off the engagement. But she keeps the ring.

elliemae says

The problem with tea party and the grandstanding senators and the palins of the world is that they play on emotion and manipulation.

Kind of like the White House playing on emotion and manipulation by purposefully misrepresenting Wellpoint's profits last quarter in order to incite anger against the insurance industry?

Even the above plays on emotion and manipulation. The "reality" answers of some of them are not at all reality, because they are yet to be seen. It is likely that both sides will be correct about some and incorrect on others. To call them all "reality" now is simply an emotional wish.

EBGuy says

Let’s not forget, as I noted elsewhere, the Fed has abandoned QE (at least for now). When you shut down the printing presses, I cannot imagine that not having an effect on the price of gold. We’ll see how long Ben can tow the line…

How do we know they have abandoned this?

Paralithodes says

Kind of like the White House playing on emotion and manipulation by purposefully misrepresenting Wellpoint’s profits last quarter in order to incite anger against the insurance industry?

http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/177566.php

funny, I didn't see the white house quoted in this article. In fact, I looked on three pages of google searches before I got bored, with none of the results being white house oriented. In fact, the only mention of politics was by Wellpoint, bitching that they'd have to raise premiums if the democrats had their way... I guess that they'd have to raise thier rates in order to continue to rake in huge profits. But do tell us how the white house manipulated this information and the media chose not to report the facts.