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Barack Obama Wants to Reward FBs


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2007 Aug 29, 2:57am   30,638 views  270 comments

by Randy H   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

I don't follow politics for myriad reasons. I know that pretty much every Congressman and every Presidential hopeful is falling all over themselves to buy as many votes as they can -- business as usual. But I do know that the Obama crowd prides their candidate on his integrity and high ethical bar.

Well, Mr. Obama writes in Todays Financial Times "Comment" section:

Fine unscrupulous mortgage lenders

The implosion of the subprime lending industry is more than a temporary blip on our economic progress. It is a cancer that, given today's integrated financial markets, threatens to spread with devastating impact to housing and to our economy as a whole, unless we act to contain it.

Already I'm sure many of you will take some exception to Mr. Obama's statement. Myself, I don't see too much trouble with his concern; and I also think that the government has some role in providing stability to the core banking structure.

I'll go on, quoting the more objectionable excerpts. To Mr. Obama's credit, he does want to aggressively go after lenders who committed fraud, used deceptive tactics, or systematically exploited the elderly or minorities. To his detriment, not a single word was uttered about regulating or punishing the real-estate industry. I guess even a principled candidate has to be careful which lobbies he crosses.

This all started as a good idea -- helping people buy homes who previously could not afford to.

[...]

Today, as we weigh our options on how to best resolve this crisis, many argue that bailing out the borrowers and investors will just encourage them to engage in more of the same irresponsible practices.

[...]

The real victims in this crisis are the millions of borrowers who followed the rules, whose only crime was taking out mortgages lenders told them they could afford. Normally these borrowers could avoid foreclosure by refinancing their mortgages or selling their homes. The problem today is that they cannot refinance because no one will lend to them, and they cannot sell because the housing market has fallen. With some arguing that the effects of the worst subprime loans will not be felt until 2008 and 2009, this may be just the beginning.

We need to help struggling borrowers to weather this storm. One way to protect innocent homeowners -- at least until this crisis passes -- is to establish a fund to help people refinance or sell to avoid foreclosure.

[...]

That is why I have proposed a Home Score system that would create a simplified, standardised[sic] metric for home mortgages -- rather like the annual percentage rate (APR), the effective interest rate a borrower ends up paying on a loan -- allowing prospective home buyers easily to compare various mortgage products so they can find out whether they can afford to make the payments.

[...]

Owning a home represents a big part of the American dream and all Americans -- no matter what their income level -- should have the power to reach for that dream.

[...]

If we are serious about stopping this crisis [...] Washington needs to stop acting like an industry advocate and start acting like a public advocate.

I'll let you guys defend Barack or rip him apart. I'm not sure why Washington should necessarily advocate either side of the ownership/industry value chain, but I can see how this rhetoric gains populist votes.

One point for Mr. Obama: APR is not the same as EAR. You might want to get get someone on staff who actually knows something about markets, finance and economics before you go making a fool of yourself in the Financial Times.

--Randy H

#politics

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156   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 5:51am  

If some of those price reductions don’t look frantic, I don’t know what does?! Some of them came in as little as a week. (Doesn’t exactly inspire confidence now does it?)

I talk regularly with an internal wholesaler for ____ firm and he is a HUGE fan of yours!

DinOr,

I have thousands of these price reductions; some are as high as 30% or more and I'm not talking about sale price, I'm talking about an asking price that is still not pullin any interest!

Here's an example:
mls#1991137
614 Bayview Ave, Bellport, NY
-30.4% change from first recorded price
Asking Price $195k as of 08/24/2007
Asking Price $280k as of 08/14/2007

Tell your friend from ____ firm, thanks!

157   DennisN   2007 Aug 30, 5:56am  

And now for something completely different:

www.cbhhomes.com/viewpage.aspx?ID=424

Corey Barton (known locally as "Hurry Build'em") was giving 6 months free mortgage payments lately in order to sell houses. Now they are going to try eBay. You can't say they aren't willing to try anything to move unsold inventory.

158   DinOR   2007 Aug 30, 6:03am  

DennisN,

Gawd! That's funny, especially the neon "Reserve not met". And this is ID!? But... but.. bu.

159   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:03am  

The feds say housing is still going up; guess we don't have to worry about a loanowner bailout :lol:

160   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:05am  

Corey Barton (known locally as “Hurry Build’em”) was giving 6 months free mortgage payments lately in order to sell houses. Now they are going to try eBay. You can’t say they aren’t willing to try anything to move unsold inventory.

Ah, great! Always wanted a house in Idaho; I can grow potatoes in my backyard....I bit $10k!

161   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:09am  

Probably a bunch of realtor's ring bidding the price up and hoping some sheep come along.

162   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 6:15am  

The feds say housing is still going up; guess we don’t have to worry about a loanowner bailout

Remember the idea of the "rolling boom" in real estate? Seems like a joke now. Well, this must be the "rolling bust."

163   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 6:20am  

allah,

Seriously, though, between the OFHEO data you cited and the GDP data released today (yes, our economy is still healthily expanding!), I find it hard to imagine how the Fed can cut the Fed Funds rate in the face of this and other data without it being completely obvious to everyone that they are trying to bail out Wall Street.

Bendover Ben truly has a fine line to walk. We'll see how he does.

164   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:25am  

Seriously, though, between the OFHEO data you cited and the GDP data released today (yes, our economy is still healthily expanding!), I find it hard to imagine how the Fed can cut the Fed Funds rate in the face of this and other data without it being completely obvious to everyone that they are trying to bail out Wall Street.

I agree. You know, I think Bernanke is just putting this info out so he could make an excuse to not cut short term rates; I think if they start cutting those rates now, the foreigners are going to be pissed! ...and that won't sit well with the greenback.

165   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:35am  

There is one bear still on this thread kicking all the bulls a$$es!

I'd like to join in, but they suspended my account!

166   e   2007 Aug 30, 6:45am  

>>614 Bayview Ave, Bellport, NY

Whoa - wow is that house cheap. It's livable and everything!

Compare that to http://www.burbed.com/2007/08/30/easy-cummuting-at-this-425-fixer-upper-near-alum-rock/

167   DinOR   2007 Aug 30, 6:46am  

"rolling bust"

In spite of the humor you intended, that may well play out skibum!

Rolling corrections are not entirely unheard of. We may stumble along and find what "looks" like support in the housing market only to find what we thought was solid ground turned out to be a trap door!?

In fact, the more I think about it the more it seems likely. Again Randy H would describe this as "stickiness".

168   e   2007 Aug 30, 6:49am  

Wow, there's some pretty awful advice on that thread:

http://www.city-data.com/long-island/144309-why-would-someone-want-buy-into-6.html

If you had bought that house in 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, you would have enough equity now that you could ride out this market and never worry about it.

You are suffering from Analysis Paralysis. You buy a home for your family when you can afford to.

Putting your life on hold for 6 years because you are worried about statistics and the conditions of a global market you have zero control over is just going to make you nuts. In ten years you'll be saying the same thing... just about a different market with different circumstances.

Get a deal, buy the house, raise your kids... in 10+ years you won't care about this at all. Home prices are not going to fall for another 7 years unless the economy craps out for 7 years too. And if that happens... stock up on shotgun shells, gasoline, and beef tallow.

I guess in some ways its right "buy a house when you need it" - but the phrasing is generally so bogus.

169   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:53am  

>>614 Bayview Ave, Bellport, NY

Whoa - wow is that house cheap. It’s livable and everything!

Please, don't start this again! If you like the house, buy it!

170   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:54am  

Wow, there’s some pretty awful advice on that thread:

They're all bulls on that thread and they do everything they can to keep the bears off; I started the thread, they removed all the graphics I put up and suspended my account!

171   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 6:55am  

eburbed,

Even for your site, that Alum Rock house is truly a sight to behold. I didn't realize there were shotgun houses in San Hosebag. It looks Depression-era to me. How exactly would a contractor "breathe new life" into that thing?

I shouldn't comment on the "cum-muting" typo...

172   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 6:56am  

It's funny how the moderators suspend my account and then posted that.

173   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 6:59am  

I shouldn’t comment on the “cum-muting” typo…

Don't be a "hippocrit." ;)

174   OO   2007 Aug 30, 7:40am  

Allah,

I went to the link you posted, their Intelius site is so behind the curve. They are trying to charge me $14.95 for information that I could get at propertyshark for free. What kind of loser web2.0 are they?

The city data they posted for the neighborhoods that I know is more out-dated than wikipedia. That site has nothing useful to offer.

175   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:21am  

I went to the link you posted, their Intelius site is so behind the curve. They are trying to charge me $14.95 for information that I could get at propertyshark for free. What kind of loser web2.0 are they?

The city data they posted for the neighborhoods that I know is more out-dated than wikipedia. That site has nothing useful to offer.

OO,

I didn't even know they had anything like that; I was just brought there by a google search. That site is heavily biased; probably run by realtors. Mention anything negative about the market...you get an infraction by the web police!

176   skibum   2007 Aug 30, 9:21am  

What the heck is Lawrence Yun smoking, and where can I get some of it?

http://www.realtor.org/rmomag.nsf/pages/economysep07?OpenDocument

He's clearly making a strong bid to outdo David Lereah...

177   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:23am  

I went to the link you posted, their Intelius site is so behind the curve. They are trying to charge me $14.95 for information that I could get at propertyshark for free. What kind of loser web2.0 are they?

I guess anyone dumb enough to drink their kool-aide will pay the $14.95 and they probably get the said information from propertyshark.

178   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:26am  

He’s clearly making a strong bid to outdo David Lereah…

Don't you know he's the NAR's relief pitcher; I'm sure they have another one waiting in the bullpin until Yun has a nervous breakdown like Lereah did. Kharma claims another!

179   sfbubblebuyer   2007 Aug 30, 9:27am  

Off Topic... but look at this FB :

http://tinyurl.com/3cs37p

All you need to be a home owner is... catch up the two mortgages, then agree to pay for them all yourself!

Even an idiot would realize it'll be cheaper to buy it from the bank.

(Also, how can payments be between 5500 and 6500 a month? Doesn't he KNOW?)

180   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:28am  

Predictions are always risky, but I’m going out on a limb to say existing-home sales will improve markedly by the fourth quarter. Here’s why:

I'd say that's a very thin limb!

181   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 9:32am  

All you need to be a home owner is… catch up the two mortgages, then agree to pay for them all yourself!

and who the hell wants to live on a divided highway? (notice the yellow line in the street).

5500 and 6500 a month?

This is supposed to be a good thing?

182   sfbubblebuyer   2007 Aug 30, 9:41am  

I like how Yun pretty much hangs his hopes on foriegn buyers. Yah, they're going to rush in to snap up depreciating assets. Suuuuure.

183   SFRenter   2007 Aug 30, 9:57am  

At least Obama wants to make Wall Street pay instead of the taxpayers, that at least is a step in the right direction and far better than the taxpayer funded bailouts Dodd and Schumer are calling for.

Personally I think that the market is going to continue to address the issue and likely resolve it prior to the Government getting around to taking action. For example, the debt markets have dramatically marked down the price of most all mortgage backed security "investments," including the ones that don't even hold any subprime debt.

Furthermore, credit standards have dramatically tightened such that lenders are simply not issuing subprime loans because the lenders are (finally) scared of not being paid back, and all of this happenned before the Government got around to doing anything.

Of course, this whole mess never would have happenned if the Fed or the OCC actually enforced lending standards during the boom years. You remember those boom years right, back when we were called "jealous bitter renters" and derisively told to "just deal with" paying the haughty homeowners mortgages for them for the rest of our lives? Ha ha hah hah hah hah! Oh sorry, is that "schadenfreude"? My bad, I don't care. :)

184   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 10:15am  

Randy H would describe this as “stickiness”

:lol:

185   e   2007 Aug 30, 10:23am  

and who the hell wants to live on a divided highway? (notice the yellow line in the street).

It's actually not a divided highway.

http://tinyurl.com/357luc

186   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:27am  

@SFRenter

At least Obama wants to make Wall Street pay instead of the taxpayers, that at least is a step in the right direction and far better than the taxpayer funded bailouts Dodd and Schumer are calling for.

No. He says he wants to *partially* pay for the bail-out-the-FB fund with penalties exacted upon lenders who made the loans.

Now think about this; read the code. It says he's going to try to establish a system of post-facto penalties and asses them upon lending institutions. Firstly, this type if legislation has about 0.002% chance of passing. Secondly, even if it does pass the lenders won't pay the penalties and will fight it out for years in court. Lastly, even if the money is eventually collected, it will only cover a portion of the bail-out. Add in the cost of financing the float during the interim -- our government pays quite hefty financing charges for our debt -- and it's *you* who is paying for pretty much all of the bail out.

Mr. Obama is being a run of the mill, cynical politician. He offers hope of nothing more than more of the same. Some have said he is no worse than the others. Well, that's why I'm disappointed. He had potential; his speech at the convention was epic (anyone who denies that is a partisan). Too bad he had nothing else left in there.

187   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:28am  

*assess, lol

188   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:31am  

I like how Yun pretty much hangs his hopes on foriegn buyers.

It is all MIRAGE!

Again, the USA is not particularly attractive to rich foreigners. The French Riviera, perhaps. London, perhaps. Rich people know better.

It is not easy to obtain residency (legally) in the US. It is even harder to live here without having to pay tax for global income.

If the US wants the right people, the wrong taxes must be abolished.

189   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:35am  

Another thing really pisses me off: what ever happened to the very basic notion of personal responsibility. Caveat emptor aside, there is some level at which the buyer is responsible for what he or she buys, no?

Just because you didn't read the contract is no one's fault but your own. When you signed 50 documents with all kinds of scary 8pt font all over them, didn't you pause to think about what you were getting into? Perhaps you should have said "give me a day to ask someone to help me figure this out, I'm not sure about all this".

The problem with jerkoffs like Obama is he wants to send a very loud signal to all those responsible people who didn't sign the bullshit loan documents that they lose, and the ignorant happy go lucky 'tards win. They get a house, which Barack will make sure doesn't lose any more value, and the fiscally responsible people get to keep renting knowing they missed out on the fucking gravy train.

Sorry, this really pisses me off. Talk about creating exactly the wrong incentives. If we bail out the slobbering fools we'll pay an even higher cost later. How high can we keep building the house of cards??? WTF?

190   Allah   2007 Aug 30, 10:36am  

I like how Yun pretty much hangs his hopes on foriegn buyers.

Well, I don't know how true it is, but this article says the russians are buying up manhatten.

I didn't think russians were that stupid; but then again, the article is on a pro real estate site.

191   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:37am  

Randy, Obama's rhetorics will just ensure that he does not get elected. That leaves HRC...

192   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:42am  

Well, I don’t know how true it is, but this article says the russians are buying up manhatten.

They may be buying up London. But Manhattan? Probably not the richest ones.

The top market in London is probably more ironclad then that of NY. However, I would really love to see how the rest of UK unfolds. It is going to be interesting. It is time for a Conservative PM. Perhaps a fine leader like Thatcher.

193   Randy H   2007 Aug 30, 10:42am  

Randy, Obama’s rhetorics will just ensure that he does not get elected. That leaves HRC…

Peter, I know. I've resigned to Hillary as president. The problem is that every time another jerkoff chimes in his or her debased-$0.02 crackpot bailout scheme, it gives Congress that much more cover to actually implement one. Do not underestimate the power of these things once they get rolling. This is the trying-to-get-it-rolling phase.

Someone much earlier pointed out that only a small portion of voters actually fall into the bail-out-need category. True. But that is exactly what this is about. Political engineering whereby they're spreading the emotional impact around, creating more people who *think* they are stakeholders and that a bailout helps them too. And it's working, which scares the shit out of me.

I so fucking hate politics. It is the absolute worst thing about the human condition.

194   Peter P   2007 Aug 30, 10:46am  

It is the absolute worst thing about the human condition.

Nothing wrong about that. We just need to exploit the worst of human conditions.

We cannot change human natures. At best, we can benefit from this knowledge.

195   e   2007 Aug 30, 11:23am  

Again, the USA is not particularly attractive to rich foreigners.

Wrong. They are.

And they all want to live in Palo Alto and Cupertino.

Didn't Putin just recently say that he wished Russia's school system was as good as Gunn? I'm sure he did.

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