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Good time to be a lanlord?


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2010 Oct 7, 2:15am   1,422 views  6 comments

by burritos   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-apartment-rents-20101007,0,3236606.story

In a sign that the nation's foreclosure crisis is taking a toll, renters surged into the U.S. apartment market in the third quarter, pushing up rents and driving down vacancies.

The national vacancy rate fell to 7.2% in the third quarter from 7.8% the second quarter, one of the sharpest drops on record, according to New York-based real estate research firm Reis Inc. Rents increased 0.6% to an average of $980 a unit over the same period as landlords were able to cut back on free rent and other incentives that had been used to attract and retain tenants in a weak market.

#housing

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1   Patrick   2010 Oct 7, 2:25am  

It totally depends on the location. I have a ton of statistics in my Property Finder service, and gross returns vary widely by neighborhood. In general, pleasant safe neighborhoods have exceptionally low returns, like 3% or 4% of purchase price, and won't cover the interest, taxes, and maintenance. So you'll lose money as a landlord there. The landlords that are still in business are the ones that bought long ago, and so benefit from the institutional tax evasion of Prop 13.

But in sketchier neighborhoods, gross returns are much higher, maybe 10% or more, though then of course you have issues with actually collecting the rent.

2   burritos   2010 Oct 7, 2:43am  

My vacancy rate for 4 years for 2 properties have been 4 months. Last year, I had to lower my rent in one to keep a tenant from moving cause the HOA kept harassing him for a patch of grass. In the other house, the rent has been steadily going up. I'm on month 7 for a short sale to get a third property.

3   burritos   2010 Oct 7, 2:57am  

It totally depends on the location. I have a ton of statistics in my Property Finder service, and gross returns vary widely by neighborhood. In general, pleasant safe neighborhoods have exceptionally low returns, like 3% or 4% of purchase price, and won’t cover the interest, taxes, and maintenance. So you’ll lose money as a landlord there. The landlords that are still in business are the ones that bought long ago, and so benefit from the institutional tax evasion of Prop 13.
But in sketchier neighborhoods, gross returns are much higher, maybe 10% or more, though then of course you have issues with actually collecting the rent.

Sure, but 20-30 years from now, you can be one of those landlords who could be saying, "way back when, when I initially bought this investment, I had this crappy cap rate of 3-4%, but now..."

When you say you want to have a cap rate of 10% is that over the life of the investment? or just on day number one when you buy it?

Just for sake of argument, my CAP rate for my apple stock purchase in in 1997 was crappy for a better part of a decade. I'm glad I didn't do too much math analysis on it and held on to it.

4   vain   2010 Oct 7, 3:29am  

I agree. We recently put up a rental on the market with a ridiculous asking price. Surprisingly, many many many people responded.

I just entered contract again with a home for $465k. It's a short sale and the bank is talking to us trying to make it work. The tenants in there are paying $1950 for the 3/2 upstairs, and $1200 for the 2/1 downstairs in-law. My would be mortgage is $1100/mo. It's just a shame I plan to live in the home. The property tax is a huge chunk. I personally won't even care if prices plummet afterwards. It'd just reduce my property tax over time.

5   pkowen   2010 Oct 7, 4:39am  

In MOST of the Country, it's always a pretty good 'time' to be a landlord if you don't mind the business and have positive cash flow. It's not glamorous. It's a slow slog to work up to a real business, unless you just inherited a dozen houses, a complex, or drop a lot of capital down some other way. I have lived in 5 states, from the most major of cities (NYC) to podunk. Many landlords are people who inherited houses or apartment buildings from family. In those cases, they paid "nothing" for the investment, and have no mortgage costs, just upkeep, taxes, etc.

I'll always remember a 'new' landlord I met. He was a retiree who wanted to stay busy. He had just bought a 6 unit apartment house in Richmond VA, for which he paid all of $275,000. I rented one of the units for $625/mo. I asked him about positive cash flow and his response was, "son, I wouldn't have bought without positive cash flow". We were both quite happy with the arrangement.

Exactly. What I find amusing is the argument prevalent in the bay area, that revolve around some complicated calculus on how it will 'work out over the long run', generally including an assumption of 'appreciation'. Maybe it will appreciate, maybe not, but every professional landlord I have ever known makes sure he or she has positive cash flow from day one. It's really simple, actually.

6   burritos   2010 Oct 7, 6:16am  

pkowen says

In MOST of the Country, it’s always a pretty good ‘time’ to be a landlord if you don’t mind the business and have positive cash flow. It’s not glamorous. It’s a slow slog to work up to a real business, unless you just inherited a dozen houses, a complex, or drop a lot of capital down some other way. I have lived in 5 states, from the most major of cities (NYC) to podunk. Many landlords are people who inherited houses or apartment buildings from family. In those cases, they paid “nothing” for the investment, and have no mortgage costs, just upkeep, taxes, etc.
I’ll always remember a ‘new’ landlord I met. He was a retiree who wanted to stay busy. He had just bought a 6 unit apartment house in Richmond VA, for which he paid all of $275,000. I rented one of the units for $625/mo. I asked him about positive cash flow and his response was, “son, I wouldn’t have bought without positive cash flow”. We were both quite happy with the arrangement.
Exactly. What I find amusing is the argument prevalent in the bay area, that revolve around some complicated calculus on how it will ‘work out over the long run’, generally including an assumption of ‘appreciation’. Maybe it will appreciate, maybe not, but every professional landlord I have ever known makes sure he or she has positive cash flow from day one. It’s really simple, actually.

What if it's break even for 5 years and then a slow incremental increase from then on?

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