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I would perceive the DOW falling as deflationary but what do I know?
Why stop with housing, soon to be announced, the stock market bailout. Oh wait, the housing bailout is just a masked Wall Street bankers' bailout. Forget I said it.
Quick, run up your credit cards so you can benefit from the expanding bailout trend.
Oh crap, take a look at the DOW.
We have seen this before. Bad news came in from AIG and UBS so the market tanked. Within a day or two, good news will come in from another source and we'll see a rally.
It is rarely about the news. It is mostly about the perception of a news. It is all psychology and emotion.
Not of the Mad Max variety, but more like the 1950s-1960s lifestyles of one car per family, smaller houses, shared rides to work, home economics like meatloaf, etc.
Ha, ha, ha! Doh! Welcome to my world. At least the ground beef is grass fed. Only one person working in this family right now instead of three (spouse + home ATM).
On the protest front, my suggestion would be to go with something more provactive before kicking in with a full on anti-bailout rally. You could probably even get press coverage with something like an Affordable Housing Protest. Imagine the signs "Affordable Housing Now: Just Walk Away", "Jingle Mail = Freedom from Debt Bondage", " I used to have a mortgage, now I rent for half the cost". Call the group ACORN2 (hey, we're nuts, too).
I also tend to think CAR should be held culpable for their involvement in this mess. I noticed on their website they are still pimping ARMs (for First Time buyers, in fact); this is just egregious in my book. I am going to confront Used Home Salespersons with this from now on. I'm sure the conversation will go something like this:
Me: You are one of the parties responsible for the housing bubble by encouraging buyers to get in over their heads by using ARMs.
UHSP: No, I would never do that.
Me: Well your "professional" organization created a new Affordability Index once conventional metrics showed housing was out of reach of most citizens. The FTB-HAI tells new buyers to use an ARM to get into a home.
UHSP: Uhhhh... I didn't know that.
Me: Maybe it is time for you take charge of your "professional" organization before you lose all credibility in publics eye.
A bit late to respond, but HARM's question:
"How to stop corruption, moneyed interests and influence peddling’s power over government?"
Simple. Make sure the government doesn't have all that much power to begin with. Then there will be no incentive to corrupt or influence government.
Where's my nobel prize?
HeadSet :
We have seen this before. Bad news came in from AIG and UBS so the market tanked. Within a day or two, good news will come in from another source and we’ll see a rally.
The rally always seemed to me lacking much conviction. It was happening in spite of announcements of bad economic indicators. Only on the hope of some sort of bailout for the monoliners. All the CPI, PPI etc news that mattered in the morning on those days was being ignored after some suspicious reversals. It was a good opportunity to accumulate short ETFs.
The market in my expectation is going to go a whole lot of nowhere in coming weeks and months. The only trades I will do would be in the short side.
But I couldn't accumulate more of GLD. I don't know if it's in the bubble territory or not. I don't want to sell what I have, but I also don't have the courage to buy any more.
NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE
Simple. Make sure the government doesn’t have all that much power to begin with. Then there will be no incentive to corrupt or influence government.
That would be ideal. However, it requires a slight tweak of humanity.
Where’s my nobel prize?
When you can find a way to tweak that aspect of humanity. ;)
"Quick, run up your credit cards"
The sheer amount of "debt reduction" and debt "counseling you see advertised is finally over shadowing all the mortgage lender commercials. We've reached a tipping point!
Al Gore took it.
If "global warming" can win the Nobel Prize, anything can. You need a fearsome story behind your theory though. (Oh no! Sea level is going to rise one foot and my toes will get wet!)
There is a lot of land that is unhabitable today because it is too high above sea level. Even if everything that "Messiah" Gore says about global warming is true (I have my doubts) all that land would become habitable and people would move.
BTW, people moving from one place has happened continuously throughout human history. It is not as big a tragedy as most people claim.
Maybe I will get a nobel prize for saving the world from manbearpig! I am not joking, I am totally cereal!
@DinOR
Also I'm seeing TONS of attorneys ads who will cram down your IRS debt for pennies on the dollar.
didnt used to see so much of that.
I'm so glad the dancing mortgage people ads are mostly gone...mostly...
When those peaked it was truly a sign of the end of the credit bubble.
This is why I think too many people are trying to micro-manage Nature.
A true naturist will allow Nature to react freely.
For example, I don't think we have responsibility to prevent the extinction of "endangered" species. Yet many a time the same people who want Darwinism to be taught as the only truth also think they should stop Darwinism in Nature. LOL.
Hopefully public reaction can limit the coming bailout. If not arrested, the current trend looks like it will go from raised conforming limits and lower qualifications to GSE's becoming insolvent and the US gov ending up with lots of REO.
What will the gov do with the REO? Demolish whole neihborhoods to keep prices high? Reminds me of the perfectly good surplus jeeps that were demolshed and sold as scrap, since selling the vehicles whole would be "unfair competition."
Peter P, there is no such thing as Darwinism. Any more than Einsteinism or Newtonism.
The correct term you are looking for is "science".
I don't think we have a *collective* responsibility to save endangered species but there are plenty of people who are interested in that kind of thing and they can do that on their own.
And no, it doesn't violate any laws of evolution by doing that. Evolution has no purpose or direction. It just is.
Peter P, there is no such thing as Darwinism. Any more than Einsteinism or Newtonism.
Darwinism is same as anti-Einsteinism. Which in one sentence, "God play with a perfectly random dice".
Stockmarket behavior is so very creepy these past months, why haven't we had a single instance of old fashioned panic that sends er down to the trading halts. Its almost unnatural.
If the Govt gets stuck with a bunch of REOs then wouldn't it distribute to everyone ? Yippie, free houses for everyone !
Evolution's direction is to an ever increasing state of complexity.
"Demolish whole neighborhoods to keep prices high?"
Excellent point. If the public builders can't get their $10,000 tax CREDIT passed we'll be bulldozing block after block of never occupied homes for... "public safety reasons".
sriram,
I think each species has a purpose (it's own survival) and a direction (the next meal) but after that I agree.
Evolution’s direction is to an ever increasing state of complexity
Not always. The direction is more didctated by survivability. Think of the parasites that have evolved ino little more than an attachment device and sex organs, and dark dwelling fish that have lost eyes.
Hello Kitty,
Here's the really laughable part. Most of those guys (in spite of what they advertise) get their fees Up Front! Maybe they can help you, but more likely they can't.
From what I understand OIC (offer in compromise) are getting to be near impossible to negotiate! If you have any income at all, they'll take the full amount owed thank you.
Darwinism is same as anti-Einsteinism. Which in one sentence, “God play with a perfectly random diceâ€.
There is no such thing as randomness. Everything that transpires has a purpose.
Evolution could have been the device of Creation.
I think each species has a purpose (it’s own survival) and a direction (the next meal) but after that I agree.
The purpose of many species is for the culinary enjoyment of humanity, the master species. :)
I think each species has a purpose (it’s own survival) and a direction (the next meal) but after that I agree.
DinOr, you left out nookie. Every organism has a breed instinct.
Are you sure you were in the Navy?
Evolution’s direction is to an ever increasing state of complexity
I don't think so. Nature is perfectly elegant.
The purpose of many species is for the culinary enjoyment of humanity.
In the Pleistocene era, many species engaged in the culniary enjoyment of humanity.
In the Pleistocene era, many species engaged in the culniary enjoyment of humanity.
Those species extincted because their culinary domain lacked spices and sauces.
Nookie? Sriram didn't mention that! I thought that came under "survival of the species...?" I'm sure there are species other than humans that engage in "recreational sex" (we just ASSUME they're trying to make babies!)
I think Peter has a point. Keeping some dwindling, failing species around when he's due for extinction may be doing more harm than good?
"Nature is perfectly elegant."
How so? I see plenty of imperfections in nature.
Maybe you are looking at things the way they are and since there are no alternatives to compare with, assuming that the existing state is perfect?
Those species extincted because their culinary domain lacked spices and sauces.
Are you saying that the damn meteor when it struck the Yucatan peninsula forgot to sprinkle spice as it fell ?
"Nature is perfectly elegant" is not the same as "Nature is perfect."
Are you saying that the damn meteor when it struck the Yucatan peninsula forgot to sprinkle spice as it fell ?
Yes. Cosmic spice. :)
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The NY Times illustrated nicely that most people are against paying their neighbor's mortgage:
But we are not unified or effective in our protests. Just disgruntled savers bleating in the wilderness while our savings are forcibly transferred to those who did not save, and representative democracy keeps electing representatives of the banks. What would really work?
One reader suggestion is an online petition that all the housing blogs could post. It also might be time to actually hit the streets with real signs and pithy slogans. I could do the SF financial district at lunch some day.
Then there are boycotts, but what are we going to boycott? We're already boycotting bad lending and high prices.
Could we create an effective and public way to track politician sell-outs to the REIC?
Is it time for direct democracy, the ability of the people themselves to make the laws?
#housing