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Mail in the Keys


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2007 Mar 14, 2:22pm   29,784 views  264 comments

by Randy H   ➕follow (0)   💰tip   ignore  

This came up as a good sub-thread in the last: what are the rules regarding default, foreclosure, deficiency judgment and bankruptcy (mainly in California)?

I'm starting this so our experts here can comment and educate us as to how this works and what the laws are. The rest of us can then talk rationally about how the subprime and coming soon -- higher tranches -- meltdown might affect the housing market.

--Randy H

#housing

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202   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 3:05am  

I'd say you are the lemming, oh the free market cures everything, private industry is noble, and good. Come on man, it is the most efficient way of disbursing goods and services, but it is not the moral institution it is made out to be. Private industry does way more evil in this country than the government does. The government is just incompetent a lot of times because it lacks a profit motive.

203   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 3:06am  

BTW a drone follows the view, where in my case I dissented from it so learn proper English.

204   frank649   2007 Mar 17, 3:24am  

Just reading up on past real estate booms. In the 1920s, Florida had a big boom that had people buying and selling options on property. Before it imploded, an acre of land sold for $6000. After, an acre couldn't be sold for $2.

Banks ended up with thousands of acres of negative cash flow and all they could do was hope for improvement sometime in the future.

Improvement eventually did come for banks and individuals about 30 years later in the 1950s. It's true when they say that eventually real estate will come back. Unfortunately for many, 30 years was beyond their life times.

205   frank649   2007 Mar 17, 3:30am  

"The government is just incompetent a lot of times because it lacks a profit motive"

LOL. Show me a politician that lacks a profit motive and I'll show you a true saint. When you leave MBA school and enter the real world, lets talk.

206   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 3:37am  

I already have, and I made a million dollars already, so yeah, let's talk.

207   frank649   2007 Mar 17, 3:39am  

And once again, I don't believe that private industry are saints. The difference between our views seems to be that I don't foolishly believe that big government is the answer to anything and is, in fact, a big part of the problem.

208   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 3:41am  

You want to get cocky with me, why don't we do a comparison. I'm 35 years old with an advanced degree, I own my house outright, I drive a 99 Porsche Boxster, also fully paid off, and I live in one of the greatest cities in the world. What are you Frank? Just some lemming repeating stupid dogma because it is how you can caudal yourself to sleep at night.

209   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 3:43am  

I never said it was. But there are areas on the spectrum between social need, and market opportunities that both have relevant and legitimate functions. Understand someone's point of view before you try to knock them down, you will look like a fool in the real world as you put it.

210   frank649   2007 Mar 17, 3:45am  

Ok, ok rich guy. Just remember what they say about foolish people and their money.

211   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 3:50am  

An intelligent person might have said, gee that is a different point of view, it sounds kind of strange but how do you arrive at that conclusion. To which I might have responded.

Well my research demonstrated that free markets fail in areas of high social needs because they can't derive a revenue stream. A rehab clinic might be such an example. However government fails in commercial markets because it has no incentive to improve, and as a rule of thumb government bureaucrats think in minimalist terms and try to satsify the basic need instead of looking for ways to maximize customer satisfaction.

Oh, you might say, that sounds interesting. So how do you arrive at your conclusion about innovation.

Well, I might respond by saying that given the global market place and the extremely high cost of innovations nowadays, and the fact that private industry has no way to recognize the social spillover benefits to society of some innovations, government through public policy has demonstrated that an infusion in some of these areas can act as a catalyst for innovations that would otherwise not occur.

Hmm, that sounds like an interesting point you might say, I'd like to subscribe to your news letter.

212   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 3:56am  

Of course, another dime-a-dozen MBA drone"

I would agree, last we forget plenty of MBA in 1980 who could not
get a job and few that did got staff jobs equall to BS degree.

Having a MBA on your resume in Silicon Valley means you cost more
than the product we manufacture.

213   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:02am  

I actually agree with that. An MBA is barely the same as a bachelor's degree was 10 years ago. It's getting more an more competitive people, you better get your skillsets up or you are going to be commoditized. Innovation has already displaced entire industries of professionals.

Look at travel agents, accountants, engineers, software engineers, attorneys, realtors....it's a long list

All of these guys are either being completely eliminated, or are seeing real decline in annual salries. Instead of shooting the messenger you should go get yours.

214   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:04am  

Bap, let's just say, I earn more in my sleep than you do at whatever 'job' you have.

215   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:04am  

"and I live in one of the greatest cities in the world."\

Where is this if I may ask?

216   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:05am  

North San Diego, city is San Marcos

217   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:05am  

FYI
Im in corp accounting/finance for tech company.

218   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:06am  

And to clarify I meant the greater San Diego area, in a nice neighborhood. Not ocean view or anything like that. I know a JBR like you is going to try to find something wrong with it.

219   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:06am  

The economy in say San Marcos is different from San Francisco South Bay. Very different...

220   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:08am  

Thats ok Malc Im worth 2.2 Million myself and rent until I see 50% decline in prices.

221   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:08am  

Space, glad to hear you are doing well. Unlike others, I'm not going to try to piss on your accomplishments.

222   frank649   2007 Mar 17, 4:09am  

Malcolm, considering that a free market doesn't currently exist on the scale that you imply, I wonder how thorough your research could possibly be. Now, given your arguments thus far, and your participation in this blog, I'd guess that you don't own a home, have little or no savings and are a typical brain-washed MBA student recently out of school and competing with the million of other similar morons out there who thought that getting an MBA was the ticket to easy street.

I know I started this and I'm sorry I did, but you'll have to get your education elsewhere. I have better things to do, thanks.

223   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:09am  

I agree accountants and eng. are being scaled back locally in California.

224   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:10am  

What can I say.. it just happened but not by my hand or accomplishments.
It was from someone elses foolish mistake and greed. :)

225   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:11am  

Space, that's a good strategy. I would do the same, but I bought my house so cheaply that I hate to lose my prop 13 cost basis so even though the paperwealth is declining, I have no mortgage so I'm happy to hang on to this house. I might let some struggling relative live in it for cheap if I buy something else up when prices really do pop.

226   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:13am  

Anyone who says luck isn't a big part is a freakin liar. The skill is recognizing the opportunity, but some would rather knock someone else for trying.

227   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:13am  

Good move Malcolm... Sounds like your in the driver seat..
Very good point on Prop 13... and i agree

228   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:15am  

Actually,
My start up was valued at $6B back in 1999. Given the vested stock options.
it was not my doing... the actually brains did very well much better than me.
Im actually at the low end.... Oh what a great time that was...

229   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:16am  

Well Frank you'd be wrong on almost all counts except I did get my MBA in May of 2006, more as a personal achievement.

230   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:18am  

The start up share price went on IPO from 35 to 600 per share. I managed to cash everything out. The founders and engineers did well. But the valuations the public expected was unreal and they keep overpaying for the "hot stock"
Anyway good luck

231   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:19am  

Your comments on the scale of global market indicate your ignorance on the subject. This is for two reasons: China alone is going to swamp us, Japan already has.

Secondly these are hybrid models as I propose because their governments listen to industry and provide the infrastructure for them to kick our asses in innovation.

The free market's strength comes from what entrepreneurs do with innovations.

232   frank649   2007 Mar 17, 4:19am  

Fine Malcolm, you have the last word.

233   Malcolm   2007 Mar 17, 4:21am  

Space, your gain was a classic failure of the VC model. Good for you, nice going.

234   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:30am  

LOL, In dont know... I would thank the VC at google same VC at my prior company. He start up Yahoo and Apple...

There are good VCs like Don Valintine, Roger Mac and Michael Mortiz...
but there are lots more bad ones....having a bad model.

235   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:31am  

Im still in the game...
Looking for my 3 third IPO... just for fun like your MBA...

236   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 4:34am  

I agree the Japanese did indeed kill off our Semi Industry, along with the Auto and Electonics..
China will provide still competition. Europe already has a strong stake in Software and Biotech.

237   PAR   2007 Mar 17, 5:00am  

Interesting perspective:
http://www.slate.com/id/2161834/

238   PAR   2007 Mar 17, 5:10am  

Japan couldn't innovate its way out of a paper bag. Everything done in Japan is a copy of something done elsewhere. And China, an innovator? China is a gigantic Xerox machine. At least Japan follows international property rights laws. The only "innovation" in either of these economies is dirt cheap labor (China) and dirt cheap access to capital (Japan). But what do I know. I'm just another clueless MBA...

239   DaBoss   2007 Mar 17, 5:17am  

"Japan couldn’t innovate its way out of a paper bag. Everything done in Japan is a copy of something done elsewhere."

Thats right... Its was never said Japan was innovate... they make things cheaper and they have no goverment intrusion. The two elements that made our nation number 1 while Europe which was #1 died out.

240   B.A.C.A.H.   2007 Mar 17, 5:43am  

Space Ace:

Youth pop culture is inundated with Japanese innovation. It is only a culturual phenonemon, But it is also a Japanese innovation. Sailor Moon, Pokemon, Yug I Oh, Naturo, Mario Brothers, Nintendo Dogs, the whole genre of Animae, etc.

I don't know where the hybrid car concept got thought up first. For all I know, it could've come from Detroit. But just thinking of something is not innovation. Innovation involves the funding, the engineering, the marketing and sales, and the patience to see all these through. So while Detroit slept, Japan innovated.

241   B.A.C.A.H.   2007 Mar 17, 5:43am  

Space Ace:

Youth pop culture is inundated with Japanese innovation. It is only a culturual phenonemon, But it is also a Japanese innovation. Sailor Moon, Pokemon, Yug I Oh, Naturo, Mario Brothers, Nintendo Dogs, the whole genre of Animae, etc.

I don't know where the hybrid car concept got thought up first. For all I know, it could've come from Detroit. But just thinking of something is not innovation. Innovation involves the funding, the engineering, the marketing and sales, and the patience to see all these through. So while Detroit slept, Japan innovated.

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