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A Modest Proposal


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2008 Jan 24, 12:55am   31,144 views  323 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (55)   💰tip   ignore  

out of reach

How about some legislation with the express intent to LOWER house prices, unlike the crap legislation we're getting from Pelosi and Barney Frank designed to make housing less affordable?

We should completely eliminate Fannie Mae, and after that, the mortgage interest income deduction.

Here are some more ideas from Steve, a patrick.net reader:

the goals should be something like to promote home ownership by
discouraging flipping and owning multiple residences

promote homeownership but discourage multiple residences:
- remove the mortgage rate deduction for all but the primary residence.
- second home/first investment property/ vacation property will have
no mortage deduction and no additional tax
- third home will carry a 10% annual tax
- fourth home will carry a 20% annual tax
- fifth home 30% tax
- sixth home 40% tax
- etc

discourage flipping:
- 35% tax on sale of property held for less then 6 months
- for property held less 6 months to 1 year will prorate down to 0%

i'm not sure what the legal issues are in putting something on the
ballet, i'm a tech person like yourself, maybe you can ask on your
site for someone with experience in that? or a section of your site
for brainstorming this?

#housing

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18   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:00am  

RandyH - I agree. I hate capitalism, but unless we are ALSO willing to make the US an Americans-Only autarky, social engineering isn't going to work. Lacking the will to turn the US into an "Ein Reich, Ein Volk" type state, it's better for now to let the market have its way and that includes letting the sucker crash if that's what it wants to do.

19   LowlySmartRenter   2008 Jan 24, 3:08am  

I appreciate Steve's effort, but most of the suggestions have a snowball's chance in a consumer-driven economy. We're not likely to see policies or tax codes which discourage buying multiple homes, cars, tvs, iPods, etc. It's antithetical to everything our US economy is built upon. And I agree with the idea that a house, car, tv, whatever, is not a right of each American, nor is it a dream. It's just a thing.

I would however like to see more regulation of the Realtor business. That seems doable, even in our fear/greed driven markets. I'd like to see the MLS fully opened up to the consumer, repleat with verified multiple offers and prosecution for fake bidding wars and fake documents. I know that horse has already left the barn, but the crux of this thread seems to be about how to avoid another implosion of the economy due to tricks, scams and 'creative' exploitation of loop holes in the real estate business.

20   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:12am  

I know everyone hates capitalism, but all this societal engineering isn’t working out so well either.

I thought most people one this board love capitalism.

21   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:13am  

RE: “Ein Reich, Ein Volk

Who is the Ein Fuhrer? :)

22   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:18am  

Well, we'll need to elect one, I like Ron Paul, Mike Huckabee would work too. We need a man of the people whose loyalty is to the people not the moneylenders that's for sure.

23   Randy H   2008 Jan 24, 3:22am  

Ich versuche. Ich habe genug Verrücktheit.

24   DinOR   2008 Jan 24, 3:23am  

LowlySmartRenter,

I have to agree. Why get just ONE! We won't be able to stop that, I'm just curious though? If it weren't for the super-outrageously-generous-beyond-belief tax treatment 2nd homes get... would they STILL be as popular without it!?

Please to notice 1031 Exchange Ad above!

I'll further agree that NAR/REIC could stand all the soap we have.

25   Bruce   2008 Jan 24, 3:24am  

Not so sure about details - though I favor getting gov't bumbles out of the equation - but I do think the time to be ready with such proposals will be at the trough of any downturn. Say, 2011 or so.

RE won't be mentionable in polite company, and you can probably kick it when it's already dead.

26   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:25am  

Again, there is nothing wrong about multi-culturalism. Just think about sushi, pad thai, kung pao chicken, wiener, fish and chips...

Orange County has low crime rate, yet it is diverse.

This shows that race and culture have little to do with crime. It has more to do with political ideals (esp. towards property rights and guns).

27   DinOR   2008 Jan 24, 3:25am  

I guess my question is... at what point does it cease to be a 2nd home and start becoming a tax dodge? Do you know how many people there are that have never SEEN their vacation homes?

28   Bruce   2008 Jan 24, 3:27am  

Oh. Presidential politikkks.

Does everyone already hate Mike Bloomberg? I don't.

29   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:28am  

Multiculturalism in the US should mean German, English, Scandanavian.... etc.

30   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:28am  

PeeterPee and yes, the OC has low crime because it's fairly well known that there are a fair amount of what the Brie-eating set call "gun toting rednecks" there.

God I miss OC.

31   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:32am  

Multiculturalism in the US should mean German, English, Scandanavian…. etc.

No. What about sushi, pad thai, kung pao chicken?

I am not a fan of Korean food but we must respect the civil liberties of those who like kimchee.

The MAIN issue is people's attitude towards liberty and property rights.

32   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:38am  

Scandinavian food is good too. Umm... open face sandwich with bay shrimps...

33   EBGuy   2008 Jan 24, 3:39am  

Some randoms notes here. For the record, a (good?) reason not to eat sushi (more specifically, sashimi) while pregnant is the threat of listeria.
The manifestations of listeriosis include septicemia, meningitis (or meningoencephalitis), encephalitis, and intrauterine or cervical infections in pregnant women, which may result in spontaneous abortion (2nd/3rd trimester) or stillbirth.

Can anybody explain what is going on with financials? Short squeeze? (is there a good place to check current short interest?) Or is the market saying the worst is over? (Wachovia -- no profit, no problem!) I guess they could be a bit oversold, but the best is still yet to come...

Multiculturalism in the US should mean German, English, Scandanavian…. etc.
My wife's people were not officially declared white until after the turn of the last century (1900). Do they make the cut? Just askin' cause I have to figure out if I'm going to head for the hills or hide out with the "Whirled Peas"/"Subvert the dominant paradigm" crowd...

34   skibum   2008 Jan 24, 3:41am  

The original post misses the entire point of this country. We are a nation that gives (mostly false) hope to the unwashed masses that yes, you Mr. J6P can live the American Dream, own a home, take nice vacations, drive a nice car, own some nice "toys" to show the neighbors how well you're doin', and maybe even some nice "investment properties." It's the ultimate drug for the masses. Homeownership is a major part of that government sponsored opium.

That is why Congress, the Pres, and all the hangers-on are working furiously to keep this Boomer-conceived clusterfuck that is today's housing situation and economy. This country will never pass any laws to shoot down the "American Dream" of homeownership.

We all thought religion was the opiate of the masses? Well, we were wrong. It's tract homes and crap made in China.

35   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:43am  

All food has risks. Especially Fugu.

Is death a sufficient deterrent when it comes to good food? I think it shouldn't be.

Not dietary advice.

36   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:43am  

PeeterPee I think lutefisk has kimchee beat, so that takes care of that.

Sure, I love Chinese, Korean, etc food after being fed a steady diet of McFood, anyone would. But the real European cuisines are every bit as good as the Asian ones and the Europeans won't chop up your kids they've abducted from the school yard and stir-fry 'em.

Food is the very lamest excuse to invite our enemies into our country.

37   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:44am  

We all thought religion was the opiate of the masses?

Religion is good. Faith is essential.

38   DinOR   2008 Jan 24, 3:45am  

O.K let's try... THIS angle?

I want to buy 1,000 tillable acres in IA. Now eventually... I'll build a house on it but for now it's rows of corn and maybe I'll pull up a 5th wheel trailer when I'm on vacation? Can I write off the interest I pay on that? Why shouldn't that qualify for MID?

39   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:46am  

But the real European cuisines are every bit as good as the Asian ones and the Europeans won’t chop up your kids they’ve abducted from the school yard and stir-fry ‘em.

But I want varieties. I cannot stand eating the same thing every day.

RE: European cuisines

I prefer Contemporary French.

40   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:48am  

Skibum - the ability for the average guy to live decently is what the turmoil of the 1930s was all about, and it was realized right after WWII. It was that or have a bunch of very PISSED OFF vets hanging the rich from the lampposts.

We had a flattening wealth structure, plumbers were sending their kids to college, it was great. The old GI bill was the last great change for Mr Joe Average White Guy to get into college and get that degree he'd been dreaming of. It was a great time. It was also a time of living Jim Crow laws, very restrictive immigration, and the US gauged how well it was doing by its factories.

Then the moneylenders started tearing that all down, contempt for people who make things with their hands was encouraged, and we went from Mr Honest Joe Lunch Pail to the hippies to Gordon Gekko.

That's ok, really, what you sow, you will reap.

41   anonymous   2008 Jan 24, 3:49am  

PeeterPee - back before McFood, there were seasonal variations, and a huge variety of dishes. Look in cookbooks from the 1920s and earlier, look into food history.

The food arguement is lame, lame, lame.

42   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:51am  

I don't eat McFood and I love seasonal variations.

I like Chicken a la King and Oyster Rockefeller. Both are old recipes.

Food from earlier days tend to be very rich though. (Hence the reference to Rockefeller)

43   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:52am  

The food arguement is lame, lame, lame.

Not arguing with you.

44   skibum   2008 Jan 24, 3:53am  

Religion is good. Faith is essential.

But there's a distinction. "Faith" is fine by me. Organized "religion" has done the world no good, and it's been misused in every part of the world for secular and evil purposes.

I believe in God, but I find almost all organized religion offensive.

45   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 3:54am  

I believe in God, but I find almost all organized religion offensive.

Want to start one?

46   DinOR   2008 Jan 24, 3:59am  

"Want to start one?"

Yes!

The Faith Ministries of Eternal Real Estate Appreciation Church!

47   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 4:00am  

Humans can misuse anything. This is why I have zero faith in humanity.

48   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 4:01am  

The Faith Ministries of Eternal Real Estate Appreciation Church!

I am thinking about one that allows people to worship themselves. It is about feeling good about oneself. :)

49   Randy H   2008 Jan 24, 4:01am  

I find ignorance offensive. Sadly, it's in no short supply these days; and worse yet seems to be in high demand.

To wit, some ignoramus jackass quoting you-know-who. Hey, did you manage to crawl out of your cave long enough to actually research your misstatements denying your hero's murders in Ohio in 1987? Care to clear the record? Or do you get a wet spot in the pants playing pretend white warrior from behind your pseudo-anonymous screen name?

(And for the record, "Fuhrer" is not a verboten term in German. It is used for things like "boy scout leader", for example. But Wehrmacht wannabees don't speak German, as a general rule.)

50   Chuck Ponzi   2008 Jan 24, 4:07am  

Jeebus,

Has everyone forgotten that the main reason that rental properties are profitable over for-consumption housing has nothing to do with interest tax deduction, but the deduction of depreciation?

Let me be the first to ask a simple question:

Why do we allow people to take a tax depreciation expense over 30 years when property values "always go up"?

If that truly is the case, wouldn't you be charging landlords extra tax every year for the capital gains? Worst part is... it just gets 1031'd until the person dies and no tax is ever paid on it. Think about that for a minute. If you want to make it a level playing field, make it truly level so landlords can only deduct what homeowners can deduct, and you'll see prices change on their own and we won't be giving tax breaks to some of the richest.

Chuck Ponzi

PS, I'm a capitalist, not a socialist.

51   e   2008 Jan 24, 4:17am  

That is why Congress, the Pres, and all the hangers-on are working furiously to keep this Boomer-conceived clusterfuck that is today’s housing situation and economy. This country will never pass any laws to shoot down the “American Dream” of homeownership.

But without false hope, what would there be?

False hope is essential to any organization in succeeding:

-Startups: Stock options will turn you into googlaire.

-Religion: Heaven, reincarnation into something better, etc.

-America: Mentioned above

-Stores: Buy your way into happiness and success

Without false hope, you'd end up churning out very disgruntled people with too much free time on their hands - like suicide bombers, etc.

52   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 4:19am  

But I rather be a net seller of false hope. :)

53   DennisN   2008 Jan 24, 4:27am  

Dunkel ist das Leben, ist der Tod.

54   e   2008 Jan 24, 4:31am  

Real estate is saved!!!

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-stimulus25jan25,1,2503104.story?track=rss

The package also includes a provision to make refinancing mortgages easier by raising the limit to $625,500 for government-backed loans. That is expected to make more funds available to homeowners in expensive real estate markets such as Southern California who want to get out of their adjustable rate mortgages.

Mountain View condos median to be $625,500 immediately after the 4th quarter of the SuperBowl. (Go Pats!)

55   Peter P   2008 Jan 24, 4:32am  

GLD is way up.

56   DennisN   2008 Jan 24, 4:43am  

The legislation would temporarily raise that limit to $625,500...

Nothing is more eternal than a "temporary" government program.

They charged two bits to cross the Golden Gate bridge "temporarily" until the construction bonds were paid off. The bonds were paid off 50 years ago. Do they still charge tolls?

The more I think about it, the more I like my plan: tax cap gains as ordinary income BUT increase the basis figure year-by-year with an inflation multiplier. I think this is the thinking behind the current system but it's much too crude.

57   DinOR   2008 Jan 24, 4:45am  

So here we are having a discussion about being altogether too generous toward 'real estates' and they raise the Jumbo limit to 6 and a quarter.

Yea Team....

What do they mean by "temporary"? Is this going to go on just long enough for FB's to re-fi out of their loan-from-hell or is this (obviously) intended for new purchase loans as well? That we could get the NAR some much needed commissions.

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