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Stock Market Hates Bailout


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2008 Oct 6, 1:08am   33,314 views  327 comments

by Patrick   ➕follow (59)   💰tip   ignore  

titanic

Great, after the stock market spasm last Monday when it looked like the bailout would not pass, we get the same thing this Monday when it does pass.

So now we have a crashing market, and higher US debt. The bailout was very wrong, and remains very wrong.

Great quote from reader Herb:

The Titanic is sinking. Captain Bush ordered first class passengers aboard the few $700B lifeboats. He and his crews have their own lifeboat. We are all left to drown.

#politics

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98   MST   2008 Oct 7, 5:06am  

By the way, JUSTME:

stand their ground on GUIDING PRINCIPLES, not on “ISSUES”

This is a false dichotomy. Guiding Principles are theory. Issues are application.

Guiding Principle: Killing Human Beings is wrong. Issue: Pro Life vs. Anti-Death Penalty.

Guiding Principle: Racial Equality before the Law. Issue: Pro- vs. Anti- Affirmative Action.

GP: The Bill of Rights is Sacrosanct. I: Except for the ones we say aren't vs. No Exceptions.

See how that works?

99   justme   2008 Oct 7, 5:14am  

MST,

How about we fire the CEOs every 2 years, because they are all corrupt bloodsuckers, too.

And, no, I do not agree with your analysis. Most Western European countries have democracies that are superior in their intended function (namely, to enact the people's will) than is the US.

I would like to correct a misconception. You should be aware that Germany has since the post-war constitution (1949) a rule that says that any party must have >5% of the popular vote in order to get a seat in parliament. This law was enacted exactly to avoid that extremists get to play a significant role.

100   justme   2008 Oct 7, 5:20am  

Headset,

I wish it were that simple. I'm afraid if we all become single-issue voters we will end up with a dictatorship (and I have an issue with that :)).

Thanks for remembering my previous lecture on the topic :-). Really! :-)

101   LILLL   2008 Oct 7, 5:30am  

Gold is looking more and more interesting.....

102   LILLL   2008 Oct 7, 5:32am  

If I wanted to buy gold--would you guys suggest IAU or GLD?

103   LILLL   2008 Oct 7, 5:58am  

THX--will look nto it--

104   LILLL   2008 Oct 7, 6:15am  

Right--AIG is managed by Barclays--How strong is Barclays? Didn't it drop 30% today?

105   LILLL   2008 Oct 7, 6:17am  

Sorry-meant AIU

106   HeadSet   2008 Oct 7, 6:20am  

Gold is looking more and more interesting…..

That's called a bubble, LILLL. If you want to play that deja vu, make sure you time it right.

107   MST   2008 Oct 7, 6:22am  

Justme:

Fire the CEOs? Fine by be. Fill in your proxy ballot that you get by being a stockholder. Throw the bums out.

And as for Western European democracies? take a look at what they've done with the vote on the European Constitution. It has been defeated in France, the Netherlands, Ireland, but still they forge ahead. EU President Junckers before the French/Netherland vote: "If it's a yes, we will say, 'on we go,' and if it's a no we will say, 'we continue.'" That's EU Democracy! Tony Blair wouldn't even let a referendum be held on the total transferral of British Sovreignty. He knows the answer, and it isn't the one he wanted. So much for listening to the will of the people.

And the 1930 election was the first time the NAZIs had any influence, and that was with 19% of the vote. Your 5% popular vote limit wouldn't have made a difference: it was window dressing in 1949.

108   LILLL   2008 Oct 7, 6:26am  

In the past, I've had a knack. I sold my house in LA Aug of 2005--rented for almost 3 years.
Picked up a SFH at around 1/4 of what I sold the last house for.
I'm feeling gold right now---A little hedgie never hurt.

I'm holding off opening my brick and mortar store until the tide passes. I actually make things--unlike most Americans-so I'll be okay--I hope.

109   justme   2008 Oct 7, 6:31am  

MST,

Wonderful. You understand the difference between PRINCIPLE and ISSUE, and how PRINCIPLE is applied to resolve "issues".

Now understand this: In US politics, "issues" are blown out of proportion in order to create electoral advantage. Scheming politicians (and parties) create false and over-emphasized "issues" that give them electoral advantage.

For example, Republicans are blowing the "issue" of the financial bailout out of of proportion and trying to make it into The Only Thing That Matters (TM) in the upcoming election.

This is done to exploit the groundswell of resistance against the bailout, in both parties. But it is to the Republicans' advantage, because fewer of their up-for-election incumbents voted in favor of it.

Make no mistake, if you are a democrat in principle, and vote republican or independent in this election because of bailout anger, you are being exploited, and the republicans are laughing all the way to the bank (literally, the bank).

The bailout was necessitated by the bad 28 year regime of republican de-regulation. The democrats that dis-proportionally voted for the bailout were just trying (perhaps in futility) to contain the damage.

If you are a Democrat by heart, for God's sake, do not vote against your own party just because of your bailout. You are just punishing yourself by setting yourself up for 4 more years of the same failed policies that got us here.

And that is how the whole discussion on election systems started, this time around.

110   EBGuy   2008 Oct 7, 6:38am  

If I wanted to buy gold–would you guys suggest IAU or GLD?
Yes -- diversify. I believe the overhead for both is around .4% a year (see prospectus). I hold them in retirement accounts, but if you are looking at more than 10 oz. that is not in a tax-deferred/free account, you might want to try a safety deposit box.

111   justme   2008 Oct 7, 6:50am  

MST,

On that note, perhaps everyone should be be made to re-apply for their own job every two years, I mean, you might grow complacent or lazy or too tight with the customers or vendors.

European Constitution: Tony Blair did not have the power to decide, as prime minister, whether to hold a referendum or not. Parliament does. I can totally agree that the EU converts are a sneaky bunch who will keep trying to fool the majority, but what does that have to do with election systems or democracy? When the Union of the US happened, do you think it happened with or without the consent of those "unionzed". At least the europeans are not having any "civil" wars about it. This stuff in this contect is a perfect example of a false issue. (also known as a red herring).

Nazis and 19% in 1930: Yes, any democracy can fail under the extreme duress of lost wars and depression. That is not a good argument for not having REAL democracy,.

112   justme   2008 Oct 7, 7:05am  

By the way, here is an interesting article about the rise and fall of the Weimar Republic, 1919-1933.

http://www.crf-usa.org/bria/bria21_3b.htm

It is quite interesting to see how Hitler used a mixture of nominally legal means and illegal underground activities to force the Reichstag to give him dictatorial power in the end. This is a history lesson we should not forget.

113   justme   2008 Oct 7, 7:06am  

Bap33, yeah, see you in November.

114   MST   2008 Oct 7, 7:11am  

Justme:
Issues blown out of proportion? Like Global Warming, maybe? Yeah, I know what you're saying. What then do you think are the "true" issues people *should be* concerned about? Corporate Greed? Like the government priveledged and protected Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac CEOs who provided the secondary marketfor crappy loans that the rest of the financial industry then turned into this mess? Why the F were they created in the first place? And it was the CRA Regulation (not de-regulation) that forced all banks to start loaning to people who basically couldn't pay them back. That's the foundation of the problem. I remember that 1990s MSM campaign against "red-lining" and "racist lending practices," (otherwise known as "responsible lending.") Talk about manufactured issues.

I was against the bail-out long before I knew how "my party" would vote. I'm still against it. I think there should be fraud investigations, and anybody, CEO, GSE officer, or Congressional Member who aided and abbeted should be held responsible to the fullest extent of the law.

I'm not a single-issue voter, but you think our Reps. handing over control of a third of our Federal budget to a single man is *not* something that should guide decisions? Really?

Not that my vote will help: I live in Massachusetts.

115   OO   2008 Oct 7, 7:20am  

Maybe it is not the political system that sucks, may be it is the public that sucks. I agree with George Carlin, and I think he is very insightful on this one, funny but real, where do these corrupt and evil politicians come from? The American system.

Where are the visionary politicians with conscience? They are NOT wanted by the voters, look at what the American public is like today. 1/3 obese, not just fat, but obese (and I have the same thought when I see obese couples together wondering how they structurally achieve penetration). I don't know about literacy but I have met so many home grown Americans who cannot spell properly, without spell check they are doomed. Then look at American TV, how many mainstream inspiring programs of high morals and educational value have you seen lately? It's all about get rich fast, get famous fast.

These corrupt politicians are exactly what the American public desire. How do you explain that American voted for Bush twice? Even till now he still has 25% approval rating, who are these idiots that still approve of him? In any other European country or a developed country, he would have been impeached long time ago, and I am going out on a limb to say even for countries like China and Russia, the politburo will never allow a person of such low IQ to be the head of the state, he doesn't have the clout to "settle" things internally.

So folks, let's face the reality, until the public is pushed to the brink and there is some kind of revolution from within, we will stay the course for many years to come. In the meantime we will just enjoy these puppet shows every 4 years.

116   justme   2008 Oct 7, 7:25am  

OO,

Exactly. But the public sucks partly because the powers that be want them to suck, and feed them mindless TV and propaganda.

117   justme   2008 Oct 7, 7:31am  

MST,

Global Warming as an "issue" is deeply unpopular. Most people would rather forget about it and go on their merry way. So again a false issue on your part.

FNM/FRE: Don't you think that the FIC (FInancial Industry Complex) where more than happy to have FNM and FRE? FIC is the ones that really wanted them to "guarantee" the mortgages. The whole thing about "affordability" and such was just a convenient ruse tfor them.

CRA: another red herring. Then why did this blowup not happen in 1994-1996? Wall St did not need any encouragement to make bad loans, once they figured out how to CDO and CDS the loans. Community Reinvestment Act had nothing to do with.

Any iother false issues you want to bring up while you are at it?

118   OO   2008 Oct 7, 7:35am  

So when will Uncle Ben give us the rate cut we want? Let's cut a straight 1%, stop dicking around with stealth rate cuts, whatever facilities, be direct, trash the USD faster (and save me some waiting time) and we can all live a happy life ever after.

119   kewp   2008 Oct 7, 7:46am  

Man oh man am I realizing I'm playing for the wrong team....

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/livecoverage/2008/10/after_bailout_aig_executives_h.html

120   MST   2008 Oct 7, 7:54am  

Justme:

AGW: deeply unpopular? Not for want of trying.

FNM/FRE: Of course the FIC loves them. Government Guarantees are great for huge firms. Government intervention in the marketplace skews things, large corporations love things to be skewed their way. That's where lobbyists come from. In another context, it's called fascism. The government has been skewing the housing market more and more toward people who can't quite pay since FDR. The CDS FIC stuff should live or die on its own merits, and would *except for the stupid "implied" guarantee of the GSEs.* When corporations get to write their own regulations (as has been the case since Wilson and FDR) they'll screw anybody in their way.

CRA regulations were "eased" (meaning enabling FNM/FRE to take on even worse paper) by Franklin Raines in 1999. Over Conservative objections, and predictions of financial meltdown. That's when sub-prime really started to roll. I can cite the NYT article again, if you want.

121   justme   2008 Oct 7, 8:00am  

MST,

You see, we actually agree on something. The bad things are caused by FIC and REIC that want to write their own regulations.

122   Peter P   2008 Oct 7, 8:00am  

MST, time and events will prove our correctness.

123   justme   2008 Oct 7, 8:02am  

MST,

I would say that the real problem was the rule allowed i-banks to increase their leverage to 30/1 in 2004, by decree of the Bush-appointed SEC chaired by Bush-strawman Christopher Cox. THAT was the real reason it went to hell.

124   Peter P   2008 Oct 7, 8:05am  

That would not be a problem if those i-banks were allowed to fail.

125   Richmond   2008 Oct 7, 8:49am  

Off topic; just venting.

If I hear of 401(k)'s being referred to as "savings," one more time..........

Didn't the people know they were playing the market? I have no pity.

126   Peter P   2008 Oct 7, 9:21am  

If I hear of 401(k)’s being referred to as “savings,” one more time……….

Better than homes being referred to as "savings." :)

127   OO   2008 Oct 7, 11:16am  

OMG, Nikkei extremely ugly, Hang Seng extremely ugly, it is going on 24x7 again.

Ben probably needs to cut 1.5% by tomorrow. He is not pumping fast enough, hopefully he will correct that mistake soon.

Nikkei reached 38,000 in 1990, and 18 years later, it is at 9695.

We will see a similar pattern with DOW in another 2 decades. Japan showed us the way.

128   Richmond   2008 Oct 7, 11:48am  

I guess the Fed wants to bypass the banks and give money directly to companies.

I'm now afraid to ask: "What else can they (the government) do?"

129   justme   2008 Oct 7, 12:05pm  

Bap33, I already donated some money to Obama last week. If he asks, I'll say $100 of t is from you.

130   RaiderJeff   2008 Oct 7, 12:44pm  

Did McCain say in tonight's debate that he's going to request another bailout on top of the bailout to purchase bad mortgages? Is he kidding, senile, or what? What exactly is he proposing?

131   snmr   2008 Oct 7, 1:04pm  

RaiderJeff Says:


Did McCain say in tonight’s debate that he’s going to request another bailout on top of the bailout to purchase bad mortgages? Is he kidding, senile, or what? What exactly is he proposing?

There is no doubt he is senile. If you carefully observe his talking style and content, you can discern that he keeps repeating stuff over and over again.He clearly shows that most of his brain cells are either dead or frozen with old ideas.
There should be a new rule banning people with IQ less than 100 or age great than 70 from contesting in presidential races.

132   RaiderJeff   2008 Oct 7, 1:22pm  

"...There should be a new rule banning people with IQ less than 100 or age great than 70 from contesting in presidential races."

And what about his running mate. Isn't she a piece of work. I just can't believe he would alienate conservatives even further by suggesting he would spend billions more to purchase bad mortgages. Didn't he notice that people around the country weren't too thrilled about the idea of a huge bailout? Now he's offering another bailout to fix a problem that should take care of itself?

133   OO   2008 Oct 7, 1:31pm  

McCain is really a horrible image to show the rest of the world, America is so short on talent that we need to vote for a somewhat incapacitated President?

He won't last through the first 4 years, especially given what he has to face. Stroke is a very big risk and there is no medicine for stopping that, you can only reduce the risk but there is no guarantee. When he responds to questions, the way he blinks bothers the hell outta me, it is a sign of his brain's functional decline. Reagan, alternatively, was in much better physical shape when he ran.

I am not comfortable with a senile old fart's finger is on the button. For that reason, I would rather vote for Palin, and have her pick another VP.

134   monkframe   2008 Oct 7, 1:48pm  

Peter P. says capitalism is the only thing that can work.
Is he kidding?
"For that reason, I would rather vote for Palin, and have her pick another VP."
There's another good idea: Vote for a total idealogue and hope her No.2 is less bad.
Does this blog have any useful ideas?

135   OO   2008 Oct 7, 1:55pm  

Hey, it is a puppet show anyway, so why bother choosing one candidate over the other?

As long as the next President won't get us into a nuclear warfare, or foolishly outsource the whole country, I am content.

If I am going to choose a clown, I might as well choose a hot woman so that when she opens her mouth, her stupid words can be overcome by her pretty face (and body).

The only useful idea is, get yourself diversified, both careerwise and moneywise. Do not see retirement in the US as a must.

136   justme   2008 Oct 7, 2:17pm  

RaiderJeff,

Indeed McCain did. I wonder exactly which incumbents this is going to make a certain crowd of people vote against.

137   RaiderJeff   2008 Oct 7, 2:40pm  

justme,

I don't know. One of my local reps (Campbell, of Orange County) is a far right leaning conservative who voted in favor of the bailout. I emailed him to say his opponent will be getting my vote. His office sent back a response (probably a canned response), which tried to explain why the bailout was necessary. I didn't email his office back. Nevertheless, his message was more or less an excuse, and it didn't cause me to change my mind.

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